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A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit

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Net costs [10 6 EUR/year]<br />

2000 CI Z Z<br />

1800<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

Net costs [10 6 EUR/year]<br />

2000 CI Z Z<br />

1800<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21<br />

1000<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

Figure 19. Convergence <strong>of</strong> a) disaggregated and b) aggregated model. (CI is the confidence<br />

interval)<br />

The mean storage was very similar in the aggregated and disaggregated models<br />

(Figure 20a), and resulted from a policy <strong>of</strong> producing hydropower during<br />

the winter and summer demand peaks. Although the releases also followed a<br />

similar trend (Figure 20b), those from the aggregated model were higher from<br />

May to July, because irrigation was prioritized. In contrast, releases from the<br />

disaggregated model were higher during January–February and September–<br />

October, at the expense <strong>of</strong> higher irrigation curtailments.<br />

Energy storage [GWh]<br />

15000<br />

12500<br />

10000<br />

7500<br />

5000<br />

Aggregated<br />

Disaggregated<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Energy releases [GWh/week]<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

Aggregated<br />

Disaggregated<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Figure 20. Total <strong>energy</strong> storage (a) and <strong>energy</strong> releases (b) in aggregated and disaggregated<br />

models<br />

Despite storage similarities between the models, the river basins from the<br />

disaggregated model showed distinct storage strategies (Figure 21): storage in<br />

Tajo, Ebro, Duero and Miño-Sil was released be<strong>for</strong>e the beginning <strong>of</strong> the inflow<br />

season in October; whereas the storage in Guadalquivir, Guadiana and<br />

Jucar was never depleted.<br />

40

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