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Flooding South Lebanon - Human Rights Watch

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This does not just mean immediate civilian losses, but also encompasses casualties<br />

over time—it is increasingly accepted that long-term effects should be a factor in<br />

judging the proportionality of cluster munition attacks. The preamble of the final<br />

declaration of the Third Review Conference of the Convention on Conventional<br />

Weapons recognizes “…the foreseeable effects of explosive remnants of war on<br />

civilian populations as a factor to be considered in applying the international<br />

humanitarian law rules on proportionality in attack and precautions in attack.” 48<br />

States parties, including Israel and the United States, adopted this language on<br />

November 17, 2006.<br />

Taking into account both strike and post-strike civilian harm greatly increases the<br />

likelihood that the loss will be excessive in relation to the military advantage,<br />

especially if an attack occurred in a populated area or an area to which people might<br />

return. Based on its field research in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, and Iraq, as well as<br />

<strong>Lebanon</strong>, <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Rights</strong> <strong>Watch</strong> believes that when cluster munitions are used in any<br />

type of populated area, there should be a strong, if rebuttable, presumption that an<br />

attack is disproportionate.<br />

States are legally bound to minimize civilian harm. Taking “all feasible precautions”<br />

to do so entails a legal obligation to choose means and methods of attack that<br />

would minimize harm to civilians, or even to cancel or refrain from attack where the<br />

attack can be expected to cause disproportionate harm to civilians. 49 Given the high<br />

potential for cluster weapons to be disproportionate and indiscriminate, states<br />

should avoid strikes in or near population centers and minimize the long-term<br />

effects of duds.<br />

48 CCW Third Review Conference, “Final Declaration,” p. 4.<br />

49 Protocol I, art. 57(2).<br />

25<br />

<strong>Human</strong> <strong>Rights</strong> <strong>Watch</strong> February 2008

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