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Dynamics and Vulnerability of Delta Systems - loicz

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Fig. CS2: The evolution <strong>of</strong> the distributary channels <strong>of</strong> the Huanghe or Yellow River delta seen by LANDSAT.<br />

Human population settlements <strong>and</strong> growth has been one among a number <strong>of</strong> anthropogenic<br />

drivers that has resulted in transformations to delta ecosystems. Table 2.1 below shows<br />

population in the year 2000 <strong>and</strong> projected to 2015, projected growth, <strong>and</strong> mean population<br />

density for 31 major deltas. One delta, the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta, with close to 150 million<br />

people, accounts for virtually half the population <strong>of</strong> all the deltas listed. Another heavily<br />

populated <strong>and</strong> subsiding delta is the Yangtze delta, with 44 million people <strong>and</strong> a major city,<br />

Shanghai (de Sherbinin et al. 2007). Population densities are well over a thous<strong>and</strong> persons per<br />

square kilometer for three Asian deltas (the Ganges, Pearl, <strong>and</strong> Yangzte deltas) <strong>and</strong> for the Nile<br />

delta. Growth rates are projected to be highest in the Han (where Seoul is located) <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Yellow deltas, where several medium-sized cities are located. Several deltas are projected to see<br />

greater than 50% population growth over the 15-year period, including the Amazon, Congo,<br />

Limpopo, <strong>and</strong> Pearl River deltas. While populations affect l<strong>and</strong> cover <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use in delta areas,<br />

the low lying nature <strong>of</strong> deltas <strong>and</strong> the large urban areas <strong>and</strong> associated infrastructure in some (e.g.,<br />

15

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