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In July 2021, chief of the air staff Air Chief Marshal

Sir Mike Wigston, identifying climate change as a

transnational challenge, said: “In the UK, current

legislation requires all greenhouse gas emissions to be

net-zero by 2050, but I have set the RAF the challenge

of net-zero by 2040, because everything I see and

hear tells me that 2050 date will come forward.

“The way we power our aircraft, the way we power

our bases, the way we talk to our supply chain, to our

industrial suppliers about their carbon and sustainable

practices, are all going to be things that we are

going to have to tackle,” Wigston says. “It will take

decades and we need to start now.”

The RAF and NATO are the exceptions rather than

the rule by setting targets, but others will follow as

awareness grows and priorities change. Last year,

at the instigation of Wigston, the Global Air Forces

Climate Change Collaboration was formed, bringing

together 40 air forces on six continents to share best

practices, lessons learned and ideas.

“In our experience, sustainability was low down

the priority list, but it has been climbing the ladder

over the past few years and while delivering

operational effectiveness as cost-effectively as

possible will always be the top consideration, this

issue is right up there and will remain so,” explains

Adam Healy, principal consultant at global strategic

consultancy Roland Berger’s London office.

26bn

Gallons of jet fuel consumed in 2019 by the USA, with only

10% of this accounted for by the military, according to P&W

at Roland Berger. The firm has been focused on

aerospace and aviation sustainability since 2017 and is

working on sustainability strategies for armed forces

and the defence supplier ecosystem.

The consultancy is undertaking a major study to by

mid-year produce its own estimate of emissions from

defence supply chain activities and military operations

across multiple domains, says San Gregorio. “It

is a complex task as sustainability in defence covers

so many areas,” he says. “However, one thing is

certain: if the military and supply chain does nothing,

the impact of the sector will rise as a proportion of

the global total as other industries decarbonise.”

Low utilisation

In peacetime operations, the utilisation of military

aircraft such as fighters is low. “With [Lockheed

Martin] F-16s flying only 150 hours a year you can

be justified to ask: what’s the problem here?,” asks

Richard Aboulafia, managing director of Aero-

Dynamic Advisory. “The military is a fraction of

commercial flying.”

This view is highlighted by the fact that of the

26 billion gallons of jet fuel consumed in the USA

in 2019, only 10% was by the military, says Michael

Winter, principal fellow advanced technology at

Pratt & Whitney.

In the commercial world, the obligation to

decarbonise is often referred to as the “license to

operate”. For the main polluters – airlines – this

means that unless they find routes to achieve netzero

emissions, they will go out of business either

through regulation or increased costs.

The defence sector acknowledges that it must

reduce the impact of its military activities on the

climate, but strategists understand that climate

change brings different challenges in comparison

with the commercial world.

US Air Force

One of the big challenges for the defence sector is

actually measuring the size of its carbon footprint.

Military bodies were exempted from reporting their

emissions when binding greenhouse gas reduction

targets were set for the first time for industrialised

countries in the 1997 Kyoto Protocol.

“Military emissions are part of what is counted, but

the data is not good,” says Stoltenberg. NATO has

developed the first methodology for measuring its

greenhouse gas emissions, both civilian and military,

to help guide emission reduction efforts.

“It sets out what to count and how to count it, and

it will be made available to all allies to help them

reduce their own military emissions,” he says. “This is

vital, because what gets measured can get cut.”

Nobody disputes that the main contributor is

predominantly emissions from burning fuel in

operations, and specifically air operations, but there

are emissions from day-to-day activities like running

the vast military estate of buildings and transportation,

in addition to those associated with the building

of the aircraft, ships and land vehicles.

The commercial aviation industry’s share of global

greenhouse gas emissions is approximately 3%, with

various estimates of the military’s stake being between

1% and 5%, but certainly in the low single-digits,

says Miguel Lopez San Gregorio, senior consultant

“Military emissions are

part of what is counted,

but the data is not good”

Jens Stoltenberg Secretary general, NATO

NATO

52 Flight International April 2023

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