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2009 Report - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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Reliability Assessment 31<br />

The 2008 Long-Term Reliability Assessment<br />

represents NERC’s independent judgment of the reliability<br />

and adequacy of the bulk power system in North America<br />

for the coming 10 years. NERC’s primary purpose in<br />

preparing this assessment is to identify areas of concern<br />

regarding the reliability of the North American bulk power<br />

system and to make recommendations for their remedy.<br />

In its most recent reliability assessment for the 2008-2017 period, NERC<br />

identifies five key findings:<br />

1. Capacity margins in many regions are improved compared to 2007 figures,<br />

due in part to significant increases in demand response and supply-side<br />

resources. Nevertheless more resources will be required to maintain<br />

reliability in Western Canada and the Desert Southwest areas in the<br />

coming years.<br />

2. Wind resources are growing in importance in many areas of North America<br />

as new facilities come online. With growing dependence on wind<br />

generation, it is vital to ensure that these variable resources are reliably<br />

integrated into the bulk power system.<br />

3. Though total miles of transmission additions have increased when<br />

compared to last year’s assessment, much more transmission will be<br />

required to reliably integrate projected location constrained resources such<br />

as wind, nuclear, clean coal, and others into the bulk power system.<br />

4. Demand response programs increased significantly in this year's<br />

projections. The long-term sustainability of these impacts will need to be<br />

monitored closely as these programs are used to meet reliability<br />

requirements more frequently.<br />

5. NERC performed its initial analysis of reliability metrics from the last six<br />

years and concluded that the drive towards suitable maintenance,<br />

operating tools and training must continue. It is vital that these metrics be<br />

further refined and the trends analyzed so that root causes can be<br />

addressed.<br />

NERC offers several conclusions and recommendations<br />

1. Regulators need to continue their support for the development of additional<br />

cost effective transmission resources, including equitable cost allocation<br />

guidelines for such resources. Further, they should revise their existing<br />

31 NERC, 2008 Long-Term Reliability Assessment, October 2008.<br />

60<br />

<strong>Pennsylvania</strong> <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Utility</strong> <strong>Commission</strong>

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