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ICISS report - International Coalition for the Responsibility to Protect

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The <strong>Responsibility</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Protect</strong> 71<br />

<strong>the</strong> post-Cold War era, <strong>the</strong>re are real constraints on how much spare capacity exists <strong>to</strong> take<br />

on additional burdens. UN peacekeeping may have peaked in 1993 at 78,000 troops. But<br />

<strong>to</strong>day, if both NATO and UN missions are included, <strong>the</strong> number of soldiers in international<br />

peace operations has soared by about 40 per cent <strong>to</strong> 108,000. Even states willing in principle<br />

<strong>to</strong> look at new <strong>for</strong>eign military commitments are being compelled <strong>to</strong> make choices about<br />

how <strong>to</strong> use limited and strained military capabilities.<br />

8.11 In mobilizing political support <strong>for</strong> intervention <strong>for</strong> human protection purposes, as <strong>for</strong><br />

anything else, a great deal comes down <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> leadership of key individuals and organizations.<br />

Someone, somewhere has <strong>to</strong> pick up <strong>the</strong> case and run with it. Political leaders are<br />

crucial in this respect, but <strong>the</strong>y are not <strong>the</strong> only ac<strong>to</strong>rs: <strong>the</strong>y are, <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> most part, acutely<br />

responsive <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> demands and pressures placed upon <strong>the</strong>m by <strong>the</strong>ir various political<br />

constituencies, and <strong>the</strong> domestic media, and <strong>the</strong>y are much influenced by what is put <strong>to</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>m by <strong>the</strong>ir own bureaucracies. NGOs have a crucial and ever increasing role, in turn, in<br />

contributing in<strong>for</strong>mation, arguments and energy <strong>to</strong> influencing <strong>the</strong> decision-making<br />

process, addressing <strong>the</strong>mselves both directly <strong>to</strong> policy makers and indirectly <strong>to</strong> those who,<br />

in turn, influence <strong>the</strong>m. The institutional processes through which decisions are made will<br />

vary enormously from country <strong>to</strong> country, but <strong>the</strong>re are always those who are more<br />

responsible than o<strong>the</strong>rs and <strong>the</strong>y have <strong>to</strong> be identified, in<strong>for</strong>med, stimulated, challenged,<br />

and held <strong>to</strong> account: if everyone is responsible, <strong>the</strong>n no one is actually responsible.<br />

8.12 The trouble with most discussions of “political will” is that more time is spent<br />

lamenting its absence than on analyzing its ingredients, and working out how <strong>to</strong> use <strong>the</strong>m<br />

in different contexts. To reduce <strong>the</strong> issue <strong>to</strong> its bare essentials, what is necessary is a good<br />

understanding of <strong>the</strong> relevant institutional processes, as just mentioned, and good<br />

arguments. What constitutes a good argument will obviously depend on <strong>the</strong> particular<br />

context. But it is not <strong>to</strong>o much of an oversimplification <strong>to</strong> say that, in most political systems<br />

around <strong>the</strong> world, pleas <strong>for</strong> international action of <strong>the</strong> kind we are dealing with in this<br />

<strong>report</strong> need <strong>to</strong> be supported by arguments having four different kinds of appeal: moral,<br />

financial, national interest and partisan.<br />

8.13 As <strong>to</strong> moral appeal, preventing, averting and halting human suffering – all <strong>the</strong><br />

catastrophic loss and misery that go with slaughter and ethnic cleansing and mass starvation<br />

– are inspiring and legitimizing motives in almost any political environment. Political<br />

leaders often underestimate <strong>the</strong> sheer sense of decency and compassion that prevails in <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

elec<strong>to</strong>rates, at least when people’s attention is engaged (just as <strong>the</strong>y also underestimate <strong>the</strong><br />

public willingness, when well in<strong>for</strong>med, <strong>to</strong> accept <strong>the</strong> risk of casualties in well designed<br />

military interventions aimed at alleviating that suffering). Getting a moral motive <strong>to</strong> bite<br />

means, however, being able <strong>to</strong> convey a sense of urgency and reality about <strong>the</strong> threat <strong>to</strong><br />

human life in a particular situation. Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, this is always harder <strong>to</strong> convey at <strong>the</strong><br />

crucial stage of prevention than it is after some actual horror has occurred.<br />

8.14 The best financial argument is that earlier action is always cheaper than later action. If<br />

prevention is possible, it is likely <strong>to</strong> be cheaper by many orders of magnitude than responding<br />

after <strong>the</strong> event through military action, humanitarian relief assistance, postconflict<br />

reconstruction, or all three. In Kosovo, almost any kind of preventive activity – whe<strong>the</strong>r it<br />

involved more effective preventive diplomacy, or <strong>the</strong> earlier and sharper application of<br />

coercive preventive measures like <strong>the</strong> credible threat of ground-level military action – would<br />

have had <strong>to</strong> be cheaper than <strong>the</strong> $46 billion <strong>the</strong> international community is estimated <strong>to</strong><br />

have committed at <strong>the</strong> time of writing in fighting <strong>the</strong> war and following up with peacekeeping<br />

and reconstruction.

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