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WILL A FUZZY EXPERT SYSTEM WORK FOR MY PROBLEM? 321 Figure 9.15 Rules for mortgage loan assessment To evaluate and analyse the performance of a fuzzy system, we can use the output surface viewer provided by the Fuzzy Logic Toolbox. Figures 9.17 and 9.18 represent three-dimensional plots of the fuzzy system for mortgage loan assessment. Finally, the mortgage experts would try the system with several test cases. Decision-support fuzzy systems may include dozens, and even hundreds, of rules. For example, a fuzzy system for credit-risk evaluation developed by BMW
322 KNOWLEDGE ENGINEERING AND DATA MINING Figure 9.16 Hierarchical fuzzy model for mortgage loan assessment Bank and Inform Software used 413 fuzzy rules (Güllich, 1996). Large knowledge bases are usually divided into several modules in a manner similar to that shown in Figure 9.16. In spite of the often large number of rules, decision-support fuzzy systems can be developed, tested and implemented relatively quickly. For instance, it took just two person-years to develop and implement the fuzzy system for credit-risk evaluation. Compare this effort with the 40 person-years it took to develop MYCIN. Figure 9.17 Three-dimensional plots for Rule Base 1 and Rule Base 2
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MICHAEL NEGNEVITSKY Artificial Inte
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We work with leading authors to dev
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Pearson Education Limited Edinburgh
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Contents Preface Preface to the sec
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CONTENTS ix 7 Evolutionary computat
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Preface ‘The only way not to succ
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PREFACE xiii In Chapter 3, we prese
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Prefacetothesecondedition The main
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Introduction to knowledgebased inte
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INTELLIGENT MACHINES 3 Figure 1.1 T
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THE HISTORY OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGE
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SUMMARY 17 Although fuzzy systems a
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SUMMARY 19 Table 1.1 Period A summa
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QUESTIONS FOR REVIEW 21 or fuzzy se
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REFERENCES 23 Kosko, B. (1997). Fuz
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Rule-based expert systems 2 In whic
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RULES AS A KNOWLEDGE REPRESENTATION
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THE MAIN PLAYERS IN THE EXPERT SYST
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STRUCTURE OF A RULE-BASED EXPERT SY
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FUNDAMENTAL CHARACTERISTICS OF AN E
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FORWARD AND BACKWARD CHAINING INFER
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MEDIA ADVISOR: A DEMONSTRATION RULE
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MEDIA ADVISOR: A DEMONSTRATION RULE
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MEDIA: A DEMONSTRATION RULE-BASED E
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CONFLICT RESOLUTION 47 Does MEDIA A
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CONFLICT RESOLUTION 49 . Fire the m
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SUMMARY 51 . Dealing with incomplet
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QUESTIONS FOR REVIEW 53 . Expert sy
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Uncertainty management in rule-base
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BASIC PROBABILITY THEORY 57 Table 3
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BASIC PROBABILITY THEORY 59 single
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BAYESIAN REASONING 61 Figure 3.1 Th
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BAYESIAN REASONING 63 places an eno
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FORECAST: BAYESIAN ACCUMULATION OF
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BIAS OF THE BAYESIAN METHOD 73 Doma
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CERTAINTY FACTORS THEORY AND EVIDEN
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FORECAST: AN APPLICATION OF CERTAIN
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SUMMARY 83 team also could assume t
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REFERENCES 85 . Both Bayesian reaso
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Fuzzy expert systems 4 In which we
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FUZZY SETS 89 Range of logical valu
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FUZZY SETS 91 Figure 4.2 Crisp (a)
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FUZZY SETS 93 Figure 4.3 Crisp (a)
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LINGUISTIC VARIABLES AND HEDGES 95
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OPERATIONS OF FUZZY SETS 97 Table 4
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OPERATIONS OF FUZZY SETS 99 Similar
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OPERATIONS OF FUZZY SETS 101 Figure
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FUZZY RULES 103 Example: NOT (tall
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FUZZY RULES 105 Figure 4.9 Monotoni
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FUZZY INFERENCE 107 determined by f
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FUZZY INFERENCE 109 However, the OR
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FUZZY INFERENCE 111 Step 4: Defuzzi
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FUZZY INFERENCE 113 Figure 4.15 The
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BUILDING A FUZZY EXPERT SYSTEM 115
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SUMMARY 125 4.8 Summary In this cha
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 127 9 What is clipping
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 129 Zadeh, L.A. (1975)
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132 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS Figu
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134 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS of a
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136 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS - -
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140 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS and
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142 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS such
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146 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS valu
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150 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS In a
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156 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS illu
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158 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS Area
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160 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS ) On
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162 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS The
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164 FRAME-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS Bibl
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166 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS What
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168 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS Tabl
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170 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS Figu
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172 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS Step
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174 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS In F
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176 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS Why
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178 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS To p
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180 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS (b)
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182 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS Then
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184 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS The
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192 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS In o
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194 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS wher
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198 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS In t
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200 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS Ther
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204 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS Here
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206 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS The
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214 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS phys
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216 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS 10 D
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Evolutionary computation 7 In which
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SIMULATION OF NATURAL EVOLUTION 221
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GENETIC ALGORITHMS 223 Figure 7.2 A
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GENETIC ALGORITHMS 225 Figure 7.3 T
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GENETIC ALGORITHMS 227 Figure 7.5 T
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GENETIC ALGORITHMS 229 When necessa
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GENETIC ALGORITHMS 231 A surface of
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WHY GENETIC ALGORITHMS WORK 233 m x
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MAINTENANCE SCHEDULING WITH GENETIC
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EVOLUTION STRATEGIES 243 Define a s
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GENETIC PROGRAMMING 245 Which metho
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GENETIC PROGRAMMING 247 Table 7.3 T
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GENETIC PROGRAMMING 249 Figure 7.15
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QUESTIONS FOR REVIEW 255 . Evolutio
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 257 Whitley, L.D. (199
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260 HYBRID INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS repr
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262 HYBRID INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS enti
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264 HYBRID INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS Figu
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266 HYBRID INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS Now
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268 HYBRID INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS Figu
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Page 317 and 318: 298 HYBRID INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS 4 De
Page 320 and 321: Knowledge engineering and data mini
Page 322 and 323: INTRODUCTION, OR WHAT IS KNOWLEDGE
Page 328 and 329: WILL AN EXPERT SYSTEM WORK FOR MY P
Page 336 and 337: WILL A FUZZY EXPERT SYSTEM WORK FOR
Page 338 and 339: WILL A FUZZY EXPERT SYSTEM WORK FOR
Page 342 and 343: WILL A NEURAL NETWORK WORK FOR MY P
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Page 368 and 369: DATA MINING AND KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY
Page 380 and 381: SUMMARY 361 9.8 Summary In this cha
Page 382 and 383: REFERENCES 363 7 Why are fuzzy syst
Page 384 and 385: Glossary The glossary entries are c
Page 386 and 387: GLOSSARY 367 Back-propagation see B
Page 388 and 389: GLOSSARY 369 Clipping A common meth
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GLOSSARY 371 amounts of data in ord
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GLOSSARY 373 Evolution strategy A n
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GLOSSARY 375 Fuzzy rule A condition
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GLOSSARY 377 Heuristic search A sea
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GLOSSARY 379 Knowledge base A basic
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GLOSSARY 381 Method A procedure ass
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GLOSSARY 383 Output layer The last
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GLOSSARY 385 Roulette wheel selecti
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GLOSSARY 387 the network differs fr
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GLOSSARY 389 determines the strengt
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392 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS EXSYS, Inc
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394 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS M.4 A powe
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396 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS CynapSys,
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398 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS 215 Parkwa
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400 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS text files
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402 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS TransferTe
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404 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS La Jolla,
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406 AI TOOLS AND VENDORS Fax: +1 (3
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408 INDEX belongs-to 137-8 Berkeley
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410 INDEX fuzzification 107 fuzzifi
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412 INDEX Mamdani, E. 20, 106 Mamda
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INDEX 415 unsupervised learning 200
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