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Fundamentals of epidemiology - an evolving text - Are you looking ...

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MAIN POINTS<br />

Confounding is a distortion or misattribution <strong>of</strong> effect to a particular study factor. It results<br />

from noncomparability <strong>of</strong> a comparison group.<br />

A confounder is a determin<strong>an</strong>t <strong>of</strong> the outcome or its detection, or possibly a correlate <strong>of</strong> a<br />

determin<strong>an</strong>t, that is unequally distributed between groups being compared.<br />

A determin<strong>an</strong>t <strong>of</strong> the disease should appear as <strong>an</strong> independent risk factor, i.e., not one whose<br />

association with disease results from its association with the study factor.<br />

A potential confounder (i.e., a disease determin<strong>an</strong>t) need not be <strong>an</strong> actual confounder – <strong>an</strong><br />

actual confounder must be associated with the study factor.<br />

Confounding c<strong>an</strong> be controlled in the study design <strong>an</strong>d/or <strong>an</strong>alysis.<br />

Control through the study design is accomplished through restriction, matching<br />

(prestratification), or r<strong>an</strong>domization.<br />

Control in the <strong>an</strong>alysis is accomplished through stratified <strong>an</strong>alysis <strong>an</strong>d/or mathematical<br />

modeling.<br />

Adequacy <strong>of</strong> control is compromised by errors in the conceptualization, measurement,<br />

coding, <strong>an</strong>d model specification for potential confounders.<br />

Confounding deals with "guilt" or "innocence"; effect modification deals with "conspiracy".<br />

Discovery that <strong>an</strong> association arises from confounding does not make it less "real", but does<br />

ch<strong>an</strong>ge its interpretation.<br />

The crude association is real <strong>an</strong>d for some purposes is the relev<strong>an</strong>t measure.<br />

_____________________________________________________________________________________________<br />

www.epidemiolog.net, © Victor J. Schoenbach 2000 11. Multicausality: Confounding - 369<br />

rev. 10/28/2000, 11/2/2000, 5/11/2001

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