Worldwide Market Forecast For Commercial Air Transport 2002 - 2021
Worldwide Market Forecast For Commercial Air Transport 2002 - 2021
Worldwide Market Forecast For Commercial Air Transport 2002 - 2021
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4. 8 Jet Fleet and Deliveries <strong><strong>For</strong>ecast</strong><br />
The world jet fleet exists 12,500 units in 2001, that is 2.2 times of the fleet size<br />
in 1981.<br />
That fleet is projected to increase to 25,700 units until <strong>2021</strong>, it is 2.1 times of<br />
the existing fleet, and 19,900 units are forecasted to add as new deliveries and 6,600<br />
old airplanes will be retired for this period.<br />
Two-third of total fleet will be narrow-body airplane and remaining one-third will<br />
be wide-body airplane.<br />
UNITS<br />
30000<br />
25000<br />
20000<br />
15000<br />
10000<br />
5563<br />
5000<br />
DC8,707<br />
8143<br />
JET FLEET FORECAST<br />
ACTUAL<br />
DC10,MD11<br />
L1011<br />
747<br />
767<br />
A310<br />
A300<br />
A320,MD80/MD90<br />
727-200,737-300/400<br />
12510<br />
0<br />
727-100,737-100/200/500,TRIDENT,DC9S<br />
BAC111,F28/F70/F100,DC9<br />
328JET/428JET,ERJ135/145,CRJ200<br />
20-59<br />
SEATER<br />
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 <strong>2021</strong><br />
8000<br />
7000<br />
6000<br />
5000<br />
4000<br />
3000<br />
2000<br />
1000<br />
0<br />
TOTAL<br />
2001YEAR-END: 12,510<br />
<strong>2021</strong>YEAR-END: 25,727<br />
<strong>2002</strong>-<strong>2021</strong>DELIVERIES:<br />
19,859<br />
1138<br />
REGIONAL JETS<br />
3271<br />
2391<br />
2948<br />
2230<br />
NEW DELIVERY<br />
5168<br />
5130<br />
5168<br />
RETAINED<br />
1976<br />
2528 1053<br />
33<br />
FORECAST<br />
17869<br />
RETAINED<br />
JET FLEET AND DELIVERY FORECAST<br />
1191<br />
1692<br />
NEW DELIVERY<br />
A3XX<br />
747X<br />
747<br />
A310 767<br />
777<br />
A340<br />
A330<br />
A300<br />
757<br />
A321<br />
A319/A320<br />
737-700/800/900<br />
A318<br />
717,737-600<br />
CRJ700/900,YSX<br />
728JET/928JET,ERJ170/190,<br />
743<br />
1597<br />
703 1175<br />
1138<br />
880 1053<br />
1191<br />
743<br />
917<br />
554<br />
480<br />
572 703<br />
279 316 259<br />
2001 <strong>2021</strong> 2001 <strong>2021</strong> 2001 <strong>2021</strong> 2001 <strong>2021</strong> 2001 <strong>2021</strong> 2001 <strong>2021</strong> 2001 <strong>2021</strong> 2001 <strong>2021</strong><br />
20-59<br />
SEATER<br />
3227<br />
60-99<br />
SEATER<br />
1597<br />
NARROWBODY<br />
2546<br />
100-119<br />
SEATER<br />
7658<br />
120-169<br />
SEATER<br />
2530<br />
120-169<br />
SEATER<br />
2172<br />
230-309<br />
SEATER<br />
WIDEBODY<br />
917<br />
2889<br />
2317<br />
310-399<br />
SEATER<br />
1434<br />
OVER 400<br />
SEATER<br />
25727<br />
OVER 400<br />
SEATER<br />
310-399<br />
SEATER<br />
230-309<br />
SEATER<br />
170-229<br />
SEATER<br />
120-169<br />
SEATER<br />
100-119<br />
SEATER<br />
60-99<br />
SEATER
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