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Spatial dynamics of teak defoliator (Hyblaea puera Cramer) - Cochin ...

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4.2.3. Correlation between outbreak incidence and topographic features<br />

The correlation between the defoliation frequency map with the topographic<br />

layers <strong>of</strong> elevation and aspect was calculated. For each pair <strong>of</strong> layers the<br />

covariance was calculated using the formula provided by ARCIINFO<br />

(Anonymous, 1995).<br />

4.3. RESULTS<br />

4.3.1. Outbreak pattern, 1992<br />

The sequence <strong>of</strong> outbreaks during the year 1992 is given in Table 4.2 and Fig.I.<br />

Systematic observations at Kariem Muriem were started in June, but prior to this,<br />

in April, an outbreak was detected at a small patch. Since the area was not<br />

estimated, this outbreak was excluded from the spatial analysis. It is not known<br />

whether similar outbreaks occurred at other places before June. The first outbreak<br />

after the start <strong>of</strong>the study period occurred on 13 June at two distinct patches. An<br />

area <strong>of</strong> 1.8 ha was totally defoliated during this infestation. The subsequent<br />

outbreak on 7 July occurred at three distinct patches and extended to an area <strong>of</strong><br />

97.8 ha. Both the above said infestations occurred in different grids. Egg-laying<br />

was restricted to the top level <strong>of</strong>canopy in both the instances.<br />

During the first fortnight <strong>of</strong> August, a new infestation was recorded in an<br />

area <strong>of</strong> 10.5 ha. There were two distinct patches quite close to the sites <strong>of</strong>the first<br />

outbreak. Two days later, a larger area <strong>of</strong> 111.3 ha was infested. There were two<br />

infestations in September. The first extended to an area <strong>of</strong> 35.8 ha while the<br />

second to an area <strong>of</strong> 131.8 ha. A major infestation covering an area <strong>of</strong> 169.6 ha<br />

occurred during the first fortnight <strong>of</strong> October. The last infestation during the year<br />

was on 14 October covering a total area <strong>of</strong>21.4 ha.<br />

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