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Solid Height - Spring Manufacturers Institute

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Bird Flu Pandemic<br />

Protect your company from this<br />

and other potential disasters<br />

Your business will be hit with a flu pandemic that<br />

puts a third of your work force out of commission<br />

for three weeks. Your revenues will drop by 10<br />

percent; the GDP will dip by five percent; and the<br />

American economy will be the recipient of a $200<br />

billion haircut.<br />

On the other hand, none of that may happen.<br />

Confused? Welcome to the club. Health professionals<br />

everywhere are trying to forecast<br />

the next move of a certain avian<br />

flu strain known to insiders<br />

as “H5N1.” This strain has<br />

distinguished itself from the runof-the-mill<br />

flu we get every winter<br />

for two reasons: First, it has killed<br />

a large number of domestic birds<br />

in Asia and Europe. Second, more<br />

than 120 people, many of them<br />

young and vigorous, who have<br />

contracted the virus have died.<br />

So far, humans have only<br />

gotten sick through contact with<br />

domestic birds, such as chickens.<br />

That’s good, but conditions may change. “We are<br />

looking closely at H5N1 because there is a potential<br />

for it to become a pandemic strain if it starts to move<br />

between humans,” says Dan Rutz, a spokesperson at<br />

the Center for Disease Control, based in Washington,<br />

D.C. “The biggest problem is that we just don’t know<br />

if or when that will actually happen.”<br />

Plan Your Response<br />

A possible bird flu pandemic, then, is one more<br />

item to add to the unhappy list of disasters that can<br />

Phillip M. Perry is an award-winning<br />

journalist specializing in the fields of business<br />

management and law. Over the past<br />

20 years, his byline has appeared more than<br />

3,000 times in publications such as World<br />

Trade, Business, Corporate Risk Management,<br />

Human Resource Executive and The Legal<br />

Times of Washington. Readers may contact<br />

him by fax at (212) 226-5580 or e-mail at<br />

phil@pmperry.com.<br />

Checkpoint<br />

Business Tips<br />

From Phil Perry<br />

lay waste to the best of operations. (For a detailed<br />

report on the expected effect of a pandemic on<br />

businesses, visit the Web site for the Congressional<br />

Budget Office at www.cbo.gov.) Given the possibility<br />

of a severe disruption to your own business, now is<br />

a good time to formulate plans that will help you<br />

recover after a devastating event.<br />

“Disaster planning is essential for a couple of<br />

reasons,” offers Hale Foote, president<br />

of Scandic <strong>Spring</strong>s Inc., San<br />

Leandro, CA. “First, for the continued<br />

health of your business, you<br />

have to anticipate interruptions.<br />

Second, today’s customer demands<br />

it.” That second reason has become<br />

more important with the modern<br />

emphasis on just-in-time delivery.<br />

The global supply chain has<br />

thinned over the past five years,<br />

explains Foote, and the trend has<br />

accelerated in the past couple of years.<br />

“No longer do customers keep 30- and<br />

60-day inventories. Our own customers<br />

pull from us daily.” The upshot: If you don’t ship<br />

because your company has been hit by a disaster,<br />

your customers will be on the phone saying they<br />

need parts. If you don’t have them, you risk losing<br />

customers to companies that do.<br />

Disaster recovery planning, then, is essential not<br />

only in light of the possible flu pandemic but also<br />

for survival following any other production-halting<br />

disaster. Several years ago, Scandic started planning<br />

for business continuity in case of a disabling event<br />

such as fire, flood, windstorm or earthquake – that<br />

last one being of special interest to any Californiabased<br />

organization. Scandic had already seismically<br />

retrofitted its buildings, but realized it needed to do<br />

more. For example, the company now performs a<br />

nightly off-site tape backup of all computer data, and<br />

maintains an off-site parallel server, loaded with all<br />

applications and ready to plug in and go.<br />

That kind of protection of buildings and data<br />

can go a long way toward ameliorating the effects<br />

of a disaster. In the specific case of a pandemic, of<br />

SPRINGS July 2006 45

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