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US Economic Briefing: High Frequency Indicators

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20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

Figure 43.<br />

S&P 500 FORWARD EARNINGS & IND<strong>US</strong>TRIAL PRODUCTION<br />

(yearly percent change)<br />

S&P 500 Forward Earnings*<br />

<strong>US</strong> Industrial Production<br />

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16<br />

* 52-week forward consensus expected S&P 500 operating earnings per share. Monthly through March 1994, weekly thereafter. Time-weighted average<br />

of current and next year’s consensus earnings estimates.<br />

Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.<br />

Figure 44.<br />

- <strong>US</strong> Profits Cycle -<br />

S&P 500 FORWARD EARNINGS & INDEX OF AGGREGATE WEEKLY HOURS<br />

(yearly percent change)<br />

S&P 500 Forward Earnings*<br />

Aggregate Hours<br />

Feb<br />

4/4<br />

yardeni.com<br />

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16<br />

* 52-week forward consensus expected operating earnings. Monthly through March 1994, weekly thereafter.<br />

Time-weighted average of current and next year’s consensus earnings estimates.<br />

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.<br />

Page 23 / April 11, 2013 / <strong>US</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Briefing</strong>: <strong>High</strong> <strong>Frequency</strong> <strong>Indicators</strong><br />

Mar<br />

4/4<br />

yardeni.com<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

Yardeni Research, Inc.<br />

www.yardeni.com

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