Long-term Forecast of Medicaid Enrollment Spending in Alaska:

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Table 13: Forecast of Nominal Spending by Service Category (in millions) Appendix C Calendar Year Annual % Change Service 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 Dental $32.6 $46.6 $64.0 $83.9 $106.6 6.1% DME/Supplies $16.2 $22.4 $30.7 $41.1 $53.8 6.2% EPSDT $0.029 $0.020 $0.014 $0.010 $0.006 -7.3% Family Planning $0.29 $0.36 $0.44 $0.53 $0.65 4.1% HCB Waiver $165.2 $262.5 $397.5 $571.1 $778.3 8.1% Health Clinic $36.2 $56.7 $82.7 $112.8 $147.5 7.2% Home Health/Hospice $1.6 $2.3 $3.1 $4.2 $5.5 6.5% Inpatient Hospital $158.1 $191.4 $226.7 $262.0 $298.4 3.2% Inpatient Psychiatric $16.5 $21.6 $27.8 $34.7 $42.4 4.8% Lab/X-ray $1.7 $2.0 $2.4 $2.8 $3.2 3.1% Nursing Home $81.4 $97.2 $120.0 $148.8 $178.5 4.0% Outpatient Hospital $97.0 $129.9 $170.0 $215.8 $269.9 5.2% Outpatient Mental Health $84.2 $105.5 $132.0 $160.8 $192.6 4.2% Personal Care $83.9 $141.8 $219.8 $315.2 $420.2 8.4% Pharmacy $77.2 $102.0 $132.1 $167.3 $208.5 5.1% Physician/Practitioner $97.2 $128.9 $167.2 $210.5 $261.5 5.1% Residential Psychiatric/BRC $53.5 $77.6 $102.5 $124.0 $141.7 5.0% Therapy/Rehabilitation $22.2 $32.2 $45.6 $61.4 $79.3 6.6% Transportation $52.4 $72.9 $98.9 $128.9 $164.2 5.9% Vision $4.4 $6.8 $9.9 $13.6 $17.8 7.2% Total Spending $1,081.8 $1,500.5 $2,033.4 $2,659.4 $3,370.8 5.8% Note: Spending is for claims payments only. Long Term Forecast of Medicaid Enrollment and Spending in Alaska: 2009‐2029 29
Appendix C Table 14: Forecast of Real Spending by Subpopulations (in millions of 2009 dollars) 2009 2014 Calendar Year 2019 2024 2029 Percent Change State $1,081.8 $1,259.1 $1,411.3 Gender $1,527.1 $1,598.3 2.0% Male $469.3 $548.8 $617.3 $667.3 $695.8 2.0% Female $612.4 $710.2 $794.0 $859.7 $902.5 2.0% Native Status Native $364.6 $422.7 $472.8 $510.5 $536.1 1.9% Non-Native $717.2 $836.4 $938.5 Region $1,016.5 $1,062.2 2.0% Northern $122.8 $144.6 $161.7 $174.0 $181.6 2.0% Western $123.0 $143.5 $161.2 $175.2 $186.1 2.1% South Central $157.8 $180.4 $198.5 $210.0 $213.1 1.5% Anchorage/Mat-Su $553.5 $653.1 $744.9 $820.5 $872.5 2.3% Southeast $124.7 $137.5 $145.1 $147.3 $145.0 0.8% Age Group 0-4 $146.1 $168.5 $180.8 $181.9 $177.5 1.0% 5-9 $63.7 $73.0 $79.6 $80.9 $77.9 1.0% 10-14 $97.0 $112.6 $120.9 $124.8 $121.6 1.1% 15-19 $140.0 $145.6 $157.1 $159.0 $156.9 0.6% 20-24 $66.4 $72.6 $71.9 $76.4 $78.5 0.8% 25-34 $97.9 $122.2 $139.3 $138.6 $136.5 1.7% 35-44 $91.9 $97.5 $107.4 $123.3 $131.2 1.8% 45-54 $109.2 $108.2 $102.2 $99.9 $102.8 -0.3% 55-64 $89.4 $112.3 $118.5 $107.4 $93.0 2.0% 65-74 $63.5 $97.7 $136.1 $158.8 $156.2 4.6% 75+ $116.8 $148.4 $197.5 $276.2 $366.3 5.9% Note: Spending is for claims payments only. Long Term Forecast of Medicaid Enrollment and Spending in Alaska: 2009‐2029 30
Page 1: Long-term Forecast of Medicaid Enro
Page 4 and 5: TABLE OF FIGURES Figure 1: Total Me
Page 6 and 7: Executive Summary Executive Summary
Page 8 and 9: Introduction Introduction This repo
Page 10 and 11: Summary of Methodology Since the fe
Page 12 and 13: Alaska Medicaid Forecast: 2009‐20
Page 14 and 15: Enrollment after 2019, the growth r
Page 16 and 17: Enrollment Cash, which are projecte
Page 18 and 19: Total Medicaid Claims Spending $1.1
Page 20 and 21: Total Medicaid Claims Spending Figu
Page 22 and 23: Total Medicaid Claims Spending Figu
Page 24 and 25: State Claims Spending Alaska benefi
Page 26 and 27: Summary in later years 10. The spec
Page 28 and 29: Appendix B: Medicaid Service Catego
Page 30 and 31: Appendix C Table 8: Forecast of Enr
Page 32 and 33: Table 11: Forecast of Utilization b
Page 36 and 37: Appendix C Table 15: Forecast of Re
Page 38: Long-term Forecast of Medicaid Enro

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