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Ethnocentric vs. Regiocentric Consolidation in the Aerospace and

Ethnocentric vs. Regiocentric Consolidation in the Aerospace and

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This <strong>the</strong>sis analyses <strong>the</strong> complex relationship between <strong>the</strong> A&D <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>and</strong> national governments<br />

<strong>in</strong> Europe <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> United States after <strong>the</strong> Cold War. The demise of <strong>the</strong> Warsaw Pact <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> break-<br />

up of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union were followed by a sharp decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> defence <strong>and</strong> weapons procurement<br />

expenditures (see Annex T able 4). As a result, both US <strong>and</strong> European A&D companies came under<br />

tremendous pressure to cut costs <strong>and</strong> consolidate <strong>the</strong>ir operations through M&As. However, <strong>the</strong><br />

aerospace <strong>in</strong>dustries <strong>in</strong> America <strong>and</strong> Europe <strong>in</strong> conjunction with <strong>the</strong>ir respective national<br />

governments adopted different strategies to cope with similar problems <strong>and</strong> challenges. The<br />

Americans decided to go it alone <strong>and</strong> pursued <strong>the</strong> creation of “national champions” like BMD<br />

through <strong>the</strong> promotion of large-scale national M&As. France, Germany <strong>and</strong> Spa<strong>in</strong>, <strong>in</strong> contrast,<br />

decided to move beyond <strong>the</strong> conf<strong>in</strong>es of “national champions” to create EADS, a “European<br />

champion”. The stark choice faced by <strong>the</strong> Europeans at <strong>the</strong> time was ei<strong>the</strong>r to jo<strong>in</strong> forces <strong>and</strong> merge<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir national champions or risk becom<strong>in</strong>g a junior-partner-type subcontractor to <strong>the</strong> Americans. 13<br />

Boe<strong>in</strong>g’s US$16.3 billion acquisition of MDC <strong>in</strong> 1997 is <strong>the</strong> biggest take-over <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> US aerospace<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry to date. Both <strong>in</strong> terms of its size <strong>and</strong> its political-military implications, <strong>the</strong> BMD merger is<br />

an important subject of academic scrut<strong>in</strong>y. In view of America’s global political, economic, <strong>and</strong><br />

military preponderance, US aerospace companies saw no need to look for partners abroad to<br />

consolidate <strong>the</strong>ir operations, reap economies of scale, <strong>and</strong> improve <strong>the</strong>ir overall competitiveness.<br />

Boast<strong>in</strong>g an unparalleled technological lead <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> world’s largest A&D market, <strong>the</strong> American<br />

aerospace <strong>in</strong>dustry along with <strong>the</strong> US government decided that it was better to consolidate<br />

nationally than to cooperate <strong>in</strong>ternationally. From a realist perspective, cooperation always carries<br />

risks, notably <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> form of cheat<strong>in</strong>g. Even if <strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation works f<strong>in</strong>e <strong>and</strong> produces<br />

absolute ga<strong>in</strong>s for all parties, hegemonic powers like <strong>the</strong> US rema<strong>in</strong> concerned about <strong>the</strong> potential<br />

consequences of <strong>the</strong> weaker partners deriv<strong>in</strong>g relatively greater ga<strong>in</strong>s from cooperation, thus<br />

precipitat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> hegemon’s eventual decl<strong>in</strong>e. Historically, <strong>the</strong> transfer <strong>and</strong> diffusion of<br />

technological <strong>in</strong>novations from <strong>the</strong> hegemonic core to <strong>the</strong> periphery has played a key role <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> rise<br />

<strong>and</strong> fall of great powers. 14 This po<strong>in</strong>t raises a fur<strong>the</strong>r question: namely whe<strong>the</strong>r private-sector<br />

mult<strong>in</strong>ational corporations (MNCs) share <strong>the</strong> same k<strong>in</strong>d of strategic, long-term th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g as <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

15 16 17 18<br />

home governments or whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>y are ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> short-term profit maximisation.<br />

13 Key Western European countries <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir A&D <strong>in</strong>dustrial companies had already faced this choice vis-à-vis<br />

America s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> 1960s (“le défi américa<strong>in</strong>”). That be<strong>in</strong>g said, this issue became much more press<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> choice<br />

much more acute <strong>in</strong> a shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g post-Cold War defence market.<br />

14 Gilp<strong>in</strong> (1981)<br />

15 “Because [MNCs] are <strong>the</strong> major force <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational trade <strong>and</strong> are deeply enmeshed <strong>in</strong> local economies, <strong>the</strong>y are<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluential <strong>in</strong> national politics <strong>and</strong> essential to <strong>in</strong>dustry. But because <strong>the</strong>y span national borders, many [MNCs] are less<br />

concerned with advanc<strong>in</strong>g national goals than with pursu<strong>in</strong>g objectives <strong>in</strong>ternal to <strong>the</strong> firm-pr<strong>in</strong>cipally growth, profits,<br />

proprietary technology, strategic alliances, return on <strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>and</strong> market power.” OTA (1993) pp. 1-2<br />

16 The aerospace <strong>in</strong>dustry’s deal<strong>in</strong>gs with Ch<strong>in</strong>a would suggest <strong>the</strong> latter. After all, Beij<strong>in</strong>g has been able to secure<br />

favourable production shar<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al assembly deals from Airbus <strong>and</strong> Boe<strong>in</strong>g as it played off <strong>the</strong> two Western<br />

16

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