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op<strong>in</strong>g at a slower pace. This can be concluded from the fact that Russia is less<br />

important for German exports, not only than the Western European countries<br />

but also than Ch<strong>in</strong>a or some Central European states such as Poland and the<br />

Czech Republic. Although the largest traditional branches of German <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

and the biggest German enterprises have been able to develop their bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

activities on the Russian market, the small and medium companies’ sector has<br />

faced numerous problems <strong>in</strong> conduct<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong> Russia. The shape of the<br />

relationship between Germany and Russia depends not only on economic factors<br />

but also on issues of security and political cooperation. The most important<br />

reasons for Germany ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g its close relations with Russia <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

Germany’s recognition of Russia’s geopolitical position and its role <strong>in</strong> global issues<br />

such as energy security and the political stability of the post-Soviet states<br />

and of the region located on the boundary between Europe and Asia.<br />

Germany <strong>in</strong>terpreted the election of Dmitry Medvedev as Russia’s president as<br />

the fulfilment of its expectations concern<strong>in</strong>g the slowly progress<strong>in</strong>g democratisation<br />

process <strong>in</strong> Russia, which it hoped would be accompanied by grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

economic liberalisation and the improvement of conditions for German companies<br />

conduct<strong>in</strong>g their bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong> Russia. Vladimir Put<strong>in</strong>’s return to power<br />

shocked the German elites, who could not come to terms with the fact that no<br />

major political reforms broaden<strong>in</strong>g the civil freedoms could be expected <strong>in</strong><br />

Russia. S<strong>in</strong>ce that time, certa<strong>in</strong> tensions <strong>in</strong> the German-Russian relations have<br />

been observed, although these have had no particular impact on economic relations.<br />

In recent years Russia’s structural problems have been emphasised more<br />

frequently; these are connected with the risk of destabilisation of the political<br />

system and of the Russian economy’s excessive dependence on the exports of<br />

energy carriers. German politicians have consistently criticised violations of<br />

democratic standards <strong>in</strong> Russia. It seems, however, that due to the long history<br />

of political and economic cooperation, and the presence <strong>in</strong> both Germany<br />

and <strong>in</strong> Russia of numerous groups that are <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> bilateral cooperation,<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g good economic relations is possible even <strong>in</strong> a situation of political<br />

tension. The only visible symptom of the dim<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g trust of German entrepreneurs<br />

<strong>in</strong> the Russian market has been the reduction <strong>in</strong> the scale of new German<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments. The 2009 decl<strong>in</strong>e of the Russian market and the sudden reduction<br />

<strong>in</strong> the sales of products manufactured by German companies <strong>in</strong> Russia<br />

have made entrepreneurs aware of the fact that the Russian market is strongly<br />

dependent on the economic situation <strong>in</strong> Europe, and will not offer protection<br />

from stagnation <strong>in</strong> the Eurozone. Investments carried out <strong>in</strong> Russia will not<br />

protect a bus<strong>in</strong>ess aga<strong>in</strong>st the recession <strong>in</strong> Europe, as the economic situation <strong>in</strong><br />

Russia is a reflection of the economic growth observed <strong>in</strong> the European Union,<br />

PRACE <strong>OSW</strong> REPORT <strong>OSW</strong> 09/2012 11/2013<br />

67

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