28.09.2014 Views

Tourism Opportunity Plan - Tourism Queensland

Tourism Opportunity Plan - Tourism Queensland

Tourism Opportunity Plan - Tourism Queensland

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

3.5 The Gold Coast Visitor Market in 2020<br />

– trends and forecasts<br />

Over the next period to 2020, visitation to the Gold Coast will also<br />

be influenced by a wide range of external factors that will impact not<br />

only on visitation to the region but to <strong>Queensland</strong> and Australia as<br />

a whole. Provided below is a summary of the <strong>Tourism</strong> Forecasting<br />

Committee forecasts for future tourism demand to 2018 in Australia<br />

and <strong>Queensland</strong>;<br />

Domestic Trends and Forecasts<br />

Stable numbers of domestic trips<br />

Increased domestic visitor nights in <strong>Queensland</strong><br />

Slight decline in domestic VFR in regional <strong>Queensland</strong><br />

International Trends and Forecasts<br />

Recovery of Australia’s inbound tourism market<br />

Increased seat capacity into Australia<br />

Growth in overall international visitor numbers<br />

Increase in average length of stay<br />

Increase in international VFR in regional <strong>Queensland</strong><br />

In 2008 tourism to Australia was forecast to grow at an annual<br />

growth of around 2% for domestic visitation and 5% for international<br />

visitation. The most recent growth projections from the <strong>Tourism</strong><br />

Forecasting Committee, however, forecast an average annual<br />

growth rate of 0.5% for domestic visitation and 3.6% for international<br />

visitation to 2020.<br />

These future growth projections applied to the Gold Coast* can be<br />

seen in Figure 3, below:<br />

Figure 3: Gold Coast Visitor Forecasts to 2020<br />

Total Gold Coast Visitors (million)<br />

15<br />

14<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

Given the latest growth forecasts, it is anticipated that the Gold<br />

Coast will welcome 12 million visitors in 2020. This comprises an<br />

additional 1.0 million visitors compared to 2011. This equates to an<br />

additional 2,700 visitors per day.<br />

Domestic day trip visitation to the Gold Coast is expected to<br />

increase by 14% between 2011 and 2020. As outlined in Figure 4, this<br />

will result in 63% of total visitors to the Gold Coast being domestic<br />

day trip visitors, resulting in an increase of 4% in share from the<br />

market by 2020<br />

The Gold Coast is also forecasted to welcome 3.4 million Domestic<br />

Overnight Visitors in 2020, an increase of 4% from 2011 figures.<br />

By 2020, Domestic Overnight Visitors will comprise 29% of the<br />

total visitor market to the Gold Coast (Domestic Overnight Visitors<br />

currently account for 31% of all Gold Coast visitors).<br />

Figure 4: Gold Coast Market Share of Total Visitors<br />

2005, 2011 and Forecast to 2020*<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

8% 7% 8%<br />

33% 31% 29%<br />

59% 62% 63%<br />

2005 2011 2020<br />

Domestic Daytrip<br />

Domestic Overnight<br />

International<br />

*Forecasts based on year ending 2011 NVS and IVS data, applying TFC growth<br />

projection (April 2012)<br />

In order for the Gold Coast to achieve its growth targets<br />

aligned to Australia’s national strategy to enhance growth and<br />

competitiveness (the 2020 <strong>Tourism</strong> Industry Potential), the region<br />

will be required to achieve an average annual growth rate of 7.1%<br />

in visitor spend up until 2020. Should these targets be achieved<br />

the Gold Coast would receive approximately $7 billion in visitor<br />

expenditure per year by 2020.<br />

International visitation to the Gold Coast is expected to increase<br />

by 37% between 2011 and 2020. These projections are buoyed by<br />

strong growth in a number of markets and particularly from the<br />

China market.<br />

3 Our Vision<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

2016<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

2020<br />

*Forecasts based on year ending 2011 NVS and IVS data, applying TFC growth<br />

projection (April 2012)<br />

7

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!