2009 Report - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

The actual average annual peak demand growth rate over the past 15 years
was 1.5 percent. PECO's current forecast shows the peak load increasing from
the actual 2008 summer peak load of 8,824 MW to 9,506 MW in the summer of
2013, or an annual growth rate of 1.5 percent. See Figure 2.15.
9,750
9,500
9,250
9,000
Figure 2.15 PECO Energy Company
Historic & Forecast Peak Load
Megawatts
8,750
8,500
8,250
8,000
7,750
7,500
7,250
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Tables 2.24-2.27 provide PECO’s forecasts of peak load and residential,
commercial and industrial energy demand from 1999 through 2009.
PECO has entered into a Purchased Power Agreement with Exelon
Generation to provide energy and capacity for its POLR load throughout the
forecast period. Other resources may be obtained through purchases from the
wholesale markets.
In 2008, PECO purchased about 646.5 million KWH from cogeneration and
independent power production facilities, or about 1.5 percent of net energy for
load. Contract capacity totaled 181 MW.
For Calendar Year 2008, electric generation suppliers sold a total of about
607 million KWH to retail customers in PECO’s service territory or about 1.5
percent of total consumption, down from 1.6 percent in 2007. On the summer
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Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission