Long-term Forecast of Medicaid Enrollment Spending in Alaska:

Appendix C
Table 15: Forecast of Real Spending by Service Category (in millions of 2009 dollars)
Calendar Year Annual %
Change
Service 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029
Dental $32.6 $39.1 $44.4 $48.2 $50.5 2.2%
DME/Supplies $16.2 $18.8 $21.3 $23.6 $25.5 2.3%
EPSDT $0.029 $0.017 $0.010 $0.006 $0.003 -10.7%
Family Planning $0.29 $0.30 $0.30 $0.30 $.031 0.3%
HCB Waiver $165.2 $220.2 $275.9 $327.9 $369.0 4.1%
Health Clinic $36.2 $47.6 $57.4 $64.8 $70.0 3.4%
Home Health/Hospice $1.6 $1.9 $2.2 $2.4 $2.6 2.6%
Inpatient Hospital $158.1 $160.6 $157.4 $150.4 $141.5 -0.6%
Inpatient Psychiatric $16.5 $18.1 $19.3 $19.9 $20.1 1.0%
Lab/X-ray $1.7 $1.7 $1.7 $1.6 $1.5 -0.6%
Nursing Home $81.4 $81.6 $83.3 $85.5 $84.6 0.2%
Outpatient Hospital $97.0 $109.0 $118.0 $123.9 $128.0 1.4%
Outpatient Mental Health $84.2 $88.5 $91.6 $92.4 $91.3 0.4%
Personal Care $83.9 $118.9 $152.6 $181.0 $199.3 4.4%
Pharmacy $77.2 $85.5 $91.7 $96.0 $98.8 1.2%
Physician/Practitioner $97.2 $108.2 $116.0 $120.9 $124.0 1.2%
Residential Psychiatric/BRC $53.5 $65.1 $71.1 $71.2 $67.2 1.1%
Therapy/Rehabilitation $22.2 $27.0 $31.7 $35.2 $37.6 2.7%
Transportation $52.4 $61.2 $68.6 $74.0 $77.9 2.0%
Vision $4.4 $5.7 $6.9 $7.8 $8.4 3.3%
Total Spending $1,081.8 $1,259.1 $1,411.3 $1,527.1 $1,598.3 2.0%
Note: Spending is for claims payments only.
Table 16: Forecast of State Spending by Service Category (in millions)
Calendar Year Annual %
Change
Service 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029
Dental $10.5 $17.5 $24.1 $31.5 $40.1 6.9%
DME/Supplies $6.8 $11.1 $15.3 $20.4 $26.7 7.1%
EPSDT $0.012 $0.010 $0.007 $0.005 $0.003 -6.5%
Family Planning $0.26 $0.33 $0.40 $0.49 $0.59 4.2%
HCB Waiver $67.6 $127.2 $192.6 $276.7 $377.1 4.4%
Health Clinic $2.7 $5.0 $7.4 $10.0 $13.1 8.2%
Home Health/Hospice $0.6 $1.0 $1.3 $1.8 $2.4 7.3%
Inpatient Hospital $49.6 $70.9 $84.0 $97.0 $110.5 4.1%
Inpatient Psychiatric $6.9 $10.6 $13.6 $17.0 $20.8 5.7%
Lab/X-ray $0.7 $1.0 $1.2 $1.4 $1.6 4.0%
Nursing Home $32.6 $46.1 $56.9 $70.5 $84.6 4.9%
Outpatient Hospital $26.1 $41.0 $53.7 $68.1 $85.2 6.1%
Outpatient Mental Health $32.2 $47.5 $59.4 $72.4 $86.7 5.1%
Personal Care $35.4 $70.8 $109.7 $157.3 $209.7 9.3%
Pharmacy $27.4 $42.6 $55.2 $69.8 $87.0 6.0%
Physician/Practitioner $35.9 $56.0 $72.6 $91.4 $113.5 5.9%
Residential Psychiatric/BRC $22.1 $37.6 $49.7 $60.2 $68.7 5.8%
Therapy/Rehabilitation $8.5 $14.6 $20.7 $27.9 $36.0 7.5%
Transportation $18.3 $30.1 $40.8 $53.2 $67.8 6.8%
Vision $1.8 $3.3 $4.8 $6.5 $8.6 8.0%
Total Spending $386.1 $634.1 $863.2 $1,133.8 $1,440.8 6.8%
Note: Spending is for claims payments only.
Long Term Forecast of Medicaid Enrollment and Spending in Alaska: 2009‐2029
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