US Economic Briefing: High Frequency Indicators
US Economic Briefing: High Frequency Indicators
US Economic Briefing: High Frequency Indicators
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20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
-10<br />
-15<br />
-20<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
Figure 43.<br />
S&P 500 FORWARD EARNINGS & IND<strong>US</strong>TRIAL PRODUCTION<br />
(yearly percent change)<br />
S&P 500 Forward Earnings*<br />
<strong>US</strong> Industrial Production<br />
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16<br />
* 52-week forward consensus expected S&P 500 operating earnings per share. Monthly through March 1994, weekly thereafter. Time-weighted average<br />
of current and next year’s consensus earnings estimates.<br />
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.<br />
Figure 44.<br />
- <strong>US</strong> Profits Cycle -<br />
S&P 500 FORWARD EARNINGS & INDEX OF AGGREGATE WEEKLY HOURS<br />
(yearly percent change)<br />
S&P 500 Forward Earnings*<br />
Aggregate Hours<br />
Feb<br />
4/4<br />
yardeni.com<br />
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16<br />
* 52-week forward consensus expected operating earnings. Monthly through March 1994, weekly thereafter.<br />
Time-weighted average of current and next year’s consensus earnings estimates.<br />
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.<br />
Page 23 / April 11, 2013 / <strong>US</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Briefing</strong>: <strong>High</strong> <strong>Frequency</strong> <strong>Indicators</strong><br />
Mar<br />
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yardeni.com<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
-30<br />
-40<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
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Yardeni Research, Inc.<br />
www.yardeni.com