Bottom Trawl Surveys - Proceedings of a Workshop Held at Ottawa ...
Bottom Trawl Surveys - Proceedings of a Workshop Held at Ottawa ...
Bottom Trawl Surveys - Proceedings of a Workshop Held at Ottawa ...
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138<br />
In the area south <strong>of</strong> 5o·N, the same series<br />
<strong>of</strong> biomass estim<strong>at</strong>es was made except th<strong>at</strong> with<br />
the limited number <strong>of</strong> str<strong>at</strong>a the combin<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong><br />
small str<strong>at</strong>a into depth levels was not used<br />
(Table 8).<br />
In considering the whole area <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Esquiman Channel, the same series <strong>of</strong> estim<strong>at</strong>es<br />
was examined in the northern area except th<strong>at</strong><br />
with the two larger areas a further estim<strong>at</strong>e was<br />
available by considering the whole area as made<br />
up <strong>of</strong> two str<strong>at</strong>a (Table 6).<br />
Interpret<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> the results is<br />
complic<strong>at</strong>ed by the fact th<strong>at</strong> different str<strong>at</strong>um<br />
areas were used between the old and the new<br />
str<strong>at</strong>a, and this affects both the estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>of</strong><br />
the mean/unit area and the expansion <strong>of</strong> this<br />
mean to biomass. However, within the various<br />
combin<strong>at</strong>ions <strong>of</strong> the small str<strong>at</strong>a a trend seems<br />
to be clear in the northern and total area,<br />
namely, th<strong>at</strong> with the increased number <strong>of</strong> str<strong>at</strong>a<br />
the lower mean is obtained and this is<br />
accompanied by an increase in precision as<br />
indic<strong>at</strong>ed both by the variance and by the<br />
confidence limits assigned to the biomass<br />
estim<strong>at</strong>es after areal expansion. In the<br />
southern part <strong>of</strong> the area, the str<strong>at</strong>ified<br />
sampling was poor, with only three out <strong>of</strong> the<br />
seven str<strong>at</strong>a sampled enough to yield a variance<br />
estim<strong>at</strong>e and two str<strong>at</strong>a not sampled <strong>at</strong> all.<br />
Thus, it is not surprising th<strong>at</strong> the best<br />
precision was obtained by considering the area<br />
as a single homogeneous one and sampling <strong>at</strong><br />
random within it.<br />
With regard to the different estim<strong>at</strong>es and<br />
the possible bias th<strong>at</strong> may exist in each, we are<br />
in a quandary, as in each method <strong>of</strong> computing<br />
the mean we have used different assumptions.<br />
Intuitively, in this instance where we are<br />
using a fairly large number <strong>of</strong> small str<strong>at</strong>a<br />
which we would expect to be reasonably<br />
homogeneous, we might expect th<strong>at</strong> the "best"<br />
estim<strong>at</strong>e might be obtained from using the<br />
gre<strong>at</strong>est number <strong>of</strong> str<strong>at</strong>a; however, as we might<br />
also expect from the lack <strong>of</strong> differences between<br />
str<strong>at</strong>um means within the same depth zone, the<br />
difference in estim<strong>at</strong>es between this one and the<br />
estim<strong>at</strong>e derived from the str<strong>at</strong>a combined by<br />
depth is trivial. In this case, we think we<br />
could conclude th<strong>at</strong> the "best estim<strong>at</strong>e" <strong>of</strong><br />
biomass for the total area might be 12,000 ±<br />
2000 metric tons in 1975.<br />
We can also conclude th<strong>at</strong> combining str<strong>at</strong>a<br />
within depth zones is acceptable though clearly<br />
when the larger str<strong>at</strong>a <strong>of</strong> the new system <strong>of</strong><br />
str<strong>at</strong>ific<strong>at</strong>ion are used there is some widening<br />
<strong>of</strong> the 95% confidence interval.<br />
A comparison between the estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>of</strong><br />
mean/unit area obtained in different years is<br />
also instructive (Table g), This table displays<br />
the results obtained in each str<strong>at</strong>um when the<br />
new str<strong>at</strong>ific<strong>at</strong>ion method was uniformly applied<br />
through the series; thus, vari<strong>at</strong>ion due to the<br />
use <strong>of</strong> different areal weighting is removed, and<br />
the estim<strong>at</strong>es therefore represent sampling<br />
variability and changes in biomass between<br />
years. An examin<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> the means suggests<br />
th<strong>at</strong> we should not put too much emphasis on<br />
sampling the deepest str<strong>at</strong>um (115) because <strong>of</strong><br />
the low shrimp abundance and the rel<strong>at</strong>ively<br />
small area involved, while a perusal <strong>of</strong> the<br />
coefficients <strong>of</strong> vari<strong>at</strong>ion suggests th<strong>at</strong> sampling<br />
in Str<strong>at</strong>a 113 and 114 is likely not too bad and<br />
th<strong>at</strong> any improvements are most likely<br />
forthcoming from improving the sampling in<br />
Str<strong>at</strong>um 112. From a knowledge <strong>of</strong> the<br />
distribution <strong>of</strong> shrimp, it is likely th<strong>at</strong> an<br />
improvement would be obtained by refining the<br />
depth str<strong>at</strong>ific<strong>at</strong>ion used and alloc<strong>at</strong>ing sets in<br />
proportion to observed variability in each<br />
str<strong>at</strong>um.<br />
PROBLEMS ASSOCIATED WITH DIURNAL VARIABILITY<br />
In the biomass surveys in the Northeast<br />
Gulf <strong>of</strong> St. Lawrence, sampling has been<br />
restricted to the daylight hours; however, in<br />
the <strong>of</strong>fshore areas <strong>of</strong>f Labrador and in the Davis<br />
Strait area this has not been the case.<br />
The vertical migr<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> shrimp has been<br />
an accepted fact for many years. At various<br />
times during the 24-hour cycle, especially <strong>at</strong><br />
night, shrimp move <strong>of</strong>f the bottom and disperse<br />
to considerable distances in the w<strong>at</strong>er column.<br />
Sampling the stocks with "bottom" trawls other·<br />
than <strong>at</strong> times <strong>of</strong> optimum density should lead to<br />
an underestim<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> stock size since those<br />
animals occurring outside the range <strong>of</strong> the<br />
trawl's vertical opening will not be accounted<br />
for. Daylight sampling alone tends to be<br />
inefficient, mainly because the migr<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong>ten<br />
extends well into the daylight hours and,<br />
therefore, the problem is not resolved.<br />
Intuitively, any adjustment for diel<br />
variability should have <strong>at</strong> least two reasonably<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>ound effects: (a) the biomass should<br />
increase; and (b) the variance associ<strong>at</strong>ed with<br />
the mean biomass should be reduced.<br />
Attempts to achieve these effects have been<br />
made but the d<strong>at</strong>a base is <strong>of</strong>ten rudimentary.<br />
C<strong>at</strong>ch d<strong>at</strong>a from a survey in the Davis Strait in<br />
1979 (Parsons 1979) were adjusted to account for<br />
diel variability: (a) observed from 24-hour<br />
sampling during the survey (Figure 10); and (b)<br />
according to p<strong>at</strong>terns observed for the month <strong>of</strong><br />
September from more extensive commercial d<strong>at</strong>a<br />
(Carlsson et al. 1978). In both cases, the<br />
desired results were achieved (Table 10) with<br />
higher biomass and finer confidence intervals<br />
associ<strong>at</strong>ed with the p<strong>at</strong>tern observed <strong>at</strong> the time<br />
<strong>of</strong> the survey. The exercise, however, did not<br />
improve the d<strong>at</strong>a enough to give values <strong>of</strong> the<br />
lower limits (95%) gre<strong>at</strong>er than zero.