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Bottom Trawl Surveys - Proceedings of a Workshop Held at Ottawa ...

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have also been examined to determine if they<br />

provide measures <strong>of</strong> these same parameters for<br />

pelagic fish stocks and squid. Distributional<br />

and hydrographic d<strong>at</strong>a have occasionally been<br />

utilized in provision <strong>of</strong> stock management<br />

advice, as have small parts <strong>of</strong> the biological<br />

d<strong>at</strong>a gener<strong>at</strong>ed by these surveys. Distributional<br />

d<strong>at</strong>a, in particular, have been <strong>of</strong> substantial<br />

interest to those involved in environmental<br />

impact assessment in rel<strong>at</strong>ion to <strong>of</strong>fshore<br />

industrial development. Most <strong>of</strong> the<br />

"ancillary" d<strong>at</strong>a collected on surveys, however,<br />

has not yet been adequ<strong>at</strong>ely examined for its<br />

value to be assessed. This review concentr<strong>at</strong>es<br />

on those survey usages which have had a direct<br />

impact on stock management advice.<br />

Several papers describe the surveys and<br />

estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>of</strong> finfish biomass derived from them<br />

(Halliday and Kohler,, MS 1971; Grosslein and<br />

Halliday, MS 1972; Halliday, MS 1974a; Koeller,<br />

MS 197g, MS 1980a), and these are essentially<br />

overviews <strong>of</strong> general biomass trends. Others<br />

describe species distribution and the<br />

hydrographic regime (Scott, MS 1976a, b). These<br />

papers played an important role in devising the<br />

loc<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> the "small mesh gear line" on the<br />

Scotian Shelf, an important regul<strong>at</strong>ory measure<br />

reducing the byc<strong>at</strong>ches <strong>of</strong> juvenile cod and<br />

haddock. An investig<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> age <strong>at</strong> sexual<br />

m<strong>at</strong>urity for silver hake from survey d<strong>at</strong>a<br />

(Doubleday and Halliday, MS 1975; Doubleday et<br />

al., MS 1976), which showed the first m<strong>at</strong>urity<br />

for 75% <strong>of</strong> females (on average) occurred <strong>at</strong> age<br />

2 and for the remainder <strong>at</strong> age 3, strengthened<br />

arguments for an increase in mesh size for this<br />

fishery which depended heavily on age 2 fish.<br />

Abundance estim<strong>at</strong>es utilized have almost<br />

exclusively been in the form <strong>of</strong> biomass and<br />

popul<strong>at</strong>ion number (or the directly proportional<br />

str<strong>at</strong>ified mean c<strong>at</strong>ch-per-standard-tow<br />

calcul<strong>at</strong>ion on the basis <strong>of</strong> the equ<strong>at</strong>ion 5)<br />

without any sort <strong>of</strong> transform<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> the d<strong>at</strong>a.<br />

Occasionally, the str<strong>at</strong>ific<strong>at</strong>ion has been<br />

discarded and unstr<strong>at</strong>ified mean c<strong>at</strong>ch per tow<br />

utili zed (e.g. , Winters and Moores, MS 1979;<br />

Maguire, MS 197g; Metuzals, MS 1979, MS 1980a<br />

and b). On rare occasion, the ln (x + 1)<br />

transform<strong>at</strong>ion has been used (Winters and<br />

Moores, MS 1979, MS 1980; Maguire, MS 1979). It<br />

may be noteworthy th<strong>at</strong> it was herring and<br />

mackerel d<strong>at</strong>a which were tre<strong>at</strong>ed this way. Hare<br />

and Kohler (MS 1974) utilized a logarithmic<br />

transform<strong>at</strong>ion in developing a recruitment index<br />

for 4T cod from fixed st<strong>at</strong>ion surveys. L<strong>at</strong>er<br />

work by Lett (MS 1977) discarded the<br />

transform<strong>at</strong>ion as unnecessary. Clay (MS 1980a)<br />

developed a method whereby observ<strong>at</strong>ions were<br />

removed and replaced by 3-year str<strong>at</strong>um means<br />

when th<strong>at</strong> observ<strong>at</strong>ion gener<strong>at</strong>ed 90% or more <strong>of</strong><br />

the str<strong>at</strong>um biomass estim<strong>at</strong>e and over 20% <strong>of</strong> the<br />

NAFO Subdivision total estim<strong>at</strong>e. Applic<strong>at</strong>ion to<br />

Division 4VWX redfish d<strong>at</strong>a for 1970-79 gre<strong>at</strong>ly<br />

reduced annual variability <strong>of</strong> estim<strong>at</strong>es and<br />

showed trends not obvious in the "uncorrected"<br />

estim<strong>at</strong>es. There has been no critical<br />

examin<strong>at</strong>ion to determine "best estim<strong>at</strong>ors" from<br />

these d<strong>at</strong>a.<br />

Variability in the d<strong>at</strong>a has quite<br />

frequently been addressed by smoothing, usually<br />

with a 3-year running average (e.g., Gray, MS<br />

1979a; Beacham et al., MS 1980), although a<br />

2-year running average gave the best correl<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

with popul<strong>at</strong>ion biomass from cohort analysis for<br />

mackerel (Maguire, MS 1979). The first and last<br />

points when calcul<strong>at</strong>ing 3-year running averages<br />

have usually been calcul<strong>at</strong>ed by averaging the<br />

last and second last (or first and second)<br />

points. Sometimes each point is given equal<br />

weight but some analysts prefer to give a<br />

one-third, two-thirds weighting to the second<br />

last and last point, respectively. In cases <strong>of</strong><br />

extreme variability, points have been dropped<br />

from the analysis (e.g., Maguire, MS 1980) or<br />

some tows on which the estim<strong>at</strong>e from a<br />

particular survey is based have been deleted to<br />

give a revised estim<strong>at</strong>e (Gray, MS 1979a).<br />

Smoothing techniques have frequently been<br />

used in deriving recruitment estim<strong>at</strong>ors. One<br />

method has been an extension <strong>of</strong> the 3-year<br />

averaging technique which is first applied to<br />

the total popul<strong>at</strong>ion estim<strong>at</strong>e and the adjusted<br />

estim<strong>at</strong>e for each year is then pror<strong>at</strong>ed over the<br />

age-group estim<strong>at</strong>es within th<strong>at</strong> year (e.g.,<br />

O'Boyle, MS 1980). Averaging estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>of</strong><br />

year-class size in adjacent years (e.g., mean<br />

numbers <strong>of</strong> year-class x <strong>at</strong> age 1 in year t and<br />

<strong>at</strong> age 2 in year t+1) has been a fairly common<br />

practice (e.g., Cleary, MS 1978, MS 1979;<br />

Metuzals, MS 1979, MS 1980b; Waldron, MS 1980).<br />

Beacham (MS 1980) standardized abundance<br />

estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>at</strong> ages 1, 2 and 3 to the mean for<br />

th<strong>at</strong> age, then averaged these rel<strong>at</strong>ive abundance<br />

estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>at</strong> age for ages one to three for each<br />

year-class. Where these techniques have failed,<br />

r<strong>at</strong>ios <strong>of</strong> mean year-class size estim<strong>at</strong>es from<br />

surveys to the mean year-class size estim<strong>at</strong>ed by<br />

cohort (or virtual popul<strong>at</strong>ion) analysis for the<br />

same year-classes have been calcul<strong>at</strong>ed for some<br />

early period in the d<strong>at</strong>a series and this r<strong>at</strong>io<br />

has been used to adjust current survey indices<br />

<strong>of</strong> year-class size to absolute estim<strong>at</strong>es (Gray,<br />

MS 1g79a; Maguire, MS 1980).<br />

Historical agreement between survey<br />

abundance estim<strong>at</strong>es and independent estim<strong>at</strong>es,<br />

such as commercial c<strong>at</strong>ch r<strong>at</strong>es and popul<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

estim<strong>at</strong>es from cohort or virtual popul<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

analysis, could be taken as valid<strong>at</strong>ion th<strong>at</strong><br />

surveys provide estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>of</strong> real popul<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

abundance with some (variable) degree <strong>of</strong><br />

reliability. A number <strong>of</strong> st<strong>at</strong>istically good<br />

rel<strong>at</strong>ionships have been demonstr<strong>at</strong>ed,<br />

particularly between survey estim<strong>at</strong>es and cohort<br />

analysis estim<strong>at</strong>es <strong>of</strong> abundance. These,<br />

however, represent short time series (10 years)<br />

and most <strong>of</strong> the major changes in abundance<br />

estim<strong>at</strong>es have occurred in the l<strong>at</strong>ter part <strong>of</strong><br />

the d<strong>at</strong>a series - the period for which the<br />

cohort analysis is most sensitive to input<br />

parameters. While these high corre 1 <strong>at</strong> ions are<br />

encouraging, analysts are essentially assuming<br />

th<strong>at</strong> surveys give valid estim<strong>at</strong>ors <strong>of</strong><br />

abundance. Possibly because <strong>of</strong> the limit<strong>at</strong>ions<br />

<strong>of</strong> the d<strong>at</strong>a, most analysts have considered only<br />

linear rel<strong>at</strong>ionships between survey and other<br />

35

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