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A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit

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The weekly transition probability matrices were calculated from the 30-year<br />

series <strong>of</strong> aggregated equivalent <strong>energy</strong> inflows.<br />

4.2.2 SDP representing irrigation as a constraint<br />

The objective was to determine production levels <strong>of</strong> thermal and hydropower<br />

units such as to minimize expected production cost, subject to meeting the<br />

power demand d t and the irrigation demand w t <strong>for</strong> every time step t until the<br />

end <strong>of</strong> the planning horizon T.<br />

Let c be the 1 × I vector <strong>of</strong> constant marginal costs <strong>for</strong> every non-hydro producer<br />

i, and p t a 1 × I vector <strong>of</strong> power production <strong>for</strong> every producer i during<br />

time step t. The recursive SDP equation <strong>of</strong> the optimal value function<br />

F * (E t ,Q t-1 ) can be written as:<br />

é L<br />

l<br />

* k<br />

T<br />

*<br />

æ öù<br />

Ft ( Et, Qt- 1)<br />

= min akl F t+ 1<br />

Et+<br />

1,<br />

Q<br />

c p + å ´ ç t<br />

çè ÷ ø<br />

(1)<br />

p<br />

êë<br />

l=<br />

1<br />

úû<br />

where a k,l is the transition probability from inflow Q k in stage t – 1, to inflow<br />

Q l in stage t. Q t was defined as the mean weekly <strong>energy</strong> inflow within each <strong>of</strong><br />

the classes defined in Section 4.1, and was calculated by multiplying the run<strong>of</strong>f<br />

to each catchment with its respective run<strong>of</strong>f <strong>energy</strong> equivalent.<br />

The problem in (1) is subject to constraints on equivalent <strong>energy</strong> balance (2),<br />

minimum and maximum hydropower generation (3), minimum and maximum<br />

equivalent <strong>energy</strong> storage (4), power demand fulfilment (5), and minimum<br />

and maximum thermal power generation (6):<br />

T<br />

t<br />

=<br />

t-1<br />

+<br />

t<br />

-<br />

t<br />

-<br />

t<br />

E E Q u w H<br />

(2)<br />

0 Ht<br />

£ £ H<br />

(3)<br />

E £ Et<br />

£ E<br />

(4)<br />

I<br />

å pit ,<br />

= dt -Ht<br />

(5)<br />

i=<br />

1<br />

0 pit<br />

,<br />

pi<br />

£ £ (6)<br />

where H t is hydropower production. Upstream irrigation abstractions are considered<br />

as sinks in the balance equation <strong>of</strong> the equivalent <strong>energy</strong> reservoir<br />

T<br />

( uw ) , and downstream irrigation allocations are represented as a timedependant<br />

lower bound on hydropower releases:<br />

24

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