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Spatial dynamics of teak defoliator (Hyblaea puera Cramer) - Cochin ...

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2. At a still lower regional scale (for example the Indian Subcontinent) there is<br />

a directional progression <strong>of</strong> outbreaks, which seems to be linked with the<br />

movement <strong>of</strong>monsoon wind system.<br />

3. At the local level (like the <strong>teak</strong> plantations <strong>of</strong> Nilambur), outbreaks occur<br />

only during some part <strong>of</strong> the year. During the outbreak period, infestations<br />

originate in a few small epicentres. Later, outbreaks spread td larger and<br />

larger areas. While most <strong>of</strong> the outbreaks could be caused by previous<br />

outbreaks, a few are not so. During the final phase <strong>of</strong> the outbreak period, a<br />

few outbreaks occur that can only be explained either as caused by long­<br />

range migration <strong>of</strong> moths or by aggregation <strong>of</strong> moths from the endemic<br />

population. After this, the population density remains low until the next year<br />

when the sequence <strong>of</strong> outbreaks is repeated. Thus, the <strong>teak</strong> <strong>defoliator</strong><br />

displays population cycles at a frequency <strong>of</strong>one year.<br />

Various explanatory hypotheses have been proposed for the <strong>dynamics</strong><br />

<strong>of</strong> forest lepidoptera that exhibit population cycles (Myers, 1988). These<br />

include:<br />

a) Variation in insect quality: Chitty (1967) proposed that density-<br />

related selection on genetically controlled variation in behaviour and<br />

physiology <strong>of</strong> animals could provide the basis for self regulation <strong>of</strong><br />

populations. Experimental pro<strong>of</strong> is still non-existent for this hypothesis<br />

(Myers, 1988).<br />

b) Climatic release hypothesis: Uvarov (1931) and Andrewartha<br />

and Birch (1954) proposed that weather and climate are major controlling<br />

factors <strong>of</strong> insect abundance. Climate can cause direct and indirect impact on<br />

population size, but the hypothesis remains untestable due to the difficulty in<br />

. differentiating the impact due to climate from that caused by other factors<br />

(Myers, 1998).<br />

90

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