<strong>Common</strong> <strong>Sense</strong> <strong>101</strong>: <strong>Engineering</strong> Tabula Rasa. Page 64
Y 32. Autopilot ou know that airliners have an autopilot, right? The point is, basically, that there’s no point in burdening humans with more tasks than they need to carry out. It’s worked splendidly till now. Airline flying is the safest mode of transportation in the world, thanks at least partly to autopilots. Airline pilots are notorious for suffering from jet lag, and I’m sure autopilots have saved many a passenger from a pilot’s drowsiness. This happens to small-plane pilots too. One small-plane pilot, Bill Cox, writes in “Plane & Pilot” magazine, online at http://tinyurl.com/7kls6qm: I fell asleep on [a] 600-mile flight […], somewhere over the Colorado River. I overflew the LA Basin and woke up out over the Pacific, about 50 miles southwest of Catalina Island. Fortunately, I had plenty of fuel and a good autopilot, and was able to reverse course and return to the coast without problems. He adds: “It may seem counterintuitive for macho pilots, but an autopilot will nearly always do a better job than you will”. Okay. So why isn’t this system used more extensively? Consider cars, which crash—and I’m not kidding—millions of times every year in North America alone. According to http://www.car-accidents.com/pages/stats.html, There were nearly 6,420,000 auto accidents in the United States in 2005. The financial cost of these crashes is more than 230 Billion dollars. 2.9 million people were injured and 42,636 people killed. About 115 people die every day in vehicle crashes in the United States—one death every 13 minutes. And the figures are rising every year! Is this appalling or what. It’s ten times the rate of fatal workplace injuries—according to the “Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries”, August 25, 2011, http://www.bls.gov/iif/: The preliminary count of fatal work injuries in the U.S. in 2010 was 4,547, about the same as the final total of 4,551 in 2009. Today cars that will parallel-park themselves—without crashing into nearby cars, mind you!—are available to the mainstream buyer: so what could be so hard to prevent them crashing into other cars while being driven normally? One extremely easy way to do this would be to mandate a wi-fi transceiver in every car—just as seatbelts and airbags are mandated. Each car would communicate with cars in its vicinity, and a mandated computer installed along with the wi-fi would apply the brakes well before any collision could take place. Even if the cost of wi-fi-plus-computer, and all their peripherals, is as high as $2,000 per car—which is what a very good laptop with built-in wi-fi costs—the annual total would be a pittance: only $11 billion or so (since about 5.5 million cars are sold in the United States every year). Compare that with twenty times as much, $230 billion, which car crashes cost the US economy every year (and that was in 2005—now it’s probably higher). And that’s not even counting the lives saved and suffering prevented. Not a bad trade, is it? (Yeah, I know what you’re going to say: it’s not your job, it’s the legislators’. Sure it is, but they’re not going to do anything until engineers show them it can be done, are they? They don’t know what’s possible and what isn’t, engineering-wise. It’s for you to make them aware of the possibilities!) But there’s more. The principle behind the autopilot can be used even more effectively: not merely to control a gadget, but also to enable it to adjust, repair, restore and upgrade itself automatically. Take for instance computers. When computers break down it’s mostly due to a software issue, not a hardware one —except for a few things like hard disks crashing or screen pixels going dead. (And hard disks are soon going to go the way of the floppy, being replaced by solid state drives; and screens pixels going dead are becoming more and more of a rarity.) There’s absolutely no reason, therefore, for a computer not to run a software diagnostic test on itself every now and then, and repair any burgeoning problems automatically. If something is causing the computer to slow down or lag, for example, it could run the necessary diagnostic, download the repair software from the Internet, and install it automatically. A similar thing could apply to cars, most of which are already have a computer to control actuators in the engine to ensure optimum running. The car’s computer could easily be beefed up to do a running diagnosis of the car, and whenever something is getting out of whack, the driver could be alerted well before serious damage takes place, so that the car could be taken in and the problem fixed at relatively Page 65
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