2009 Report - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

The actual average annual peak load growth rate over the past 15 years
was 0.9 percent. Penelec’s forecast shows its summer peak load decreasing from
2,880 MW in 2008 to 2,603 MW in 2009 (9.6 percent), and increasing thereafter at
an average increase of 1.1 percent per year. The current forecast for 2009 is 2.7
percent below the previous forecast. See Figure 2.9.
3,000
Figure 2.9 Pennsylvania Electric Company
Historic & Forecast Peak Load
2,900
2,800
Megawatts
2,700
2,600
2,500
2,400
2,300
2,200
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Tables 2.12-2.15 provide Penelec’s forecasts of peak load and residential,
commercial and industrial energy demand from 1999 through 2009.
A restructuring settlement, approved by the Commission in 1998, provided
for the transfer of 80 percent of Penelec’s PLR responsibility to other generation
suppliers by June 2003. Since this did not occur, Penelec retains POLR
responsibility for those customers who do not choose an alternate energy supplier
and currently supplies nearly all of its PLR customers.
Penelec divested all of its generation facilities in 1999.
In 2008, Penelec purchased approximately 3 billion KWH from cogeneration
and small power production projects, or about 19.8 percent of net energy for load.
Contract capacity (defined as PJM installed capacity credits) is 374 MW out of a
total capacity of 427 MW.
Electric Power Outlook for Pennsylvania 2008-2013 33