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Armagh - Northern Ireland Housing Executive

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According to Census 2011 the housing stock in <strong>Armagh</strong> City & District comprises<br />

21,594 households with tenure composed as follows:<br />

• Owner occupation is the most popular tenure and at 73.8% it is considerably<br />

higher than the <strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Ireland</strong> figure of 67.5%;<br />

• The private rented sector comprises 14% of households (<strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Ireland</strong> 15.1%);<br />

• The proportion of social housing (9.4%) in the district is significantly lower than the<br />

<strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Ireland</strong> figure of 14.9%.<br />

DSD’s <strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Ireland</strong> <strong>Housing</strong> Bulletin reported 229 private sector new build<br />

housing starts in <strong>Armagh</strong> District during the year to September 2012. Although this is<br />

just slightly lower than the previous year (236) it is well below peak figures of 2007<br />

and offers no indication of recovery in the housing market. The Bulletin reports that<br />

six new build properties were sold in the District during 2012.<br />

The University of Ulster’s Quarterly House Price Index records the 2012 average house<br />

price in <strong>Armagh</strong> District as £127,938, a decrease of 26% on the previous year. For the<br />

first time in several years, this is below the <strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Ireland</strong> average, currently<br />

£138,147 (see Table 2).<br />

Local estate agents report the following:<br />

• Stabilisation and a slow recovery in relation to transaction levels;<br />

• The majority of house sales are to first time buyers at the lower end of the market;<br />

• An increasing demand from migrant workers;<br />

• The majority of sales are to couples and families;<br />

• High demand for private rental, most notably in <strong>Armagh</strong> City.<br />

Local estate agents predict the following:<br />

• Tenants will pay benefit deficit to remain in current property. Shortage of one<br />

bedroom accommodation may influence this;<br />

• Volumes and prices will remain at current levels;<br />

• Strict lending practices will continue to stifle the market.<br />

The extended period of near-zero policy<br />

interest rates appears to be having little<br />

effect in stimulating a housing market<br />

recovery. Current prices demonstrate a<br />

low price structure for housing in<br />

<strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Ireland</strong>, suggesting that<br />

considerable value exists. Despite this<br />

the housing market performance across<br />

the UK over the next five years will be<br />

framed against a backdrop of<br />

significant change in the finance<br />

market following the Mortgage Market<br />

Review. The new regulatory regime will<br />

introduce more stringent affordability<br />

checks for potential borrowers,<br />

including interest-only borrowers. While<br />

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