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Static-2002 coding rules (2009) - Static-99

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Appendix IV<br />

Relative Risk Table<br />

Converting <strong>Static</strong>-<strong>2002</strong> Scores to Relative Risk (Risk Ratios) compared to the "Typical"<br />

Sex Offender (<strong>Static</strong>-<strong>2002</strong> score of 4)<br />

Logistic Regression<br />

Estimates<br />

(10 year sexual recidivism)<br />

Score<br />

Predicted<br />

Recidivism<br />

Rate<br />

95% C. I. Risk Ratios<br />

0 5.5 3.7 8.0 .4<br />

1 7.0 5.1 9.6 .5<br />

2 8.9 6.8 11.6 .6<br />

3 11.3 9.1 14.0 .8<br />

4 14.2 11.9 16.8 1.0<br />

5 17.7 15.4 20.3 1.2<br />

6 21.8 19.4 24.5 1.5<br />

7 26.6 23.7 29.7 1.9<br />

8 32.0 28.3 36.0 2.2<br />

9 38.0 33.0 43.1 2.7<br />

10 44.3 38.0 50.8 3.1<br />

11 50.8 43.1 58.5 3.6<br />

12 57.3 48.3 65.8 4.0<br />

Note: Although the relative risk rankings (risk ratios) are relatively constant, the predicted<br />

recidivism rates vary across jurisdictions, settings and samples. For more information on absolute<br />

recidivism rates, see Hanson, Helmus, and Thornton (in press).<br />

107

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