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26 - World Journal of Gastroenterology

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Pacifico L et al . Pediatric NAFLD and cardiovascular risk<br />

(15.5% vs 7.5%). No significant differences in causes <strong>of</strong><br />

death were found between non-NASH patients and the<br />

corresponding reference population [15] . In a cohort study<br />

involving 173 patients retrospectively identified as having a<br />

diagnosis <strong>of</strong> biopsy-proven NAFLD, Rafiq et al [16] showed<br />

that after a median follow-up <strong>of</strong> 18.5 years, patients with<br />

histologic NASH had significantly higher liver-related mortality<br />

than the non-NASH NAFLD cohort (17.5% vs 2.7%).<br />

The most common causes <strong>of</strong> death were coronary artery<br />

disease, malignancy, and liver-related death. In a very recent<br />

study involving a cohort <strong>of</strong> 118 subjects with NAFLD<br />

who underwent liver biopsy because <strong>of</strong> elevated liver enzymes,<br />

Söderberg et al [17] confirmed that, after a 28-year<br />

follow-up, overall survival was reduced in subjects with<br />

NASH, whereas bland steatosis with or without severe<br />

fibrosis was not associated with any increase in mortality<br />

risk in comparison with the general population. The main<br />

causes <strong>of</strong> death among patients with NAFLD were CVD,<br />

followed by extrahepatic cancers and hepatic diseases. All<br />

these data provide evidence <strong>of</strong> an increased risk for cardiovascular<br />

mortality in patients with NASH. However, most<br />

studies which examined the natural history <strong>of</strong> NAFLD<br />

were retrospective cohort studies with relatively small numbers<br />

<strong>of</strong> patients with histologically proven NAFLD who<br />

were seen at tertiary referral centers - features that limit<br />

the generalizability <strong>of</strong> the findings to a community-based<br />

practice where patients may have a milder disease. Indeed,<br />

among people with NAFLD, those who are referred to<br />

hepatologists may have a more advanced liver disease than<br />

those detected in the community or population based<br />

screening but are not referred. Therefore, the magnitude<br />

<strong>of</strong> mortality risk in NAFLD depends on the setting and<br />

method <strong>of</strong> ascertainment. Future longitudinal studies with<br />

larger and less selected cohorts <strong>of</strong> patients are needed<br />

to identify through reliable, noninvasive means the true<br />

impact <strong>of</strong> the wide spectrum <strong>of</strong> NAFLD in the general<br />

population on the long-term overall and cardiovascular<br />

mortality.<br />

Data on the prognosis and clinical complications <strong>of</strong><br />

NAFLD in children remain scant [3] . Although coronary<br />

artery disease and stroke usually occur in middle and late<br />

age, autopsy studies have shown that the atherosclerotic<br />

process in the vascular wall begins in childhood and is accelerated<br />

in the presence <strong>of</strong> risk factors [18-24] . Given the<br />

large number <strong>of</strong> children affected, it is imperative that<br />

we establish a better understanding <strong>of</strong> the natural history<br />

<strong>of</strong> pediatric NAFLD in terms <strong>of</strong> the progression <strong>of</strong><br />

liver disease as well as its complications (including longterm<br />

cardiovascular risk pr<strong>of</strong>ile). Feldstein et al [34] recently<br />

reported the first longitudinal study describing the longterm<br />

survival <strong>of</strong> children with NAFLD who underwent<br />

a follow-up <strong>of</strong> up to 20 years. That study demonstrated<br />

that NAFLD in children is a disease <strong>of</strong> progressive potential.<br />

Some children presented with cirrhosis, others<br />

progressed to advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis during followup,<br />

and some developed end-stage liver disease with the<br />

consequent need for liver transplantation. Feldstein et al [34]<br />

also showed that NAFLD in children is associated with<br />

WJG|www.wjgnet.com<br />

significantly shorter long-term survival than the expected<br />

survival in the general population <strong>of</strong> the same age and<br />

sex. Children with NAFLD had a 13.8-fold higher risk <strong>of</strong><br />

dying or requiring liver transplantation than the general<br />

population <strong>of</strong> the same age and sex. The recorded deaths<br />

were not liver-related.<br />

Recent epidemiological studies in adult subjects have<br />

also demonstrated that NAFLD is associated with an increased<br />

risk <strong>of</strong> incident CVD that is independent <strong>of</strong> the<br />

risk conferred by traditional risk factors and components<br />

<strong>of</strong> the MetS [35-42] . Yet, several studies (including the pediatric<br />

population) have reported independent associations<br />

between NAFLD and impaired flow-mediated vasodilatation<br />

(FMD) and increased carotid-artery intimal medial<br />

thickness (cIMT) - two reliable markers <strong>of</strong> subclinical atherosclerosis<br />

- after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors<br />

and MetS [10,12,43-47] .<br />

NAFLD AND MARKERS OF SUBCLINICAL<br />

ATHEROSCLEROSIS IN CHILDREN<br />

The relation between obesity and atherosclerosis development<br />

has been evaluated in many pediatric studies [48] ,<br />

but few studies focused on the relation between NAFLD<br />

and atherosclerosis (Table 1) [32,47,49-56] . In an autopsy study<br />

involving 817 children (aged 2 to 19 years) who died <strong>of</strong><br />

external causes (accident, homicide, suicide) from 1993 to<br />

2003, Schwimmer et al [49] showed that the prevalence <strong>of</strong><br />

atherosclerosis was increased by a factor <strong>of</strong> 2 among those<br />

with NAFLD. Atherosclerosis was assessed as absent, mild<br />

(aorta only), moderate (coronary artery streaks/plaques),<br />

or severe (coronary artery narrowing). Fatty liver was present<br />

in 15% <strong>of</strong> the children. For the entire cohort, mild<br />

atherosclerosis was present in 21% and moderate to severe<br />

atherosclerosis in 2%. Atherosclerosis was significantly<br />

more common in children with fatty liver than those without<br />

the disease (30% vs 19%, P < 0.001). Body mass index<br />

(BMI) was not independently correlated to the presence <strong>of</strong><br />

atherosclerosis, but fatty liver status and BMI did interact<br />

significantly (P < 0.01). Consequently, for obese subjects<br />

the odds <strong>of</strong> having atherosclerosis was more than 6 times<br />

higher in children with fatty liver than those without [49] .<br />

Despite this, there are currently few data regarding the<br />

possible association between liver histopathologic changes<br />

and atherogenic risk in children [32,52,56] . In the Bogalusa<br />

heart study in children, investigators found that the extent<br />

to which the intimal surface was covered with atherosclerotic<br />

lesions was significantly associated with elevation <strong>of</strong><br />

concentrations <strong>of</strong> total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein<br />

cholesterol (LDL-c), triglycerides (TG), and lower<br />

concentration <strong>of</strong> high-density lipoprotein cholesterol<br />

(HDL-c). Ratios <strong>of</strong> cholesterol ester-rich lipoprotein level<br />

(TC/HDL-c and LDL-c/HDL-c) are well-established<br />

predictors <strong>of</strong> C VD [57] . More recently, the TG/HDL-c<br />

ratio has been shown to be a strong predictor <strong>of</strong> MetS<br />

and CVD [58,59] . In a case-control study, Schwimmer et al [32]<br />

showed that children with a biopsy-proven NAFLD had<br />

a significantly higher fasting glucose, insulin, TC, LDL-c,<br />

3084 July 14, 2011|Volume 17|Issue <strong>26</strong>|

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