SAHR 2007 - Health Systems Trust

Particular findings in relation to deaths caused by communicable
and non-communicable diseases are dealt with under
each section below, but the following key points need to be
made:
➤
although deaths attributed directly to HIV increased
greatly over this period, other deaths could be linked to
HIV, including those from tuberculosis, parasitic diseases
and perhaps malaria;
➤
overall, deaths from infectious diseases were higher
in 2004 than 1997 for both sexes and for every age
group from 15 to 64;
➤
among deaths notified as being non-communicable
in nature, those attributed to “certain disorders of the
immune system” could also be HIV-related; and
➤
a considerable proportion of maternal deaths at
younger ages were also considerably likely to be
HIV-associated.
Table 8:
Mortality indicators by province
EC FS GP KZN LP MP NC NW WC SA
Adult mortality (45q15 – probability of dying between the ages of 15 and 60 years of age)
Burden of disease analysis
a
2000 38.6 42.6 39.3 48.7 39.9 47.5 34.2 42.0 30.8 42.9
2000 female 32.2 35.9 32.7 42.8 33.1 41.3 27.5 35.2 24.1 35.7
2000 male 45.0 49.3 46.0 54.6 46.7 53.8 40.9 48.8 37.5 49.4
ASSA2003 model
b
2006 ASSA2003 58.5 63.7 54.5 71.1 46.9 65.1 44.4 58.5 36.4 56.3
2007 ASSA2003 59.8 64.4 54.7 71.5 47.5 65.1 45.6 59.5 37.2 56.9
2007 ASSA2003 female 54.5 59.6 50.9 67.0 42.2 60.8 41.0 54.5 33.2 52.4
2007 ASSA2003 male 65.1 69.3 58.6 76.1 52.8 69.5 50.3 64.5 41.2 61.5
Life expectancy at birth
Burden of disease analysis
a
2000 56.2 55.1 58.0 51.6 57.1 53.1 60.5 55.9 63.4 55.2
2000 female 59.0 57.9 61.0 53.8 60.1 55.5 63.9 58.8 67.0 58.5
2000 male 53.3 52.4 55.1 49.4 54.3 50.7 57.2 53.1 59.8 52.4
StatsSA
1996 60.4 52.8 59.6 53.0 60.1 53.5 55.6 53.3 60.8 57.0 c
1996 rural - - - - - - - - - 58.0 c
1996 urban - - - - - - - - - 56.2 c
2006 StatsSA - - - - - - - - - 50.7 d
2007 StatsSA - - - - - - - - - 50.0 d
2007 StatsSA female - - - - - - - - - 51.6 d
2007 StatsSA male - - - - - - - - - 48.4 d
ASSA2003 model
b
2006 ASSA2003 48.8 46.7 52.2 43.0 56.0 46.4 57.3 50.2 61.5 50.7
2007 ASSA2003 48.4 46.5 52.2 42.9 55.8 46.5 56.8 49.8 61.2 50.5
2007 ASSA2003 female 50.4 48.1 53.5 44.2 58.1 47.8 59.1 51.4 63.5 52.2
2007 ASSA2003 male 46.5 45.0 50.9 41.7 53.6 45.2 54.7 48.3 59.0 48.9
a Burden of Disease Prov 2000.
b ASSA 2003.
c StatsSA HDI 2001.
d StatsSA Mid-year Estimates.
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