A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit
A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit
A framework for joint management of regional water-energy ... - Orbit
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Net costs [10 6 EUR/year]<br />
2000 CI Z Z<br />
1800<br />
1600<br />
1400<br />
1200<br />
Net costs [10 6 EUR/year]<br />
2000 CI Z Z<br />
1800<br />
1600<br />
1400<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21<br />
1000<br />
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />
Figure 19. Convergence <strong>of</strong> a) disaggregated and b) aggregated model. (CI is the confidence<br />
interval)<br />
The mean storage was very similar in the aggregated and disaggregated models<br />
(Figure 20a), and resulted from a policy <strong>of</strong> producing hydropower during<br />
the winter and summer demand peaks. Although the releases also followed a<br />
similar trend (Figure 20b), those from the aggregated model were higher from<br />
May to July, because irrigation was prioritized. In contrast, releases from the<br />
disaggregated model were higher during January–February and September–<br />
October, at the expense <strong>of</strong> higher irrigation curtailments.<br />
Energy storage [GWh]<br />
15000<br />
12500<br />
10000<br />
7500<br />
5000<br />
Aggregated<br />
Disaggregated<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Energy releases [GWh/week]<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
Aggregated<br />
Disaggregated<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Figure 20. Total <strong>energy</strong> storage (a) and <strong>energy</strong> releases (b) in aggregated and disaggregated<br />
models<br />
Despite storage similarities between the models, the river basins from the<br />
disaggregated model showed distinct storage strategies (Figure 21): storage in<br />
Tajo, Ebro, Duero and Miño-Sil was released be<strong>for</strong>e the beginning <strong>of</strong> the inflow<br />
season in October; whereas the storage in Guadalquivir, Guadiana and<br />
Jucar was never depleted.<br />
40