A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit
A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit
A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit
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The weekly transition probability matrices were calculated from the 30-year<br />
series <strong>of</strong> aggregated equivalent <strong>energy</strong> inflows.<br />
4.2.2 SDP representing irrigation as a constraint<br />
The objective was to determine production levels <strong>of</strong> thermal and hydropower<br />
units such as to minimize expected production cost, subject to meeting the<br />
power demand d t and the irrigation demand w t <strong>for</strong> every time step t until the<br />
end <strong>of</strong> the planning horizon T.<br />
Let c be the 1 × I vector <strong>of</strong> constant marginal costs <strong>for</strong> every non-hydro producer<br />
i, and p t a 1 × I vector <strong>of</strong> power production <strong>for</strong> every producer i during<br />
time step t. The recursive SDP equation <strong>of</strong> the optimal value function<br />
F * (E t ,Q t-1 ) can be written as:<br />
é L<br />
l<br />
* k<br />
T<br />
*<br />
æ öù<br />
Ft ( Et, Qt- 1)<br />
= min akl F t+ 1<br />
Et+<br />
1,<br />
Q<br />
c p + å ´ ç t<br />
çè ÷ ø<br />
(1)<br />
p<br />
êë<br />
l=<br />
1<br />
úû<br />
where a k,l is the transition probability from inflow Q k in stage t – 1, to inflow<br />
Q l in stage t. Q t was defined as the mean weekly <strong>energy</strong> inflow within each <strong>of</strong><br />
the classes defined in Section 4.1, and was calculated by multiplying the run<strong>of</strong>f<br />
to each catchment with its respective run<strong>of</strong>f <strong>energy</strong> equivalent.<br />
The problem in (1) is subject to constraints on equivalent <strong>energy</strong> balance (2),<br />
minimum and maximum hydropower generation (3), minimum and maximum<br />
equivalent <strong>energy</strong> storage (4), power demand fulfilment (5), and minimum<br />
and maximum thermal power generation (6):<br />
T<br />
t<br />
=<br />
t-1<br />
+<br />
t<br />
-<br />
t<br />
-<br />
t<br />
E E Q u w H<br />
(2)<br />
0 Ht<br />
£ £ H<br />
(3)<br />
E £ Et<br />
£ E<br />
(4)<br />
I<br />
å pit ,<br />
= dt -Ht<br />
(5)<br />
i=<br />
1<br />
0 pit<br />
,<br />
pi<br />
£ £ (6)<br />
where H t is hydropower production. Upstream irrigation abstractions are considered<br />
as sinks in the balance equation <strong>of</strong> the equivalent <strong>energy</strong> reservoir<br />
T<br />
( uw ) , and downstream irrigation allocations are represented as a timedependant<br />
lower bound on hydropower releases:<br />
24