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AI - a Guide to Intelligent Systems.pdf - Member of EEPIS

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328<br />

KNOWLEDGE ENGINEERING AND DATA MINING<br />

Figure 9.22<br />

examples<br />

Performance evaluation <strong>of</strong> the digit recognition network trained with ‘noisy’<br />

handwritten) document and load it in<strong>to</strong> their computer as an editable file.<br />

Handwritten digit recognition systems are widely used in processing zip codes<br />

on mail envelopes (LeCun et al., 1990).<br />

Case study 5: Prediction neural networks<br />

I want <strong>to</strong> develop an intelligent system for real-estate appraisal. Will a<br />

neural network work for this problem?<br />

Real-estate appraisal is a problem <strong>of</strong> predicting the market value <strong>of</strong> a given house<br />

based on the knowledge <strong>of</strong> the sales prices <strong>of</strong> similar houses. As we mentioned<br />

earlier, this problem can be solved with expert systems as well as neural<br />

networks. Of course, if we choose <strong>to</strong> apply a neural network, we will not be able<br />

<strong>to</strong> understand how an appraisal <strong>of</strong> a particular house is reached – a neural<br />

network is essentially a black-box <strong>to</strong> the user and rules cannot be easily extracted<br />

from it. On the other hand, an accurate appraisal is <strong>of</strong>ten more important than<br />

understanding how it was done.<br />

In this problem, the inputs (the house location, living area, number <strong>of</strong><br />

bedrooms, number <strong>of</strong> bathrooms, land size, type <strong>of</strong> heating system, etc.) are<br />

well-defined, and normally even standardised for sharing the housing market<br />

information between different real estate agencies. The output is also well<br />

defined – we know what we are trying <strong>to</strong> predict. Most importantly, there are<br />

many examples we can use for training the neural network. These examples<br />

are the features <strong>of</strong> recently sold houses and their sales prices.

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