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ESRB RISK DASHBOARD - European Systemic Risk Board - Europa

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5.3 Price/earnings ratio of equity indices, broken down<br />

by sector<br />

(1 Jan. 1999 - 28 Feb. 2013) (4 Jan. 1999 - 28 Feb. 2013)<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

EU non-financial corporations<br />

EU main index<br />

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012<br />

<strong>ESRB</strong> risk dashboard 1 M a r c h 2 0 1 3<br />

EU banking sector<br />

EU insurance sector<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

5.4 Short-term interest rates - implied volatility:<br />

three months - one year<br />

280<br />

260<br />

240<br />

220<br />

200<br />

180<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

EUR SWPT ATM BVOL 3M1Y<br />

GBP Swaption 3M1Y<br />

USD Swaption 3M1Y<br />

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012<br />

Source: Thomson Reuters. Source: Bloomberg.<br />

Note: Volatility is implied by at-the-money swaption prices observed in the market.<br />

5.5 Long-term interest rates - implied volatility:<br />

three months - ten years<br />

5.6 Exchange rate volatility<br />

(4 Jan. 1999 - 28 Feb. 2013) (1 Jan. 1999 - 28 Feb. 2013)<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

EUR SWPT ATM BVOL 3M10Y<br />

GBP Swaption 3M10Y<br />

USD Swaption 3M10Y<br />

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012<br />

Source: Bloomberg.<br />

Note: Volatility is implied by at-the-money swaption prices observed in the market.<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

EUR-USD EUR-JPY USD-JPY<br />

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012<br />

Source: Bloomberg.<br />

Note: Volatility is implied by at-the-money option prices observed in the market<br />

for major currencies, based on three-month maturity.<br />

280<br />

260<br />

240<br />

220<br />

200<br />

180<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

25

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