Worldwide Market Forecast For Commercial Air Transport 2002 - 2021
Worldwide Market Forecast For Commercial Air Transport 2002 - 2021
Worldwide Market Forecast For Commercial Air Transport 2002 - 2021
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4. 9 Turboprop Fleet and Deliveries <strong><strong>For</strong>ecast</strong><br />
The passenger turboprop fleet for world airlines exist 4,300 units in 2001.<br />
That is 1.8 times of the fleet size in 1981.<br />
The routes for turboprop in 2001 are almost categorized to the regional market<br />
which includes under 1,000km routes, and the traffic is projected to grow at 4.3% per<br />
year for the next 20 years. But many of over 20 seater turboprops will be replaced by<br />
regional jets, therefore the fleet of turboprops will shrink to 3,200 in <strong>2021</strong>.<br />
Assuming the average life of a turboprop is 28 years by the trend, two-third or<br />
2,900 units of the current fleet will be retired during the forecast period. The deliveries of<br />
the turboprops will be 1,800 units for the period.<br />
UNITS<br />
5000<br />
4500<br />
4000<br />
3500<br />
3000<br />
2394<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
500<br />
TURBOPROP FLEET FORECAST<br />
ACTUAL FORECAST<br />
4307<br />
3849<br />
3962<br />
748,F27/F50<br />
SAAB2000<br />
DHC8-300<br />
JET STREAM41,CN235<br />
SD330/360<br />
SAAB340<br />
JET STREAM31, DHC6<br />
BE99/MOD1900,METRO,EMB110<br />
0<br />
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 <strong>2021</strong><br />
39<br />
DHC8-300<br />
ATR42<br />
FD328,DHC8-100<br />
EMB-120<br />
FD228,<br />
MOD1900<br />
RETAINED<br />
ATR72,DHC8-400<br />
NEW DELIVERY<br />
3203<br />
OVER<br />
60 SEATS<br />
40-59 SEATS<br />
20-39 SEATS<br />
15-19 SEATS
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