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Hume on miracles and the Lourdes phenomenon Alexandru Anghel

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or spiritualistic expectati<strong>on</strong>: <strong>the</strong> doctors (that compose <strong>the</strong> ad hoc annual committees) who visit<br />

<strong>Lourdes</strong> may well get caught up in <strong>the</strong> awe <strong>and</strong> excitement of <strong>the</strong> pilgrimage. It is a known fact<br />

that eyewitness testim<strong>on</strong>y is often unreliable 14 . Moreover, <strong>the</strong> medical report published by <strong>the</strong><br />

Bureau has been criticized by o<strong>the</strong>r medical specialists as being unreliable <strong>and</strong> defective. Given<br />

<strong>the</strong>se factors <strong>and</strong> mostly <strong>the</strong> last observati<strong>on</strong>, if we apply <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>on</strong>d crucial principle from<br />

above, we can c<strong>on</strong>clude that <strong>the</strong> falsehood or unreliability of <strong>the</strong> testim<strong>on</strong>y is “not more<br />

miraculous than <strong>the</strong> fact which it endeavours to establish”. In o<strong>the</strong>r words, extraordinary claims<br />

require extraordinary evidence, in this case <strong>the</strong> evidence being incomplete <strong>and</strong> dubious 15 .<br />

In c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>, we can admit, using <str<strong>on</strong>g>Hume</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s a priori argument, that <strong>the</strong> testim<strong>on</strong>y given in<br />

<strong>the</strong> Micheli case does not c<strong>on</strong>stitute a proof, but has <strong>on</strong>ly a low probability, due to <strong>the</strong> fact that<br />

<strong>the</strong> occurrence of <strong>the</strong> same event took place at least <strong>on</strong>ce before, <strong>and</strong> so it does not violate <strong>the</strong><br />

laws of nature; <strong>and</strong> also that <strong>the</strong> report in itself suffers from a defective procedure <strong>and</strong> is<br />

probably highly biased by pers<strong>on</strong>al expectati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>and</strong> perceptual limits 16 . So <strong>the</strong>re is a high<br />

probability that <strong>the</strong> event reported is not a miracle.<br />

This work was possible with <strong>the</strong> financial support of <strong>the</strong> Sectoral Operati<strong>on</strong>al Programme<br />

for Human Resources Development 2007-2013, co-financed by <strong>the</strong> European Social Fund, under<br />

<strong>the</strong> project number POSDRU/107/1.5/S/77946 with <strong>the</strong> title „Doctorate: an Attractive Research<br />

Career ”.<br />

14 See E. F. Loftus, “Eyewitnesses: Essential but Unreliable,” Psychology Today (Feb 1984), apud Kurtz, 1991.<br />

15 This doesn’t mean that we have to reject <strong>on</strong> a priori grounds a report of an event c<strong>on</strong>sidered miraculous.<br />

Anomalous events do occur in nature all <strong>the</strong> time <strong>and</strong> is not practical to reject <strong>the</strong>m out of h<strong>and</strong>.<br />

16 The fact that <strong>the</strong> Church called it a “miracle” is immaterial to our questi<strong>on</strong>. The Church <strong>on</strong>ly gave its own<br />

explanati<strong>on</strong>, <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> basis of a doctrine, which doesn’t mean that this is <strong>the</strong> explanati<strong>on</strong>. The fact that we d<strong>on</strong>’t<br />

underst<strong>and</strong> a phenomen<strong>on</strong> now is not <strong>on</strong>ly an indicati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>the</strong> possibility that it is a miracle, but it is at least an<br />

indicati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>the</strong> fact that our present scientific knowledge has no way to or didn’t establish <strong>the</strong> causes.

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