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ESRB RISK DASHBOARD - European Systemic Risk Board - Europa

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2.7 Credit default swap premia on sovereign debt in selected EU countries<br />

(1 July 2008 - 28 Feb. 2013; basis points)<br />

40000<br />

20000<br />

1800<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Germany<br />

Spain<br />

0<br />

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

<strong>ESRB</strong> risk dashboard 1 M a r c h 2 0 1 3<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream and CMA.<br />

Note: Greek CDSs were not traded between 9 March (credit event) and 11 April 2012.<br />

2.8 Sovereign debt redemptions<br />

(Mar. 2013 - Feb. 2014; EUR billions; percentages)<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

- -<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Greece<br />

Netherlands<br />

Poland<br />

Portugal<br />

Sweden<br />

to be redeemed in the next 1-3 months (left-hand scale)<br />

to be redeemed in the next 4-12 months (left-hand scale)<br />

to be redeemed in the next 1-12 months as a percentage of 2013 GDP (right-hand scale)<br />

euro area, to be redeemed in the next 1-12 months as a percentage of 2013 GDP (right-hand scale)<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

- -<br />

- -<br />

United Kingdom<br />

DE FR IT ES UK BE NL GR AT PL PT SE DK HU IE CZ FI RO SK CY LU LT SI MT BG LV EE<br />

Sources: ECB and ECB calculations; <strong>European</strong> Commission forecast for GDP.<br />

Notes: Redemption schedules refer to tradable debt securities only (loans are excluded), including debt issued in a currency other than the domestic one.<br />

Debt redemptions denominated in currencies other than euro are converted into euro at current exchange rates. For Cyprus, a special-purpose bond with a<br />

one-year maturity amounting to EUR 1.88 billion, issued in June 2012 with the aim of improving the capital position of the banking sector, was excluded,<br />

since it is automatically renewed for a period of up to five years unless exchanged for cash.<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

40000<br />

20000<br />

0<br />

1800<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

9<br />

6<br />

3<br />

- - - 0<br />

24<br />

21<br />

18<br />

15<br />

12<br />

11

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