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Hume on miracles and the Lourdes phenomenon Alexandru Anghel

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eas<strong>on</strong>ing:<br />

(a) <str<strong>on</strong>g>Hume</str<strong>on</strong>g> begins his argument by a cauti<strong>on</strong>ary remark c<strong>on</strong>sidering <strong>the</strong> fallibility of causal<br />

Though experience be our <strong>on</strong>ly guide in reas<strong>on</strong>ing c<strong>on</strong>cerning matters of fact; it must be<br />

acknowledged, that this guide is not altoge<strong>the</strong>r infallible, but in some cases is apt to lead us into<br />

errors. . . . All effects follow not with like certainty from <strong>the</strong>ir supposed causes. Some events are<br />

found, in all countries <strong>and</strong> all ages, to have been c<strong>on</strong>stantly c<strong>on</strong>joined toge<strong>the</strong>r: O<strong>the</strong>rs are<br />

found to have been more variable, <strong>and</strong> sometimes to disappoint our expectati<strong>on</strong>s; so that, in our<br />

reas<strong>on</strong>ings c<strong>on</strong>cerning matter of fact, <strong>the</strong>re are all imaginable degrees of assurance, from <strong>the</strong><br />

highest certainty to <strong>the</strong> lowest species of moral evidence (<str<strong>on</strong>g>Hume</str<strong>on</strong>g>, [1748]2007:110).<br />

The “degrees o assurance” menti<strong>on</strong>ed by <str<strong>on</strong>g>Hume</str<strong>on</strong>g> in this passage refer to events in our<br />

experience that have a higher or <strong>the</strong> highest degree of certainty, for example <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong><br />

chair I sat <strong>on</strong> a few minutes ago will not break down if I sit <strong>on</strong> it now (an event with a high<br />

degree of probability) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> fact that sun will rise tomorrow morning (an event with <strong>the</strong> highest<br />

degree of probability); <strong>and</strong> events which “represent <strong>the</strong> lowest species of moral evidence”, moral<br />

evidence referring here to undetectable human motivati<strong>on</strong>s. The latter category comprehends<br />

different testim<strong>on</strong>ies <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> kind of experience that is c<strong>on</strong>trary to <strong>the</strong> order of things observed,<br />

for example <strong>the</strong> sightings of an UFO.<br />

So, for <str<strong>on</strong>g>Hume</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>re is no absolute certainty that <strong>the</strong> chair will not broke down or even that<br />

<strong>the</strong> sun will rise tomorrow. There is no rati<strong>on</strong>al guarantee that <strong>the</strong> world as we know it now will<br />

be <strong>the</strong> same way in <strong>the</strong> next minute. All our beliefs about our mind, our body <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> world are<br />

based <strong>on</strong> past experience, our own past experience – though this last idea in not quite exact,<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidering <strong>the</strong> fact that not all our underst<strong>and</strong>ing of <strong>the</strong> world is derived <strong>on</strong>ly from our<br />

experience: we learn also form <strong>the</strong> experiences of o<strong>the</strong>rs (for example, if we didn’t learn from<br />

“And what have we to oppose to such a cloud of witnesses, but <strong>the</strong> absolute impossibility or miraculous nature of<br />

<strong>the</strong> events, which <strong>the</strong>y relate? And this surely, in <strong>the</strong> eyes of all reas<strong>on</strong>able people, will al<strong>on</strong>e be regarded as a<br />

sufficient refutati<strong>on</strong>.” (<str<strong>on</strong>g>Hume</str<strong>on</strong>g>, [1748]2007: 125) According to this interpretati<strong>on</strong>, we must ei<strong>the</strong>r discard <strong>the</strong> law <strong>and</strong><br />

admit that such a law of nature is inexistent since it was falsified, or reformulate it to include <strong>the</strong> new facts<br />

discovered. Or we could simply deny <strong>the</strong> possibility of <strong>the</strong> alleged miracle (see Flew 1961:186-187, 200-209). This<br />

interpretati<strong>on</strong> totally discards <str<strong>on</strong>g>Hume</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s enterprise in secti<strong>on</strong> X of his Enquiry C<strong>on</strong>cerning Human Underst<strong>and</strong>ing, in<br />

which, as we shall see, he tries to probe <strong>and</strong> asses <strong>the</strong> trustworthiness of <strong>the</strong> particular sort of testim<strong>on</strong>y which is<br />

invoked in favor of <strong>miracles</strong>.

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