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document and analyse the incidence of such disasters in a disaggregated fashion in<br />

order to alert policy-makers regarding regional vulnerability shifts due to long-term<br />

trends such as desertification or global climate change.<br />

Land degradation is not a sudden event but a gradual process. The costs of preventing<br />

land degradation are not high if action is taken early. Once severe, however,<br />

and reclamation becomes economically prohibitive, the land must be abandoned.<br />

Currently, a consistent loss in biological productivity is the general criterion employed<br />

to distinguish degraded from non-degraded lands, and the degree of this loss<br />

distinguishes among degradation classes. It is more of a confirmatory criterion for<br />

degradation that has already occurred, since it cannot predict whether the land has<br />

an inherent tendency to degrade. Late diagnosis adds to the cost of reclamation and<br />

can make land practically irrecoverable, causing sustained environmental damage<br />

and reducing the capacity to cope with disastrous events such as storms, floods or<br />

landslides.<br />

There is an urgent need to develop indicators that can predict the onset of desertification.<br />

Rubio and Bochet (1998) have given a list of selection and evaluation criteria<br />

that may be employed to develop an assessment system of land degradation/desertification<br />

by means of indicators.<br />

Solving or mitigating of land degradation will also require people's participation.<br />

Blackburn and Holland (1998) define people participation as the full involvement of<br />

local populations in the identification of problems and the seeking of solutions with<br />

teams of scientists, planners, and development specialists. Participation gives local<br />

people a chance to have a say in what takes place in their area in the name of<br />

development (Rhoades, 1999). It considers people's aspirations and needs as an<br />

integral part of the development agenda, which makes solutions 'demand-driven'<br />

(Rhoades and Booth, 1982). This more general lesson is of central importance in<br />

preventing long-term resource degradation and thus also the risks of exposure to<br />

natural disasters.<br />

Small holder vegetable production and<br />

irrigation, Limpopo, South Africa<br />

Essay<br />

The involvement of local populations<br />

in identifying problems<br />

and seeking solutions with<br />

specialists is crucial to preventing<br />

long-term resource degradation<br />

and risks of exposure to<br />

natural disasters.<br />

23

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