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ISSN 1809-8185<br />
POLÍTICA<br />
AMBIENTAL<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
green economy<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities
2<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Conservação Internacional is a private non-profit organization,<br />
founded in 1987, with the objective of promoting human well-being by<br />
strengthening society’s role in the responsible and sustainable care<br />
of nature – our global biodiversity – supported by a solid foundation in<br />
science, partnerships and field experiences.<br />
President: José Alexandre Felizola Diniz-Filho<br />
Executive Director: Fábio Scarano<br />
Director of Environment Policy: Paulo Gustavo Prado<br />
Director of Communications: Isabela de Lima Santos<br />
Conservação Internacional<br />
Av. Getúlio Vargas, 1300, 7º andar<br />
30112-021 Belo Horizonte MG<br />
tel.: 55 31 3261-3889<br />
e-mail: info@conservacao.org<br />
www.conservacao.org<br />
Política Ambiental is an electronic journal issued by Conservation<br />
International that publishes scientific and technical articles about the<br />
main topics of current environmental policy.<br />
Política Ambiental<br />
Green economy: challenges and opportunities<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Editorial coordination: Camila L. Gramkow<br />
Paulo Gustavo Prado<br />
Coordination of edition: Gabriela Michelotti<br />
Translation: Cecília Barsk Romero<br />
(Pages 24 to 35, 96 to 107, 120 to 126 - Elza Suely Anderson)<br />
(Pages 86 to 95, 108 to 119 - Janaína Mendes)<br />
Cover photographs: Larger photograph: © CI/Haroldo Castro Smaller<br />
photographs (top down): © CI/Luciano Candisani,<br />
© CI/Luciano Candisani, © CI/M. de Paula, Wild Wonders of<br />
Europe/Laszlo Novak, iStockphoto, Cortesia UNICA,<br />
© CI/John Martin, © CI/Sterling Zumbrunn,<br />
© CI/Enrico Bernard and © CI/Christine Dragisic<br />
Design and graphic editing: Grupo de Design Gráfico Ltda.<br />
Catalog card prepared by Librarian Nina C. Mendonça CRB6/1288<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
P769<br />
Política Ambiental / Conservação Internacional - n. 8, jun. 2011 – Belo<br />
Horizonte: Conservação Internacional, 2011.<br />
n. 1 (maio 2006)<br />
ISSN 1809-8185<br />
1. Política ambiental – Periódicos. I. Conservação Internacional Brasil.
3<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
content<br />
Acronyms ............................................................................................................. 4<br />
Preface ................................................................................................................. 6<br />
Executive Summary ............................................................................................ 9<br />
Delineations of a green economy<br />
Helena Pavese ..................................................................................................... 16<br />
The necessarily systemic character of the transition to a green economy<br />
Alexandre D’Avignon and Luiz Antônio Cruz Caruso ............................................ 24<br />
Green economy and/or sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawyer ..................................................................................................... 36<br />
International perspectives of the transition to a low-carbon green economy<br />
Eduardo Viola ....................................................................................................... 43<br />
Green economy in Latin America: the origins of debate in ECLAC work<br />
Márcia Tavares ..................................................................................................... 57<br />
The role of inclusive growth for a green economy in developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata ....................................................................................................... 69<br />
Brazil and the green economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani, Ernani Kuhn and Renato Rosenberg ..................................... 76<br />
Growth potential of the green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo F. Young ..................................................................................... 86<br />
Brazil and the green economy: foundations and strategy for transition<br />
Cláudio Frischtak ................................................................................................. 96<br />
Innovation and technology for a green economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília J. Lustosa ...................................................................................... 108<br />
Agriculture for a green economy<br />
Ademar R. Romeiro ............................................................................................. 120<br />
Green economy and a new cycle of rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto ................................................................................................... 127<br />
Deforestation of the Brazilian Amazon rainforest: causes and solutions<br />
Bastiaan P. Reydon .............................................................................................. 138<br />
The transition to a green economy in Brazilian law:<br />
perspective and challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray ........................................................................................ 151<br />
Market mechanisms for a green economy<br />
Peter H. May ........................................................................................................ 165<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Valuation and pricing of environmental resources for a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta ...................................................................................... 174<br />
The role of financial institutions in the transition to a green economy<br />
Mário Sérgio Vasconcelos .................................................................................... 186<br />
Measurement in policies for transition to a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta and Carolina Dubeux .................................................... 192
4<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
acronyms<br />
BASIC – Brazil, South Africa, India and China<br />
BNDES – National Bank of Economic and Social Development<br />
BRIC – Brazil, Russia, India and China<br />
CNI – National Industrial Confederation<br />
CU – Conservation Unit<br />
ECLAC – Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean<br />
EMBRAPA – Brazilian Agricultural Research Company<br />
GDP – Gross Domestic Product<br />
GE – Green Economy<br />
GMO – Genetically Modified Organism<br />
FAO – United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization<br />
FEBRABAN – Brazilian Federation of Banks<br />
GHG – Greenhouse Gases<br />
HIV/AIDS – Human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency<br />
syndrome<br />
IBAMA – Brazilian Institute of Environment and Renewable Natural<br />
Resource<br />
IBSA – India, Brazil, South Africa<br />
IBGE – Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics<br />
ICMBio – The Chico Mendes Institute for Biodiversity Conservation<br />
Imazon – Amazon Institute of People and the Environment<br />
INCRA – National Institute of Colonization and Agrarian Reform<br />
INPE – National Institute for Space Research<br />
IPCC – Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<br />
IPC-IG - International Policy Center for Inclusive Growth<br />
IPEA – Institute of Applied Economic Research<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
MCT – Ministry of Science and Technology<br />
MDA – Ministry of Agrarian Development<br />
Mercosul – Southern common market
5<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Siglário<br />
MMA – Ministry of the Environment<br />
MME – Ministry of Mines and Energy<br />
NGO – Non-Governmental Organization<br />
OECD – Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development<br />
OTCA – Amazon Cooperation Treaty Organization<br />
R&D – Research and Development<br />
PES – Payment for Environmental Services<br />
REDD – Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation<br />
REDD+ – Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation,<br />
including conservation, sustainable forest management, afforestation and<br />
re-forestation.<br />
Rio 92 – United Nations Conference on Environment and Development<br />
Rio+10 – World Summit on Sustainable Development that took place in 2002<br />
in Johannesburg<br />
<strong>Rio+20</strong> – United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development that will<br />
be held in 2012 in Rio de Janeiro<br />
TEEB – The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity<br />
UN – United Nations<br />
UNASUR – Union of South American Nations<br />
UNIDO – United Nations Industrial Development Organization<br />
UNDP – United Nations Development Programme<br />
UNEP – United Nations Environment Programme<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
6<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Preface<br />
Environmental issues have become increasingly incorporated in the<br />
scientific agendas of the most diverse fields of knowledge and in local, national,<br />
regional and global political agendas. Its growing relevance originates from the<br />
widespread understanding that environmental sustainability is indispensable<br />
to the long term development of societies. On one hand, from an alarmist<br />
perspective, neglecting this issue would probably result in perverse effects on<br />
human beings and development, as pointed out currently by many studies 1 .<br />
From a strategic perspective, possibilities and opportunities have been identified<br />
deriving from its effective incorporation, once it could contribute to achieving<br />
more sustainable development processes in various dimensions (economic,<br />
social and environmental) 2 .<br />
The challenge of moving towards a more egalitarian and sustainable society<br />
is, more than ever, on the agenda. It is in this context that the green economy<br />
concept has emerged. Defined by the UNEP as that which “results in improved<br />
human well-being and social equality, while significantly reducing environmental<br />
risks and ecological scarcity” 3 , green economy will be one of the key topics 4<br />
of <strong>Rio+20</strong>, the United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development that<br />
will take place in 2012 in Rio de Janeiro.<br />
The challenge is not simple and discussions are only beginning. Despite<br />
having a formal conceptualization, precise delineations are still to be determined.<br />
After all, what is a green economy? Which economies are closer to reaching it?<br />
How to measure the degree of “greening” of an economy? What does it mean,<br />
concretely, to achieve transition to a green economy? What is the role of the<br />
state in this transition? How to finance the transition? Which sectors will be<br />
most affected? Which will be most benefitted? How would the transition affect<br />
the daily lives of citizens? What are the risks of not transforming to a green<br />
economy? And in the case of Brazil, what has the country done and what is<br />
left to do to advance towards a green economy? How is the country doing,<br />
compared to the others? What are the main obstacles and challenges? How to<br />
address them? What would a transition mean for society, productive sectors,<br />
for government, for consumers? How can developed and developing countries<br />
cooperate in this transition? How can international promotion and cooperation<br />
organizations align themselves with these objectives? How can United Nations<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. In global terms, see Stern (2007) and IPCC (2007). For an analysis of the Brazilian case, see<br />
World Bank (2010), Marcovitch (coord.) (2010) and NAE (2005).<br />
2. TEEB (2011) and UNEP (2011).<br />
3. UNEP (2011).<br />
4. The two key topics to guide the Conference are: (i) green economy in the context of<br />
sustainable development and poverty eradication; and (ii) institutional framework for<br />
sustainable development.
7<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Preface<br />
priority international initiatives, such as the Climate Change and the Biodiversity<br />
Conventions, encourage and implement common agendas aimed at achieving<br />
these objectives?<br />
Green economy raises many questions that do not have simple and straight<br />
answers. We know, however, that the transition requires substantial efforts<br />
and engagement from all segments of society, especially government and the<br />
private sector. It demands that governments level the playing field for greener<br />
products by removing perverse incentives, revising policies and incentives,<br />
strengthening market infrastructure, introducing new market mechanisms,<br />
redirecting public investment and “greening” public procurement. The private<br />
sector, on the other hand, will need to respond to these policy reforms through<br />
increased financing and investments, as well as by creating innovation skills<br />
and capabilities to make the best of green economy opportunities.<br />
The timing to discuss an alternative paradigm, where the generation of<br />
wealth does not increase social disparities or produce environmental risks,<br />
nor ecological scarcities, could not be more opportune. The 2008 crisis, from<br />
which the global economy is still trying to recover, could be an opportunity to<br />
think about and formulate the economic model that we wish to follow.<br />
The transition to a green economy could benefit Brazil in various ways. The<br />
green economy demands greater social equity, something that is especially<br />
necessary in Brazil, which is among the ten countries with the worst income<br />
distribution on the planet 5 . The transition could, thus, serve as a platform for<br />
poverty eradication. Furthermore, Brazil has greatly favorable natural conditions:<br />
the richest biodiversity on the planet, ample water resources, large continental<br />
and coastal areas, ocean resources yet to be discovered; that is, a natural that<br />
albeit threatened is still abundant. In a green economy, natural capital becomes<br />
an asset that generates dividends and produces a competitive edge. Thus, the<br />
pre-requisites are in place that enable Brazil to be more than a beneficiary, but<br />
rather capable of leading the green economy transition, and assuming a role<br />
as global agent for change.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Change can already be seen in various parts of the world 6 . The transition to<br />
a green economy is both a global and a national movement, where cooperation<br />
and coordination are paramount. The reversal of the processes of natural capital<br />
loss and increased social inequality require the efforts of all nations. These<br />
efforts tend to convert themselves into competitive advantages, a situation that<br />
already has become reality in some economies and sectors today. Developing<br />
countries, as keepers of a large portion of the planet’s natural capital, could<br />
exercise a more strategic role. Developed countries, despite already having<br />
consumed a large share of their natural capital, are developing significant<br />
5. UNDP (2010).<br />
6. TEEB (2011).
8<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Preface<br />
advances in so-called green technologies, which tend to be a differential.<br />
Political, technical, scientific-technological, financial and economic cooperation<br />
between the two, in the more than necessary race towards a green economy,<br />
could generate mutual benefits.<br />
This special edition presents ideas for advancing in the direction of a green<br />
economy. It brings reflections from some of the main Brazilian specialists – and<br />
‘Brazilianists’ – on the subject, in a search to respond to the key questions raised<br />
by the green economy in general and in a country such as Brazil. Eighteen<br />
articles gather the contributions of experts from diverse affiliations and origins.<br />
Elements that may form the basis for the green economy discussion in Brazil<br />
are hereby released.<br />
Enjoy the reading!<br />
References<br />
World Bank (2010). Estudo de baixo carbono para o Brasil. Available at: .<br />
IPCC (2007). IPCC fourth assessment report: climate change 2007. Available at: .<br />
Marcovitch, Jacques (coord.) (2010). Economia da mudança do clima no Brasil: custos<br />
e oportunidades. São Paulo: IBEP Gráfica.<br />
NAE - Núcleo de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República (2005). Cadernos<br />
NAE, série mudança do clima, n. 3, February. Brasília: Núcleo de Assuntos<br />
Estratégicos da Presidência da República, Secretaria de Comunicação de Governo<br />
e Gestão Estratégica.<br />
Stern, Nicholas (2007). The Economics of Climate Change: the Stern review. Cambridge:<br />
Cambridge University Press.<br />
TEEB (2011). The economics of ecosystems and biodiversity: mainstreaming the<br />
economics of nature: a synthesis of the approach, conclusions and recommendations<br />
of TEEB. Available at: .<br />
UNDP (2010). Actuar sobre el futuro: romper la transmisión intergeneracional de la<br />
desigualdad. Informe regional sobre desarrollo humano para América Latina y el<br />
Caribe 2010. New York: UNDP.<br />
UNEP (2011). Towards a Green Economy: Pathways to Sustainable Development and<br />
Poverty Eradication - A Synthesis for Policy Makers. Available at: .<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
9<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Executive Summary<br />
The first article, written by Helena Pavese, puts forth the concept of green<br />
economy and main results of the report “Towards a green economy: pathways to<br />
sustainable development and poverty eradication”, launched in February 2011.<br />
Starting from the finding of elevated levels of ecosystem services degradation<br />
and, therefore, of natural capital, the author presents the Green Economy<br />
Initiative, launched with the intention of identifying the social and economic<br />
risks and costs generated by current standards of excessive natural resource<br />
use, as well as the opportunities for a transition to more sustainable practices.<br />
From this Initiative, the Report on green economy emerged, whose main results<br />
Pavese succinctly outlines. It is concluded that green economy is possible and<br />
desirable, as it is capable of aligning income and employment generation with<br />
poverty eradication and natural capital conservation.<br />
Alexandre D’Avignon and Luiz Antônio Cruz Caruso analyze the UNEP report<br />
from a critical perspective. They affirm that the Report represents a qualitative<br />
leap in the sense of introducing values that go beyond maximizing utility.<br />
They reveal the necessity of thinking about the green economy transition in a<br />
systemic way, where human activities are merely a subsystem of civil society,<br />
which in turn is a subsystem of the universe (or the biosphere and its set of<br />
living and inanimate matter). They argue that other theoretical lines, in addition<br />
to the neo-classical theory, can provide important insights about the issues<br />
in question. Ecologic economics would offer a more systemic approach and<br />
schumpeterian and neo-schumpeterian theories could assist in rethinking the<br />
economy from the perspective of technology as a vector of transformation of<br />
human societies. These approaches give consideration to alternative solutions<br />
that are flexible and of a local character, and conducive to an effective transition<br />
to a green economy.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Donald Sawyer analyzes the relationship between green economy and<br />
sustainable development concepts. Sawyer draws attention to the risk of<br />
green economy acquiring an exclusively economic (or economistic) shape,<br />
where market instruments and pricing of natural resources would prevail to<br />
the detriment of measures of a different nature. Thus, Sawyer asserts that<br />
other dimensions are relevant to the green economy, such as social, ethical,<br />
cultural, political and judicial, etc. The author claims that the green economy<br />
should necessarily be public in a greater sense, implemented through policies<br />
that guarantee rights to all and maintain ecosystem functions interlinked, so that<br />
this concept becomes concrete, instrumental and popular, in complementarity<br />
to and connection with the sustainable development concept, that is more<br />
abstract, diplomatic and governmental.
10<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Executive Summary<br />
Eduardo Viola presents a panorama of current international circumstances in<br />
terms of transition to a green economy with a focus on low-carbon characteristics.<br />
Based on recent GHG emissions data of large and medium powers, Viola<br />
presents the main policies and measures that these groups of countries have<br />
practiced, and indicates future prospects based on the current juncture. The<br />
large powers, the United States, China and the European Union, are countries<br />
that: provide elevated contributions to global emissions, possess essential<br />
technological and human capital for decarbonizing the economy and have veto<br />
power over international agreements. The medium powers, such as India and<br />
Brazil, have limited influence on the aspects considered. A similar exercise<br />
is carried out for South America in particular, where the triple negative effect<br />
of deforestation in the region (loss of natural heritage, informality and public<br />
demoralization) and the favorable position of the region, whose economies are<br />
not extensively based on fossil fuels, with some exceptions, are highlighted.<br />
The author also surveys the main techno-economic vectors of a low-carbon<br />
transition, and concludes with a reflection on future prospects.<br />
Márcia Tavares surveys the main contributions of ECLAC to the green<br />
economy field due to its role in drafting documents and leading research and<br />
through its function as political mediator for the Latin American and Caribbean<br />
countries in international discussions. The author describes, in chronological<br />
order, the documents produced and their political and historical contexts.<br />
Tavares argues that these documents enable us to evaluate the complexity<br />
of environmental problems in the region and their direct links with economic<br />
and social structures and processes, an indispensable step to advance in<br />
solving the environmental, economic and social problems of the region. It is<br />
concluded that in order for Latin America to effectively transition to a green<br />
economy, there must be coordination between actors and institutions in different<br />
spheres, removal of barriers to change and strong and permanent institutions<br />
that prioritize sustainability.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Clóvis Zapata highlights the role of inclusive growth in the transition to a<br />
green economy in developing countries. The author starts from the observation<br />
that there are similarities between the UNEP green economy concept and the<br />
concept of inclusive growth. Zapata defends a holistic approach in which the<br />
transition to a green economy should be thought out and planned according to<br />
its various dimensions (environmental, social, economic, political, etc), which<br />
have different windows of opportunity that should be taken into appropriate<br />
consideration. The author argues that policies of a social nature and policies<br />
of an environmental nature have not been sufficiently coordinated, when in<br />
fact, they should act in complementarity. Zapata asserts that promotion of<br />
structured policies is necessary, as exemplified by the analysis of the Brazilian<br />
Biodiesel Program. The author also highlights the importance of South-South<br />
debate, and concludes with a reflection on the importance of inclusive growth
11<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Executive Summary<br />
and the contributions of international organizations and the private sector to<br />
the transition to a green economy in developing countries.<br />
Francisco Gaetani, Ernani Kuhn and Renato Rosenberg provide an overview<br />
of the situation in Brazil with regards to green economy. They argue that Brazil<br />
is an environmental energy power, due to the abundant availability of natural<br />
resources and policies and measures aimed at environmental conservation.<br />
From an international perspective, the authors claim that the country has one<br />
of the highest GHG emissions in the world, but that Brazil is changing this<br />
situation by assuming voluntary emissions reduction targets. They outline the<br />
main actions that Brazil has been implementing in the direction of a green<br />
economy in sectors such as forestry, solid waste treatment, water resources,<br />
among others. The main challenges of the transition are also presented. The<br />
authors conclude that Brazil starts from a privileged position in the transition to<br />
a green economy from various aspects, but that most of the current actions can<br />
be considered as the beginning of the institutional structuring and creation of<br />
economic mechanisms that compose the agenda of a country that is increasingly<br />
focused on the development of markets related to a green economy.<br />
Carlos Eduardo F. Young carries out analytical exercises that aim to study the<br />
impact of a “greening” of Brazilian economy, that is, the transition to a growth<br />
model driven by sectors with low environmental impacts, on the economic and<br />
social performance of the country. Based on the finding that, over the past ten<br />
years, there has been a re-specialization in primary products of Latin American<br />
and Brazilian export bundles, Young shows evidence that there has also been<br />
a specialization in pollution, since the sectors with the most pollution potential<br />
have grown above average. From the results of an input-output matrix model,<br />
the author arrives at the conclusion that the greening of the Brazilian economy<br />
could bring better results in employment and income generation than the current<br />
model specialized in exporting natural resources through predatory extraction<br />
or industrial goods with high levels of pollution in production processes. The<br />
author concludes that, based on the results obtained, the dichotomy between<br />
economic growth and environmental conservation is false.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Cláudio Frischtak analyzes the foundations and strategies of the transition to<br />
a green economy in Brazil. The author starts with the proposal that this transition<br />
requires an inversion of the dominating logic that well-being and intensive (and<br />
unsustainable) use of natural resources are inseparable; and adopt the idea<br />
that higher growth becomes (necessarily) dependent on and is accompanied<br />
by increased conservation or sustainable resource use. Frischtak develops an<br />
analytical structure composed of supply (market or structured) and demand<br />
(induced or spontaneous), that results in a 2x2 matrix. From that analytical<br />
structure, the transition towards a green economy is analyzed with a focus on<br />
certain topics (ecosystem conservation, transportation, sanitation, energy and<br />
product life-cycles). The author also proposes transition strategies based on the
12<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Executive Summary<br />
establishment of a working group, a reference framework, a set of norms and the<br />
restoration of natural capital. It is concluded that a new paradigm is emerging<br />
and that, with support from adequate government policies, Brazil is fully capable<br />
of being one of the first countries to enter into a green economy.<br />
Maria Cecília J. Lustosa analyzes the importance of environmental<br />
innovations as means of changing the current technological model, intensive<br />
in raw materials and energy from fossil fuels, in a more ecologically correct<br />
direction. Lustosa presents the historical emergence of environmental issues<br />
and their relations to economic production. Then, the author highlights the<br />
importance of the innovative process in technological change and paradigm shift,<br />
and presents the circumstances under which such changes could occur and in<br />
which directions, with a focus on EST (Environmentally Sound Technologies).<br />
Internal and external constraints of the capabilities of businesses to become<br />
innovative are also presented. Lustosa further conducts analysis of innovation<br />
linked to environmental issues in Brazilian businesses, and identifies its main<br />
characteristics. Ultimately, the author concludes that environmental innovations<br />
are necessary to enter into a green economy and that building business capacity<br />
is fundamental, and when appropriate, associated with incentives promoted<br />
by the State. In the case of Brazil, low innovation investment in the productive<br />
sector is certainly a factor that further inhibits the search for environmental<br />
innovation.<br />
Ademar R. Romeiro investigates the topic of agriculture in a green economy.<br />
The work offers a description of what agriculture should be in a green economy.<br />
Romeiro begins with the definition of what is understood as green economy from<br />
the perspective of a given long-term sustainability concept, and moves on to<br />
presenting the conditions for making agriculture compatible with this definition of<br />
a green economy. The author seeks to show that an agriculture that is sufficiently<br />
productive to attend to current agricultural production needs is scientifically<br />
and technologically possible, but is chiefly based on management by farmers<br />
of the very forces of nature in order to obtain ecosystem services. The main<br />
agricultural policy recommendation that results from the analysis is to amplify<br />
agro-ecological research efforts by the large public research institutions.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Arilson Favareto brings the new cycle of rural development topic to the<br />
discussion, by analyzing how it aligns with the green economy. The new cycle<br />
of rural development, happening at different intensities around the world and<br />
whose distinguishing feature is the transition from an agrarian and agricultural<br />
paradigm to a paradigm organized around the environmental rooting of<br />
rural development, is in line with the transition to a green economy. Modern<br />
agriculture, intensive in natural resource use, generates a lot of income but<br />
little employment. Favareto presents the main characteristics of new rurality<br />
and analyzes the situation in Brazil, identifying that here, as in the rest of the<br />
world, agriculture has a declining tendency in relation to other activities and
13<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Executive Summary<br />
that rural regions are no longer experiencing a general exodus, but rather a<br />
heterogeneity of its demographic profile, with elevated levels of schooling and<br />
greater social differentiation. The author concludes with ideas for an agenda<br />
that aligns this new cycle with the transition to a green economy.<br />
Bastiaan P. Reydon conducts an analysis of the causes of and solutions to<br />
deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. Reydon begins by presenting data on<br />
deforestation in the Amazon, and highlights the main causes attributed to this<br />
deforestation. The author argues that deforestation results from the continued<br />
tradition of expanding the Brazilian agricultural frontier, which generally takes<br />
the following steps: occupation of virgin land (private or public), extraction of<br />
hardwood, installation of livestock farming and, ultimately, development of<br />
modern farming and cattle raising. Reydon proposes that land speculation is<br />
the principal engine of deforestation in the Amazon rainforest, and presents<br />
empirical data that deforestation is associated with land valuation. The author<br />
conducts an analysis of the Amazon land tenure situation in its various<br />
categories, pointing to the inability of the Brazilian state to govern over the<br />
lands in the region. The reasons for which the land issue is not appropriately<br />
dealt with in the country are evaluated through a recapturing of the historical<br />
evolution of the associated Brazilian institutional framework. Reydon concludes<br />
that adequate, participative and effective governance is a necessary, but<br />
insufficient, condition to contain deforestation in the region.<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray analyzes the prospects and challenges of Brazilian<br />
law in the transition to a green economy. Irigaray starts by contextualizing<br />
green economy in the realms of sustainable development. The author argues<br />
that, from a legal perspective, the transition to a green economy requires<br />
measures that involve the structuring of a system that can effectively guide<br />
public policy, combining the use of economic instruments and command and<br />
control mechanisms, that, necessarily, should be informed by some ethical<br />
principles such as environmental justice and intra and intergenerational<br />
equity. In the context of Brazil, Irigaray identifies three main challenges to<br />
the transition: poverty, deforestation, and agriculture. The author asserts that<br />
Brazil already has a solid regulatory framework, and highlights the recognition<br />
of the fundamental right to an ecologically balanced environment associated<br />
with government and collectivity duty of defending and preserving this right.<br />
Nevertheless, some adjustments are necessary, such as institutionalizing<br />
REDD. Furthermore, the legislative advances are weakly reflected in practice.<br />
In this sense, contradictions between the policies of the Brazilian government<br />
are especially relevant.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Peter H. May brings up the issue of market mechanisms for a green economy.<br />
May claims that, from the perspective of ecological economics, instruments<br />
of natural resource management are based on two variables: the relative<br />
non-substitutability of the resource in question and its resilience (capacity to
14<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Executive Summary<br />
recover from stress or degradation). The author asserts, without ignoring the<br />
difficulty of precise their understanding, that these two variables reveal, without<br />
resorting to devices of market valuation, the biophysical constraints of human<br />
intervention. It is argued that command and control mechanisms can drive the<br />
direct regulation of resources, by establishing ceilings for levels of appropriate<br />
use (that could be null). Once caps are established, the market can act in a<br />
way to achieve efficient allocation (trade). The author specifically analyzes<br />
PES and REDD instruments. It is concluded that market mechanisms should<br />
assume an important role in the transition to a green economy, in a way that<br />
this role is mediated by regulation that defines the criteria of access and control<br />
of natural resources, reflected by biophysical limits backed by science and<br />
ample previous consultations with populations whose sustenance depends<br />
on those resources.<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta presents the topic of valuation and pricing of<br />
environmental resources in a green economy. It is argued that, due to the lack<br />
of secure property and usage rights of natural resources, externalities are not<br />
totally captured by the price system, which consequently becomes imperfect and<br />
causes inefficient allocations of these resources. Seroa da Motta reveals the<br />
components of the Economic Value of Environmental Resources (EVER): the<br />
use value (direct use, indirect use, and option) and the non-use (or existence)<br />
value. Categories of environmental services are also presented (provision,<br />
regulation, support and cultural), and related to the EVER components. The<br />
author reveals the environmental economic evaluation methods, which can be<br />
grouped into production function methods and demand function methods, and<br />
presents the complexity that such exercises involve. Seroa da Motta analyses<br />
the possibilities of internalizing environmental externalities by charging or<br />
creating markets. The author concludes with an evaluation of the limits to the<br />
potential of valuation and economic pricing of the environment.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Mário Sérgio Vasconcelos analyzes the role of financial institutions in the<br />
transition to a green economy in Brazil. The author argues that starting in<br />
the 1990’s, a series of voluntary commitments and self-regulation has been<br />
implemented by the sector. He asserts that Brazil exhibits a distinguished<br />
performance among emerging countries. The author surveys the main<br />
pacts and commitments assumed by domestic banks. The Green Protocol<br />
is emphasized as an effort to adopt socio-environmental policies that are<br />
precursory, multiplicative, demonstrative or exemplary of banking practices<br />
and that are in line with the objective of promoting sustainable development.<br />
Vasconcelos presents some measures that Brazilian banks have taken to<br />
promote sustainability in the country. The author argues that these activities<br />
result from the fact that environmental risks have generated an actual and<br />
growing impact on the four large risks faced by banking institutions. The main
15<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Executive Summary<br />
challenges of the sector are also identified. It is concluded that banks no longer<br />
play the passive role of monitoring, but rather an active role of identifying<br />
entrepreneurs, technologies and new business models.<br />
Ultimately, Ronaldo Seroa da Motta and Carolina Dubeux conduct an analysis<br />
of the measurements of policies for the transition towards a green economy.<br />
The authors argue that it is possible to understand sustainability as that which<br />
allows us to maintain the capital stock, which defines the future fluxes of goods<br />
of services, at least constant. They defend that the capacities of ecosystems to<br />
generate services have limits, which, once surpassed, cause a collapse. The<br />
definition of these limits (that is, the critical level of natural capital) determines<br />
the sustainability trajectory of an economy. The green economy is that which<br />
produces a continuous increase in the stock of natural capital. The authors<br />
analyze the creation of institutional capacity to integrate environmental policies<br />
with economic policies and a system of environmental indicators that would be<br />
capable of measuring and monitoring the benefits of natural capital investments.<br />
They propose, in this sense, a systematization of environmental indicators, the<br />
amplification of economic instruments and the removal of perverse incentives.<br />
It is concluded that environmental regulation should not be seen as a problem<br />
and that, beyond a solution, it could represent a source of economic and social<br />
benefits for Brazil.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
16<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Delineations of a green<br />
economy<br />
Helena Boniatti Pavese 1<br />
In t r o d u c t io n<br />
Over the past 50 years, human beings have been altering ecosystems at an<br />
increasingly accelerated and intensive pace than in any other period of human<br />
history, especially due to the increasing demand for natural resources, such as<br />
food, water, timber, fibers and fuels 2 .<br />
Despite the significant contribution to economic growth and to promoting<br />
social well-being, the excessive extraction of these resources led to irreversible<br />
losses of global biodiversity and services provided by ecosystems, many of<br />
which are considered essential to human survival.<br />
Wh a t a r e e n v ir o n m e n t a l s e r v i c e s?<br />
According to the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Report (MEA) 3 ,<br />
environmental (or ecosystem) services are defined as “the benefits people<br />
obtain from ecosystems”.<br />
They can be divided into four categories:<br />
(i) provisioning services, such as food, water and timber, etc.;<br />
(ii) regulating services, such as those that affect climate, flooding,<br />
diseases, water quality, among others<br />
(iii) cultural services, related to recreational, esthetic and spiritual; and<br />
(iv) supporting services, which include soil formation, photosynthesis and<br />
nutrient recycling.<br />
Also according to the report, close to 60% of these services have been<br />
degraded or used unsustainably, including fresh water, purification of air and<br />
water, and local and regional climate regulation 4 . These alterations increase<br />
the probability of accelerated, abrupt and irreversible changes with significant<br />
consequences for human well-being, and threaten the survival of many<br />
communities, especially in developing countries, where in some cases close<br />
to 90% of GDP is linked to nature or natural resources 5 .<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. Environmental Policy Manager at Conservation International Brazil and former Regional<br />
Coordinator for Latin America and the Caribbean at the World Conservation Monitoring<br />
Center of the United Nations Environment Programme (WCMC/UNEP).<br />
2. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005).<br />
3. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005), p. V.<br />
4. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005), p.1.<br />
5. UNEP (2011a).
17<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Delineations of a<br />
green economy<br />
Helena Pavese<br />
Despite the proven intrinsic relationship between human well-being and<br />
natural resources, unsustainable economic activities still prevail. Currently,<br />
around 1-2% of the global GDP are destined to substituting practices that, in<br />
many cases, lead to the degradation of natural resources, such as fishing and<br />
agriculture 6 .<br />
These investments are motivated by the rapid accumulation of physical,<br />
financial and human capital, disregarding natural capital, and thus generating<br />
a vicious cycle through which negative impacts exerted on natural resources<br />
consequently lead to negative impacts on human well-being and the escalation<br />
of poverty.<br />
This article aims to point out the main advances in the delineations of a<br />
green economy. Beyond this introduction, the article consists of three sections.<br />
The first elaborates on the Green Economy Initiative, and the output Report on<br />
green economy, launched in February 2011. The second presents some main<br />
results raised in this Report. Ultimately, are the final remarks.<br />
Th e Gr e e n Ec o n o m y Initiative<br />
Seeking to raise evidence about the social and economic risks and costs<br />
generated by current standards of excessive resource use as well as highlight<br />
opportunities for a transition to more sustainable practices, the United Nations<br />
Environment Programme (UNEP) launched the Green Economy Initiative (GEI)<br />
in 2008. The main objective of this initiative is to support the development of a<br />
global plan for the transition to a green economy that is dominated by investment<br />
and consumption of goods and services that promote the environment.<br />
Wh a t is a g r e e n e c o n o m y?<br />
Green economy is understood as “one that results in the improvement<br />
of human well-being and social equity, while significantly reducing<br />
environmental risks and ecological scarcities”. 7<br />
A green economy is based on three main strategies: (1) the reduction<br />
of carbon emissions, (2) enhanced energy and resource efficiency and<br />
(3) the prevention of loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
To become viable, these strategies must be catalyzed and supported<br />
by targeted public and private investments as well as by political reforms<br />
and regulatory changes. Also, natural capital should be maintained,<br />
enhanced and, when necessary, rebuilt, especially for poor people whose<br />
livelihoods and security depend on nature.<br />
6. UNEP (2011a). p.1.<br />
7. How is a Green Economy Defined? (n.d.) Retrieved from: .
18<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Delineations of a<br />
green economy<br />
Helena Pavese<br />
The GEI flagship is the development of the Report about green economy,<br />
launched in February 2011, “Towards a green economy: pathways to sustainable<br />
development and poverty eradication”. The document contains an analysis<br />
of macroeconomic aspects and issues linked to sustainability and poverty<br />
reduction related to investments in a range of sectors from renewable energy<br />
to sustainable agriculture. It is expected that such analysis will support the<br />
formulation of policies that can catalyze an increase in investments in these<br />
green sectors. In addition to analyzing this content, GEI provides consulting<br />
services to countries and regions and produces research products as well<br />
as promotes the establishment of partnerships with a wide range of actors,<br />
including academia, non-governmental organizations, the private sector, among<br />
others, for the effective promotion and implementation of green economy<br />
strategies.<br />
“To w a r d s a g r e e n e c o n o m y: p a t h w a y s to<br />
s u s t a in a b l e d e v e l o p m e n t a n d p o v e r t y e r a d ic a t io n”<br />
Produced by the UNEP in partnership with global economists and specialists,<br />
the report “Towards a green economy: pathways to sustainable development<br />
and poverty eradication” seeks to defend the proposal that making economies<br />
green does not necessarily imply a reduction in economic growth and<br />
employment levels. On the contrary, such a transition would allow growth to<br />
be strengthened through the generation of descent jobs 8 and would consist<br />
of a vital strategy to eliminate poverty. It is hoped that the evidence raised by<br />
this study will encourage decision makers to develop favorable conditions for<br />
increased green economy investments, based on three main strategies:<br />
1. Stimulate a change in investments, both public and private, seeking to<br />
encourage critical sectors in the transition to a green economy;<br />
2. Demonstrate how a green economy can reduce persistent poverty through<br />
a wide range of important sectors, including agriculture, forestry, fishery, water<br />
and energy; and<br />
3. Provide guidelines on policies that permit this change; through the<br />
elimination of perverse subsidies, identification of market failures, establishment<br />
of regulatory frameworks or stimulus for sustainable investments.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The report seeks to demystify the idea that there is an inevitable trade-off<br />
between social development, economic growth and environmental sustainability<br />
and dispel misconceptions that green economy is a luxury whose costs only<br />
developed countries can bear. The principal message highlighted by the Report<br />
is that:<br />
8. Employment that provide an adequate salary, social welfare and respect of workers’ rights<br />
that allow workers to express their opinions about decisions that affect their lives. Source: OIT<br />
(2009).
19<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Delineations of a<br />
green economy<br />
Helena Pavese<br />
“An investment equivalent to 2% of the global GDP in ten key sectors<br />
can combat poverty and generate greener and more efficient growth”.<br />
According to the Report, such an investment could be the initial kick-off for<br />
the transition to a green economy with efficient resource use and low carbon.<br />
The authors claim that this amount corresponds to only 1.3 trillion dollars per<br />
year and would drive global economic growth to levels that are probably higher<br />
than those of current economic models 9 .<br />
Agriculture, construction, fishery, forestry, energy supply, industry, tourism,<br />
transport, waste and water management are the 10 sectors evaluated in the<br />
study and identified as fundamental for making the global economy more<br />
green.<br />
For these sectors to transition to a greener economy, in general terms, the<br />
study puts forth the following allocation of resources 10 :<br />
• Agriculture: US$ 108 billion, includes small farms<br />
• Buildings: US$ 134 billion, applied to energy efficiency programs<br />
• Energy (supply): Above US$ 360 billion<br />
• Fisheries: US$ 110 billion, includes reducing the capacity of global fleets<br />
• Forestry: US$ 15 billion to combat climate change<br />
• Industry: US$ 75 billion<br />
• Tourism: US$ 135 billion<br />
• Transport: US$ 190 billion<br />
• Waste management: US$ 110 billion, includes recycling<br />
• Water: a similar amount, includes basic sanitation<br />
The report also presents results and recommendations for specific sectors,<br />
highlighting sectoral opportunities generated by the transition to a green<br />
economy, including poverty reduction, job creation, strengthened social equity<br />
and the maintenance and restoration of natural capital. Among these, the<br />
following stand out:<br />
Agriculture<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Reducing deforestation and increasing reforestation generate benefits<br />
for agriculture and rural communities, through the use of economic<br />
mechanisms and existing markets, such as, certifications for wood, payments for<br />
ecosystem services and potential benefits from REDD+ mechanisms, strategies<br />
that can currently be found in national and international discussion forums .<br />
9. UNEP (2011b), p.4.<br />
10. UNEP (2011a).
20<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Delineations of a<br />
green economy<br />
Helena Pavese<br />
Greener agriculture ensures food supply for a growing global population<br />
without harming the resource base of this sector. This can be done through<br />
the transition from industrial and subsistence agricultural practices to more<br />
sustainable models, with more efficient use of water, extensive use of organic<br />
or natural soil nutrients and integrated pest control 12 .<br />
The transition to a green economy also requires strengthened<br />
institutions and the development of infrastructure in rural areas of<br />
developing countries. This aspect includes the removal of ecologically<br />
perverse subsidies and the promotion of regulatory reform that incorporates<br />
the cost of degradation into food and commodity prices 13 .<br />
Greening agriculture in developing countries, concentrating on small<br />
properties, can reduce poverty while permitting investment in natural<br />
capital on which the poorest depend. The adoption of sustainable practices<br />
(such as agroforestry, integrated management of nutrients and pests) is one of<br />
the most efficient ways to increase the availability of food and facilitate access<br />
to emerging international markets for green products. Adopting such practices<br />
can move agriculture from the position as major greenhouse gas emitter to a<br />
neutral position, and also contribute to reducing deforestation and water use<br />
by 55% and 35%, respectively 14 .<br />
Water<br />
The growing scarcity of water can be mitigated through fomentation<br />
policies and investments aimed at improving the provision and efficiency<br />
of water use 15 .<br />
Investments in the provision of drinking water and sanitation services<br />
for the poor represent a great opportunity to accelerate the transition to<br />
a green economy in many developing countries. Annual investments of<br />
0.15% of the global GDP would enable global water use to be maintained at<br />
sustainable levels as well as the achievement of the Millennium Development<br />
Goals related to water by 2015 16 .<br />
The supply of jobs in the water sector would suffer temporary<br />
adjustments due to the necessity of recovering water resources.<br />
Improvements in efficiency and reductions in consumption would reduce<br />
total water consumption by 20% and employment opportunities by 25% by<br />
2050 compared to current rates. However, such forecasts do not capture new<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
11. UNEP (2011b), p.6.<br />
12. UNEP (2011b). p.7.<br />
13. UNEP (2011b). p.7.<br />
14. UNEP (2011b). p.9.<br />
15. UNEP (2011b). p.8.<br />
16. UNEP (2011b). p.10.
21<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Delineations of a<br />
green economy<br />
Helena Pavese<br />
job opportunities generated by infrastructure developments aimed at water<br />
efficiency 17 .<br />
Energy sector<br />
Renewable energy presents great economic opportunities. “Greening”<br />
the energy sector requires a substitution of investments in carbon intensive<br />
energy sources to investments in clean energy, as well as improvements in<br />
energy efficiency. Many of these investments would be rewarded in the future,<br />
considering the growth in the market for renewable technologies and the<br />
growing concern over the social costs generated by technologies based on<br />
fossil fuels 18 .<br />
Government policies play an essential role in strengthening incentives<br />
for investments in renewable energy, including time-bound incentives, feedin<br />
tariffs (payments for renewable energy that users produce), direct subsidies<br />
and tax credits 19 .<br />
A minimum allocation of 1% of the global GDP to increase energy<br />
efficiency and expand the use of renewable energy would create additional<br />
jobs and produce more competitive energy 20 .<br />
An annual investment of around 1.25% of the global GDP in energy<br />
efficiency and renewable energy could reduce global primary energy<br />
demands by 9% by 2020 and 40% by 2050 21 .<br />
Tourism<br />
The development of tourism, when well designed, can strengthen local<br />
economies and reduce poverty 22 .<br />
Fisheries<br />
Investments in the fisheries management, including the creation of<br />
protected marine areas, and deactivation and reduction in fleet capacity<br />
can recuperate the fishery resources of the planet. Such recuperation entails<br />
an increase in catches from the current 80 million tons to 90 million as well as<br />
the creation of a significant number of jobs in the sector by 2050 23 .<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
17. UNEP (2011b). p.13.<br />
18. UNEP (2011b), p.14.<br />
19. UNEP (2011b), p.15.<br />
20. UNEP (2011b), p.12.<br />
21. UNEP (2011a).<br />
22. UNEP (2011b), p.11.<br />
23. UNEP (2011a).
22<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The benefits from a transition of the fishing industry exceed 3 to 5 times<br />
the investment necessary for this transition 24 .<br />
The job supply in the fishery sector would suffer temporary adjustments<br />
due to the necessity of recovering fish stocks. “Greening” the fisheries<br />
sector would result in job losses in the short and medium terms, but the long<br />
term supply would go back up due to the recuperation of fish stocks 25 .<br />
Delineations of a<br />
green economy<br />
Helena Pavese<br />
Waste management<br />
With a 108 billion dollar annual investment in “greening” the waste sector,<br />
the global recycling of waste could triple by 2050. This would imply a reduction<br />
of more than 85% of the amounts currently deposited in landfills 26 .<br />
Such investments may result in full recycling of electronic wastes, as<br />
compared to current levels of 15% 27 .<br />
A 10% increase in the life-spans of all products produced would lead<br />
to a similar reduction in the volume of extracted resources.<br />
The job supply in the waste management sector would grow as a result<br />
of the increased waste generated by population and income growth, but<br />
the challenges related to the generation of descent employment in this<br />
sector are considerable. Currently, recycling generates around 12 million<br />
jobs in only three countries (Brazil, China and the United States) 28 . In green<br />
investment scenarios, projected growth of the job supply in the waste sector<br />
would be 10% compared to current trends.<br />
Transport<br />
Annual investments of 0.34% of the global GDP up to 2050 could reduce<br />
the use of petroleum by 80%, compared to current patterns, and elevate<br />
employment rates by 6% 29 .<br />
The environmental and social costs generated by the transport sector<br />
are currently at around 10% of the GDP of a country or region.<br />
A “greening” of the transport sector requires the creation of policies to<br />
foster the utilization of public and non-motorized transport, fuel efficiency<br />
and the development of less polluting vehicles.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
24. UNEP (2011b), p.11.<br />
25. UNEP (2011b), p.13.<br />
26. UNEP (2011a).<br />
27. UNEP (2011a), p.1.<br />
28. UNEP/ILO/IOE/ITUC (2008).<br />
29. UNEP (2011b), p.23.
23<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Delineations of a<br />
green economy<br />
Helena Pavese<br />
Gr e e n e c o n o m y: p o s s i b l e a n d d e s ir a b l e<br />
The final message transmitted by the report is that a green economy is both<br />
desirable and possible. This concept possesses the potential to promote the<br />
much desired sustainable development and poverty eradication, rapidly and<br />
effectively. A green economy favors growth with the generation of income and<br />
jobs.<br />
However, such a transformation is subject to two great changes: in the way<br />
our economy is structured and in the recognition that the environment forms the<br />
basis of our physical goods, which should be managed as sources of growth,<br />
prosperity and well-being 30 .<br />
Green investments have great potential to strengthen sectors and technologies<br />
that could be the main promoters of economic and social development in the<br />
future, including technologies for renewable energy, energy efficient construction<br />
and low-carbon transport systems 31 .<br />
Thus, in addition to technologies, complimentary investments in human capital<br />
would also be necessary, which includes generating and sharing strategies,<br />
mechanisms and policies that promote a transition to a green economy 32 .<br />
Therefore, the transition to a green economy triggers, according to the<br />
Report, a series of desirable results in the long term, whether in economic,<br />
social or environmental terms. The Report offers clear directives of what can<br />
be done in each of the ten sectors analyzed to bring about such a transition.<br />
The document supports the proposition that a transition to a green economy<br />
would bring benefits in the long term that would compensate for possible short<br />
term losses.<br />
References<br />
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005). Ecosystems and Human Well-Being:<br />
Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press, p.1.<br />
OIT (2009). Programa Empregos Verdes. Brasília: OIT.<br />
UNEP (2011a). Rumo a uma economia verde: caminhos para o desenvolvimento<br />
sustentável e a erradicação da pobreza, Press Release United Nations Environment<br />
Programme. Retrieved from: .<br />
UNEP (2011b). Towards a Green Economy: pathways to sustainable development and<br />
poverty eradication. United Nations Environment Programme, p.4.<br />
UNEP/ILO/IOE/ITUC (2008). Green jobs: towards decent work in a sustainable, lowcarbon<br />
world. Nairobi: UNEP.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
30. UNEP (2011b), p. 37.<br />
31. UNEP (2011b), p. 37.<br />
32. UNEP (2011b), p. 37.
24<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The necessarily systemic<br />
character of the transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Alexandre d´Avignon 1<br />
Luiz Antônio Cruz Caruso 2<br />
The green economy as defined in the United Nations Environment<br />
Programme’s (UNEP) publication, “Towards a green economy: pathways to<br />
sustainable development and poverty eradication”, brings a series of challenges.<br />
This economy seeks human well-being and social equity, while reducing<br />
environmental risks and resource scarcity, and is characterized by low carbon<br />
intensity. Certainly this was not the first expression that captures the aspirations<br />
of those who seek structural changes in the capitalist economy, focused on<br />
values other than the maximization of profits, in a perfectly competitive market<br />
tending to equilibrium. The breakthrough of this approach is essentially in its<br />
overcoming the anthropocentric view of nature and the planet, in which these<br />
must serve humankind and attend its needs. As René Passet (1991) pointed,<br />
the order and the cycles of nature must be respected so as not to exhaust its<br />
potentialities and energy sources.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The biosphere and the interactions of its subsystems (atmosphere,<br />
lithosphere, hydrosphere and biota) determine the conditions under which<br />
human activities can take place, whether social or economic. Ultimately, it is<br />
the biosphere that will determine the limits and possibilities of mutual influence<br />
between living beings and the planet. Humans are part of this whole, and an<br />
important part because of their ability to intervene in the environment, but there<br />
is not a hierarchy in which humans are at the top. The relationship between<br />
human societies and the biosphere cannot be reduced to economic or even<br />
social dimensions. Human activities such as are analyzed in economics through<br />
the relations of production, exchange, consumption, etc. represent only a first<br />
sphere of human practices in an ordainment with specific rules established,<br />
included in a broader social sphere, civil society, the state, ideologies etc. Yet<br />
the latter is circumscribed, in turn, by an even broader universe consisting of<br />
inanimate and living matter, which surrounds and extends beyond. It is within<br />
these three spheres – modes of production, formation of society and the<br />
1. Professor of the Program for Public Policies, Strategies and Development of the Economics<br />
Institute of Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (PPED/IE/UFRJ) and researcher at the<br />
Program for Energy Planning (COPPE/UFRJ).<br />
2. Doctoral student at the Program for Public Policies, Estrategies and Development of the<br />
Economics Institute of Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (PPED/IE/UFRJ).
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The necessarily<br />
systemic character<br />
of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
biosphere – that human activities are inserted. The reproduction and functioning<br />
of each sphere are regulated by the other two. Due to the relationship between<br />
these three spheres of inclusion, it can be affirmed that the elements of the<br />
economic sphere belong to the biosphere and obey its laws, but that all elements<br />
of the biosphere do not belong necessarily pertain to the economic sphere of<br />
economy and are not subject to its rules. As James Lovelock (2001) states, the<br />
earth became what it is through its habitation by living beings and these have<br />
been the means but not the purpose for the planet’s development.<br />
It is interesting to observe, however, that at UNEP’s homepage on the internet,<br />
where the above publication can be accessed, is a statement in small print:<br />
“environment for development.” Is this not a contradiction of the perception<br />
of the program regarding the proposed definition of green economy in the<br />
publication?<br />
Painting neoclassical economics green is not the solution. We need a<br />
structural change in the “household management” (oikos = house + nomia =<br />
management, study or laws, according to Houaiss, 2001), referring to the planet<br />
as the home of all living beings and, as such, needing to be preserved and<br />
respected. Making the conventional economy green, from UNEP’s perspective,<br />
is to prioritize growth of income and employment. The latter are to be stimulated<br />
by public and private investments that reduce carbon emissions and pollution<br />
and promote the efficient use of energy and natural resources, preventing the<br />
loss of ecosystem services and biodiversity. These investments will be catalyzed<br />
and supported by public policy reforms and regulatory changes. The proposed<br />
route of development should maintain, enhance and, where necessary, restore<br />
natural capital, since it is a critical economic asset that generates public benefits,<br />
especially for poor people whose livelihoods and security depend essentially<br />
on nature.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Encouraging public and private entities to assume primary responsibility,<br />
in which the action of external private or public agents is proposed as the<br />
solution, is precisely the approach criticized by Elinor Ostrom (2008). According<br />
to her, this option comes from a metaphorical and specific view contained in<br />
the “Tragedy of the Commons”, described by Garrett Hardin in 1968, and the<br />
Prisoner’s Dilemma model proposed by the same author, as well as the “Logic<br />
of Collective Action” developed by Mancur Olson with the idea of free riding in<br />
joint activities in a community for the public good. Ostrom questions currently<br />
fashionable approaches involving intervention by coercive or regulatory state<br />
action or by the definition of ownership through privatization. Empirically, such<br />
approaches are associated with a huge list of failures. In Ostrom’s view, solutions<br />
should always be defined on a case-by-case basis through agreement among<br />
stakeholders, for managing what she calls the use of common resources, i.e.,<br />
public goods. The author describes a number of real alternative solutions to<br />
external intervention.
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The necessarily<br />
systemic character<br />
of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
In the UNEP publication, biodiversity, as an example of a public good,<br />
would not be valued properly in neoclassical economics. Nor can neoclassical<br />
economics properly value environmental services, which contribute to human<br />
welfare and family livelihoods and could provide a source of new skilled<br />
jobs. Estimating the economic value of ecosystem services is essential for<br />
the identification of natural capital. This is one of the dimensions that would<br />
support the transition to a green economy, stimulating a change in conventional<br />
economic indicators and leading them to account for the loss of natural capital<br />
as negative and not positive components of national accounts. Is the correct<br />
valuation of these services associated with favorable conditions sufficient<br />
conditions for this transition?<br />
How can one assign new parameters to a green economy, if the essential<br />
discussion of equity and local participation is kept on the sidelines? The<br />
voracious consumption of energy and natural resources characteristic of<br />
industrialized countries shows that this is not a development model that<br />
respects the biosphere, its principles and pace of regeneration. The legacy left<br />
by development based on fossil fuels has brought to the forefront global issues<br />
such as climate change and ozone layer destruction, revealing economic options<br />
that were imposed, causing the abandonment of innovations that could have<br />
been stimulated by national innovation systems, which would involve R&D,<br />
legal framework of incentives and patent system. An important example would<br />
be the intensive use of biomass through the BTL (Biomass to Liquid) or BTG<br />
(Biomass to Gas) at a growth rate appropriate to the regenerative capacity of<br />
natural resources. Energy from solar and photovoltaic sources, wind power,<br />
hydrogen, more efficient batteries were not adequately exploited due to current<br />
technological route, causing the abandonment in the past of other options.<br />
It is worth recalling that Rudolf Diesel patented his engine to work with<br />
vegetable oils, in this case of peanuts, and even before his presentation at<br />
the Paris World Fair in 1898, there were manufactures of vehicles with electric<br />
motors. The latter have proliferated in public transport with trams, which were<br />
later replaced by internal combustion vehicles in several cities. If there had not<br />
been an imposition by specific economic sectors, these technologies could<br />
have persisted and received a share of investments from national innovation<br />
systems. In this case, the options nowadays in terms of development of<br />
technologies considered as alternatives would have been much more promising,<br />
comprehensive and widespread.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
This short historical account raises other issues related to the green economy.<br />
Could the problems generated by the economy practiced today be overcome by<br />
adopting the recommendations proposed by UNEP, during the next 20 years,<br />
as indicated by the scenario options displayed in “Towards a Green Economy:<br />
Pathways to Sustainable Development and Eradication Poverty”? Shouldn’t
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The necessarily<br />
systemic character<br />
of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
the economic model proposed have been adopted years ago due to the global<br />
issues we face today such as global warming? Isn’t it now too late?<br />
In addition to the balanced access to natural and energy resources by the<br />
planet’s population, there is a need for the development of technologies based<br />
on regional vocations and not the imposition of a technological pathway derived<br />
from economies of scale and short-term profits. The technologies relating to<br />
the burning of liquid or solid fossil fuels in thermodynamic cycles generally<br />
capable of using no more than 30% of energy supplied, rather than more<br />
elegant alternatives, such as the manufacture of polymers, is an example of<br />
the imposition of a single pathway, dominated by large global organizations.<br />
Cogeneration of power and fixed systems integrated to generate electricity<br />
and heat, for example, are much more efficient and would provide yields up to<br />
50% in automobile engines.<br />
Temporal equity is another important element to be taken into account, since<br />
it brings us to the origin of the concept of sustainable development contained<br />
in “Our Common Future”, a publication resulting from the 1987 Brundtland<br />
Report. This book provides as one definition of the concept: “Development that<br />
seeks to meet the needs of the present generation without compromising the<br />
ability of future generations to meet their own needs.” This means enabling<br />
people, now and in the future, to achieve a satisfactory level of social and<br />
economic development and human and cultural accomplishment, making, at<br />
the same time, reasonable use of land resources with preservation of species<br />
and habitats. The latter element does not appear explicitly in the green economy<br />
concept proposed by UNEP, but it does appear when it proposes to prevent<br />
loss or depletion of environmental services and biodiversity.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The United Nations´ Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),<br />
while incorporating concepts such as the precautionary principle and of<br />
common but differentiated responsibilities, also promotes another concept<br />
related to an international economy favorable and conducive to sustainable<br />
growth and development, particularly in developing countries. This perception<br />
of international cooperation is essential for a structural transformation in the<br />
economy. The creation of national innovation systems that are integrated<br />
with international systems, promote environmentally sound technologies<br />
aimed at conserving biodiversity and ecosystem services and reversing the<br />
planet´s degradation and is patents free, is increasingly imperative. Market<br />
mechanisms or governmental regulations lack the necessary vitality to drive<br />
the radical transformations required to implement a planet-level management<br />
that harmonizes the interaction between human activities and the biotic and<br />
a-biotic environments. These mechanisms do not provide adequate information<br />
or, as in the case of market-defined prices, or do not have enough information,<br />
especially in the case of governments. Moreover, these mechanisms do not<br />
seem feasible to keep pace with the urgent needs of reversing degradation,
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The necessarily<br />
systemic character<br />
of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
eliminating poverty and providing quality of life for the biosphere´s inhabitants.<br />
A national system of information with the specific objective of creating agreed<br />
alternatives, associating the interested stakeholders, could develop research<br />
and technologies with a sustainable and environmentally harmonious bias.<br />
Schumpeterian and neoschumpeterian approaches provide some important<br />
elements for rethinking the economy. They focus on technology as a vector<br />
for transformation of human societies and emphasize the concept of creative<br />
destruction, aligned with the idea of using crises as levers for transformation.<br />
They do not view an economy as tending toward equilibrium, but as an everchanging<br />
system that is redesigned whenever new options or other technological<br />
paradigms emerge. In the case of evolutionary economics, the replacement<br />
of old technologies with new ones could provoke disruptions to conventional<br />
paradigms. From an environmental perspective, the main impulse leading to<br />
disruptions would be increasingly clean technological options, which would<br />
replace those that have become environmentally and climatically “obsolete.”<br />
This approach certainly would not bring extraordinary profits to entrepreneurs<br />
because they would still lack scale and competitiveness, but it would take into<br />
account the negative externalities caused by conventional, environmentally<br />
obsolete technologies. It would require temporary incentive mechanisms for<br />
the new technological to gain scale and autonomy. Such incentives would be<br />
extracted from the negative impacts, or in other words, the negative externalities<br />
of conventional technologies. For example, the value of hospitalizations caused<br />
by the use of private transport in large cities would no longer be paid by the<br />
government, if such transport were substituted by collective options without<br />
emissions.<br />
In the reflections contained in the UNEP publication, the transition to a green<br />
economy involves two types of myths. The first refers to a lack of simultaneous<br />
co-existence between economic growth and environmental sustainability. The<br />
second concerns an interpretation that the transition is a way for rich countries<br />
to perpetuate poverty in developing countries. To question the validity of these<br />
myths, the paper’s authors used the projection model T-21 (Threshold 21)<br />
and simulated the behavior of some variables, generating scenarios for a<br />
green economy. In addition, they compared these results with the results of a<br />
business-as-usual trend and concluded that there are numerous advantages<br />
to investing in natural capital. The use of scenarios to explore future trends<br />
based on current conditions is a useful tool, but it is quite fragile over a 20-year<br />
timeframe, as in the present case.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
According to the authors, the T21 model was designed to support a<br />
comprehensive and integrated planning process for countries. It consists of<br />
three pillars: economic, social and governmental. It is important to emphasize<br />
that the economic pillar includes the agriculture, industry and service sectors,<br />
which are characterized by Cobb-Douglas production functions with inputs of
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Challenges and<br />
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The necessarily<br />
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of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
labor, capital and technology (Mahmoud and El Sebaei, 2005). In this general<br />
equilibrium model variations were introduced in the dynamics of some sectors<br />
to see the impact on future GDP, employment, the intensity of resources used,<br />
emissions and environmental impacts. Eight major sectors were chosen as<br />
those capable of setting trends for transition to an economy characterized by<br />
poverty alleviation, investment in the maintenance and restoration of natural<br />
capital, job creation and improved social equity, incentives for renewable energy<br />
and energy efficiency, and urban mobility and sustainability.<br />
The first sector analyzed was forestry. The transition in this sector would<br />
require: reduced deforestation and expansion of reforestation; certification of<br />
forest products; payment for environmental services; and REDD+, assuming<br />
legal changes and modifications in local governance. Certainly, this would be a<br />
promising path, but it is important to remember that there has been no regulation<br />
of REDD+ and that the conventional activities such as production of livestock<br />
and export led monocultures are large-scale vectors that are basically contrary<br />
to this approach. Other related measures would be necessary to encourage the<br />
practice of semi- or full-confinement of livestock to reduce pressure on forests, to<br />
encourage using animal waste and plant residues for energy generation, etc.<br />
The second sector, agriculture, would require changes in family farming<br />
and agribusiness in the direction of: practices for managing soil fertility; more<br />
sustainable and efficient use of water, seed diversification; management<br />
of animal and plant health; appropriate level of mechanization; integrated<br />
management of pesticides; and integrated management of nutrients. The<br />
reduction or elimination of subsidies that distort the real cost of agricultural inputs<br />
is also required. It is interesting to emphasize that the integrated activities, such<br />
as agro-silvo-pastoral systems, are non-conventional solutions that, similar to<br />
bio-digesters for producing biogas and bio-fertilizer, deserve proper attention.<br />
Remember that integrated systems can meet most of a rural activity´s needs<br />
for energy and raw materials, both in a family and in a business operation. The<br />
wastes and residues, when properly used in rural activities, become sources<br />
of energy and fertilizer.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The third sector is related to the scarcity of water and requires improvements<br />
in managing its supply and efficient use. In developing countries, such<br />
improvements frequently need to focus on reservoirs and sanitation, associated<br />
with changes in institutional arrangements. In this case, the main focus would<br />
be the care of water bodies currently threatened by pollution caused by poor<br />
sanitation. This would certainly be the main vector for reducing waterborne<br />
diseases and creating the necessary conditions to improve the quality of life<br />
for the poor in most developing countries.<br />
In the fourth sector, fishing, the sustainable management of fisheries<br />
is paramount. Steps toward sustainable management of fisheries include<br />
strengthening management and financing the reduction of excess fishing
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The necessarily<br />
systemic character<br />
of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
capacity worldwide. Such steps clearly involve external intervention, which<br />
might hinder innovative solutions related to sea culture and other practices<br />
aimed at restocking the oceans, rivers and lakes.<br />
The fifth sector, ecotourism, improvements would lead to local economic<br />
development and poverty reduction. The greening of the sector would increase<br />
local community participation, especially the poor, in the tourism value chain,<br />
thereby reducing poverty. Tourism activities often have no commitment to local<br />
activities and, instead, frequently degrade areas where local communities carry<br />
out those activities. It will be necessary to provoke a fairly sharp transformation<br />
in the culture of this sector to ensure that tourism becomes a vector for poverty<br />
alleviation.<br />
With respect to renewable energy and energy efficiency, the sixth sector,<br />
the growing supply from renewable sources reduces the risks of increasing the<br />
volatile prices characteristic of fossil fuels, and also helps to mitigate emissions<br />
of greenhouse gas emissions. There would be considerable potential for growth<br />
in this sector, through investments in renewable energy, including second<br />
generation bio-fuels. In this case, greening would require that investments<br />
migrate from carbon-intensive technologies to clean energy and energy<br />
efficiency improvements. Investments in renewable energy and energy policies<br />
could improve the living standards and health of populations.<br />
Until the outbreak of economic crisis, investments in alternative sources<br />
of renewable energies and energy efficiency (excluding nuclear sources and<br />
large hydropower projects) were steadily growing. In 2004, they totaled US$ 46<br />
billion and had multiplied almost five times by 2008, reaching US$ 173 billion,<br />
or nearly 10% of global investments in energy infrastructure according to the<br />
UNEP publication. Just in power generation, renewable and energy efficiency<br />
achieved 42 GW of the capacity installed in 2008, nearly a quarter of the total<br />
(190 GW) installed that year. The growth of investments, which range from<br />
private and public R&D to programs in private companies and government<br />
agencies, were closely associated with distributed generation, in which the<br />
small decentralized units are prioritized over centralized production.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
According to the IPCC, to stabilize CO 2 e concentrations at a level of 450 ppm<br />
by 2030 will require a reduction of 60% in CO 2 e emissions in relation to 1990.<br />
This challenge means that, within a few decades, a complete restructuring of the<br />
planet´s energy infrastructure will be required. Although not precisely estimated,<br />
according to the Stern Report these changes would absorb approximately 1% of<br />
global GDP. If we take into account the overall GDP of 2007 of US$ 54 trillion,<br />
this would mean required investments of US$ 540 billion per year. Another<br />
estimation in 2008 by the International Energy Agency indicates a need for<br />
annual investments of US$ 550 billion in alternative renewable energy sources<br />
through 2030 to stabilize concentrations at 450 ppm CO 2 e. In the case of New
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opportunities<br />
The necessarily<br />
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of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
Energy Finance’s Global Futures, the estimated average annual investment<br />
is US$ 515 billion.<br />
Certainly these figures are much higher today than those observed in the<br />
years before the crisis, and it would take at least three years of growth at 50%<br />
per year to reach the required levels just in the energy sector, taking into account<br />
the level of 2009 investments (US$ 162 billion). Forms of distributed power<br />
generation associated with other economic activities would be critical for this<br />
transition. For distributed generation, this means easing taxation to encourage<br />
decentralization and stimulate self-generation.<br />
In transport, the seventh sector, improving the energy efficiency of the different<br />
modes of transport is a fundamental requirement in the evolution from private<br />
to public transport and to non-motorized transport. Urban mobility is closely<br />
linked to spatial occupation across the landscape by people. In developing<br />
countries, the high urban growth and concentration observed in recent decades<br />
undermines the sustainability of cities, which wind up “dominating” areas far<br />
beyond their borders. Planning of urban land occupation and incentives to<br />
reverse the flow of migrants seem crucial to halt the continued growth of vehicles<br />
and the continued deterioration of public health in these centers. The use of<br />
high quality, electric public transport and other alternatives is fundamental for<br />
transition to take place.<br />
Finally, in the manufacturing industry, the central strategy would be to extend<br />
the life of the manufactured products by increased emphasis on redesign,<br />
remanufacture and recycling, which constitute the core of closed-circuit<br />
production. This eighth sector would be of vital importance. But how to slow the<br />
pace of production growth for a population that continues to grow? Respecting<br />
nature’s cycles and generating waste at a pace that can be absorbed by those<br />
cycles seems the best path. It is necessary, however, to make use of more<br />
sophisticated tools such as life cycle analysis to increase the efficiency in the<br />
use of natural resources and, sharply decreasing the amount of raw materials<br />
in consumer goods and durables and, as a result, the amount of energy used in<br />
manufacturing processes. The European Union has already adopted a 4-factor<br />
reduction, i.e. a quarter of the amount of raw materials for new products. Some<br />
countries already show a 10-factor reduction. Changing the current preferences<br />
from unused to recycled commodities generates substantial conflicts in some<br />
sectors. Likewise, changing the established pace of growth in the production of<br />
iron ore, soybeans and meat is a Herculean task. Dematerializing contemporary<br />
society still seems a distant dream.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Using changes in the variables proposed by the publication and applying them<br />
to the T21 model, result in the scenarios that point to a green economy growing<br />
faster than the business-as-usual while also maintaining and restoring natural<br />
capital and promoting poverty reduction (UNEP, 2011). This application bears<br />
resemblance to the World 3-91 program, established to formulate “The Limits to
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opportunities<br />
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Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
Growth”, first published in 1972, later reissued as “Beyond the Limits” in 1992<br />
and finally republished in 2004 under the title “Limits Growth: 30-Year Update”,<br />
which showed that there was still hope because we had not yet exceeded the<br />
limits of no return. The limits model, based on the systems dynamics of Jay<br />
Forrester, operated in a highly aggregated fashion without taking into account<br />
political changes, war or widespread shortages.<br />
The second myth discussed in the UNEP publication – that the transition<br />
would be a way for rich countries to perpetuate poverty in developing countries<br />
– has thornier issues to address. According to Kemp and Soete (1992), we<br />
are already in a transition from a fossil fuel-based economy to a low-carbon<br />
economy. In this phase, greener economic activities would primarily use end<br />
of pipe technologies and some cleaner technologies. Moving toward a lowcarbon<br />
economy requires investments in the generation and diffusion of cleaner<br />
technologies. The diffusion of a range of cleaner technologies is subject to<br />
changes in the institutional framework that supports economic activities. A<br />
reorientation of policies related to education, and science and technology, and<br />
the integration of environmental policies with those of other sectors, would also<br />
be necessary.<br />
In the long term, many green economic activities will derive from the<br />
convergence of technologies such as nanotechnology, biotechnology and<br />
information and communication technologies. The UNEP publication calls<br />
attention to the fact that the transition from the current economy to a green<br />
economy requires a well-planned regulatory framework that creates incentives<br />
to drive green economic activities, as well as to remove barriers to green<br />
investments. However, the transition depends not only on institutional but<br />
also technological innovations. Some of these innovations are complex,<br />
multidisciplinary, and require complementarities between companies and<br />
research institutes. Miles and Leite (2010), on citing Roco (2007), identify<br />
four generations in the process of developing nanotechnologies: passive<br />
nanostructures; active nanostructures; systems of three dimensional nanosystems;<br />
and nano-systems comprised of heterogeneous molecules. Only in the<br />
first generation do we find some evidence of efforts in research and generation<br />
of innovations in developing countries.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
According to Fonseca, Bianchi and Stallivieri (2010), the core of modern<br />
biotechnology is built around the basic knowledge of genetic engineering, i.e.,<br />
molecular biology, genomics and proteomics. In 2009, however, of the total<br />
projects in genomics, 91% were concentrated in the United States, Britain,<br />
Japan, France and Germany. If this indicates a trend toward domination of new<br />
technologies by developed countries, it is appropriate to add a further reflection<br />
regarding socio-technical transition. According to Geels and Schot (2007),<br />
the socio-technical regime is an extended version of the technological regime<br />
of Nelson and Winter (1982), which refers to shared cognitive routines in an
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Luiz Caruso<br />
engineering community that explain development patterns along technological<br />
trajectories. Sociologists of technology expanded this explanation, arguing that<br />
scientists, political decision makers, users and special interest groups also<br />
contribute to the standardization of technological development.<br />
If there is a technological regime dominated by developed countries that<br />
strongly condition the technological development of developing countries,<br />
windows of opportunity could be built that would be particularly conducive to<br />
the development of cleaner technologies in nanotechnology and biotechnology.<br />
Certainly there is no guarantee that this will be done, since the ownership of<br />
the technology and the pathways for its development adds value to the product<br />
of developed countries.<br />
Concerning professional training and qualifications, the UNEP publication<br />
emphasizes the need to retrain the workforce as part of the restructuring process<br />
needed to transition to a green economy. This emphasis is particularly important<br />
for the change in the energy matrix that is taking place in developed countries.<br />
The publication also highlights that the withdrawal of investments in fishery<br />
assets will generate a need to retrain the workers in this sector. Furthermore,<br />
it is worth noting that, according to the OECD (2011), qualified people play a<br />
crucial role in innovation through the new knowledge that they generate, how<br />
they adopt and adapt existing ideas, and their ability to learn new skills and<br />
adapt to a changing environment. The OECD also highlights the importance of<br />
becoming familiar with the different types of skills that contribute to innovation<br />
and better ways to build them, so as to design policies that contribute to the<br />
sustainable development of such skills.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In this sense, the OECD also points out that the qualifications for innovation<br />
could be any skill, proficiency, competency or attribute that contributes to the<br />
implementation of new products, processes, marketing methods or methods<br />
to organize the workplace. When it comes to establishing some type of<br />
measurement, the focus is on the group known as human resources in science<br />
and technology (HRST). The HRST are the people involved or who have<br />
adequate training to be involved in the production, development, dissemination<br />
and application of systematic scientific and technological knowledge. Within<br />
the HRST, researchers are an important group, because the effectiveness of<br />
spending on R&D critically depends on the efficient allocation of workers directly<br />
involved in its implementation. The number of these workers is therefore an<br />
important indicator of a nation´s scientific and technological capacity. In 2006<br />
there were about four million researchers working in R&D in OECD countries,<br />
i.e., a ratio of 7.4 researchers per 10,000 employees (OECD, 2011).<br />
Although there is not an equivalent indicator for developing countries, and<br />
since their rates of completing higher education are lower, we can infer that these<br />
countries show a significant difference in their ability to generate innovations in<br />
relation to developed countries. Thus, if developing countries do not have clear
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policies, and in the absence of international regulations that promote technology<br />
transfer from developed countries to developing countries, the second myth<br />
could become a reality.<br />
The UNEP document raises another delicate point in discussing this concept<br />
and associating it with the sectors that generate the greatest emissions of<br />
anthropogenic greenhouse gases in developing countries, such as agriculture<br />
and forests, related to land use. Developed countries as a group are still those<br />
that emit more and the sectors responsible for most emissions in these countries<br />
– such as conventional power generation using coal, transport and buildings<br />
– were practically out of the discussion, with the exception of transport and<br />
renewable energy. It is necessary to provide greater details on the emissions<br />
of developed countries and suggest solutions to decarbonize their economies,<br />
as well as mechanisms to contribute effectively to “greening” the economies<br />
of developing economies.<br />
In sum, the UNEP document seems to present an overly optimistic vision<br />
about the transition to a green economy. An effective transition would occur<br />
if there were a change in the prevailing view about the solutions contained in<br />
the UNEP report, such as those associated with the need for governmental<br />
regulations or the definition of property rights through privatization as proposed<br />
by neoliberals.<br />
Local solutions seem to provide a clue and may become an important driver of<br />
innovations in the workplace, in association with interest groups. The search for<br />
flexible solutions, in which there is greater participation of affected communities,<br />
seems to be a decisive factor for a desired transition. The questioning of<br />
developed countries´ voracity for energy and natural resources, to the detriment<br />
of developing countries, appears to be another essential element. Equity in the<br />
use of these resources would build the solidarity required for a transition to an<br />
economy that is more harmonious with the environment, while seeking other<br />
theoretical lines, beyond the neoclassical, that provide a conceptual foundation<br />
for alternatives to the degrading pathway which we are currently following.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
References<br />
Debier, J. C., Deléage, J. P. and Hermery, D. (2002). Uma história da energia. Brasília:<br />
Edunb.<br />
Fonseca, M. G. D., Bianchi, C. and Stallivieri, F. (2010). Biotecnologia no Brasil: uma<br />
avaliação do seu potencial empresarial e industrial. Brasília: SENAI.<br />
Geels, F. W. and Schot, J. (2007). Typology of sociotechnical transition pathways.<br />
Research Policy, Amsterdam, 36, 399-417.<br />
Houaiss, A. (2001). Dicionário Houaiss da Língua Portuguesa. Rio de Janeiro: Ed.<br />
Objetiva.<br />
Kemp, R. and Soete, L. (1992). The greening of technological progress: an evolutionary<br />
perspective. Futures, 24(5), 437-457.
35<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The necessarily<br />
systemic character<br />
of the transition to a<br />
green economy<br />
Alexandre d'Avignon<br />
Luiz Caruso<br />
Lovelock, J. (2001). Gaia – um modelo para dinâmica planetária e celular. In W. I.<br />
Thompson (org.), Gaia, uma teoria do conhecimento. 3ª ed. São Paulo: Gaia.<br />
Mahmoud, A. S. and El Sebaei, N. M. (Ed.) (2005). Proceedings of the Workshop T21<br />
Model as a tool for studying the future of development in developing countries. Cairo:<br />
Center for Future Studies.<br />
Meadows, D. and Randers, J. (2007). Limites do crescimento, a atualização de 30 anos.<br />
Rio de Janeiro: Qualitymark.<br />
Miles, I. and Leite, E. (2010). Nanotecnologia: oportunidades para a indústria e novas<br />
qualificações profissionais. Brasília: SENAI.<br />
Nelson, R. R. and Winter, S. G. (1982). An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change.<br />
Belknap Press, Cambridge, Mass. and London.<br />
Nobre, M. and Amazonas, M. C. (2002). Desenvolvimento sustentável: a<br />
institucionalização de um conceito. Brasília: IBAMA.<br />
OECD (2011). Skills for innovation and research. Paris: OECD.<br />
ONU (1994). CQNUMC.<br />
Ostrom, E. (2008) Governing de commons, the evolution of institutions for collective<br />
action, 22nd printing. Cambridge: University Press.<br />
Passet, R. (1979). L´économique et le vivant. Paris: Payot.<br />
UNEP (2011). Towards a Green Economy: Pathways to Sustainable Development and<br />
Poverty Eradication - A Synthesis for Policy Makers. Retrieved from: .<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
36<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy and/or<br />
sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawyer 1<br />
Green Economy, in addition to international governance and poverty<br />
eradication, will be a central theme of the <strong>Rio+20</strong> conference in 2012 (UN,<br />
2011). This term, which first emerged in the context of the Earth Summit in 1992<br />
(Adams, 1997), was recently elaborated upon in a United Nations Environment<br />
Programme report published in six languages (UNEP, 2011). In short order,<br />
an apparent global consensus was reached (Belinky, 2011). Green Economy<br />
seems to be an alternative to Sustainable Development, which had been<br />
acclaimed in Rio de Janeiro in 1992.<br />
Green Economy is directly related to climate change: low carbon, energy<br />
efficiency, renewable energy etc. (Gouvello, 2010; ESMAP, 2010). In order<br />
to compensate for the strong emphasis on climate since 2007, biodiversity<br />
and ecosystems were reincorporated in the international discourse through<br />
an initiative called The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB),<br />
organized by UNEP and funded by the European Commission and European<br />
governments 2 (Sukhdev, 2010, 2011). However, the environmental impacts of<br />
industrial pollution and urban waste (the “brown agenda”) as well as oceans,<br />
surface and ground water (the “blue agenda”) are not receiving the attention<br />
they deserve. Flows of atmospheric water (“aerial rivers”), which could be the<br />
focus of a “white agenda”, remain invisible in the policy arena (Salati, 2009;<br />
Arraut et al., 2011).<br />
The treatment given to Green Economy will make big differences for public<br />
policies, the role of the State (the governance that we have now) and production<br />
and consumption patterns. It will generate a wide variety of repercussions<br />
throughout Brazil and the world. The expected positive effects may not<br />
materialize and various unexpected negative effects could lead to unpleasant<br />
surprises if there is not adequate analysis of all the relevant factors at play.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. Professor at the Center for Sustainable Development of the University of Brasília (CDS/<br />
UnB) and Associate Researcher at the Institute for Society, Population and Nature (ISPN).<br />
The research was carried out with support from the European Union, through the projects<br />
on “Eco-social Links among Brazilian Forests: Sustainable Livelihoods in Productive<br />
Landscapes” (FLORELOS) and “Environmental Governance in Latin America and the<br />
Caribbean” (ENGOV), among other sources, but does not necessarily represent the<br />
viewpoints of these institutions or sources, being the exclusive responsibility of the author.<br />
2. Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and the United Kingdom.
37<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy and/or<br />
sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawyer<br />
Caution is required in use of the term Green Economy, apparently instead of<br />
Sustainable Development, a term sometimes considered worn out and misused<br />
(FASE, 2011). Great care must be taken to avoid outcomes that are insignificant<br />
or even perverse, especially by diverting attention to issues and territories that<br />
are of secondary importance, without maintaining diverse ecosystems functions<br />
or attending to present and future human needs.<br />
Despite the similarities, Green Economy runs great risks of being transformed<br />
into something very different from Sustainable Development. Although it is<br />
vague, the term Sustainable Development (Brundtland, 1987) and its explicit<br />
meaning (meeting present needs without compromising the ability of future<br />
generations to meet their own needs) were approved by all the countries in<br />
the world in 1992. It must be remembered that any consensual diplomatic<br />
language, especially as a result of global agreements, is necessarily vague.<br />
Green Economy, in addition to lacking strong political support, may be worse<br />
than Sustainable Development in terms of its implicit meaning and its possible<br />
uses and abuses.<br />
Since it requires meeting the needs of present and future generations, i.e<br />
establishing both intra- and intergenerational equity, Sustainable Development<br />
is necessarily systemic in space and time and among sectors. Green Economy,<br />
on the other hand, may not go beyond superficial inclusion of a few new sectors<br />
or additional layers. Green activities or projects currently in fashion might not go<br />
far beyond photovoltaic panels, wind turbines, remote national parks, recycling<br />
schemes, organic farms and jungle lodges, without changing what really<br />
counts: unsustainable production and consumption patterns. Green Economy<br />
can easily be turned into cosmetic greenwashing, not to mention doing little or<br />
nothing to reduce poverty.<br />
Green Economy, based on monetary valuation and economic instruments,<br />
tends to reduce everything to monetary values, foreseeing payments made<br />
by polluters and received by environmental service providers (World Bank,<br />
2010). This does not necessarily imply “market environmentalism” (FASE,<br />
2011), but it is not true that everything in life is or should be commodities. We<br />
cannot avoid cost-benefit calculations and the reality of the financial world, but<br />
not everything in society, the population and nature can be reduced to goods<br />
or services. There are no markets for human beings, cultures, rights, health,<br />
flora, fauna or ecological functions.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Worse yet is the probability that there will never be enough money in Brazil<br />
or the world to pay for all the existing environmental services. For example, if<br />
the Legal Reserves and Permanent Preservation Areas defined in the Brazilian<br />
Forest Code have a total area of 100 million hectares and the owners receive<br />
only $200 per hectare per year to not deforest these areas, a conservative<br />
estimate, the annual total cost would be $20 billion. The Brazilian Family Grant
38<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy and/or<br />
sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawyer<br />
(Bolsa Família) program costs $10 billion per year. Would government ever<br />
spend more on payments for environmental services than on family grants?<br />
The World Bank estimates that Brazil would need $21 billion per year to reduce<br />
carbon emissions (Agência Brasil, 2010; World Bank, 2010). Others estimate<br />
$13 billion (EFE, 2010). Meanwhile, the government is trying hard to cut $30<br />
billion from its budget.<br />
Payment for Environmental Services (PES) has great appeal, but raises<br />
various questions (Amazonas, 2010; Pirard et al., 2010). One of the risks of<br />
paying producers for their services provided is that it suggests that anyone else<br />
not receiving these payments is not obliged to behave correctly. Another risk<br />
is the implication that anyone who receives PES has the right to destroy the<br />
environment if and when payments are no longer received. Moreover, there<br />
is the problem of “free-riders”. In this case, rural producers who do not protect<br />
nature benefit for free from the services provided by producers that sacrifice<br />
production for the benefit of nature.<br />
There are also fundamental ethical questions. Is it correct to pay someone<br />
not to harm others? Should the costs of negative externalities not be assumed<br />
by producers, rather than being passed on to taxpayers or consumers? On<br />
the other hand, do positive externalities require remuneration? In the event of<br />
compensation, as could happen with international payments, is there not a sort<br />
of “indulgence”, i.e. paying a fee to continue living in sin (polluting)?<br />
As for international transfers of new and additional financial resources<br />
from developed to developing countries, it is certainly possible to make such<br />
demands, but it would be unwise to expect much actual payment, especially<br />
in the case of relatively developed countries like Brazil, which aspires to play a<br />
role of global leadership. It is clear that donors are now giving priority to small<br />
islands and Africa.<br />
It is important to perceive the economic interests underlying the new<br />
proposals. On the one hand, changing the noun from “development,” with<br />
its multiple dimensions (at least social and environmental, if not others) to<br />
“economy” limits the scope to only one of the dimensions. This tends to empower<br />
economists and their “economic instruments” as opposed to state regulation,<br />
which is denigrated as “command and control”. Nature becomes “natural<br />
capital”. This approach seems to be based on professional class interests. On<br />
the other hand, many governments, entrepreneurs and NGOs seek to jump on<br />
the bandwagon or gravy train of opportunities for green business and managing<br />
the new funds.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
International or global governance, in turn, tends to empower UNEP or<br />
another agency to receive generous funding and become a specialized<br />
international super-agency, with potential international police powers. However,<br />
such an agency would be subject to the interests of the donors.
39<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy and/or<br />
sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawyer<br />
At the same time, international or global governance contradicts sovereignty,<br />
a fundamental and practically sacred principle. Although problematic in<br />
practical terms, sovereignty should only be questioned in extreme cases of<br />
grave violations, not in diffuse, routine affairs. It would be more coherent and<br />
defensible if international interventions were approved by the United Nations,<br />
not by a specialized agency.<br />
The appeal of the adjective “green” seems to have been taken over from<br />
political movements, including green parties and environmental movements<br />
such as Greenpeace, which share few or none of the principles on which<br />
the Green Economy is based. At a first glimpse, “green” would have more in<br />
common with the environment than sustainability, but in reality it narrows the<br />
scope in various ways. Sustainability is not just green, but includes a whole<br />
range of colors, if not lying somewhere over the rainbow.<br />
The Green Economy discourse is well developed in terms of natural<br />
capital, poverty reduction, low carbon, energy efficiency, innovation and global<br />
governance, all of which are interesting features. However, it should be noted<br />
that all these concepts or terminologies can also be ingenious ways to replace<br />
or relegate sovereignty, equity, nature, ecological functions, sustainable use,<br />
fundamental human and citizenship rights and reduction of emissions (which<br />
can include use and sequestration of carbon), among other important values.<br />
In practice, topical “green” changes can constitute alternatives that avoid<br />
systemic change. Green Economy runs the risk of being limited to tokenism<br />
that actually maintains the status quo in environment, society and the economy.<br />
It could perpetuate the almost exclusive focus on the Amazon rainforest to the<br />
detriment of other biomes and urban areas where the majority of the population<br />
lives. Ultimately, it lets governments get off the hook instead of doing what they<br />
should or have committed to doing.<br />
Thus, there are various possible perverse and unexpected effects of the<br />
Green Economy approach that should be taken into account. Existing proposals<br />
seem to ignore rebound and backfire effects resulting from increased efficiency.<br />
Did the Industrial Revolution not increase efficiency and unleash consumption?<br />
A few green jobs, albeit entirely positive when seen in isolation, can eliminate<br />
many conventional jobs through the substitution of labor by modern technology<br />
(capital).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
More than promoting innovation and patents, a discourse used to justify<br />
investments in scientific research (MCT, 2010a, 2010b), countries like Brazil<br />
need application of technologies that are already known. They are in greater<br />
need of competence than innovation. Brazil does not have enough engineers,<br />
qualified construction workers, truck and tractor drivers, trained electricians<br />
and teachers at all levels. Bridges and roads collapse or become blocked,<br />
electric power is subject to frequent blackouts and the quality of education is
40<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy and/or<br />
sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawyer<br />
far from sufficient. Improving this situation does not require new technologies<br />
transferred from developed countries.<br />
In the final analysis, the Green Economy may favor the rich and central<br />
countries. It seems to be a strategy to promote sale of technology from the<br />
North to countries of the South. Although it does not confuse “sustained growth”<br />
with Sustainable Development, which is a common error, growth in GDP<br />
continues to be the top priority, as long as it is uncritically classified as green<br />
(Latouche, 2005). Green Economy leaves out vulnerability and adaption to<br />
climate change (Lahsen, 2010) and justifies incentives or subsidies for various<br />
green lobbies.<br />
In sum, in order to contribute significantly to Sustainable Development rather<br />
than avoiding it, Green Economy cannot be limited to isolated, business-oriented<br />
initiatives supported by policies with such a narrow focus. Private enterprise<br />
needs to be involved, but policies and programs would have to be public in<br />
terms of guaranteeing fundamental rights and maintaining interdependent<br />
ecosystem functions. Green Economy would have to be a social-ecosystemic<br />
strategy adopted by the State and covering all sectors and territories.<br />
Some of the participants in the process are aware of these issues. The<br />
Chinese diplomat responsible for coordinating the organization of <strong>Rio+20</strong>,<br />
Secretary-General Sha Zukang, insists that we are dealing with Green Economy<br />
in the context of Sustainable Development and poverty reduction. To him, who<br />
has strong political support, the conference is not about an isolated Green<br />
Economy, but one that exists within a broader economic and social context.<br />
Various other visions of the future are possible (Bursztyn, 2008; Sachs, 2010;<br />
Machado, 2010; Sanwal, 2011; Abramovay, 2009; Lesbaupin, 2010; Prins,<br />
2010; Martins, 2010). Recently, new anti-capitalist proposals have emerged<br />
in Latin America, such as the rights of nature and Pacha Mama, against the<br />
mercantilization of nature (Bacarji, 2010; UNDP, 2010). Dialogue would be<br />
desirable and, from a United Nations perspective, necessary.<br />
Most important of all would be to see what could be done here and<br />
now, without ambitious treaties, global governance agencies, new financial<br />
resources and transfer of new technologies (Sawyer, 2011). There is room<br />
for action on various levels: national, bilateral, regional and among emerging<br />
countries. Otherwise, good intentions could generate innocuous or negative<br />
results.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In the short run, Sustainable Development could be operationalized in<br />
terms of already existing fundamental rights, such as human rights, which are<br />
universal, or citizenship rights, which are national (ESCR-Net et al., 2010; IISD,<br />
2010; Lusiani, 2010; Santilli, 2005; Sousa, 2010; Varella, Leuzinger, 2008).<br />
Rights refer to ethical values (Grasso, 2010) and imply duties. One’s own<br />
rights end where the rights of others begin. The rights of future generations to
41<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy and/or<br />
sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawyer<br />
meet their needs depend on the duties of present generations and limit their<br />
freedom. This realist approach, within existing legal frameworks and institutions,<br />
is possible.<br />
In conclusion, both Green Economy and Sustainable Development can and<br />
should be promoted. Green Economy can be more concrete, instrumental<br />
and popular, and Sustainable Development more abstract, diplomatic and<br />
governmental. The economic approach labeled as green can generate<br />
awareness among decision-makers, appeal to business interests and placate<br />
proponents of development, especially in developing countries. However, the<br />
advances of 1992, which constitute an historical landmark for humanity, should<br />
not be lost from sight, nor should the Earth Charter and the progress achieved<br />
over the past 20 years. What really matters are the needs of the planet and<br />
present and future generations, all of which depend on functioning ecosystems,<br />
with or without additional financial resources, transfer of technologies and new<br />
forms of global governance.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
References<br />
Abramovay, R. (2009, December 10). Muito mais que o clima, discute-se o capitalismo.<br />
Valor Econômico, p. D10.<br />
Adams, W. M. (1997). Green development: environment and sustainability in the Third<br />
World. London: Routledge.<br />
Agência Brasil (2010, November 11). “Banco Mundial diz que Brasil precisa de R$34,2<br />
bi por ano para reduzir emissões de carbono”.<br />
Amazonas, M. C. (2010). Pagamento por serviços ambientais: dilemas conceituais e<br />
normativos. Brasília: Instituto Sociedade, População e Natureza (ISPN).<br />
Arraut, J., Nobre, C., Barbosa, H. M. J., Obregon, G. and Marengo, J. (2011). Southward<br />
moisture flow from Amazonia, seasonal aerial rivers and subtropical rainfall in South<br />
America. São José dos Campos: INPE. No prelo.<br />
Bacarji, C. D. (2010). Direitos da Mãe Terra: projeto de declaração gera polêmica.<br />
Envolverde, 22 apr.<br />
Belinky, A. (2011). Rumo à Rio 2012: considerações sobre a 1ª reunião intersessional<br />
preparatória. São Paulo: Instituto Vitae Civilis.<br />
Brundtland, G. H. et al. (1987). Nosso futuro comum. Comissão Mundial sobre Meio<br />
Ambiente e Desenvolvimento. New York: UN.<br />
Bursztyn, M. (2008). Think locally, act globally: new challenges to environmental<br />
governance. Cambridge: Sustainability Science Program, Kennedy School of<br />
Government, Harvard University.<br />
EFE (2010, November 11). Brasil precisa de US$ 20 bilhões por ano para reduzir<br />
emissões de gases. Folha de São Paulo, Ambiente.<br />
ESCR-Net - International Network for Economic, Social and Cultural Rights and Center<br />
of Concern et al. (2010). Guidelines for a human rights approach to economic policy<br />
in agriculture. New York: Kuala Lumpur.<br />
ESMAP - Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (2010). Low carbon<br />
development for Brazil. Washington: World Bank, Low Carbon Growth Country<br />
Studies Program, Mitigating Climate Change through Development.<br />
FASE (2011). <strong>Rio+20</strong>: resistir ao ambientalismo de mercado e fortalecer os direitos e<br />
a justiça ambiental. Rio de Janeiro: Federação de Órgãos para Assistência Social e<br />
Educacional. Retrieved from: < http://www.fase.org.br/v2/pagina.php?id=3484><br />
Gouvello, C. et al. (2010). Brazil low-carbon: country case study. Brasília: World<br />
Bank.<br />
Grasso, M. (2010). An ethical approach to climate adaptation finance. Global<br />
Environmental Change, 20(1), 74-81.
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opportunities<br />
Green economy and/or<br />
sustainable development?<br />
Donald Sawer<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
IISD (2010). Summary of the Fifth Rights and Resources Initiative (RRI) Dialogue on<br />
Forests, Governance and Climate Change, 22 June 2010.<br />
Lahsen, M. (2010). Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability to global environmental change:<br />
challenges and pathways for an action-oriented research agenda for middle-income<br />
and low-income countries. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, n.2,<br />
364-74.<br />
Latouche, S. (2005). Vers la décroissance ou écodémocratie. Le Monde Diplomatique,<br />
52(620).<br />
Lesbaupin, I. (2010). Por uma nova concepção de desenvolvimento. Le Monde<br />
Diplomatique Brasil, nov., p.32.<br />
Lusiani, N. (2010). Human rights can fix our broken agricultural system, advocates<br />
argue. Retrieved from: .<br />
Machado, T. C. (2010). Ignacy Sachs: a <strong>Rio+20</strong> deveria superar a Rio-92. Retrieved<br />
from: .<br />
Martins, A. (2010). Fórum Social Mundial: adeus à autoreferência? IPS/Envolverde,<br />
28 jan.<br />
MCT (2010a). Consolidação das recomendações da 4ª Conferência Nacional de Ciência,<br />
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Ciência e Tecnologia.<br />
MCT (2010b). Livro azul: 4ª Conferência Nacional de Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação<br />
para o Desenvolvimento Sustentável. Brasília: Ministério da Ciência e Tecnologia.<br />
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Ministério do Meio Ambiente.<br />
Pirard, R., Billé, R. and Sembrès, T. (2010). Questioning the theory of payments for<br />
ecosystem services (PES) in light of emerging experience and plausible developments.<br />
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on Environment and Sustainable Development. Paper prepared for the 2nd<br />
International Conference on Climate, Sustainability and Development in Semi-arid<br />
Regions (ICID 2010). Fortaleza, Ceará, August 16-20.<br />
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da oferta de recursos hídricos no Brasil em cenários futuros de clima (2015-2100).<br />
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biológica e cultural. São Paulo; Peirópolis; Brasília: Instituto Internacional de<br />
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Sawyer, D. (2011). A global climate treaty? Ein globaler Klimavertrag? Un traité mondial<br />
sur le climat? EuroChoices, 10(1), p.45.<br />
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economic foundations. Retrieved from: .<br />
Sukhdev, P (2011). The economics of ecosystems and biodiversity in national and<br />
international policy making. Retrieved from: .<br />
Sousa Júnior, J. G. (2010). O direito e a cidadania. Darcy, n.5. nov./dec.<br />
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United Nations Development Programme.<br />
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and poverty eradication; a synthesis for policy makers. Nairobi: United Nations<br />
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Washington: World Bank. 136p.
43<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International perspectives<br />
of the transition to a<br />
low-carbon green economy 1<br />
Eduardo Viola 2<br />
In it ia l c o n s id e r a t io n s<br />
A fundamental dimension of an international green economy is the low<br />
carbon intensity, which will be the focus of this article. A solid transition to a<br />
green economy assumes the continuous reduction of carbon emissions in<br />
developed countries, an accelerated decrease in the emissions growth curve<br />
starting before 2020 and the establishment of a stabilizing year for emerging<br />
mid-income countries, in addition to an accelerated decrease in the carbon<br />
intensity of GDP globally. In the case of rich countries, there should be an<br />
accelerated decrease in per capita emissions, and in the case of mid-income<br />
countries, an accelerated reduction in the carbon intensity of GDP and a light<br />
and continued fall in per capita emissions. Poor countries would still be allowed<br />
space to increase their per capita emissions.<br />
Emissions of GHG grew by 3% during the first decade of the 21st century,<br />
according to information from the Netherlands Environmental Assessment<br />
Agency 3 . Including figures from diverse sources on deforestation in Brazil and<br />
Indonesia, the main emitters in 2009 were: China, responsible for 24% of the<br />
global total (and a 5% annual growth over the last decade), the US with 19% of<br />
total emissions (and 0.8% annual growth), the European Union (27 countries)<br />
with 15% of the total (growing at 0.3% annually), India with 7% of the total<br />
(growing at 6% per year), Russia with 5% of the total (and annual growth of<br />
5%), Brazil with 4% of the total (4% annual growth until 2004, which drastically<br />
reduced between 2005 and 2009), Indonesia with 4% (growing by 4% per year),<br />
Japan with 3.5% (0.4% annual growth), Mexico with 2.5% of the total (growing<br />
at 2% annually), Canada with 2% of the total (growing at 1.5% per year), South<br />
Africa with 1.5% per year (growing at 2% per year), South Korea with 1.5% of<br />
the total (growing by 0.7% annually) and Saudi Arabia with 1.5% of the total<br />
(growing at 6% per year).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. Article written to be published by Conservation International in a volume about green<br />
economy.<br />
2. Full Professor at the Institute of International Relations, University of Brasília, Coordinator of<br />
the Climate Change and International Relations Research Network and Senior Researcher at<br />
the Brazilian Council for Scientific and Technological Development.<br />
3. The most important institute producing data on greenhouse gas emissions in the world.
44<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
These 13 countries (considering the European Union as one unit) are<br />
responsible for over 80% of global emissions and constitute the two crucial<br />
groups of great and medium powers. The great powers share three highly<br />
relevant characteristics: the first and essential, each one is responsible for<br />
a high proportion of global carbon emissions (at least 15%) and of global<br />
GDP; secondly, they possess important technological and human capital for<br />
decarbonizing the economy; and thirdly, they have veto power over any global<br />
international agreement that is effective. The medium powers are of limited<br />
relevance in terms of their participation in emissions and the global economy and<br />
none of them alone has veto capabilities over a global international agreement.<br />
There are three great powers – the US, China and the European Union –<br />
that stand for 54% of global GDP and 58% of global carbon emissions. The<br />
European Union is isolated in the defense of an effective global architecture for<br />
a rapid transition to a low-carbon economy. The US and China resist a global<br />
agreement on a transition to low-carbon. There are ten medium powers: India,<br />
Russia, Brazil, Indonesia, Japan, Mexico, Canada, South Africa, South Korea<br />
and Saudi Arabia.<br />
The severity of the 2008 economic crisis opened a limited window of<br />
opportunity for a partial transformation of values in developed and emerging<br />
countries in the direction of a diminished importance attributed to immediatism,<br />
which favors the perception of the gravity of the climate issue. Since the<br />
economic crisis is systemic, the recuperation process currently on course does<br />
not imply the return to a situation similar to that existing prior to September 2008.<br />
As opposed to what the majority of international economists and analysts had<br />
imagined in mid-2008, a substantial part of the economic stimulus packages<br />
initiated in November 2008 in various key countries propelled the transition to<br />
a low-carbon economy: 65% of the increased spending in South Korea, 35%<br />
in China, 20% in the United Kingdom, 20% in Germany and 15% in the United<br />
States (Stern, 2009). Brazil, India, South Africa, Indonesia and Russia had very<br />
poor progress in this case.<br />
This article is organized in four parts. In the first, the current situation and<br />
main policies of the great and medium powers in the transition to a low carbon<br />
green economy will be analyzed. In the second part, the specific situation of<br />
South America in this transition will be summarized. In the third part, the main<br />
techno-economic vectors in the transition to a low carbon green economy will<br />
be described. Finally, the fourth part contains a reflection on future perspectives<br />
of the transition on a global level.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
45<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
Th e Gr e a t p o w e r s a n d t h e m e d iu m p o w e r s in t h e<br />
t r a n s it io n t o a l o w c a r b o n e c o n o m y<br />
The US continues to be the most important country in the international climate<br />
negotiations, due to its status as second largest emitter and for continuing to<br />
have the greatest potential for technological innovation of global impact in the<br />
direction of low carbon (Giddens, 2009). The US emits 5.8 billion tons of carbon<br />
dioxide equivalent per year, corresponding to 19% of total global emissions,<br />
19 tons per capita and 0.4 tons of carbon for each US$ 1,000 of GDP. It is one<br />
of the countries with the highest per capita emissions in the world. In global<br />
terms, the US economy operates with a relatively high energy efficiency and<br />
low carbon intensity, though presents one of the greatest intensities among<br />
developed countries – exceeded only by Canada and Australia – due to the<br />
combination of an energy matrix based on carbon and oil with high utilization<br />
of air and personal car transport. Emissions in the US grow at 0.8% per year<br />
in this century.<br />
There is a marked difference between the first six months of the Obama<br />
government and the previous period. At the beginning, there were signs that<br />
the new administration would focus on the economic and climate crises as<br />
interconnected processes that should be solved simultaneously, and thus giving<br />
a decisive push to decarbonize the economy. The emergency economic program<br />
for short term recuperation of the economy was compatible with the medium<br />
and long term goals of the Obama platform: expansion of renewable energies,<br />
upgrade of national electrical grid, promotion of public transport (especially high<br />
speed trains) in metropolitan regions and incentives for all economic sectors<br />
that created new green jobs in general. The emergency program differed from<br />
a classic program of government spending expansion and was compatible with<br />
the strategic objective of increasing energy security (Friedman, 2009).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The Waxman bill of energy and climate – that imposed a system of<br />
ceilings and quotas for carbon emissions – was approved by the House of<br />
Representatives in June 2009 and then paralyzed in the Senate during the<br />
second term due to priorities given by the Obama administration to healthcare<br />
reform, only to be officially abandoned by the democrats in July 2010. At the<br />
beginning of 2011, the picture was very different from the first months of the<br />
Obama government, with the failure of his first initiatives. Various factors explain<br />
this failure: extreme bipartisan polarization in Congress with the subsequent<br />
legislative paralysis and governance crises; high unemployment rates eroding<br />
Obama's popularity; Democrat Party defeat in the 2010 legislative elections;<br />
Republican Party offensive against the IPCC due to some errors in the 2007<br />
report and dubious proceedings of consensus building; a wave of extreme<br />
cold on the American east coast during the 2010 winter, that was used by<br />
the Republican Party as a “demonstration” of the exaggerations in evaluating<br />
the dangers of global warming; aggressive offensive of petroleum, carbon,
46<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
cement, steel and electricity lobbies against approval of the climate bill, as it<br />
supposedly would imply competitive losses for North American industry; limits<br />
to the promotion of green investments due to severe fiscal deficits and growing<br />
government debt; and various surveys showing strong growth in the proportion<br />
of the North American population that believes the risks of global warming are<br />
being exaggerated (Viola, 2010).<br />
Important resistance is expressed in Congress with respect to emissions<br />
reduction. The majority of these derives from the non-existence of reduction<br />
commitments by large emerging countries, especially China. There is also a<br />
more structural resistance, championed by strong economic sectors associated<br />
with the fossil energy matrix: states that produce coal, oil, steel; and electric<br />
energy businesses based on the production of coal fired power. On the other<br />
hand, almost all the big businesses from the lower carbon intensity sectors have<br />
favorable positions for significantly reducing emissions. In the communication<br />
and information sectors, there are Google, Apple, Microsoft, Oracle and CNN; in<br />
biotechnology, renewable energies and nuclear there is General Electric; among<br />
the large retail chains is Wall Mart; producers of inputs for “green” building are<br />
also among those that support emissions reductions, among others.<br />
The United States has an important margin for reducing emissions through: a<br />
technological change from coal fired power to clean coal (cleaner technologies)<br />
and the use of carbon capture and storage; the expansion of wind, solar, biofuel<br />
and nuclear power; decreased size and increased efficiency standards for<br />
automobiles; modernization of the electrical grid and the establishment of new<br />
green standards for construction (buildings and houses designed or renovated<br />
to reduce emissions)<br />
The European Union, composed of 27 countries, emits 4.5 billion tons of<br />
carbon equivalent, corresponding to 15% of the world total, 10 tons per capita<br />
and 0.3 tons of carbon for each US$ 1,000 of GDP. The European Union is<br />
very heterogeneous, both in terms of per capita emissions – from 22 tons in<br />
Luxemburg to 4 tons in France and Portugal – and in carbon intensity, which<br />
is low in the Nordic countries, Germany, the United Kingdom and France;<br />
average in Spain, Belgium and Italy; and high in Poland, Czech Republic,<br />
Romania, Bulgaria and the Baltic countries. European Union emissions grew<br />
by 0.5% per year, as a result of the almost stable emissions of Germany, the<br />
United Kingdom and Sweden and the accelerated growth in emissions of Spain,<br />
Portugal, Greece and the Eastern European countries (even though the latter<br />
ones are below their 1990 base year).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The main political leaders of the European Union have over recent years<br />
been in favor of an incisive action to mitigate global warming, in particular<br />
the governments and public opinions in the United Kingdom, Germany,<br />
Sweden, France and Denmark, joined by – although with less emphasis – the<br />
Netherlands, Belgium and Finland. However, the 2008-9 economic crises and
47<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
the subsequent eurozone instability greatly eroded the European capacity to<br />
lead the transition to a green economy.<br />
China emits 6.5 billion tons of carbon equivalent per year, which corresponds<br />
to 24% of global emissions, 6 tons per capita and 1.5 tons of carbon for each<br />
US$ 1,000 of GDP. This is a very carbon intensive economy due to its energy<br />
matrix being based substantially on coal and petroleum, and notably, its low<br />
energy efficiency. Even though the carbon intensity of the Chinese GDP has<br />
been falling by 5% per year over the past decade, the country still maintains a<br />
carbon intensity that is nine times greater than Japan’s and four times greater<br />
than the US. Contrary to common sense, the per capita emissions in China are<br />
average as opposed to low. The cost of reducing emissions in China is high<br />
in the case of a continuation of the current industrialization model, but would<br />
be viable in the case of a reoriented model based more on the internal market<br />
and productivity growth, instead of the model based on export expansion. In<br />
the year 2007, global emissions of GHG grew by 3.3% in relation to 2006 and<br />
50% of this increase took place in China, since 2/3 of the growth in China was<br />
based on burning coal. Even more important than reducing the consumption<br />
of oil in the world is the reduction of coal burning and, consequently, a drastic<br />
change in how the Chinese carbon (and also the Indian) is consumed is decisive.<br />
Technologies of carbon capture and sequestration, of clean carbon and nuclear<br />
power are very important for China.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The position of the Chinese government – in national energy and climate<br />
policies, as well as in international negotiations – was negligent up to 2006,<br />
when there were changes based on the evaluation of China's vulnerability to<br />
climate change. The government strongly encouraged growth in wind and solar<br />
energy and announced an objective to reduce the growth rate of emissions.<br />
This objective was reflected by the National Climate Change Plan and the<br />
anti-crises economic stimulus package approved in November 2008, with a<br />
proportion of 35% of public spending aimed at transitioning to a low-carbon<br />
economy. There is a cleavage in China between globalist and nationalist forces,<br />
and the power of the prior is growing continuously and exhibits an intention<br />
to change the Chinese position in the sense of global responsibility. However,<br />
the Chinese position in international negotiations has remained delayed in<br />
comparison with its new energy policy. China continues refusing to assume<br />
commitments related to establishing an emissions peak and a stabilizing year<br />
prior to 2020, as demanded by the international scientific community and by<br />
the EU, the US and Japan – this being one of the factors that increases the<br />
firepower of conservatives in the American Congress. In the technological area,<br />
what stands out is the great technological advances, efficiency and productivity<br />
of Taiwanese businesses in the field of solar photovoltaics and the formation<br />
of joint ventures for massive investment in an extensive program in China<br />
called “low carbon cities”. As of 2009, it is possible to say that two Chinas exist
48<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
in terms of carbon: on one hand, a traditional and highly predominant China<br />
that is a production machine and exporter of carbon emissions; and on the<br />
other hand, a new, low-carbon and of the minority China that is growing at an<br />
extraordinary pace due to the country's high capacity to save and invest, and<br />
that creates a new low carbon business community with interests that contradict<br />
traditional China.<br />
Next, the medium powers will be analyzed.<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
India emits 2.2 billion tons of carbon equivalent per year, corresponding to<br />
6% of total global emissions, 1.7 tons of carbon per capita and 1.4 tons for<br />
each US$ 1,000 of GDP. However, per capita emissions rate is low and carbon<br />
intensity is high due to low energy efficiency and the heavy weight of coal and<br />
oil in the energy matrix. However, the country has developed photovoltaic<br />
solar and wind power at much higher proportions than Brazil, although less<br />
than China. India has partially developed ethanol production due to being the<br />
largest producer of sugar in the world, although the majority of this production<br />
is destined for food purposes. Emissions grow at 6% per year in India, which is<br />
expected to substitute China as the country that emits most GHG in the world<br />
during the 2010 decade. The Indian government position has been historically<br />
negligent, like the Chinese, and has not changed until this day.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Some comparisons should be made between India and China, since the<br />
behaviors of their societies are crucial for the present and the future, due to<br />
the dramatic growth of their contributions to global warming. India is much<br />
more vulnerable to climate change than China, considering that a fundamental<br />
part of its population depends on water originating in the Himalayas, under<br />
sovereignty of China, a country with growing temptations to divert the rivers<br />
for consumption of its immense population, and furthermore, whose glaciers<br />
are receding because of global warming. In addition, an important part of<br />
India's population is living in lowlands subject to monsoons and devastating<br />
clashes between the terrestrial and oceanic atmospheric circulation. India has<br />
a democratic regime – even though of low quality due to cast inheritance – with<br />
the presence of an important environmental movement that has contested,<br />
though ambivalently, the official position to this day. The Indian population on<br />
average has a less materialist lifestyle than the Chinese due to religious factors<br />
and thus being more sensitive to the state of the planet. The Indian government<br />
is very fragmented and inefficient, which makes it much more difficult for a<br />
change in the direction of lower carbon intensity to occur there than in China.<br />
India, with 1.7 tons of carbon per capita, cannot be pushed internationally to<br />
the same degree of China (6 tons per capita) and Brazil (10 tons per capita)<br />
and therefore has significant room for carbon to occupy to the detriment of<br />
developed and mid-income countries.<br />
Russia emits 2 billion tons of carbon equivalent per year, corresponding to<br />
5% of global emissions, 14 tons per inhabitant and 1.3 tons of carbon for each
49<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
US$ 1,000 of GDP. Russia has an economy with high per capita emissions<br />
and high carbon intensity, constituting a unique profile among large economies<br />
in the world. Russian society has enriched significantly over the past decade,<br />
but through low energy efficiency and an energy matrix that is strongly based<br />
on fossil fuels, given that the country is a large exporter of oil and gas. Russia<br />
occupies an extremely unique position in the global arena. As an economy<br />
whose main heritage is the superabundance of fossil fuels, it can be seen as<br />
potential looser in the transition to a low carbon economy. However, an important<br />
part of the elite and opinion-makers perceive – at least until the extremely<br />
warm summer of 2010 – that global warming could favor Russia because of<br />
an extraordinary increase in arable land.<br />
Japan emits an annual 1.6 billion tons of carbon equivalent, corresponding<br />
to 3.5% of the global total, 12 tons per inhabitant and 0.15 tons of carbon for<br />
each US$ 1.000 of GDP. Japan is, along with European Union countries such<br />
as France, Sweden and Denmark, among the economies with lesser carbonintensity<br />
in the world, due to very high energy efficiency and a heavy weight of<br />
nuclear energy in electricity generation. Public opinion and an important part of<br />
the business community (Honda and Toyota being symbolic) are in favor of a<br />
rapid transition to a low-carbon economy, but Japan's leadership position in the<br />
international arena is below its potential due to its low-profile foreign policy and,<br />
more recently, to the negative effects of the Fukushima nuclear accident.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Indonesia increased its emissions during the first decade of the century, due<br />
to significant deforestation of peat forests with large carbon stocks. Canada has<br />
made the least progress among developed countries. The large increase in oil<br />
production in the Alberta province and the fact that natural resource extraction<br />
is regulated at a provincial as opposed to federal level, are the main factors<br />
that explain the Canadian delay. Mexico adopted a national climate change<br />
plan in 2007 under the Presidency of Calderon, and assumed an international<br />
vanguard position, but the new rhetoric does not correspond closely with the<br />
behaviors of economic actors. In 2008, South Africa announced goals related<br />
to emissions stabilization and peak, and thus taking the lead among emerging<br />
countries belonging to G77. Over recent years, South Korea has maintained a<br />
profile that puts it at the forefront of the transition to a low-carbon economy. Saudi<br />
Arabia has maintained a very conservative historical position in international<br />
negotiations and has exercised a decisive role in regulating the oil price thanks<br />
to its superior capacity to extract and refine, which allows it to rapidly increase<br />
production in response to demand or supply shocks. This is of fundamental<br />
importance, because the international oil price level is essential to extensive<br />
investment growth in clean energy. It could be argued that Saudi Arabia will<br />
always act in defense of its strict national interest, by avoiding an excessive<br />
increase in the oil price for a prolonged period, which would greatly accelerate<br />
investments in renewable energy.
50<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
In summary, from a May 2011 perspective, the formation of a victorious<br />
decarbonization alliance in the world depends on, firstly, positive changes in the<br />
United States, and secondly, an acceleration in the new Chinese energy policy<br />
initiated in 2008. Changes in the US would positively affect China, relatively<br />
fast. Once these changes in the US and China are achieved, a coalition of<br />
the US, the EU, Japan, China, Brazil, South Korea, Mexico and South Africa<br />
can put pressure on Russia, India, Saudi Arabia and Indonesia to accelerate<br />
decarbonizing measures in their respective economies. The extensive<br />
negotiations of this process would take place in multiple arenas – bilateral US-<br />
China, China-EU and US-EU, trilateral (US, China, EU) and plurilateral (G20,<br />
where South Korea and Brazil could play an active and crucial reformist role<br />
against conservative medium-powers) – and finally, these negotiations would<br />
be legitimized in a multilateral UN level.<br />
So u t h Am e r ic a in t h e t r a n s it io n t o a l o w<br />
c a r b o n e c o n o m y<br />
South America emits approximately 3 billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent<br />
annually. Emissions of carbon dioxide (industry, energy, transport, deforestation<br />
and changes in land use); methane (livestock farming, waste, hydroelectric<br />
reservoirs) and nitrous oxide (agricultural fertilizers) summed together for the<br />
region totaled approximately 7% of the global carbon emissions in 2009. A<br />
unique aspect in South America is that carbon dioxide emissions derived from<br />
deforestation and land use change were proportionally very high up to 2005. The<br />
deforestation rate over the past five years has grown a lot in Bolivia, Ecuador<br />
and Paraguay; increased moderately in Peru and Colombia; remained stable in<br />
Venezuela and fell slightly in Argentina and dramatically in Brazil. Deforestation<br />
rates (as a proportion of total forest cover) oscillated from 1% per year in Bolivia<br />
to 0.1% per year in Argentina and has remained at 0.2% per year in Brazil<br />
over recent years. Uruguay is the only country with a positive balance, with an<br />
increasing forest cover due to reforestation and forestation.<br />
Venezuela and Argentina each account for approximately 1% of global<br />
emissions. Per capita emissions in Venezuela are 7 tons and in Argentina, 5<br />
tons. Venezuela emits 1.3 tons of carbon per US$ 1,000 of GDP and Argentina<br />
emits 1 ton. Colombia, Peru and Chile are each responsible for approximately<br />
0.5% of global emissions.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Deforestation in South America has a triple negative effect on societies.<br />
Firstly, deforestation implies a great destruction of natural resources and a<br />
very inefficient conversion of forests. Secondly, it causes the proportion of the<br />
informal economy to be high throughout the economy, with great systemic<br />
inefficiencies due to the fact that the economy associated with deforestation<br />
is, in general, small-scale and illegal or semi-legal. Thirdly, deforestation<br />
undermines government authority and the rule of law, and thus generates an
51<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
environment favorable to a growth in other illicit activities such as: corruption,<br />
smuggling, drug trafficking, prostitution, trafficking of arms and wild animals<br />
and even murder.<br />
Although South America is highly vulnerable to climate change, as a whole<br />
the region finds itself in a favorable position for transitioning to a low carbon<br />
economy. The situation is very different in large emerging countries in other<br />
regions of the world – China, India, Russia, South Africa, Mexico –, that produce<br />
the majority of their electricity from fossil fuels. South American electricity is the<br />
most hydro-intensive in the world: 85% of the total in the case of Brazil, 37%<br />
in Argentina, 67% in Venezuela, 75% in Colombia, 53% in Chile, 80% in Peru,<br />
62% in Ecuador, 64% in Bolivia, 99% in Uruguay and 100% in Paraguay. Even<br />
Venezuela, which has a more carbon intensive economy – due to transport<br />
inefficiencies and oil low prices – has a large hydro weight in its electricity<br />
generation.<br />
Brazil emitted approximately 1.8 billion tons of carbon equivalent in 2009,<br />
corresponding to around 4% of global emissions, 10 tons per capita and 0.9<br />
tons of carbon for each US$ 1,000 of GDP. Emissions in Brazil over the years<br />
2005-2010 suffered a large reduction compared to the 2001-2004 period, due<br />
to a dramatic fall in the Amazon deforestation rate from an annual average<br />
of 20,000 km 2 to an annual average of 11.000 km2 between 2005 and 2010,<br />
arriving at a low figure in 2010 (6,200 km 2 ).<br />
Similar to Brazil, most of the countries in South America (Colombia,<br />
Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia and Paraguay) could significantly decrease their carbon<br />
emissions by reducing deforestation. Argentina and Uruguay have a lot to gain<br />
in terms of energy conservation and as such, could grow economically with<br />
stabilized emissions. The price structure of energy in Argentina is irrational<br />
both from an economic point of view and from a carbon emissions perspective.<br />
Chile, the richest country in South America, has a lot of margin to increase<br />
energy efficiency and vehicle emissions standards. Chile already has greater<br />
energy efficiency and above average economic productivity that allows a<br />
more rapid incorporation of new climate technologies that are emerging in<br />
developed countries. Venezuela also has a good margin for lowering carbonintensity<br />
through three vectors: eliminating direct and indirect subsidies for<br />
oil consumption, which make the vehicle fleet of this country one of the most<br />
irrational in the world; increasing electric energy conservation where there is<br />
a lot of room for gain; and reducing deforestation.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Up to now, regional integration structures in South America – Mercosur,<br />
Andean Community, Union of South America and Organization of the Treaty for<br />
Amazonian Cooperation – have not been dedicated to the issue of transitioning<br />
to a low-carbon economy. The Amazonia Treaty, institutionalized in 2004,<br />
existed on a solely formal level until 2009, especially due to the low interest<br />
of the Brazilian government. This is yet another paradox of Brazil's South
52<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
American policy, since the productivity of financial and institutional resources<br />
allocated in this cooperative structure could be very high, by combining the<br />
combat of illicit transnational activities and illegal deforestation and promoting<br />
the rule of law. As of 2010, the governments of Brazil, Colombia and Ecuador<br />
started giving more importance to the Treaty, which tends to strengthen the<br />
organization. Brazil should assume the cost of leadership through policies<br />
and Brazilian financial resources in several dimensions: promotion of public<br />
safety in frontier zones and combat of illicit transnational activities; promotion<br />
of transportation infrastructure of all types, but especially waterway, railway<br />
and air transportation; promotion of integrated energy development, especially<br />
in the hydroelectric sector, in which Brazil and the region have a competitive<br />
advantage on a global scale; and promotion of a regional network of biodiversity/<br />
biotechnology laboratories with contributions from American, European and<br />
Japanese capital. A decisive task of international cooperation in the Amazon<br />
is the establishment of an Amazon Panel of Climate Change and Biodiversity<br />
molded after the IPCC. This institutionalism is fundamental to develop regional<br />
governance in the Amazon.<br />
Gl o b a l t e c h n o-e c o n o m ic v e c t o r s f o r t h e<br />
t r a n s it io n t o a l o w-c a r b o n g r e e n e c o n o m y<br />
For the solid and rapid transition to an international low-carbon economy, a<br />
large international agreement would be necessary (on a much greater scale<br />
than the Kyoto Protocol) that should be supported by a series of behavioral<br />
changes, as well as simultaneous and complementary technological and<br />
economic developments. The literature over the past few years calls for a series<br />
of vectors for this transition. The below list of vectors has been synthesized<br />
by the author:<br />
1. Accelerate the growth pace of energy efficiency (this growth takes place<br />
normally in the history of capitalism, but the pace needs to be increased) for<br />
residential and industrial use, in transport and urban planning. Increase recycling<br />
at all levels of the supply chain and in consumption;<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
2. Increase the proportion of non-fossil renewable energies (wind, solar,<br />
biofuels and hydroelectric) in the global energy matrix. Hydroelectric energy has<br />
been completely competitive during the past century and the competitiveness<br />
of wind, solar and biofuel power developed extraordinarily in the past decade<br />
due to advances in large and medium powers, only missing, in a majority of the<br />
countries, appropriate regulatory frameworks that create incentives for more<br />
vigorous growth. Recent experiences with biofuels show that only ethanol from<br />
sugarcane is very effective in terms of reducing emissions; ethanol from corn<br />
and beetroot and all biodiesel exhibit important limitations up to now. Second<br />
generation ethanol – from cellulose – appears as a fundamental alternative
53<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
(the issue in this case concerns the speed at which this technology will be<br />
available on a large scale);<br />
3. Increase the proportion of nuclear power in the global energy matrix, taking<br />
advantage of significant improvements in reactor technologies from an operation<br />
security perspective, despite the remaining problem of final disposal of nuclear<br />
waste and the life-spans of old and unsafe reactors; in addition to this, there are<br />
prospects for developing fourth generation nuclear reactors. The expansion of<br />
nuclear energy is fundamental to accelerate decarbonization in various powers,<br />
such as the US, China, India, Russia, Indonesia and Mexico;<br />
4. Develop regulatory frameworks that promote the use of hybrid cars<br />
(gasoline-electric and gasoline-ethanol) that have already reached full maturity<br />
in terms of competing with conventional cars. Increase the use of public transport<br />
and diminish car use. Utilize smaller and lighter cars;<br />
5. Drastically reduce deforestation (currently responsible for 14% of global<br />
emissions), reforest cleared areas and plant in areas that never had forests,<br />
but that today are appropriate for homogeneous rapid-growing forests;<br />
6. Increase the use of livestock farming techniques that are suited to the<br />
carbon cycle, such as no till farming, precision irrigation and animal feed that<br />
generates less methane. Reduce consumption of beef in high and medium<br />
income countries, and thus enabling an increased consumption of this product<br />
among global emerging middle class without imposing excessive pressures<br />
on methane emissions;<br />
7. Efficient use of water in domestic, agricultural and industrial consumption<br />
and expanded basic sanitation across the planet. Appropriate disposal of waste<br />
and sewer and a dramatic increase in methane power plants;<br />
8. Promote rapid stabilization of the global population, between 2020<br />
and 2025, and retirement schemes that correspond with life expectancies<br />
(approximately 68 years for men and women in high and medium income<br />
countries) and health systems that promote healthy life-styles, longevity with<br />
quality of life and that minimize gigantic expenditures to prolong life with abysmal<br />
quality in the final year, as is currently the case;<br />
9. Accelerate the development of carbon capture and sequestration<br />
technologies, separating the carbon dioxide both in coal and petroleum and<br />
injecting it back into the already mined and empty coal fields that are highly<br />
stable from a geologic perspective;<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
10. Reduce the proportion of face meetings (especially those that involve<br />
air travel) and increase meetings via teleconferencing. Slow down the growth<br />
of air transport. Develop airplanes with lighter materials, more aerodynamic<br />
design and greater energy efficiency;
54<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
11. Accelerate the development of the hydrogen cell, which will certainly be<br />
the energy of the future. It will probably not play a significant role before 2050<br />
but its development would give a clear signal that the transition to a low-carbon<br />
economy is profound and irreversible;<br />
12. Establish international accords that promote integrated inter-institutional<br />
research to develop new advanced technologies to decarbonize the energy<br />
matrix. Some of these are already at the initial stage, such as the utilization<br />
of ocean and wave power; high altitude wind turbines; and solar nano cells.<br />
Create a global cultural and institutional environment favorable to synergies<br />
between new energy technologies and the revolutions in information technology,<br />
communication and nanotechnology. Promote the development of climate<br />
geoengineering research with the objective of having a plan B alternative in<br />
the event of an exponential acceleration of global warming.<br />
13. The transition to a low-carbon green economy assumes a profound<br />
transformation of dominant values in international society (hyper materialism,<br />
consumerism, immediatism, and disregard for long-term thinking) and, therefore,<br />
transformation at all levels of formal education and media activities (classically<br />
referred to as environmental education, but that nowadays should be called<br />
education for a sustainable low-carbon society) will always play an important<br />
role, to generate awareness among populations of these value changes and<br />
the extraordinary gains in quality of life and happiness to be derived from them<br />
– much more important than some short term losses in irrational consumption,<br />
which would be a consequence of the transition to a decarbonized society,<br />
feared by large segments of populations in the world.<br />
Fu t u r e p r o s p e c t s<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The year 2009 significantly changed the international political economy of<br />
climate change. The legacy of Kyoto, that left the US and other large emerging<br />
countries outside the carbon constraint, has disintegrated (Ladislaw, 2010;<br />
Barret, 2010). The Copenhagen agreement is extremely weak from a judicial<br />
standpoint, but almost universal from a carbon emissions constraint perspective.<br />
It is practically impossible to advance in the sense of a new comprehensive and<br />
legally binding treaty, until the US approves climate legislation that demands<br />
quantified emissions reductions. Given current political dynamics, this is unlikely<br />
to happen, even in best case scenario, before 2013-14: assuming the reelection<br />
of president Obama in November 2012, a democrat victory in both chambers<br />
of Congress and a decision by Obama to prioritize climate legislation at the<br />
beginning of his second term. Another factor that influences the prospects for<br />
this very important global agreement is the tension between the US and the<br />
EU on the one hand and China on the other, due to China´s resistance to the<br />
revaluation of the Yuan. The issue of reevaluation of the Yuan could generate<br />
an anti-Chinese coalition among the countries that are invaded by Chinese
55<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
merchandise due to its increased export capacity. Countries that are threatened<br />
by the Chinese export machine include the majority of G20 members. Brazil, as<br />
a significant exporter of commodities to China, is in an intermediary position:<br />
its mining and food production sectors are favored by the Chinese dynamics,<br />
and the manufacturing sector is threatened.<br />
The economic and security dimensions of the international system have<br />
a decisive impact on the climate dimension and it is necessary to take them<br />
into priority consideration in any realistic analysis of the future of climate<br />
negotiations. Tensions between countries with international trade surpluses and<br />
deficits, especially in relation to China, can limit or even stop the G20 advances<br />
in global economic governance that took place in 2009. The international system<br />
could be reversing the dynamics of cooperative depolarization that occurred in<br />
2008 and 2009. In the case of the predominance of a dynamics of moderate<br />
increases of conflicts in the international system over the coming years, this<br />
would be sufficient to block advances in a new international climate treaty, even if<br />
a comprehensive climatic legislation were to be approved in the US in 2013.<br />
In this context, the global transition to a low-carbon economy will be very slow<br />
and one of its principal international instruments will be the establishment of<br />
trade barriers for carbon-intensive products. In the case of Russia and India, a<br />
majority of the sectors are threatened. In the case of China, the scenario would<br />
be more complex considering that, due to the great advances in wind and solar<br />
power, the proportion of products with low-carbon intensity (currently very low)<br />
would increase rapidly on the agenda of Chinese exports.<br />
In the case that a tendency towards cooperation and continued depolarization<br />
of the international system prevails over the coming years and Obama becomes<br />
reelected in 2012, it is probable that the American position will change from<br />
being a great conservative power to a great reformist power in regard to a global<br />
agreement to constrain carbon. Also probable is that an alliance between the<br />
European Union, Japan, Canada, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa<br />
and the United States is able to persuade China, Russia and India to establish<br />
emission peaks and different stabilizing years – prior to 2020 for China and<br />
Russia and between 2025 and 2030 for India, considering that the per capita<br />
emissions in Russia are almost double that of the Chinese and five times greater<br />
than that of India; and Chinese emissions are three times greater than Indian<br />
emissions (Viola and Machado Filho, 2010).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In an international system where forces of convergence predominate, China’s<br />
globalization and decarbonization forces are favored.. From the perspective<br />
of low-carbon technology, there are some small countries that will have<br />
global impact due to their technological advances: Israel, Taiwan, Singapore,<br />
Switzerland and Norway. The principal variable to increase cooperation and<br />
produce a decarbonizing agreement in the international system is more flexible<br />
intellectual property rights in the area of low-carbon technologies. The scenario
56<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
International<br />
perspectives of the<br />
transition to a<br />
low-carbon green<br />
economy<br />
Eduardo Viola<br />
is not simple, since some emerging countries are already at the forefront of<br />
low-carbon technology in some areas. For example, China would need a more<br />
flexible system in the areas of nuclear energy and second generation ethanol,<br />
but not in wind and solar in which several mid and low income countries<br />
would need Chinese-Taiwanese technology transfers. Brazil would need a<br />
relaxation of intellectual property laws in the areas of wind and photovoltaic<br />
solar energy, but would be at the forefront and should transfer technology in<br />
the areas of hydroelectricity and first generation ethanol to medium and low<br />
income countries.<br />
A new and great question is how long Brazil will maintain the discrepancy<br />
between a climate policy with emissions reduction targets and an international<br />
negotiations position that follows China and India, which have more conservative<br />
climate policies. Due to the relative power interests of various economic sectors<br />
in Brazil and the dynamics of public opinion, it is probable that this inconsistency<br />
will not be maintained for long and that the Brazilian negotiating position would<br />
converge with that of the European Union, Japan and South Korea.<br />
References<br />
Barret, S. (2010). Contrasting future path for an evolving climate regime. Global<br />
Policy, 1.<br />
Friedman, T. (2009). Hot, flat and crowded. Why we need a green revolution and how<br />
it can renew America. New York: Farrar, Strauss and Giroux.<br />
Giddens, A. (2009). The politics of climate change. London: Polity Press.<br />
La Viña, A. (2010). Ways forward after Copenhagen: reflections on the climate change<br />
negotiations process by the REDD-plus facilitator. Manila: Foundation for International<br />
Environmental Law and Development.<br />
Ladislaw, S. (2010). A post-Copenhagen pathway. Washington: Center for Strategic<br />
and International Studies.<br />
Stern, N. (2009). The global deal. Climate change and the creation of a new era of<br />
progress and prosperity. New York: Public Affairs.<br />
Viola, E. (2010). A política climática global e o Brasil, 2005-2010. Tempo do Mundo,<br />
vol. 1, n. 2. Brasília: IPEA.<br />
Viola, E. and Machado Filho, H. (2010). Os BICs (Brasil, Índia e China) e as negociações<br />
de mudança climática. Rio de Janeiro: Centro de Estudos de Integração e<br />
Desenvolvimento, Breves 35.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
57<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy in Latin<br />
America: the origins of<br />
debate in ECLAC work<br />
Márcia Tavares 1<br />
The exact meaning of the term green economy is still being discussed, and<br />
other articles in this volume certainly will contribute to this debate. It is likely<br />
that the term will acquire different meanings in different countries and contexts.<br />
In the context of the preparatory process for the United Nations Conference<br />
on Sustainable Development (<strong>Rio+20</strong>), resolution 64/236 of the General<br />
Assembly specifies that the term to be used is “green economy in the context<br />
of sustainable development and the eradication of poverty” (italics added).<br />
This qualification reflects four decades of dialogue between governments of<br />
developed and developing countries about the environment, economics and<br />
development, through the sequence of global conferences on the subject: the<br />
1972 United Nations Conference on the Human Environment in Stockholm, the<br />
1992 United Nations Conference on Environment and Development in Rio de<br />
Janeiro and the 2002 World Summit on Sustainable Development, and now the<br />
preparatory process for <strong>Rio+20</strong>. All these landmark conferences were marked<br />
by resistance to the imposition of the manner in which these relations should<br />
be handled by each country, how priorities should be defined in national policy<br />
and the relative importance attributed to different challenges of development<br />
and the protection of the environment. This tension, along with different<br />
views on the role of international cooperation and the importance of historic<br />
responsibilities, is visible in the definition of sustainable development by the<br />
Brundtland Commission, in various of the principles of the Rio Declaration on<br />
Environment and Development, in the difficulties in reaching an agreement on<br />
climate change and currently in the debates between governments on green<br />
economy.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Since the beginning of the 1970's, ECLAC has undertaken two functions<br />
in regard to the relations between economics and environment – and as of<br />
the end of the 1980's, “sustainable development”. Firstly, ECLAC supports<br />
governments of the Latin American and Caribbean region in intergovernmental<br />
processes. This role was reinforced by Agenda 21 in 1992, the Johannesburg<br />
Plan of Implementation in 2002 and the reformulation of the modus operandi of<br />
1. Márcia Tavares is Economic Affairs Officer of the Sustainable Development and Human<br />
Settlements Division of the Economic Commission for Latin American and the Caribbean<br />
(ECLAC). Opinions expressed in this article are the responsibility of the author and do not<br />
necessarily coincide with those of ECLAC.
58<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy in Latin<br />
America: the origins of<br />
debate in ECLAC work<br />
Márcia Tavares<br />
the Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD) in 2003. Today, ECLAC<br />
is the United Nations agency responsible for the regional preparatory process<br />
for <strong>Rio+20</strong> in Latin America and the Caribbean. Secondly, since its foundation<br />
in 1948, ECLAC has been a think tank on Latin American (and as from 1984,<br />
Caribbean) economies and their insertion in the international context. 2 In<br />
exercising these two functions, a number of ECLAC´s institutional publications<br />
and works by authors associated to the institution have addressed the relations<br />
between environment and economics either directly or indirectly when dealing<br />
with other aspects of development in the region.<br />
This article extracts some of the main ideas from works undertaken within<br />
ECLAC from the beginning of the 1970's to the beginning of the 1990's, at key<br />
moments in the debate about relations between economics and environment or<br />
about sustainable development. Some of the issues dealt with, the approaches<br />
adopted, or even the language of these documents may now be outdated, but<br />
the central arguments continue important to inform the debate about green<br />
economy and the shape that this concept will take in Latin America. They<br />
can be helpful in assessing the complexity of environmental problems in the<br />
region and their direct link to economic and social structures and processes.<br />
The references below do not do justice to the wealth of the original texts, but<br />
will hopefully raise interest in them as historical references.<br />
1. In p r e p a r a t io n f o r t h e St o c k h o l m<br />
Co n f e r e n c e: “Hu m a n En v ir o n m e n t a n d Ec o n o m ic<br />
De v e l o p m e n t in La t in Am e r ic a”, 1971<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
One of ECLACs first incursions in the environmental issue area was the<br />
work related to the organization, in 1971, of a preparatory meeting for the<br />
Stockholm Conference (1972). For this meeting, ECLAC published a study in<br />
collaboration with the Latin American Institute of Economic and Social Planning<br />
(ILPES) and the regional office of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)<br />
(ECLAC, 1971). The document identified low development and deficient income<br />
distribution as the main sources of the “poor environmental conditions” of the<br />
region. Industrialization, though necessary for development, had generated<br />
new problems. Thus, it was argued, there coexisted in Latin America, to a<br />
greater degree than in other regions, environmental problems associated<br />
with underdevelopment and those associated with technological progress.<br />
The document addressed the issue through the perspective of relations of<br />
dependency, the region’s peripheral nature and structural heterogeneity,<br />
elements that had dominated ECLAC thinking during the previous decade<br />
(Bielschowsky, 1998).<br />
3. “Founex Report on Development and the Environment”, presented by a group of specialists<br />
summuned by the Secretary General of the United Nations Conference on the Human<br />
Environment, 4 to 12 June, Founex, Switzerland.<br />
2. For an overview of ECLAC thought up to the 1990’s, see Bielschowsky (1998) and (2009).
59<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy in Latin<br />
America: the origins of<br />
debate in ECLAC work<br />
Márcia Tavares<br />
Influenced by the Founex report written some months before 3 , the dominant<br />
argument in this 1971 document was that development is a condition for<br />
ensuring “desirable environmental conditions”. Implicitly, the document reacted<br />
to theses that saw growth as detrimental to environmental quality, including<br />
that of the limits to growth. On the other hand, it addressed the dilemma of<br />
resource allocation between environmental and development objectives. This<br />
dilemma applied both to public resource allocation and to private sector business<br />
decisions. One example of the latter was the difficulty companies in the region<br />
found to develop and adopt more modern and less polluting technology, due<br />
to insufficient technological capacity and the need to maintain competitiveness<br />
(low costs and prices) in the international market.<br />
The 1971 document discussed the main environmental problems in urban<br />
and rural areas; the difficulties in ensuring a sufficient expansion of urban public<br />
services to meet the needs of a growing urban population; and the problems of<br />
industrial pollution. It also showed the relation between the agricultural production<br />
structure and the generation of large numbers of un- or underemployed, which<br />
were forced to occupy marginal lands with little capacity to generate surplus<br />
production or to integrate the increasing marginalized urban population. The<br />
text goes on to discuss other problems that still today dominate regional and<br />
international agendas, such as the challenges of securing energy for growing<br />
populations and economies; the effects of mining on the environment and the<br />
health of workers; the inefficient use of water; and the difficulty of developing<br />
domestic technology compatible with the local context and its environmental<br />
challenges. As would later be consolidated in both the 1992 instruments and<br />
in the Seventh Millennium Development Goal (environmental sustainability),<br />
the document supports the need to integrate environmental issues in public<br />
policymaking. The life-cycle logic in production and consumption is mentioned<br />
and used to show how natural materials such as cotton would be considered<br />
more competitive than synthetic materials if the costs of adequate disposal<br />
were considered. This was still a relevant subject on the agenda of the CSD<br />
in 2011.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The conclusions lead to the debate about the means of implementation of<br />
international environmental and sustainable development commitments, an<br />
issue that is still significant in the preparations for <strong>Rio+20</strong>, including the debates<br />
on green economy. These include the issue of trade restrictions; the capacity<br />
of industry to adapt to a new paradigm; the need for technology transfer and<br />
financial assistance; and the inseparability between economic development,<br />
social development and the environment, which came to be the basis of the<br />
concept of sustainable development.
60<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy in Latin<br />
America: the origins of<br />
debate in ECLAC work<br />
Márcia Tavares<br />
2. “De v e l o p m e n t s t y l e s a n d t h e e n v ir o n m e n t”,<br />
1980<br />
During most of the 1970's, the work of ECLAC was centered on what would<br />
become known as “styles of development. 4 This line of work originated in the<br />
perception that although the region had obtained good results in terms of growth<br />
and industrialization, this had taken place with the exclusion of large sectors<br />
of society, aggravating unemployment, underdevelopment and poverty, and<br />
accumulating political tension. The aim of this approach was to understand and<br />
respond to the development styles of countries in the region, seen in the context<br />
of the internationally prevalent styles. It was understood that an “ascending”,<br />
transnational, development was imposed over the “dominant” development<br />
styles of each country. This confrontation of styles, together with existing social<br />
forces, contributed to the structural heterogeneity 5 that characterizes peripheral<br />
countries within the capitalist system, another key concept of ECLAC thought<br />
in the 70's (Bielschowsky, 1998; Sunkel, 1980).<br />
Mainstream work about development styles did not explicitly consider<br />
the environmental dimension. Responding to this deficiency, between 1978<br />
and 1980, ECLAC and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)<br />
developed a project entitled Development Styles and the Environment. This<br />
formed the basis for work by ECLAC in the environmental issue area over<br />
the 20 years that followed (Gligo, 2006). The results of the initial project were<br />
joined into two volumes published in 1980 6 and summarized in an introductory<br />
article by Osvaldo Sunkel (1980). This article relates environmental problems<br />
in the region to the Latin American development process between the colonial<br />
period and the end of the 1970's, and particularly to the emergence of the<br />
“transnational” style after the post-war era.<br />
According to Sunkel (1980), the development styles of the countries that are<br />
developed today (including consumption choices, infrastructure, technological<br />
pathways) have been generated over time based on a world vision where<br />
natural resources were seen as unlimited. Colonial powers saw in the then<br />
apparently infinite resources of the colonies, a source for that which lacked or<br />
became scarce inside national boundaries. The United States´s ample territory<br />
generated the same perception. The depletion of the best natural resources<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
4. There have been various definitions of “development styles” over time. Sunkel (1980) quotes<br />
complementary definitions to those by Aníbal Pinto and Jorge Graciarena (free translation): “the<br />
manner in which human resources and materials are organized and assigned within a certain<br />
system with the purpose of resolving the questions of what, for whom and how to produce<br />
goods and services” and the “concrete and dynamic modality adopted by a system in a defined<br />
area and at a determined historical moment”.<br />
5. The term structural heterogeneity refers to “the intra and inter sectoral asymmetries in terms of<br />
productivity” (Pinto, 1970). These asymmetries are the hard core from which other inequalities<br />
are transmitted to all of society ECLAC (2010).<br />
6. Sunkel, Osvaldo and Gligo, Nicolo (compilers) (1980), “Estilos de Desarrollo y Medio<br />
Ambiente en la América Latina”, Fondo de Cultura Económica, México. The two volumes of<br />
this compilation contain 37 articles about development styles and the environment in general,<br />
and the development of the agriculture, livestock and forestry industries, urbanization and<br />
marginalization, energy and industrialization, and policies, strategies and planning sector. A<br />
special edition of the CEPAL Review (No. 12, December 1980) gathered some of these articles.
61<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy in Latin<br />
America: the origins of<br />
debate in ECLAC work<br />
Márcia Tavares<br />
(high grade, best location for extraction) and the degradation of renewable<br />
ones was not seen as a problem for these countries as technological progress<br />
and expansion to new territories always made new resources available. Upon<br />
gaining independence, ex-colonies reproduced development models based on<br />
a perception of unlimited natural resources, not necessarily compatible with<br />
their factor endowments and structural conditions, and without managing to<br />
generate autonomous processes of technological progress.<br />
Up to the 1940's, environmental problems in Latin America were, according<br />
to the study, mainly related to agricultural practices associated with a structure<br />
that combined large, under-utilized estates with overexploited smallholdings. In<br />
parallel, the expansion of the agricultural frontier generated its own problems,<br />
as did the exploitation of natural resources, a basic sector of the economies in<br />
the region. Revenue generated from mineral extraction was not being reinvested<br />
in local development. On the contrary, revenues were for the most part sent<br />
abroad. Additionally, as early as the 1940's, environmental problems existed<br />
in relation to the marginalization of segments of society both in rural and urban<br />
areas, despite industrial pollution being dispersed and of limited significance.<br />
By the end of the Second World War, the hegemony of the United States had<br />
extended the North American development style – referred to as “transnational” -<br />
to the rest of the world. The ascendance of this style in Latin America generated<br />
new environmental problems. The transnational style was characterized by,<br />
among others, the dominant role of transnational companies; the generation of<br />
irreversible transformations in national economies and societies that reduced<br />
the policy space of governments in the pursuit of autonomous development<br />
processes; the homogenization of production, marketing and consumption<br />
patterns; the internationalization of industrial production; and the intensification<br />
of natural resource exploitation and growing dependence on oil. The expansion<br />
of the use of the automobile influenced the dynamics of urban expansion and<br />
generated a growing demand for land in residential areas and for transportation<br />
infrastructure.<br />
Against the background of this ascending style, in the post war period policies<br />
of a breadth seldom seen since then were adopted in many countries to promote<br />
the development of basic industries such as the petroleum and automobile<br />
industries, as well as the infrastructure necessary to support these new sectors.<br />
The financial surplus derived from the exploitation of natural resources – that<br />
remained predominant in economic structures – was sent abroad or used to<br />
finance imports of consumer goods.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
One of the main characteristics of development in the region as understood<br />
through the lens of the ascendance of the transnational style was high-energy<br />
intensity and dependence on petroleum, the relevance of which much exceeds<br />
the problems of atmospheric pollution. The contribution of Raul Prebisch to the<br />
ECLAC/UNEP project collection (Prebisch, 1980) shows among other things, how
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the era of cheap petroleum influenced the direction of technological research.<br />
Investments allowed for the increase of productivity but not improvements in<br />
energy efficiency. The expanded use of petroleum as a raw material led to the<br />
substitution of natural fibers and wood by synthetic materials, to the detriment<br />
of employment. In agriculture, mechanization generated unemployment and<br />
migration to cities, which contributed to a massive and precarious urbanization<br />
process. The use of fertilizers and pesticides from petrochemical origins<br />
contributed to soil contamination.<br />
Also inherent to the ascendance of the transnational style was the geographical<br />
concentration of the industrial, political and bureaucratic administrative centers.<br />
This partly explains the repeated failure of regional decentralization policies<br />
between 1960 and 1980. Similarly, the dynamics of massive and precarious<br />
migration always undermined policies aimed at addressing the housing deficit<br />
or extending basic services to the poorest. While the most privileged groups<br />
retreated to suburban neighborhoods, occupying land previously employed in<br />
agriculture and requiring investments in the development of infrastructure for<br />
the new areas, within the cities the poorest groups occupied increasing areas<br />
of marginal land.<br />
The oil crisis at the beginning of the 1970's led to a crisis of the transnational<br />
style. However, by then its models of consumption, production, infrastructure<br />
and urban development, as well as social structures, had already been firmly<br />
established and still prevail to a great extent today. There were, by then, few<br />
alternatives for substantial changes in development paths. The oil crisis at the<br />
beginning of the 1970's, for instance, did not cause economies to shift to other<br />
sources of fuels despite significant initiatives such as Pró-Álcool (Pro-Ethanol)<br />
in Brazil. Rather, it generated even more pressure on export sectors to be able<br />
to finance petroleum imports.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
For an alternative development style compatible with the satisfaction of<br />
the basic needs of the majority of the population and the preservation of the<br />
natural resource base and the environment, the following recommendations<br />
emerged from the research on styles of development and the environment: less<br />
dependence on fossil fuels and a greater use of renewable and less polluting<br />
energy sources; development of more labor intense technologies that are<br />
adjusted to the local natural resource base; recycling and reuse of waste; natural<br />
resource management with ecologically based knowledge and technology;<br />
institution of decentralized administrative and political processes grounded in<br />
local communities; and deterrence of the continued expansion of large cities<br />
and excessive consumption. In addition, no development effort should leave<br />
out consideration of the environmental dimension. It was recommended that<br />
development planning and science and technology policies have as central<br />
concerns the knowledge and assessment of natural resources and ecosystems,<br />
the need for permanent monitoring, the development of alternative technologies
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and diversification of production based on ecologically adequate techniques.<br />
Lastly, the document recommended, the establishment of mechanisms that<br />
enable the participation of society in decision-making, which later became<br />
consolidated as Principle 10 in the Rio Declaration.<br />
The following citation draws attention to similarities with certain definitions<br />
of the concept of green economy, or green growth as adopted by the OECD 7 .<br />
In the words of Sunkel (1980) (free translation):<br />
“Policies aimed at conserving, improving and expanding natural resources<br />
and their productivity, and those that seek to conserve, improve and expand<br />
the artificial environment and its productivity, are a part of development<br />
policies, as they make development sustainable in the long term. But<br />
they can also make positive contributions to solve problems characteristic<br />
of the current development style (…) Conservation projects for soil and<br />
forests, reforestation, dredging and conservation of irrigation channels,<br />
maintenance and construction of roads that penetrate rural areas and the<br />
self-construction of housing and community equipment in urban zones,<br />
if adequately designed, can contribute to alleviate problems such as<br />
unemployment and underemployment, at the same time as they promote<br />
social organization at the base of society, increasing productivity and<br />
improving living conditions.”<br />
3. Th e d e b t c r is is a n d t h e Br u n d t l a n d<br />
Co m m is s io n: r e f l e c t io n s b e t w e e n 1985 a n d 1990<br />
The World Commission on Environment and Development, also known as<br />
the Brundtland Commission, was created in 1983. In 1987, the Commission<br />
published its report, which defines sustainable development as development<br />
that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future<br />
generations to meet their own needs.<br />
During this period and the years that followed, Latin America´s international<br />
economic relations – and thereby the focus of ECLAC – were dominated by<br />
“financial asphyxia due to indebtedness” (Bielschowsky, 1998). Two articles by<br />
Osvaldo Sunkel – one before and one after the Brundtland report – refer to the<br />
relation between the debt crisis and sustainable development. They make a<br />
call for the global debate on the environment and sustainable development not<br />
to disconsider the great challenges of the economic context in Latin American<br />
countries and of the way in which they were inserted in the international<br />
economic system. Sunkel suggested that the debt crisis was an opportunity to<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. “A way to pursue economic growth and development, while preventing environmental<br />
degradation, viodiversity loss and unsustainable natural resource use”. This refers to<br />
strategies that emerged in response to the global crisis and that sought sources of growth<br />
that could contribute simultaneously to economic efficiency, environmental integrity and social<br />
equality (OECD, 2010).
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improve the relation between economy and environment, which is reminiscent<br />
of the concepts of green economy within the context of the United Nations,<br />
and green growth within the context of the OECD, later emerged largely as a<br />
reaction to the global crisis that reached its summit in 2008.<br />
The 1985 article describes the effects of the crisis on the environment and<br />
environmental institutions, an aspect that had allegedly not been adequately<br />
addressed by the Brundtland Commission up to that point (Sunkel, 1985).<br />
Environmental institutions were still weak and their role still the object of much<br />
uncertainty when they were hit by the crisis. The budget constraints stemming<br />
from the crisis and an economic and financial outlook that focused on the short<br />
term further weakened the environmental institutions that had emerged since<br />
the Stockholm Conference. Furthermore, the pressure to raise hard currency to<br />
cover debt servicing and the political consequences of adjustments increased<br />
poverty levels and contributed to aggravate problems of over-exploitation of<br />
land and natural resources, as well as migration from rural areas to cities and<br />
the consequent increase in urban poverty. Within cities, informal housing and<br />
activities expanded. Running counter to sustainable development, the pressure<br />
to raise hard currency led to the favoring of activities with visible short-term<br />
results, to the detriment of long-term investments (such as those related to<br />
environmental protection).<br />
Similarly, in a compilation of Latin American perspectives on the Brundtland<br />
report, Sunkel (1990) again demonstrates how the debt crisis, the deterioration<br />
in the terms of trade and the conditions of international financing introduced<br />
– or helped to perpetuate – despite what was promoted internationally, the<br />
precedence of the short term. It shows how the crisis reduced the capacity of<br />
the State to invest and attend to the basic necessities of the population (health,<br />
education). Investments that resulted in high exports were favored, which in<br />
turn generated resources that were channeled to pay off debts. Resources<br />
allocated to environmental protection, whose results were not tangible or only<br />
materialized in the long term, became scarce.<br />
However, just like the oil crisis at the beginning of the 70's, the debt crisis<br />
was also presented as an opportunity to change the style of economic growth<br />
and to make development compatible with the environment. Again similar to the<br />
first documents on green economy during the reactivation efforts of the global<br />
economy in 2008, Sunkel proposed, in 1985, a vision of the new crisis as an<br />
opportunity to change paths (free translation):<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
“It is possible to face the issue of environmental resources, the resources<br />
given by nature and the constructed ones, as a way to establish a link<br />
between short term economic policies and the need for medium and long term<br />
development policies. In other words, what I am suggesting is that we face<br />
the crisis as an opportunity. An opportunity to mobilize resources in a way that<br />
enables change in the style of growth, taking into consideration the need to
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America: the origins of<br />
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satisfy the essential necessities of the population and introduce a sustainable,<br />
or “conscious”, development process.”<br />
The article argues for an expansive, but selective, policy rather than<br />
recessive adjustment; relates macroeconomic policies to the environment; and<br />
includes specific policies for social issues, for small and medium businesses<br />
and for industrial development. It also promotes the attachment of value to<br />
environmental and natural resources in order to ensure that present and future<br />
needs are met, This would influence the way in which the productive sectors,<br />
instrumental in shaping development patterns, view the environment. The<br />
1990's took a different direction.<br />
Márcia Tavares<br />
4. Pr o d u c t iv e t r a n s f o r m a t io n, e q u a l it y a n d t h e<br />
e n v ir o n m e n t, 1991<br />
The issue of productive transformation was a central them in ECLAC work<br />
over most of the 1990's. Building on the theoretical base developed since<br />
the end of the 1940's, in 1990 ECLAC proposed the concept of “productive<br />
transformation with equality” as a regional priority over the coming decade<br />
(ECLAC, 1990, 2008; Bielschowsky, 1998). A productive transformation<br />
was proposed that would be sustained by the deliberate and systematic<br />
incorporation of technical progress and increased productivity as factors<br />
necessary for authentic international competitiveness 8 . The systemic character<br />
of competitiveness was emphasized, as well as links between businesses,<br />
the education system, technological, energy and transport infrastructures,<br />
relations between employers and employees, the public and private institutional<br />
apparatus and the financial system. It was argued that a suitable and stable<br />
macroeconomic environment and a policy to correct prices, though necessary,<br />
would not be sufficient to trigger productive transformation. Macroeconomic<br />
management should be combined with sectoral policies, which could induce<br />
productive transformation. It was necessary to secure links between different<br />
sectors (exploitation of raw materials, industry, services) in order to generate<br />
a progressive homogenization of levels of productivity. Equality, democracy<br />
and environmental sustainability were seen as key factors in a productive<br />
transformation process.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
ECLAC´s document to support regional preparations for the Rio Summit<br />
in 1992, “Sustainable development: productive transformation, equity and<br />
environment” (ECLAC, 1991), was written in this context. The document<br />
deals with various issues related to sustainable development in the region,<br />
among them that of the relationship between productive transformation and<br />
sustainability, based on the results of a study specifically dedicated to the topic<br />
8. Concept construed in opposition to that of spurious competitiveness, based on the<br />
degradation of natural resources and low valuation of human resources.
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(ECLAC/UNIDO, 1991).<br />
The latter demonstrates that the traditional focus on productive development<br />
on the one hand, and ecology on the other, emphasized different and<br />
apparently irreconcilable objectives: growth and international competitiveness<br />
as opposed to equity and environmental sustainability. The link that could<br />
make these objectives converge would be the incorporation and diffusion of<br />
technical progress (ECLAC/UNIDO, 1991). The dependence of Latin American<br />
economies on natural resource extraction was seen as a concern; not only<br />
because of the related environmental problems, but also because the way<br />
in which these industries were organized was not conducive to overcoming<br />
sectoral “encapsulation”, that is, the lack of productive links between different<br />
sectors (primary, secondary, tertiary). The Latin American experience differed<br />
from that of some OECD countries whose economies were also based on<br />
natural resources, but whose industrial development had taken place mainly<br />
as a result of the transformation of these resources, in a context that enabled<br />
a wide range of technological innovation.<br />
Overcoming sectoral “encapsulation” required strong and coordinated<br />
policies; however, these were not sufficiently put into practice throughout the<br />
1990's. A 2008 assessment demonstrated that, despite a greater diversification<br />
of exports and economic benefits due to price increases in raw materials, the<br />
region had not managed to reduce dependence on traditional exports, nor<br />
incorporate more knowledge and aggregate value to activities and supply<br />
chains. The increase in manufactured exports had not been translated into<br />
an increase in activities of higher aggregate value, technology diffusion or<br />
generating technological capabilities. Innovation efforts continue being rare,<br />
especially if compared to Asian competitors (ECLAC, 2008).<br />
In the green economy debates, the development of new “green” sectors is<br />
mentioned as a way to stimulate economies, as a new technological paradigm. It<br />
is important to consider, when defining the instruments to be adopted nationally<br />
and internationally, that the challenge of productive transformation has persisted<br />
in the region for decades. Managing to use the green economy as a motor of<br />
economic expansion requires efforts of great magnitude in terms of policies<br />
related to education, innovation and productive development, which cannot<br />
be managed nor implemented solely by governmental agencies related to the<br />
environment.<br />
5. Po in t s f o r r e f l e c t i o n<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Among the questions that this compilation of documents raises for the green<br />
economy debate, the following are highlighted due to their importance and<br />
link to the second theme of <strong>Rio+20</strong>, the institutional framework for sustainable<br />
development.
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As a group, the documents mentioned are a reminder that the relation<br />
between environmental, social and economic problems in Latin America is<br />
profound and complex. The reflection on how to change these relations and<br />
solve the great environmental problems in the region, that disproportionately<br />
affect the poorest, must consider these roots. In this sense, green economy<br />
strategies will tend to be insufficient if managed and implemented separately<br />
by entities – governments, civil society, businesses and their representative<br />
entities – that deal with the environment as a specialized area.<br />
Secondly, seen with the benefit of hindsight, the documents show the<br />
importance of identifying and removing barriers to change. Already in 1971,<br />
solutions were suggested that continue to be debated internationally, but that are<br />
only marginally implemented, such as the adoption of a life-cycle approach to<br />
production. 9 Two ideas found at the origins of the international projection of the<br />
green economy concept – that of transforming crisis into opportunity to redirect<br />
development towards greater sustainability and that of making environmental<br />
protection a source of economic opportunities – had already emerged in 1980<br />
(Sunkel, 1980), if not before. Why did these ideas – of which ECLAC was only<br />
a small exponent – not have significant practical consequences? It is known<br />
that there are, among others, technological, entrepreneurial, legal, institutional<br />
and information barriers, including the difficulties of valuation of natural capital.<br />
There is an inertia derived from investments made under a paradigm that did not<br />
attribute value to the environment: investments in technology, energy sources,<br />
monitoring systems, industrial plants, business models, methods for calculating<br />
the cost-benefit of projects, public institution mandates, etc. To ensure that<br />
the green economy – under whichever precise concept comes to be adopted<br />
internationally and by each country – goes beyond a set of well-intended<br />
declarations, it will be necessary to overcome these barriers in a coordinated<br />
manner among institutions and actors in different spheres.<br />
On the other hand, as shown through the experience in the 1980's, if there<br />
are not strong and permanent institutions that can ensure that between two<br />
options the sustainable one is favored, the progress is nullified in times of crisis<br />
when choices have to be made between objectives.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Finally, the green economy has been mentioned as an opportunity for a<br />
new technological and innovation cycle. This could mean, for Latin American<br />
countries, the entrance into new markets and a new opportunity to participate in<br />
sectors with higher value added, that diffuse technology, in some cases linked to<br />
the natural resource sectors that are so important in the economies of the region.<br />
When considering this argument, it is important to keep in mind the experiences<br />
in the region with productive transformation – mentioned previously in relation<br />
9. In addition to debates on green economy, see the reports from the 18th and 19th sessions<br />
of the Commission on Sustainable Development, particularly with regards to the topic of<br />
consumption and sustainable production.
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to the documents from the beginning of the 1990's – and the lessons learned:<br />
to take advantage of opportunities such as this active policies are needed, with<br />
clear strategic objectives. This includes an articulated combination of policies<br />
addressing education, and industry, science and technology, among others. A<br />
necessary condition is a clear choice, by a relevant and articulated group of<br />
public institutions, to prioritize a sustainable development path.<br />
Green economy in Latin<br />
America: the origins of<br />
debate in ECLAC work<br />
Márcia Tavares<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
References<br />
Bielschowsky, R. (1998). Cincuenta años del pensamiento de La CEPAL: una reseña.<br />
In CEPAL, Cincuenta Años de Pensamiento en la CEPAL: Texto Seleccionados.<br />
Mexico: ECLAC/Fondo de Cultura Económica.<br />
Bielschowsky, R. (2009). Sesenta años de la CEPAL: estructuralismo y neoestructuralismo.<br />
In Revista de la CEPAL, n. 97. April, 173-194.<br />
ECLAC (1971). El medio ambiente humano y el desarrollo económico en América<br />
Latina. Seminário Regional Latinoamericano sobre los Problemas del Medio Ambiente<br />
Humano y Desarrollo, ST/ECLA/Conf.40/L.2, August 25, Santiago de Chile.<br />
ECLAC (1990). Transformación productiva com equidad: la tarea prioritaria del desarrollo<br />
em América Latina y el Caribe em los años noventa (LC/G.1601-P). Santiago de<br />
Chile: United Nations <strong>Publication</strong>.<br />
ECLAC (1991). El desarrollo sustentable: transformación productiva, equidad y médio<br />
ambiente (LC./G.1648(CONF.80/2)/Rev.1.). Santiago de Chile: United Nations<br />
<strong>Publication</strong>.<br />
ECLAC (2008). La transformación productiva 20 años después: viejos problemas,<br />
nuevas oportunidades (LC/G.2367(SES.32/3). United Nations <strong>Publication</strong>.<br />
ECLAC (2010). La hora de la igualdad: brechas por cerrar, caminos por abrir (LC/<br />
G.2432(SES.33/3). Santiago de Chile: United Nations <strong>Publication</strong>.<br />
ECLAC/UNIDO (1991). Tecnología, Competitividad y Sustentabilidad (LC.L/608).<br />
Santiago de Chile: United Nations <strong>Publication</strong>.<br />
Gligo, N. (2006). Estilos de desarrollo y medio ambiente en América Latina, un cuarto<br />
de siglo después. Serie Medio Ambiente y Desarrollo, n. 126, May. ECLAC.<br />
OECD (2010). Interim report of the green growth strategy: implementing our commitment<br />
for a sustainable future. Paris: OECD.<br />
Pinto, A. (1970[2000]). Natureza e Implicações da Heterogeneidade Estrutural da<br />
América Latina. In Bielschowsky, R. (org.), Cinquenta anos de pensamento da CEPAL.<br />
Rio de Janeir; São Paulo: ed. Record, ECLAC, Cofecon, vol.2.<br />
Prebisch, R. (1980). Biósfera y desarrollo. In Sunkel, O. and Gligo, N. (comp.), Estilos<br />
de Desarrollo y Medio Ambiente en la América Latina. Mexico: Fondo de Cultura<br />
Económica.<br />
Sunkel, O. (1980). Introducción: la interacción entre los estilos de desarrollo y el<br />
medio ambiente en la América Latina. In Sunkel, O. and Gligo, N. (comp.), Estilos<br />
de desarrollo y medio ambiente en la América Latina. Mexico: Fondo de Cultura<br />
Económica.<br />
Sunkel, O. (1985). Dívida, desenvolvimento e meio-ambiente. Espaços & Debates –<br />
Revista de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, ano V, no. 16.<br />
Sunkel, O. (1990). El difícil contexto internacional para un desarrollo sustentable. In<br />
Maihold, Günther and Victor L. Urquidi (comp.), Dialogo con nuestro futuro comun:<br />
perspectivas latinoamericanas del Informe Brundtland. Mexico: Fundación Friedrich<br />
Ebert- Editorial Nueva Sociedad.
69<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The role of inclusive growth<br />
for a green economy in<br />
developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata 1<br />
In t r o d u c t io n<br />
The proposition that anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases have<br />
dangerously modified global climate is already consensually accepted. One<br />
may ask, however, what the economic impacts are of necessary measures to<br />
achieve reductions in emissions levels and environmental degradation capable<br />
of minimizing such effects. Environmental economists agree that public policies<br />
based on economic incentive instruments can alleviate the effects caused by<br />
climate change at an acceptable cost.<br />
According to the 2011 UNEP report “Towards a green economy: pathways<br />
to sustainable development and eradication of poverty”, in a green economy<br />
income and employment growth is fostered by public and private investment<br />
that reduces carbon emissions and pollution, improves efficiency in the use<br />
of energy and natural resources, and avoids the loss of biodiversity and<br />
ecosystem services. These investments should be supported by directed public<br />
expenditure, policy reform and regulatory changes. This development path<br />
should maintain, improve and, where necessary, rebuild natural capital as a<br />
critical economic asset and source of public benefits, especially for poor people<br />
whose survival and security depend strongly on nature. The essential notion<br />
advocated by the green economy concept is that public policy coupled with<br />
changes in key sectors can conduce national economies to admissible levels of<br />
environmental degradation, without drastic changes in consumption patterns.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Despite the theoretical possibility, the practical challenge is tremendous<br />
for developing economies, since public policy makers must already associate<br />
economic growth with other areas, such as increased consumption patterns to<br />
the poorest segments of society. In this sense, Gunningham et al. (2003) point<br />
to the importance of combining economic, social, environmental and political<br />
dimensions in the design of both economic incentive instruments and commandand-control<br />
measures for environmental policy , which is a fundamental issue<br />
for developing economies willing to enter the green economy.<br />
1. Senior researcher at the International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth of the United<br />
Nations Development Programme (IPC-IG/UNDP) and professor of Finance at the University<br />
of Brasília.
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opportunities<br />
The role of inclusive<br />
growth for a<br />
green economy in<br />
developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata<br />
Th e g r e e n e c o n o m y<br />
The green economy can be defined as a paradigm shift that proposes a<br />
reduction of current environmental risks and ecological limitations, coupled<br />
with an increased human well-being and social equity (UNEP, 2011). Thus, the<br />
concept can be easily connected to the notion of inclusive growth, which proposes<br />
improved quality of life for all those that live in an economy. In this sense, both<br />
are of fundamental importance for policy makers in developing countries.<br />
In order for an economy to move from the current model to the desirable green,<br />
investments in strategic areas of natural capital that minimize environmental<br />
risks are fundamental. Despite the issue having been presented extensively in<br />
the academic literature, governments have only recently started to take more<br />
proactive measures to translate the rather vague green economy concept into<br />
practical actions.<br />
It is worth emphasizing the role played by international organizations, such as<br />
the United Nations, which provide a forum for permanent debate, disseminating<br />
successful cases of developed and developing countries and presenting<br />
innovative policy proposals. The Green Initiative, for instance, was launched<br />
in 2009 by the UNEP, as part of the nine UN-Wide Joint Crisis Initiatives that<br />
involve all 21 UN agencies, including the Bretton Woods institutions.<br />
Contributions are also made in the area of public policy proposals. The most<br />
prominent example has been the UNEP report that broadly defends that annual<br />
investments equivalent to 2% of the global GDP (close to US$ 1.3 trillion) until<br />
2050 would fuel the development and transition of 11 key sectors to a green<br />
economy (UNEP, 2011). These are: 1- agriculture, 2- buildings, 3- renewable<br />
energy, 4- forestry, 5- manufacturing industry, 6- fishery resources, 7- tourism,<br />
8- transport, 9- water resources, 10- solid waste management and 11- cities.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
According to the defended thesis, investments coupled with political reforms<br />
should foster change in the selected industrial sectors, which would improve<br />
the industries competitive position in the long term. As a consequences,<br />
sustainability transformation could be driven by eco-efficient solutions, which<br />
propose more efficient utilization of scarce natural resources and present<br />
innumerable social benefits, such as employment in 'green jobs'. From a<br />
social perspective, this process can conduct emerging countries to a situation<br />
where a growing green economy unfolds into the desired inclusive growth.<br />
The development of these key sectors can reduce poverty and minimize<br />
income discrepancies. To achieve this, the policy menu is diverse, including<br />
direct generation of green jobs, increased access to environmental products<br />
and services in needy communities, design of conditional cash transfers,<br />
direct subsidies to certain industrial sectors and restructure of national public<br />
spending policies.
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The role of inclusive<br />
growth for a<br />
green economy in<br />
developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata<br />
Many developing countries have already incorporated sustainable<br />
development concepts, at least in certain sectors, that link various key policy<br />
areas such as pro-poor and pro-employment economic growth. In this sense,<br />
a fundamental aspect for developing countries is that the inclusion of a<br />
green economy can connect dimensions that were previously perceived as<br />
antagonistic.<br />
According to Gunningham et al., (2003), environmental, social, economic and<br />
political dimensions should be taken into account when designing public policies<br />
capable of modifying environmental progress in industrial sectors. An analysis of<br />
the 'license to operate' model indicates the relevance of the interaction between<br />
dimensions as the starting point for influencing the environmental progress of<br />
industry. . As such, these diverse dimensions should be taken into account by<br />
countries that are interested in developing certain sectors of the economy.<br />
This holistic understanding goes beyond the interpretations offered by<br />
authors of corporate strategy such as Porter and Van der Lind (1995) and Hart<br />
(1997), who were pioneers in the idea that the private sector can benefit from<br />
environmental regulation in competitive terms. Such concepts were thereafter<br />
modified by Reinhardt (2000) and Orsato (2009), that indicate conditions where<br />
gains could be realized. Despite the great relevance of such literature, few<br />
industrial sectors have actually awoken to the new areas of green economy,<br />
especially in developing countries. Many of the efforts have been solely<br />
focused on the green discourse and green packaging of old unsustainable<br />
practices. Thus, the role that governments and international organizations play<br />
in promoting the agenda for developing a green economy is essential, since the<br />
combination of fiscal incentives and regulations can accelerate the process of<br />
change through technological innovation and the creation of green markets. If<br />
left to the exclusive will of the private sector, as has been the case, economies<br />
turn out to be incapable of actually entering into a green economy.<br />
It is important to note that social, economic, political and environmental<br />
dimensions follow different mecanisms that should be carefully understood<br />
for developing countries. Despite the existence of potential synergies and<br />
strong interactions between these dimensions, it cannot be assumed that the<br />
dynamics and responses of each one can be identical. Each country faces<br />
the challenge of finding solutions that drive economic growth in a way that is<br />
environmentally sustainable, socially inclusive and politically feasible, within<br />
their unique contexts.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Th e c o m p l e m e n t a r it y b e t w e e n s o c ia l a n d<br />
e n v ir o n m e n t a l d im e n s io n s<br />
In terms of public policy, the economic and social dimensions have been on<br />
the centre of policy making in developing countries. Although the development
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green economy in<br />
developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata<br />
of social policies should be coupled with the development of the green economy,<br />
the evolution seen in the field of social program design was not accompanied<br />
by environmental concerns. In the social field, Brazil and other developing<br />
countries recently adopted a series of innovative social protection strategies<br />
to improve the lifestyles of the poorest. Brazil, for example, implemented the<br />
Family Grant program (Bolsa Familia), and Mexico the Oportunidades. Such<br />
programs have generated significant benefits in combating poverty, raising the<br />
living standards of the population in certain areas and guaranteeing benefits<br />
in the fields of education and health.<br />
However, the interaction between social and environmental policies still<br />
requires more robust debate. One of the options presented by some countries is<br />
the payment for environmental services, which utilizes conditional cash transfer<br />
instruments to rural landowners that preserve part of their land, as was done<br />
in Costa Rica. Such programs have generated positive effects, but still have<br />
not been widely adopted in other countries. In Brazil, for example, despite the<br />
success of the Family Grant program and the efforts by the Brazilian Ministry<br />
of the Environment, the country has not been capable of introducing a payment<br />
for environmental services program in an effective large scale manner.<br />
It is noteworthy that the generation of green jobs through the sectors<br />
highlighted by UNEP (2011) is essentially different, as it is based on the belief<br />
that the market is capable of generating such positions, with support provided<br />
by the public sector. Conditional cash transfer programs are designed to tackle<br />
a different issue, since they are better equipped to eliminate distortions relative<br />
to extreme poverty and to families in great need for financial resources. Green<br />
jobs focus on substituting unsustainable processes with cleaner more advanced<br />
alternatives.<br />
The 'license to operate' framework presented by Gunningham et al. (2003)<br />
notes that the interaction between social, environmental, economic and political<br />
licenses is intricate and should be analysed case by case. In a very simplified<br />
way, conditional cash transfer programs can be seen as inducers of a non-trivial<br />
response. Such programs serve to solve poverty issues, but still have not been<br />
able to fully incorporate exit strategies nor the environmental dimension..<br />
However, policies of productive inclusion can be designed to attend to<br />
environmental needs and promote key sectors in the green economy.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In d u s t r ia l d e v e l o p m e n t a n d p r o d u c t iv e in c l u s io n:<br />
t h e c a s e o f t h e Br a z il ia n Bi o d i e s e l Pr o g r a m<br />
Beyond social strategies, the development of a green economy requires<br />
structured growth policies, which generate jobs and include marginal<br />
populations in supply chains with high aggregate values. Social strategies can<br />
serve as complements to deal with specific social aspects, but as sources of
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developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata<br />
development and 'green' innovation. As such, the combination of expansionist<br />
macroeconomic policies capable of generating employment and income,<br />
coupled with national structures that encourage industrial development, is<br />
fundamental. In this section, these issues will be briefly contextualized with<br />
the use of the Brazilian Biodiesel Program case.<br />
Biodiesel is an area of great debate in the development of renewable energy<br />
for transport. Brazil is internationally recognized as one of the leaders in the<br />
research and development of biofuels for the automotive industry. In this context,<br />
the Brazilian Biodiesel Program brings important elements to the debate, as<br />
it relates both to the areas of sustainable transport and renewable energy, as<br />
well as presents a political structure to address the social dimension.<br />
The Brazilian Biodiesel Program has been developed to structure the<br />
productive supply chain and incorporate small family farmers in the production of<br />
raw materials for the production of biodiesel. The program was designed so that<br />
small farmers could contribute with a series of vegetable sources such as soy,<br />
castor bean, sunflower, palm and cotton. Despite the extensive background the<br />
country possess in this area, the inclusion of small family farmers in the biofuel<br />
supply chain was an innovative policy effort that turned out to be disappointing,<br />
due to innumerable problems related to the program design and implementation<br />
(Zapata et al., 2010).<br />
In 2010, the government, perceiving the need to redirect the program to<br />
increase the participation of small farmers, remodeled the program structure and<br />
placed Petrobras Biofuels as principal stakeholderr. After this change, positive<br />
anecdotal evidence has have emerged. . It is expected that consolidated data<br />
will be available this year.<br />
The Brazilian Biodiesel Program has shown that the policies that t seek<br />
to reduce poverty through the productive inclusion of small family farmers is<br />
complex, but feasible. Lessons can be taken and applied in other countries that<br />
wish to follow similar paths. Despite the effort of combining the environmental<br />
and social dimensions, Brazil takes timid steps in the development of<br />
technologies and radical innovation strategies, such as hydrogen and electric<br />
or hybrid vehicles. The transport strategy is based on incremental modifications<br />
of internal combustion engines with marginal environmental effect (Zapata and<br />
Nieuwenhuis, 2010).<br />
Th e So u t h-So u t h d e b a t e<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Beyond the central importance of social and environmental dimensions for<br />
the development of a green economy in developing countries, the political<br />
dimension is also crucial. Interest groups can influence governments and society<br />
to take measures that generate profound changes in determined areas of the<br />
economy and can strengthen the elements necessary for the development of
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The role of inclusive<br />
growth for a<br />
green economy in<br />
developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata<br />
the green economy. As such, f international organizations can play a central role<br />
that presents feasible opportunities to shape the political dimension in accord<br />
with the interests of wider society and not just specific interest groups. The<br />
United Nations system, for example, has achieved highly significant results in<br />
the political sphere through the promotion of international discussion forums.<br />
Experiences with rural and urban inclusive production that drive development<br />
in sectors specific to the development of a green economy should be better<br />
studied and shared between countries with similar characteristics. In the field<br />
of productive inclusion policies or conditional cash transfers, the sharing of<br />
experiences among southern countries is fundamental. In this context, it is<br />
important to emphasize the efforts made in the IBSA (India, Brazil and South<br />
Africa) and BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) countries through IPC-IG,<br />
which has acted as catalyst in the debate and experience sharing in specific<br />
forums for these two groups.<br />
Co n c l u s io n<br />
The green economy is an ample concept that should be better translated into<br />
measures that modify the current structure of national economies. The current<br />
debate is lead by UNEP is based on the premise that incremental modifications<br />
in selected industrial sectors would be sufficient to conduct humanity towards<br />
sustainability. However, the demands from developing countries are pressing,<br />
as aside from the critical environmental dimension, the social dimension is also<br />
in desperate need. In this sense, the concept of inclusive growth should be<br />
fundamentally incorporated in the green economy discussion.<br />
In general terms, the discourse of international organizations and many<br />
countries is substantially optimistic, and based on the dissemination of<br />
successful cases in certain areas. However, it is important to note that the<br />
international replicability of such experiences is very limited, since each strategic<br />
sector exists within specific local and national conditions, with particular social,<br />
environmental, economic and political dimensions.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The efforts made by the United Nations and other international organizations<br />
are essential, but still incipient in the area of green economy. The private<br />
sector should play a leading role in this context. However, It should be noted<br />
that the consensus among environmental economists disappears regarding<br />
the time necessary to achieve such transformations. A process of profound<br />
change in production and consumption, based on radical innovation, is not on<br />
the agenda, because much more substantial investments would be required.<br />
Thus, we should ask if the current debate on the green economy encompasses<br />
the sense of urgency necessary to solve the environmental problem within the<br />
required time-frame.
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The role of inclusive<br />
growth for a<br />
green economy in<br />
developing countries<br />
Clóvis Zapata<br />
References<br />
Gunningham, N., Kagan, R. and Thornton, D. (2003). Shades of green: business, regulation,<br />
and environment. Palo Alto: Stanford University Press.<br />
Hart, S. (1997). Beyond greening: strategies for a sustainable world. Harvard Business<br />
Review, 75(1), 66–76.<br />
Orsato, R. (2009). Sustainability strategies. New York: Palgrave MacMillan and INSEAD<br />
Business Press.<br />
Porter, M. and Van der Linde, C. (1995). Towards a new conception of the environmentcompetitiveness<br />
relationship. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 97-118.<br />
Reinhardt, F. (2000). Down to earth, applying business principles to environmental<br />
management. Cambridge: Harvard Business School Press.<br />
UNEP (2011). Towards a green economy: pathways to sustainable development and<br />
poverty eradication. Retrieved from: .<br />
Zapata, C. and Nieuwenhuis, P. (2010). Exploring innovation in the automotive industry:<br />
new technologies for cleaner cars. Journal of Cleaner Production, 18(1), 14-20.<br />
Zapata, C., Vazquez-Brust, D. and Plaza-Úbeda, J. (2010). Productive inclusion of<br />
smallholder farmers in Brazil’s biodiesel value chain: programme design, institutional<br />
incentives and stakeholder constraints. International Policy Centre for Inclusive<br />
Growth Working paper 73.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
76<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani 1<br />
Ernani Kuhn 2<br />
Renato Rosenberg 3<br />
1. In t r o d u c t io n<br />
Upon seeking to understand the situation in Brazil as relates to the green<br />
economy (GE) and its perspectives, some crucial questions arise. What are<br />
the main advances already achieved in relation to GE? How is Brazil doing<br />
in comparison to other countries? What are the main challenges that need to<br />
be addressed? These questions are ample, current and narrowly related to<br />
discussions about the impacts of climate change and new formulations in the<br />
sphere of economic theory.<br />
According to the document “Green Economy: synthesis for policy makers”,<br />
elaborated by the UNEP in 2011, green economy can be defined as that<br />
which results in improvements to human well-being and social equity, while<br />
significantly reducing environmental risks and ecological scarcities. In other<br />
words, GE can be thought of along the lines of low carbon, efficient resource<br />
use and social inclusion.<br />
Productive restructuring efforts towards a greener economy are part of<br />
government programs both in developed and emerging countries. Development<br />
of new markets guided by cleaner energy sources, sustainable arrangements<br />
of economic activities and socio-economic inclusion, dominated the debate in<br />
the second half of the 20th century, though the 2008 financial crisis and the<br />
democratic revival in the Arab world have re-introduced the regressive scenario<br />
of predatory growth on the agenda.<br />
2. Br a z il a s p o t e n t ia l e n v ir o n m e n t a l e n e r g y<br />
s u p e r p o w e r<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
To analyze the GE potential of Brazil, it is fundamental to also understand<br />
the distinguished role of the country in relation to its privileged environmental<br />
conditions of natural resources abundance. The national territory encompasses<br />
the second largest forest area on the planet, which occupies around 4.8 million<br />
square kilometers; representing 56% of national territory and 10% of global<br />
1. Deputy Minister of the Brazilian Ministry of the Environment.<br />
2. Program Director at the Brazilian Ministry of the Environment.<br />
3. Technical Advisor to the Brazilian Ministry of the Environment.
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Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
forests (Governo Federal, 2008). Beyond these great dimensions, the forests<br />
are also rather diversified, ranging from the Amazon rainforest, the Araucarias<br />
Forests (Brazilian pine forests), the seasonal forests, the tropical Atlantic<br />
Forests, the Caatinga (Brazilian dry forests), the Campinaranas (Brazilian heath<br />
forests), to the Cerrado (Brazilian savannahs), making this the most bio-diverse<br />
country on the planet – the other two with similar characteristics are Indonesia<br />
and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.<br />
In terms of water resources, Brazil also exhibits indicators of global relevance:<br />
the country has approximately 12% of the surface water available on the planet<br />
according to the Brazilian National Water Agency, to which the Amazon region<br />
contributes almost 75% (MMA, 2010). In addition to the genetic wealth derived<br />
from the country’s biodiversity, an enviable natural resource endowment has<br />
also been recorded – in the volume of deposits and heterogeneity of resources<br />
– comparable only to Russia, the United States, Canada and Australia.<br />
Brazil has been developing a series of institutional, economic and<br />
technological instruments aimed at preserving and utilizing these resources in<br />
a more rational and sustainable way. This is a recent effort, though it has been<br />
gathering force over the past 25 years. The challenge today is to benefit from the<br />
accumulated efforts in favor of environmental preservation and socio-economic<br />
development, by taking advantage of the global window of opportunity that is<br />
opening through and for Brazil.<br />
One example of a distinguished initiative is the Brazilian experience with<br />
using combustible alcohol, more commonly known as ethanol fuel. Research<br />
to utilize ethanol derived from sugarcane in automotive engines began in the<br />
1920’s (Magalhães and Schartzman, 1981). By the 1930’s, Decree n. 19.717 (20<br />
February 1931) made the addition of ethanol to gasoline mandatory. The first oil<br />
crisis in 1973 brought an energy shortage to the country. Through the National<br />
Ethanol Program (Pró-Álcool), Brazil was mobilized to produce ethanol to be<br />
mixed with gasoline as a first step, and subsequently to be utilized directly as<br />
fuel on a large scale, which put Brazil in a unique position in relation to the rest<br />
of the world. In recent years, cars called flex (bio-fueled) have already reached<br />
a relevant share of the vehicle fleet sold in the country, and thus significantly<br />
changing the fuel consumption profile, by consolidating the possibility of using<br />
ethanol as a substitute to gasoline and by affecting the demand characteristics<br />
in this market by suddenly offering consumers a choice.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Such initiatives did not have environmental protection as an objective. Today,<br />
however, they are of significant importance in the Brazilian strategy to achieve<br />
a transition to a green economy. In the case of ethanol, this fuel emits much<br />
lower levels of greenhouse gases than its main competitor, gasoline.<br />
According to the Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy, between 1970 and<br />
2007 the consumption 854 million barrels of petroleum was avoided due to the
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
utilization of ethanol, and thereby withholding the emission of 800 million tons of<br />
CO 2 into the atmosphere (MME, 2008). Aggregated to this is the public health<br />
benefit due to reduced emissions of atmospheric pollutants. The increased<br />
agricultural and industrial productivity in the ethanol sector, a result of intensive<br />
research and development, to a certain extent contributed to reduce pressure<br />
on forests being converted into agricultural land. Despite increased productivity,<br />
the recent higher levels of demand made the adoption of mitigative measures<br />
a necessity in order to preserve areas with important environmental capital.<br />
In addition to technological progress, there were a series of measures of an<br />
institutional character that enabled Brazil to capitalize on its enormous potential<br />
to generate environmental benefits. Among these, the Forest Code (1965) and<br />
the National Environmental Policy (1981) stand out historically. More recently,<br />
a presidential decree was issued to approve the Agroecological Zoning of<br />
sugarcane, which prohibited plantations in environmentally sensitive areas,<br />
such as forest remnants, sand dunes, mangroves and strategic biomes and<br />
hydrographic basins, more specifically in the Amazon, the Pantanal and the<br />
Alto Paraguai basin. Also established were standards to encourage mechanical<br />
harvesting as a way to curb the burning of straw from sugarcane.<br />
These are some examples of GE in Brazil: develop economic, technological<br />
and institutional instruments to benefit efficiently from the excellent natural<br />
conditions of the country and ensure that the benefits gained through these<br />
activities are inclusively incorporated into Brazilian society.<br />
3. Br a z il o n t h e in t e r n a t io n a l s c e n e<br />
However, in spite of favorable natural and geographic conditions, Brazil is a<br />
large emitter of CO 2 . In 2005, total global emissions of GHG reached 44.130<br />
billion metric tons of carbon equivalent (MtCO2eq) and increased at an annual<br />
rate of 1.24% between 1990 and 2005 (ECLAC, 2010). In this context, Latin<br />
America and the Caribbean contributed to 12% of total global emissions,<br />
with an amount of 5.390 MtCO 2 eq, and exhibited a growth rate similar to the<br />
global average of 1.19% between 1990 and 2005. It can also be noted that<br />
the emissions per country in the region are very heterogeneous, with a strong<br />
relative concentration in some countries. Furthermore, there are differentiated<br />
behaviors based on emission sources, with growth in energy sources and<br />
the relative dominance of emissions resulting from changes in land use<br />
(deforestation) (ECLAC, 2010).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
During the period 1990-2005, Brazil exhibited a percentage growth in<br />
emissions below the average for the region. Nevertheless, Brazil is the largest<br />
GHG emitter in the region, corresponding to more than 50% of emissions<br />
during the mentioned period (ECLAC, 2010). Considering total equivalent CO 2<br />
emissions during the same period, excluding emissions from land use (Barbier,
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Challenges and<br />
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Brazil and the green<br />
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Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
2009), the country is in 7th place globally (2.6%), behind China (18.6%), the<br />
United States (18%), the European Union (13%), Russia (5.1%), India (4.8%)<br />
and Japan (3.5%). It is worth pointing out that in Brazil, the greatest part of GHG<br />
emissions stems from change in land use that, if included in this calculation,<br />
would certainly elevate the country to one of the greatest global emitters.<br />
The main sources of emissions at a global level are concentrated in the<br />
energy sector (65%), followed by the agricultural sector (14%) and emissions<br />
caused by changes in land use (12%). Emission sources in Latin America<br />
and the Caribbean have a unique structure in that emissions originating from<br />
changes in land use represent almost half of the regional total, while the energy<br />
sector makes up 28% and agriculture 20% (ECLAC, 2010). This demonstrates<br />
that mitigation strategies in Latin America should consider both emissions<br />
related to energy consumption and, primarily, the levels of deforestation and<br />
land degradation.<br />
When considering per capita emissions of GHG in 1990 and 2005, Brazil<br />
occupied 4th place among the greatest regional emitters, behind only Bolivia,<br />
Venezuela and Trinidad and Tobago. Considering CO2 emissions from energy<br />
consumption and the production of cement (2005), Brazil is below the levels of<br />
the countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC, 2010).<br />
When speaking about climate change in Brazil, as a large emitter of GHG,<br />
the country has already adopted a pro-active stance by assuming voluntary<br />
goals within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and<br />
the Kyoto Protocol. The country committed to, through its National Policy on<br />
Climate Change (Governo Federal, 2008), reduce between 36.1% and 38.9%<br />
of its projected emissions for the year 2020. In concrete terms, this means<br />
reducing close to 6% of its emissions relative to the base year 2005, by the<br />
year 2020, which is equivalent to around 132 million tons of carbon equivalent.<br />
This attitude should have a positive impact, if not fundamental, on future Kyoto<br />
Protocol negotiations.<br />
4. Pr in c ip a l Ac t io n s 4<br />
4.1 Forests<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
With regards to the National Policy on Climate Change, important advances<br />
were recorded for the year 2010, most noteworthy being the National Fund on<br />
Climate Change regulation, in which it was established that part of the funds<br />
would be derived from the petroleum supply chain. Among the objectives of<br />
fund are combating desertification, education and training projects, with the<br />
development and diffusion of technologies, support for sustainable supply<br />
chains and payment for environmental services.<br />
4. The source of the mentioned actions is Presidência da República do Brasil (2011).
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Challenges and<br />
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Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
Another sensitive point is preventing and controlling deforestation and<br />
burning. In the important Amazon biome, between 1st August 2009 and 31<br />
July 2010, an area of 6,451 km² was deforested according to Brazilian National<br />
Institute for Space Research. The rate represents a 13.6% reduction compared<br />
to the previous period and close to 75% in relation to data from 2003.<br />
The so-called Action Plan for Prevention and Control of Deforestation in<br />
the Amazon centralized its efforts in 43 municipalities responsible for the<br />
highest deforestation rates. Close to 90% succeeded in reducing this process.<br />
Furthermore, in order to accelerate the process of environmental regularization<br />
of rural properties in the Amazon, 94 municipalities initiated Rural Environmental<br />
Registration activities. Just in the states of Mato Grosso and Para, this<br />
registration has already been implemented on more than 40,000 properties.<br />
Command and control mechanisms, especially enforcement instruments,<br />
have also been utilized in the region. Over the analyzed period, the Brazilian<br />
Institute of Environment and Renewable Natural Resource with help from the<br />
National Public Security Force, the Federal Police and the Federal Highway<br />
Police, issued close to 5,400 fines for a total value of R$ 1.8 billion. Close to 86<br />
thousand m³ of timber were seized and 170 thousand hectares embargoed.<br />
In the Cerrado biome, measures are also planned to reduce deforestation<br />
rates, burning, and forest fires through the Action Plan for Prevention and<br />
Controlling Deforestation and Burning in the Cerrado. Highlights include the<br />
systematic monitoring system of the Cerrado forest cover, the training of 4.5<br />
thousand firefighters, the drafting of the Ecologic and Economic ‘Macro-zoning’<br />
for Cerrado regions, the creation of 2.5 million hectares of protected areas (or<br />
conservation units, the term used in Brazil), the inclusion of more than seven<br />
socio-biodiversity products in the Minimum Price Guarantee Policy, the provision<br />
of credit lines for recovery of degraded pastures and increase of planted forests<br />
in already open areas.<br />
The Plan to Prevent and Control Deforestation in the Caatinga Biome,<br />
which is in elaboration phase by the Federal Government, will be concluded in<br />
2011. With the increased monitoring of national territories that stems from the<br />
Monitoring Deforestation of Brazilian Biomes via Satellite Project, more recent<br />
data will be provided for Caatinga, Pantanal and Atlantic forest biomes. The<br />
challenges are great, but changes are taking place.<br />
4.2 Macro-zoning<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Ecological-economic macro-zoning in the Legal Amazon, which comprises<br />
the territories of nine Brazilian states, was institutionalized by decree in<br />
December 2010. The same year, physical, biotic and socio-economic diagnoses<br />
were published for the hydrographic basin of the Sao Francisco River. Currently,<br />
close to 50% of the territory has already received some directive on land use
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
and occupation, at the scale of 1:250.000. More than 2/3 of the national area is<br />
covered by this zoning. Such zoning is important to make agricultural production<br />
compatible with environmental issues, aiming to avoid disordered expansion<br />
and the resulting environmental damage.<br />
Macro-zoning is a fundamental instrument for implementing an environmental<br />
policy that necessarily is linked to territories. The migration of portions of the<br />
Brazilian economy towards a green economy has various dimensions with<br />
implications for regional development that should be anticipated through the<br />
incorporation of these concerns in the sustainability dimension beyond microentrepreneurial<br />
viewpoints. The macro-regions that have guided environmental<br />
policy – the six biomes: the Amazon, Caatinga, Cerrado, Atlantic Forest,<br />
Pantanal and Pampa – require analyzes that overlap them with other vectors<br />
of economic and social development, such as the Accelerated Growth Program<br />
and its infrastructure investments, local productive arrangements, settlements<br />
and others, in order to permit the planning of environmental, economic and<br />
social responses to each specific context.<br />
4.3 Solid waste treatment<br />
Another thematic area acting as important catalyst in the development of a<br />
green economy in Brazil is the treatment of urban solid waste. The National<br />
Solid Waste Policy was endorsed on 2 August 2010 and its regulation enacted<br />
on 23 December the same year. With the 2011 drafting of the National Solid<br />
Waste Plan, the implementation of the National Waste Management Information<br />
System and the realization of Sectorial Accords, which should consider the<br />
reverse logistics implementation mechanisms of main products and the<br />
packaging of each activity, there is a context of great expectations and a lot of<br />
activity for the government and the diverse actors involved.<br />
The development of these markets and the change in operational levels<br />
indicate a new scale in the greening process of the economy, with implications<br />
for business areas that are traditionally influenced by local and state<br />
governments. Basic sanitation, solid waste and reverse logistics are important<br />
pillars of the (new) green economy. These are markets whose growth rates will<br />
be substantially greater than the average for the economy.<br />
4.4 Water resources<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The year 2010 was characterized by a strengthened National Water<br />
Resources Policy and National Water Resources Management System.<br />
Relevant events took place, such as the 1st National Water Conference and<br />
the first revision of the National Water Resources Plan. Other actions stand<br />
out, such as the development of a matrix of technical coefficients for water
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
consumption in production processes and a general equilibrium model; the<br />
strategic planning of National Water Resources Management System and the<br />
development of strategies for strengthening the National Water Resources<br />
Council; and the development of the National Water Resource Plan Information<br />
System, that will be integrated with the National System of Water Resources<br />
Information.<br />
Other initiatives deserve to be mentioned. The Hydrographic Basin<br />
Revitalization Program seeks to contribute to minimizing environmental<br />
degradation and recuperating the natural state of water resources. The<br />
Program is decentralized and carried out through partnerships with states and<br />
municipalities. In 2010, actions in the Sao Francisco river basin were prioritized,<br />
which included the implementation of a water supply system in riverain<br />
communities in 106 municipalities, sewage system works in 194 municipalities<br />
and solid waste treatment system projects in 13 inter-municipal consortiums.<br />
Charging for water use has been implemented in Brazil since 2001. For<br />
rivers controlled by the Union, charges have already been established for the<br />
Paraíba do Sul river basin (southeast region of Brazil) since 2003, the rivers<br />
basins of Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí (southeast region of Brazil) since<br />
2006 and the Sao Francisco river basin since 2010. The raised resources fully<br />
return to the water agencies or delegated entities.<br />
4.5 Forest management<br />
In the field of public forest management, the forest concession, among others,<br />
has started to be adopted as a way to protect public property and structure<br />
a sustainable economy with a forest basis. The Brazilian Forest Service has<br />
already provided more than a million hectares for forest management, an activity<br />
that can generate jobs and move the economy in places that need sustainable<br />
development. This is the beginning of a process to capitalize on a business<br />
area with great potential.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Forest management is simultaneously perceived as an alternative action<br />
to economic exploitation, environmental preservation and socio-productive<br />
inclusion. The dissemination of good practices in this sphere is conditioned<br />
on factors such as a) the development of forest research that indicates viable<br />
and economically feasible alternatives to exploitation; b) business modeling<br />
so that the Brazilian Forest Service, the Brazilian Institute of Environment and<br />
Renewable Natural Resource and the Chico Mendes Institute for Biodiversity<br />
Conservation work in harmony to construct partnerships with the private sector;<br />
and c) demonstrating the economic viability of this type of venture, however,<br />
not at the expense of environmental protection and social concerns.
83<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
4.6 Conservation unit management<br />
The Chico Mendes Institute for Biodiversity Conservation is responsible for<br />
administering conservation units (CUs) in Brazil, which occupy 8.5% of national<br />
territories. There are 12 unit categories – national parks, ecological stations,<br />
biological reserves, wildlife refuges, natural monuments, integral protection<br />
CUs, areas of relevant ecological interest, areas of environmental preservation,<br />
areas of national forests, extractive reserves, areas of sustainable development<br />
and sustainable use CUs – of which 32% already have management plans and<br />
27% have draft plans in process.<br />
In the context of disseminating practices associated with GE, there is current<br />
discussion about the menu of institutional arrangements likely of being adopted<br />
in these CUs in order to identify business models capable of reconciling the<br />
premise of preservation, as well as the development of other activities such<br />
as research (basic and applied), tourism, sustainable forest management,<br />
extractivism, sustainable economic exploitation and others. Preservation largely<br />
depends on society perceiving that it is conscious, planned and careful use of the<br />
country’s natural patrimony that guarantees its conservation and expansion.<br />
5. Ch a l l e n g e s<br />
The challenges that Brazil faces in the environmental area are proportional<br />
to their potentials. They involve rethinking the country’s economic development<br />
strategies, taking into account growing imperatives of a socio-environmental<br />
nature. Developing a strong and structured green economy with an increased<br />
generation of green jobs is fundamental. This is a national issue that transcends<br />
the jurisdiction of the Brazilian Ministry of the Environment and for which society<br />
and various levels of government are responsible.<br />
There are pressing issues, such as the reconciliation of the need to improve<br />
the combat against deforestation with the strong pressure of agricultural<br />
and cattle raising expansion. Even the management of the national energy<br />
matrix brings important dilemmas, such as those associated with changing<br />
the equilibrium between renewable and non-renewable sources, an issue<br />
that cannot be addressed without an analysis of the costs and competitive<br />
advantages associated with each alternative.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The coordination of environmental policies in the area of federal government<br />
administration and the cooperative federalism pact related to the process of<br />
implementation of these policies are permanent challenges. The Ministry of<br />
the Environment interacts with almost all the other ministries in the federal<br />
public administration and bilateral agendas are being formed with each one.<br />
In the area of inter-governmental relations, it is worth registering that Brazilian<br />
environmental issues are national, not federal. But the capital needed for<br />
coordination is, without a doubt, a very scarce resource in any government.
84<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
Dialogues with the business sector, social movements and NGOs can be<br />
found in the DNA of the environmental agenda and it is not surprising that all<br />
are moving rapidly in the direction of a greener society and economy. The<br />
history of the Ministry of the Environment is the result, to a large extent, of<br />
these dialogues. The challenge is to deepen them so that they become more<br />
and more qualified and produce developments in the sphere of environmental<br />
public policies, especially the inclusive sort.<br />
Finally, it is necessary to mention that today Brazil is known internationally<br />
as a global environmental power that dialogues with rich, developing, emerging<br />
and poor countries in relation to the global environmental agenda. In the area<br />
of large global conferences, in the sphere of international technical cooperation<br />
and South-South platforms (Ibas, Basic, Bric, Unasul, etc), a leadership position<br />
is increasingly being expected from Brazil. But leadership requires example:<br />
therein lies the importance of the whole nation engaging itself in addressing<br />
these simultaneous challenges in an extensive and coordinated way.<br />
6. Co n c l u s io n<br />
From various geopolitical aspects, Brazil starts from a privileged situation in<br />
the direction of a green economy. The natural characteristics and their past use<br />
are already driving one of the cleanest energy matrices in the world. Recent<br />
initiatives, herein focused on the scope of government activities, mainly compose<br />
the beginning of a consolidated development effort in different areas.<br />
In most cases, institutional structuring is only beginning, as well as the<br />
creation of economic mechanisms that compose the agenda of a country<br />
that is increasingly focused on evolving markets related to a green economy.<br />
Some initiatives are already presenting good progress, such as the reduction<br />
of deforestation in the Amazon biome, though that does not mean to say that<br />
there is not a long road ahead, in particular for this one, but also for other<br />
biomes. The best protection should be combined with proper biodiversity use<br />
integrated with the process of national development.<br />
GE is included in the context of a national development project that is<br />
sustainable and inclusive and does not accept, from the point of view of<br />
government policy proposals, artificial trade-offs that do not serve in the<br />
national interest, such as growth versus sustainability or social inclusion versus<br />
environmental preservation.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The Brazilian Ministry of the Environment, integrated with the federal<br />
government administration, has become a strategic actor in the economic<br />
agenda of the country, because the government understands that there is no<br />
development that does not seek sustainability and biodiversity.
85<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: a panorama<br />
Francisco Gaetani<br />
Ernani Kuhn<br />
Renato Rosenberg<br />
References<br />
Barbier, E. B. (2009). Rethinking the economic recovery: a global green new deal.<br />
Report prepared for the Economics and Trade Branch of the Division of Technology,<br />
Industry and Economics of UNEP. University of Wyoming: Department of Economics<br />
and Finance.<br />
Decreto Federal n. 19.717, 20 February 1931.<br />
ECLAC (2010). La Economía del Cambio Climático en América Latina y el Caribe.<br />
Síntesis 2010. Santiago de Chile: United Nations <strong>Publication</strong>.<br />
Governo Federal (2008). Plano Nacional sobre Mudança Global do Clima – PNMC –<br />
Brasil. Comitê Interministerial sobre Mudança do Clima.<br />
Magalhães Castro, M. H and Schwartzman, S. (1981). Tecnologia para a Indústria: a<br />
história do Instituto Nacional de Tecnologia. Retrieved from: <br />
en el 19 de setiembre de 2007.<br />
MMA (2010). Tabela de Indicadores do MMA. Retrieved from: en el 08 de abril de 2011.<br />
MME (2008). Biocombustíveis: instrumento para inclusão social e fator de desenvolvimento<br />
econômico com respeito ao meio ambiente. Retrieved from: <br />
en el 08 de abril de 2011.<br />
Presidência da República do Brasil (2011). Mensagem ao Congresso Nacional 2011:<br />
1ª Sessão Legislativa Ordinária da 54ª legislatura. Brasília.<br />
UNEP (2011). Towards a green economy. Pathways to sustainable development and poverty<br />
eradication. A synthesis for policy makers. St-Martin-Belleveu, France: UNEP.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
86<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil 1<br />
Carlos Eduardo Frickmann Young 2<br />
1. Gr e e n e c o n o m y a s a n e w p a t t e r n o f<br />
d e v e l o p m e n t<br />
The concept of green economy suggests that the dynamism of the economy<br />
must be set by the expansion of sectors with low environmental impact<br />
by promoting actions such as clean technology, renewable energy, green<br />
transportation, waste management, green buildings, sustainable agriculture,<br />
forest management and payment for environmental services. The reason for<br />
that is that this process of reconfiguration of economic activity provides better<br />
return on investments in natural, human and economic capital, while reducing<br />
the pressure on the environment and contributing to greater social equity 3 .<br />
Therefore, the green economy offers the opportunity to reconcile the traditional<br />
goals of economic policy, especially growth of income and employment with<br />
the social and environmental objectives of sustainable development: a strategy<br />
to enter into a development process based on the endogenous capacity of<br />
generation and incorporation of technical progress while social issues (including<br />
environmental protection) receive the same importance as economic goals.<br />
The aim of this paper is to show that the “greening” of the Brazilian economy<br />
through the expansion of economic activities with low environmental impact,<br />
can bring better results to the generation of employment and income than<br />
the current model of specialization of exports of natural resources exploited<br />
predatorily or industrial goods with a high degree of pollution in their production<br />
processes. That is to say that the adoption of an alternative model, based on<br />
the expansion of “clean” sectors, can bring more social and economic benefits<br />
than the current path of specialization in “dirty” activities.<br />
To demonstrate this, the results of an input-output matrix model will be<br />
presented so as to compare alternative options of economic growth (“green”<br />
or “brown”) in terms of capacity to generate employment and income (Young,<br />
2010). The growth scenarios based on spurious depletion or degradation of<br />
natural resources bring worse results than the scenarios where the production<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. This article is the result of the research project “Transición de América Latina y el Caribe<br />
hacia un modelo de crecimiento verde e inclusivo”, with the support of UNEP and ECLAC. I<br />
would like to thank Mr. Leonardo Barcellos de Bakker and Mr.André Falkenbach Santoro for<br />
their comments and help in the elaboration of this text.<br />
2. Profesor of the Institute of Economics of the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (IE/UFRJ).<br />
Email: young@ie.ufrj.br<br />
3. UNEP (2011).
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dynamism is concentrated in sectors that are less harmful to the environment:<br />
the creation of employment and wages are higher in scenarios where the<br />
dependence on natural resources and degradation are reduced, proving that the<br />
dichotomy between environmental conservation and improvement of economic<br />
conditions is false.<br />
Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
2. Th e r e s p e c ia l iz a t io n o f La t in Am e r ic a o n<br />
n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e e x p o r t s<br />
The increasing dependence on exports based on natural resources or<br />
pollution-intensive goods is a structural problem in Latin American countries,<br />
whose exports are increasingly concentrated in natural resources or industrial<br />
goods characterized by a relatively high degree of pollution in their production<br />
processes (Young, 1988; Lustosa and Young, 2001, 2002, Malavasi et al., 2005).<br />
This trend has been accentuated in recent years, both in terms of the relative<br />
share of natural resources in the exports basket and specialization in pollutionintensive<br />
industrial goods. The results obtained by Young (2010), using the<br />
international trade database TradeCan and coefficients of potential emission of<br />
industrial pollutants (ILITHA) of the Industrial Pollution Projection System - IPPS<br />
(Hettige et al., 1994) show that there is a clear trend of increasing dependence<br />
of the export basket on primary goods, which has rapidly accelerated in the<br />
2000s. Figures 1 and 2 present the results for Brazil.<br />
Figure 1<br />
Participation of primary products in exports (%), Brazil and Latin America<br />
Primary/total – Brazil<br />
Primary/total – Latin America<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Source: Young (2010), based on data from TradeCan.
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Figure 2<br />
Average intensity of potential pollution of industrial exports<br />
(ILITHA/IPPS), Brazil and Latin America<br />
Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
ILITHA/Industrials – Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
ILITHA/Industrials – Latin America<br />
Source: Young (2010), based on data from IPPS and TradeCan (Hettige et al., 1994)<br />
These results are associated with the hypothesis of deindustrialization,<br />
showing that the liberalization process initiated in the 1990s, along with the<br />
boom in commodity prices in the 2000s, resulted in structural change in the<br />
region, returning to a position where the dynamism of foreign markets is based<br />
on direct sales of natural resources or of goods whose production is intensive<br />
in pollutant emissions. Combining both results, in the 2000s exports from<br />
Brazil and Latin America have become increasingly dependent on the spurious<br />
competitiveness based on depletion of the natural resource base, instead of a<br />
virtuous cycle in which the commercial gain would be obtained from technical<br />
progress and innovation.<br />
This issue is particularly problematic, because consumers in developed<br />
countries are increasingly aware of environmental footprints of the products they<br />
buy and the position of Latin America can be seen as fragile if this awareness<br />
is reflected in trade restrictions against products harmful to the environment.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Despite these problems, it is common to find defenders of the current growth<br />
trend supported by natural resources or emissions-intensive products arguing<br />
that environmental losses are a necessary cost of economic development. This<br />
hypothesis, usually called “environmental Kuznets curve”, would justify that, at<br />
certain stages of development, the sacrifice of natural resources is an inevitable<br />
price to improve the material conditions of life. The next section presents a<br />
model to test the validity of this hypothesis in the Brazilian context.
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
3. In d u s t r ia l p o l l u t i o n a n d s o c ia l in c l u s io n:<br />
s c e n a r io s f o r t h e f u t u r e<br />
In the previous session, it was shown that Brazil and the rest of Latin America<br />
increased their structural dependence of primary goods and pollution-intensive<br />
goods in their export basket. Obviously this brings negative consequences for<br />
the environment. Even so, exports have been a major engine of economic growth<br />
and, therefore, some argue that it is necessary to accept some environmental<br />
damage in order to increase the pace of economic activity.<br />
The implicit hypothesis in this argument is that economic activity and<br />
environmental conservation are necessarily in opposition and that, consequently,<br />
policymakers have to decide between (i) increase employment and income<br />
levels, or (ii) weaken economic growth in pursuit of environmental preservation.<br />
The purpose of this session is to show that an alternative path of economic<br />
growth is possible, exemplifying how the priority to the green economy,<br />
besides conserving the environment, will bring beneficial effects to the levels<br />
of employment and income.<br />
This session examines the problem, testing whether a growth based on<br />
degradation of natural resources would bring better or worse results than<br />
the economical alternative to concentrate the product in higher value added<br />
activities, which bring less harm to the environment. To illustrate this point,<br />
scenarios have been constructed using the input-output matrix of 2005 (the<br />
most recent) of Brazil, comparing different possibilities of economic growth,<br />
using the generation of jobs and wages as a measure of economic growth.<br />
Among other reasons, employment and wages are good indicators of growth<br />
with social inclusion, since they express better the evolution of welfare than<br />
GDP growth. Furthermore, given the extreme concentration of income in Latin<br />
America, it is more important to avoid growth measures that do not consider<br />
the redistribution of income.<br />
The exercises performed sought to answer the following questions:<br />
• What generates higher growth: the expansion of activities intensive in natural<br />
resources or those based on manufactured goods or services?<br />
• Within the manufacturing sector, which generates higher growth: the<br />
expansion of activities more or less pollution-intensive?<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The advantage of using the input-output matrix is that it allows the perception<br />
of the entire production chain. In order to make the scenarios comparable, all<br />
of them must all be based on similar expansions of final demand, by means of<br />
an exogenous increase in exports.<br />
There are a number of limitations on the use of an input-output matrix.<br />
Technical coefficients and relative prices are assumed to be constant, as if the<br />
economy remained static during the period under analysis. In addition, there are
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Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
no observed coefficients of emissions, only potential estimates based on older<br />
models such as the Industrial Pollution Projection System (IPPS), elaborated<br />
by the World Bank and on which this analysis is based.<br />
Despite all the problems reported above, the exercise of input-output based<br />
on a real economy provides important results, since it allows the consideration<br />
of inter-sectoral chains and are a more effective way to simulate an alternative<br />
growth of possibilities than ungrounded assumptions or tests on the consistency<br />
of its results.<br />
a. Methodology<br />
The exercise simulated an expansion of final demand of R$ 40 billion (at<br />
2005 prices), or approximately 12% of exports in 2005 - this figure was chosen<br />
because it was the average annual growth of Brazilian exports between 2000<br />
and 2005. Each scenario has distributed the expansion of that same amount<br />
(R$ 40 billion) in different combinations of final demand in economic sectors.<br />
The first question that arises is which sector generates more growth, as<br />
measured by employment and wage growth. The economy was divided into<br />
three major sectors (primary products, manufactured goods and services) and<br />
the total expansion of final demand (R$ 40 billion) was distributed according<br />
to the following criteria:<br />
• In Scenario 1 the expansion of final demand took place only in primary<br />
activities.<br />
• In Scenario 2 the expansion of final demand occurred only in manufactured<br />
products.<br />
• In Scenario 3 the expansion of final demand was distributed among the<br />
service, industrial utilities and civil construction sectors.<br />
The second question is whether there are differences between the growth<br />
led by the most “clean” or “dirty” industries in terms of employment and income<br />
generation. To answer this, the Scenario 2 was divided into two sub-scenarios<br />
in which the growth of industrial activity was distinguished by the intensity<br />
of potential pollution in accordance with the IPPS coefficients: the 10 most<br />
polluting industries, according to the IPPS were separated from the rest of the<br />
industry.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
• In Scenario 2.1, it has been assumed that most of the growth of final demand<br />
(R$ 30 billion) was concentrated in the 10 most polluting activities, while growth<br />
of exports from the least polluting activities has been of only R$10 billion.<br />
• In Scenario 2.2, the opposite scenario has been simulated, assuming<br />
that the 10 most polluting activities grew by only R$10 billion, while the least<br />
polluting grew R$30 billion.
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Challenges and<br />
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Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
The 10 most polluting industrial activities under the IPPS are:<br />
• Wood products, excluding furniture<br />
• Paper and pulp<br />
• Oil refineries and coking<br />
• Chemicals<br />
• Resins<br />
• Chemicals and its derivatives - various<br />
• Cement<br />
• Other non-metallic products<br />
• Manufactures of metal<br />
• Non-metallic metallurgy<br />
The total production associated with each of these scenarios has been<br />
obtained by multiplying the Leontief Matrix by expansion of the respective<br />
increases in final demand. Hence, the increase in employment (personnel<br />
employed) has been calculated by multiplying the job/income coefficient (the<br />
coefficient between employment and value of production per activity) by the<br />
coefficient of expansion of product by sector. The equation below summarizes<br />
the procedure:<br />
ΔEi = (E/VP). (I-A) -1 . ΔXi<br />
Where:<br />
ΔEi: Employment expansion in the scenario “i”<br />
E/VP: Employment/value of production<br />
(I-A) -1 : Leontief Matrix for Brazil (2005), calculated by the Brazilian<br />
Institute of Geography and Statistics<br />
ΔXi: Expansion of export in scenario “i”<br />
The increase in wages (including social contributions) has been estimated<br />
in a similar manner by multiplying the salary/income coefficient (the coefficient<br />
between wages, including social security contributions, and value of production<br />
per activity) by the coefficient of expansion of output by sector. The equation<br />
below summarizes the procedure:<br />
ΔWi= (W/VP).(I-A) -1 . ΔXi<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Where:<br />
ΔWi: Expansion of salary under scenario “i”<br />
W/VP: Wages/Value of production
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b. Results<br />
Table 2 presents the aggregated results for each scenario. Interestingly<br />
enough, although the expansion of aggregate exports is the same in all<br />
scenarios (R$ 40 billion), the results vary considerably, both in terms of<br />
employment generation and generation of income.<br />
Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
Table 1<br />
Employment and wages created by scenario<br />
Scenario Employment Wage creation<br />
creation<br />
(R$ Bi)<br />
Scenario 1<br />
Expansion in primary activities 2,476,906 11,182<br />
Scenario 2<br />
Expansion in the manufacturing industry<br />
– linear increase in all sectors 1,351,194 13,186<br />
Scenario 2.1 – Expansion in the<br />
manufacturing industry – concentrated<br />
increase in the most polluting sectors 1,050,523 11,747<br />
Scenario 2.2 – Expansion in the<br />
manufacturing industry – concentrated<br />
increase in the least polluting sectors 1,409,478 13,464<br />
Scenario 3 – Expansion in services,<br />
industrial utilities and civil construction 2,008,166 15,220<br />
Source: Author’s calculations based on data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics<br />
(Input-Output Matrix, Brazil 2005).<br />
At a first glance, it seems that, under Scenario 1, the expansion of primary<br />
activities have benefited more employment growth, since it presented the<br />
highest number of jobs creation. However, two factors must be considered.<br />
• The expansion in primary activities generates the lowest wage growth,<br />
indicating that the quality of jobs created by these sectors is of the worst quality<br />
among all scenarios. The results of Scenario 3, characterized by activities<br />
identified with the “dematerialized growth”, shows that the total salary would<br />
have been 36% greater than in Scenario 1, even though employment would<br />
have increased 19% less.<br />
• Dynamic effects: models based on input-output matrices design the patterns<br />
for the future, keeping all the technical parameters constant over time. However,<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
the rapid mechanization in agricultural production and the increasing capital<br />
intensity in the mining sector have had the effect of replacing more work,<br />
reducing the demand for manpower. Therefore, these sectors are responsible<br />
for liquid unemployment, rather than employment. This can be proven by
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green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
looking at the Brazilian National Accounts: the rapid expansion of primary<br />
activities, increasing its share in GDP from 7.2% to 8.4% in 2000-2006, was<br />
accompanied by a steady reduction in total work force, from 22.4% to 19.8%<br />
during the same period (Table 2).<br />
Table 2<br />
Relative participation (%) of primary activities in GDP and Employment,<br />
Brazil<br />
% Primary activities on total GDP<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />
7.2 7.4 8.2 9.1 8.8 8.2 8.4<br />
% Primary activities on total employment<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />
22.4 21.3 21.1 21.1 21.5 21.0 19.8<br />
Source: Author’s calculations based on data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and<br />
Statistics (Input-Output Matrix, Brazil 2005).<br />
On the other hand, the expansion in Scenario 3 shows a good performance<br />
of the employment (the second largest volume of jobs created) and the<br />
largest increase in total salary. Note that Scenario 3 is the most identified with<br />
the “greening” of the economy as it expands the civil construction industry<br />
(investment in the “cleaning” of economy require civil construction works, such<br />
as sanitation) and services, the basis of “dematerialization” of growth (also<br />
known as “decoupling”) based on knowledge, culture, technology and tacit<br />
components.<br />
A similar trend is also observed within the manufactory industry. Export<br />
expansion is concentrated in the group of less-polluting industries (Scenario<br />
2.2), which would generate 34% more jobs and pay 15% more than in Scenario<br />
2.1, where the dynamic sectors are the most polluting ones. This is related to the<br />
fact that most of the sectors with high pollution potential, such as intermediate<br />
goods, are very intensive on capital and require relatively few jobs.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The message of the analysis of these results is clear: it is a fallacy to think that<br />
developing countries like Brazil have to decide between economic growth and<br />
environmental quality. The scenarios that showed the most consistent results<br />
for improving economic activity, as measured by job and wage creation, are<br />
precisely those where the dependence on natural resource consumption and<br />
degradation are reduced. So there is no reason to believe that, as predicted<br />
by the “environmental Kuznets curve”, the decline in environmental quality is<br />
necessary to achieve a greater economic activity: scenarios with more pollution<br />
and resource depletion would lead to reduced growth compared with scenarios<br />
of “green growth”.
94<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
Co n c l u s io n<br />
This study has shown that the “green economy” initiatives consist on an<br />
opportunity to start a new pattern of development based on the endogenous<br />
capacity of generation and incorporation of technical progress, while being<br />
socially inclusive and environmentally responsible. In this sense, there are<br />
many similarities with the original concept of industrialization proposed in the<br />
Center-Periphery System (Prebisch, 1949): long-term development can only<br />
be achieved when the economy becomes more intense in innovation and less<br />
dependent on extensive exploitation of natural resources. This concept was<br />
further deepened by Fajnzylber (1988) through the concept of authentic or<br />
systemic competition.<br />
Nevertheless, the empirical exercises have shown that there is a clear<br />
trend, since the late 1990s, of increasing dependence of exports of primary<br />
commodities and industrial goods that are intensive on pollution during their<br />
production process. This result is of great concern because it shows that Brazil<br />
and other Latin American economies are doing the opposite of what is required<br />
by the principles of sustainable development. Moreover, there is an increasing<br />
risk that the mechanisms of punishment may be established in the ‘dirty’<br />
products in international trade, with obvious damage to the countries whose<br />
exports are associated with degradation or depletion of natural resources.<br />
The main argument for those who defend the status quo is that developing<br />
countries must decide between economic growth and environmental quality. The<br />
implicit assumption behind this view is that economic activity and environmental<br />
conservation are necessarily in opposition and therefore decision makers<br />
have to choose between one or the other, as if preserving natural resources<br />
automatically blocks the growth of income and employment. This argument,<br />
known as “environmental Kuznets curve” is commonly quoted in literature,<br />
although no definite evidence that a pattern of “dirty” growth would bring better<br />
results than the one of ‘’greening” of the economy.<br />
In order to test the differences in terms of job creation and wage standards<br />
in “dirty” and “clean” scenarios input-output techniques have been created to<br />
simulate the consequences of using different patterns of natural resources<br />
use. In each scenario, the same amount of final demand has been considered,<br />
but with different sectoral distribution. Employment and wages have been<br />
considered as a measure of growth because they are better indicators of social<br />
inclusion than GDP.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The results are very consistent, showing that the spurious growth based<br />
on consumption of natural resources or degradation can bring much worse<br />
results than other economic options that focus on producing higher value added<br />
products, which are less harmful to the environment. The scenarios of increased<br />
employment and wage creation are exactly those where the dependence on
95<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Growth potential of the<br />
green economy in Brazil<br />
Carlos Eduardo Young<br />
natural resources consumption and degradation are reduced. More pollution<br />
and depletion of natural resources would lead to unfavorable performances,<br />
instead of more inclusive growth, leading to an opposite result to that expected<br />
from the “environmental Kuznets curve”.<br />
Finally, it should be noted that the results presented in this report have<br />
important limitations related to the methodology and hypothesis used and<br />
the quality of data is far from ideal. The improvement of production data and<br />
generation of environmental indicators is an important need to improve our<br />
understanding of the relationship between trade, competitiveness issues and<br />
the environment. Thus, another policy recommendation is to implement an<br />
effective system of environmental information related to the economic indicators<br />
already available.<br />
References<br />
Fajnzylber, F. (1988). Competitividad internacional: evolución y lecciones. Revista de<br />
la CEPAL, n. 36, December, 7-24.<br />
Hettige, H., Martin, P., Singh, M. and Wheeler, D. (1994). IPPS - The industrial pollution<br />
projection system. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.<br />
Malavasi, L. O., Schuschny, A. R. and Gallopín, G. (2005). Evolución de las emisiones<br />
industriales potenciales en América Latina, 1970-2000. Serie Medio Ambiente y<br />
Desarrollo, 97. Santiago de Chile: ECLAC.<br />
Prebisch, R. (1949). El desarrollo económico de la América Latina y algunos de sus<br />
principales problemas. Santiago de Chile: ECLAC.<br />
Young, C. E. F. (1998). Industrial pollution and export-oriented policies in Brazil. Revista<br />
Brasileira de Economia, v.52, 543–561.<br />
Young, C. E. F. (2010). Transition towards a green and inclusive economic model: a<br />
Latin American perspective. Reserach report prepared for the Transición de América<br />
Latina y el Caribe hacia un modelo de crecimiento verde y inclusivo Project (UNEP/<br />
ECLAC). Rio de Janeiro: IE/UFRJ.<br />
Young, C. E. F. and Lustosa, M. C. J. (2001). Meio ambiente e competitividade na<br />
indústria brasileira. Revista de Economia Contemporânea, v. 5, 231-259.<br />
Young, C. E. F. and Lustosa, M. C. J. (2002). Competitividade e meio ambiente. In<br />
Braga, A. S. and Miranda, L. C. (ed.), Comércio e meio ambiente: uma agenda para<br />
a América Latina e Caribe, 41-60. Brasília: MMA.<br />
UNEP (2011). Towards a green economy: pathways to sustainable development and<br />
poverty eradication – a synthesis for policy makers. Retrieved from: .<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
96<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations and<br />
strategy for transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak 1<br />
In t r o d u c t io n<br />
The dominant view about environmental conservation continues to be that, in<br />
the process of development, countries ultimately face a choice: more growth or<br />
more conservation. To propose foundations for a new economy it is necessary<br />
to revisit the basic assumptions underlying the predominant economy and how<br />
its results are measured. This is not an easy task, because the fragility of the<br />
dominant paradigm is not part of the concrete experience of most countries.<br />
After all, the industrial revolution was a predator of natural resources, but at the<br />
same time it accelerated growth and generated increasing levels of wellbeing.<br />
So why rethink the economy and abandon the connection - apparently more<br />
necessary the lower the income level - between growth and intensive (and<br />
unsustainable) resource use?<br />
First, because exhausting of the capacity of ecosystems to withstand the<br />
pressure of economic activities could undermine economic growth itself. From<br />
this perspective, economic growth can only be sustained by conserving that<br />
capacity. Second, the need to develop new foundations for a transition to a green<br />
economy will produce new opportunities. Products and services geared toward<br />
this transition will assume an increasing proportion of economic activities.<br />
The exhaustion of the old model and the transition to a green economy<br />
require a reversal of the predominant assumption: increased growth becomes<br />
dependent on and (necessarily) accompanied by greater conservation or<br />
sustainable use of natural resources, so that the new trade-off would be<br />
between growth and the predatory use of natural capital. The objective of this<br />
study is to establish the foundations for a green economy in Brasil as well as<br />
a transition strategy.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. President of Inter.B International Business Consulting (Inter.B Consultoria Internacional de<br />
Negócios).
97<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
Th e t r a n s it io n t o a g r e e n e c o n o m y in Br a z il<br />
The green economy has no precedent or model. It proposes a transformation<br />
in the mode of production and consumption, redefinition of government planning<br />
and policy, and greater emphasis on innovative effort. To enable public policy<br />
approaches of sectoral support for the transition to green economy, the study<br />
develops the following analytical framework to facilitate the illustrations.<br />
Supply is organized into two categories. "Market" supply is that which<br />
responds autonomously to demand that is either pre-existing or arises in<br />
response to supply; in both cases, production results from the normal course<br />
of business by incumbent firms and by the entry of new firms. "Structured"<br />
supply is that which encounters difficulties in meeting demand, either due to<br />
inadequate returns or due to technological or institutional complexity, and as<br />
a result requires some level of intervention or support, in the form of R&D,<br />
planning, investment, organization of production or pricing. The structuring of<br />
supply may involve direct investments by government, fiscal incentives, financial<br />
subsidies or changes in the regulatory environment, among other actions.<br />
Demand, in turn, can be characterized as “spontaneous” when it emerges<br />
from the basic needs of individuals, being determined primarily by income<br />
level and education, the volume and nature of the information that they have<br />
access to, through the experience (of consumption) and its surroundings (via<br />
demonstration effect). Alternatively, demand can be characterized as "induced",<br />
which requires that it be managed or encouraged through the transfer of<br />
information, including awareness campaigns and public education, to ensure the<br />
creation of markets for goods and services that do not arise spontaneously.<br />
These typologies of supply and demand produce a 2x2 matrix, summarized in<br />
the form of an analytical framework (Figure 1). In a clockwise direction, starting at<br />
the upper left, is Quadrant I, which covers activities that combine a spontaneous<br />
demand and a market supply and that, together, constitute the dominant part<br />
of GDP in a conventional economy and a small share of Green GDP. Quadrant<br />
II is composed of activities that require supply to be "structured" for markets to<br />
form and spontaneous demand (potential) be met. Quadrant III brings together<br />
activities that depend on both structured supply and induced demand to be<br />
economically viable. These activities would presumably take longer and absorb<br />
more resources to function. Finally, Quadrant IV includes activities that can<br />
be viable if demand is stimulated by a greater flow of information (including<br />
information campaigns) to consumers that induce behavioral changes, and by<br />
other measures to change the dominant pattern of consumption.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
98<br />
Figure 1<br />
Matrix of Green GDP activities and the dynamics of public policies<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Market<br />
supply<br />
structured<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUced spontaneous<br />
The matrix also illustrates the dynamics of a typically "green" activity, where<br />
initial size is limited, but, driven by the "hand of the State" in initially structuring<br />
the supply and then inducing demand, expands over time (symbolically, larger<br />
concentric circles), characterizing the transition to a green economy. Increasing<br />
returns to scale, or accumulated experience reflected by learning curves and<br />
the resulting productivity gains, could make some of these activities return back<br />
to Quadrant I (or in its direction), having already reached a size that assures<br />
economic viability.<br />
Below we consider the application of this analytical framework to a set of<br />
activities that would comprise part of a Green GDP - understood as the set of<br />
economic activities that maintain and expand the stock of natural capital – and,<br />
although not exhausting the Green GDP potential, they are possibly the most<br />
emblematic 2 .<br />
Conservation of ecosystems<br />
This category consists of economic activities that contribute to the integrity<br />
of ecosystems and their ability to provide material support and a wide range of<br />
services essential to a decent life for current and future generations.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
2. The area of the circles reflects the relative economic importance of the measured activities as<br />
estimated by their contribution to the country’s GDP.
99<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Figure 2<br />
Conservation of ecosystems<br />
Market<br />
supply<br />
Native Species<br />
Reforestation (6)<br />
structured<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUced SPONTaneous<br />
natural<br />
pharmacos (1)<br />
Organic<br />
Products (2)<br />
Natural<br />
Cosmetics (4)<br />
Native Species<br />
Reforestation (3)<br />
Sustainable<br />
Agriculture<br />
Ecological<br />
Tourism (5)<br />
Sustainable<br />
Extractive<br />
Activities<br />
(Food)<br />
REDD / REDD + (7)<br />
Preparation: Inter.B. Sources:<br />
1. “Valuation of the Real and the competiveness of exports,” 7 April 2010, .<br />
2. “Changing habits”,” 27 May 2009, Valor Econômico.<br />
3. “Invasive species cause US$1.4 billion in damages,” 28 April 2010, Valor Econômico.<br />
4. “Jewels of the forest,” 28 April 2010, Valor Econômico.<br />
5. “Economic and socio-cultural value of ecotourism and recreational activities provided by the<br />
Serra de São José Area of Environmental Protection (Minas Gerais state)” PIBIC/CNPq,<br />
.<br />
6. “Harvests from trees,” 12 December 2005, Unicamp, .<br />
7. “Discussion about REDD defines the future of the forest, 24/ August 2009, Valor Online.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Note that the activities in Figure 2 are still relatively small in magnitude, have<br />
limited support and are concentrated in Quadrant I. There still is not a real forestbased<br />
economy, with intelligent extraction at a scale that is not limited to only<br />
biodiversity products (pharmaceuticals, cosmetics), but involving sustainable<br />
extractivism and ecotourism, among others. The great exception is the planting<br />
of eucalyptus on “cleared” land, or land used for low productivity livestock<br />
farming, especially when combined with the restoration of native vegetation.<br />
A recent example 3 suggests that this latter alternative of restoring native<br />
vegetation is economically feasible and, as it gains in scale and experience,<br />
will become an activity consolidated in Quadrant I.<br />
3. For example, Vale Reflorestar, a fund with R$ 605 million to be used for reforestation. Jornal<br />
do Comercio, 6 May 2010.
100<br />
Figure 3<br />
Conservation of ecosystems in the transition to a green economy<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Market<br />
Native Species<br />
Reforestation (6)<br />
supply<br />
structured<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDuced spontaneous<br />
Natural<br />
Cosmetics (4)<br />
Organic<br />
Products (2)<br />
Ecological<br />
Tourism (5)<br />
Sustainable<br />
Extractive<br />
Activities (Food)<br />
Sustainable<br />
Agriculture<br />
REDD / REDD + (7)<br />
Overall, the expansion of these activities depends not only on government<br />
policies to structure the supply and occasionally induce demand, but on basic<br />
legislation that promotes the protection and sustainable use of ecosystems. In<br />
the area of ecosystem protection, Brazil has a fairly comprehensive legislation,<br />
focusing primarily on the National System of Conservation Units, the Forest<br />
Code, the Water Code and regulations that guide the use of natural resources,<br />
economic activities and interventions in the landscape.<br />
The system of conservation units (Brazilian term for protected areas) needs<br />
to be strengthened by establishing new conservation units in critical areas and,<br />
fundamentally, by consolidating existing conservation units. Systems are needed<br />
for management, monitoring and supervision to ensure the integrity of the<br />
conservation units and inhibit predatory activities inside. Social networks must be<br />
established for protection in and around the units, involving traditional communities<br />
and providing them with decent living conditions, through for example payments<br />
for environmental services and sustainable natural resource extraction.<br />
The Forest Code is another basic text that guides conservation activities,<br />
and for which an ongoing revision by the Brazilian Congress has generated<br />
contentious debate. For many producers in remote frontier areas, obtaining land<br />
registration and environmental licensing (in the context of a plan for restoring<br />
Permanent Preservation Areas and Legal Reserves), regularizing land tenure<br />
and legalizing the use of land for economic purposes, is highly advantageous.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
A powerful but underutilized tool to promote land-use sustainability is rural<br />
credit. The 2010-11 Harvest Plan is a step in that direction through the Low<br />
Carbon Agriculture Program, even though the program does not absorb more<br />
than 5% of the available resources 4 .<br />
4. See Valor, 7 June 2010 p. B12.
101<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
There are other instruments to promote these sustainable land-use activities.<br />
Some measures consist of governmental policies that need to be expanded,<br />
such as the inclusion of environmental criteria to municipal value-added tax<br />
revenues (such as the ecological tax on operations related to the circulation<br />
of goods and the provision of inter-state and inter-municipal transport services<br />
and communication). More broadly, companies and individuals should be<br />
encouraged to develop and execute projects on sustainable and intelligent<br />
use of natural resources, with conservation and restoration of ecosystems.<br />
The key is that ecosystem protection is not only a government task, but should<br />
actively involve society.<br />
Transport and sanitation<br />
This section analyzes activities that serve to build sustainable cities<br />
through targeted investments for improvements in accessibility, mobility and<br />
sanitation.<br />
Figure 4<br />
Networks of sustainable cities<br />
Market<br />
supply<br />
STRUctured<br />
Sanitation (5)<br />
Single ticket (3)<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUced SPONTaneous<br />
Bicycle transport (7)<br />
Electric car (6)<br />
Subway transport (2)<br />
Subway transport (3)<br />
RAPID TRANSIT BUS<br />
Preparation: Inter.B. Sources:<br />
1,2,3,4 “Government blames cars and motorcyles for pollution,” 26 March 2010, Folha de São<br />
Paulo. 2,3 “Chinese and Spaniards enter in dispute for the TAV Project,” 6 August 20/09, 4“Even without a budget, government<br />
wants more waterways,” 12 January 2010, Valor Econômico.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
5Baltar, Emerenciano and Pereira, “Subsidy for providing water sanitation,” <br />
6“Without official support, electric car not viable,” 13 April 2010, Valor Econômico. 7<br />
“Reinventing mobility,” 12 August 2009, Agenda Sustentável, <br />
8“Paes says that single ticket will not be subsidized,” 24 April 2010, O Globo.
102<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
Figure 4 reveals that, in general, to exist or gain scale, these activities require<br />
a structured supply, because there is no "pure" market solution for efficient and<br />
low impact mass transit such as rail, subway or trams. These systems facilitate<br />
accessibility within networks of cities and are critical for intra-urban mobility.<br />
Although innovations such as electric cars should be seen as a breakthrough,<br />
cities will only be effectively sustainable if irrigated by efficient systems of mass<br />
transport. In the case of basic sanitation, economic viability (beyond the cost<br />
of investment) often depends on the income level of users.<br />
The weaknesses in the transport and sanitation systems, combined with<br />
a low degree of adaptation of the cities to their natural environment, require<br />
the design of a specific strategy in order to make cities sustainable. One must<br />
consider Brazil’s high degree of urbanization and how this impacts quality of<br />
life and the fact that public sector interventions, involving both in investments<br />
and the regulation of urban activities, seem essential (Figure 5).<br />
Figure 5 suggests the importance of active policies for the sustainability<br />
of transport and sanitation systems, with special emphasis on mass transit.<br />
Metropolitan areas require integrated planning in terms of accessibility and<br />
mobility as well as in the case of sanitation. This should be handled by<br />
a metropolitan planning agency with powers to allocate resources, while<br />
respecting civil society consultation processes. Investments aimed at improving<br />
the quality of life of urban populations are high, and collective interests should<br />
be the dominant criterion in investment decisions with regard to resource<br />
allocation.<br />
Figure 5<br />
Networks of sustainable cities in the transition to a green economy<br />
MARKET<br />
supply<br />
STRUCTURED<br />
sanitation (5)<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUCED SPONTANEOUS<br />
Bicycle transport (7)<br />
Electric car (6)<br />
High speed train<br />
Subway<br />
transport (2)<br />
Metropolitan railway (3)<br />
RAPID TRANSIT BUS
103<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
Energy<br />
This category consists of activities directed toward the production and efficient<br />
use of renewable energy. Brazil is relatively unique in that the country already<br />
has a structure relatively adapted to a low-carbon economy due to the significant<br />
share of renewable energies in the country’s energy matrix. Figure 6 suggests,<br />
however, that the new generation of energy solutions - solar, wind, nuclear and<br />
frontier hydropower and biomass projects - have not yet gained scale (as in the<br />
case of bio-fuels) and thus will require more structured forms of support.<br />
The agenda for energy sustainability is dense, as illustrated in Figure 7.<br />
It is necessary to move energy efficiency and innovation to the cutting edge<br />
of the economy, and stimulating the use of new sources at increased scales,<br />
by consolidating the significant advances that have been made domestically<br />
while also cooperating with global efforts for new solutions. Two sets of actions<br />
are essential: first, structured support for R&D, both in the public realms of<br />
universities and research centers, and in private and corporate spheres. Second,<br />
it is necessary to expand programs of energy efficiency, with emphasis on<br />
production processes and products, and on rational and efficient use.<br />
Figure 6<br />
Energy<br />
mARKET<br />
supply<br />
STRUCTURED<br />
Biomass from sugarcane<br />
Wind power (2)<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUCED SPONTANEOUS<br />
HYDRO power<br />
SOLAR power (3)<br />
White line of Major appliance (4)<br />
Nuclear power<br />
BIOFUELS (1)<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Preparation: Inter.B. Sources:<br />
1. “Government blames cars and motorcycles for pollution,” 26 March 2010, Folha de São<br />
Paulo.<br />
2. “Wind at the price of water,” 10 January 2010, Revista Brasil Energia Ed. 350.<br />
3. “Solar energy in Brazil,” 24 March 2010, Valor Econômico.<br />
4. “Smaller IPI tax for appliances will respect environmental criteria,” 29 October 2009, Valor<br />
Econômico.
104<br />
Figure 7<br />
Energy in the transition to a green economy<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
supply<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUCED SPONTANEOUS<br />
MARKET<br />
HYDRO power<br />
Biomass<br />
from<br />
sugarcane<br />
SOLAR power (3)<br />
White line of low consumption (4)<br />
Wind power (2)<br />
STRUCTURED<br />
BIOFUELS (1)<br />
Nuclear power<br />
Wastes<br />
Figure 8 displays activities related to waste generation and treatment:<br />
product disposal, recycling of certain materials and reduction or elimination<br />
of non-biodegradables over reasonable period time. The scope for expanding<br />
market solutions will be determined by a combination of public policies and<br />
increased awareness of society.<br />
Figura 8<br />
Life cycle<br />
MARKET<br />
supply<br />
STRUCTURED<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUCED SPONTANEOUS<br />
Recycled paper (1)<br />
RECYCLED METALS (2)<br />
Innovative products<br />
(recyclable,<br />
biodegradable) (5)<br />
Green plastic<br />
Sustainable<br />
demolition (4)<br />
Selective WASTE<br />
collection (3)<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Preparation: Inter.B. Sources:<br />
1. “Recycled paper fad opens a new niche for industries” 18 January 2007, Valor Econômico.<br />
2. “Reduced costs moves recycling market,” 29 January 2010, Valor Econômico.<br />
3,5. “Changing habits,” 27 May 2009, Valor Econômico.<br />
4. “Sustainability for the demolition of the Help Discotheque” 12 April 1010, O Globo<br />
6. “’The dissolving pen,” 24 April 2010, O Globo.
105<br />
Figure 9<br />
Product life cycle in the transition to a green economy<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
MERKET<br />
SUPpLY<br />
STRUCTURED<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
DEMAND<br />
INDUCED SPONTANEOUS<br />
Reverse<br />
logistics<br />
RECYCLED<br />
METALS (2)<br />
“Innovative products”<br />
(recyclable,<br />
biodegradable) (5)<br />
Green plastic<br />
Sustainable<br />
demolition (4)<br />
Selective WASTE<br />
collection (3)<br />
As shown in Figure 9, a new policy focused on waste management is needed,<br />
based on thoughtful examination of the need (or not) to control or regulate<br />
production and use of goods whose footprints are sensitive, either due to<br />
negative externalities throughout the life cycle, or low degradability following<br />
disposal, and that do not present economically viable recycling. The role of<br />
government policy would be to encourage alternatives based on the redesign<br />
of products, new materials, and to promote recycling and waste reduction 5 .<br />
It is important to emphasize that many of the measures designed to encourage<br />
recycling at the individual level are relatively simple, because they depend on<br />
standards to be followed by the producer / distributor without public spending.<br />
At the same time, many government interventions may be transient, so that<br />
after a period of returns to scale and cost reductions, activities to integrate the<br />
life cycle of products become viable in the market. The combination of greater<br />
scarcity and higher prices of raw materials, and with the returns to scale initially<br />
encouraged by government policies and rugulations, the collection and recycling<br />
of disposable items through operations of reverse logistics would be the result<br />
of company-driven initiatives. Even selective collection, after an initial period,<br />
can become self-sustainable and eventually profitable enough to dispense with<br />
government subsidies.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In short, improvements of ecosystem protection, urban transport and<br />
sanitation systems, energy and waste management can be integrated into a<br />
green economy with limited and temporary government interventions. The above<br />
5. A very significant advance took place in 2010 with the establishment of the National Policy<br />
for Solid Wastes, which regulates recycling and waste management, and innovates with<br />
reverse logistics, which states that everyone involved in the supply chain of products must<br />
organize to collect used packaging and product waste.
106<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
analysis indicates that a substantial part of Green GDP is already prefigured in<br />
Quadrant I. This implies that there are market solutions, but many are incipient<br />
and others do not yet exist. The expansion of many of these activities will depend<br />
on active policies, although such support can only be temporary.<br />
Tr a n s it io n s t r a t e g y<br />
Implementing a green economy transition strategy requires the establishment<br />
of a governmental green economy agenda. This agenda could involve:<br />
First, the constitution of a working group or equivalent involving not only<br />
government, but universities and research institutions, companies and civil<br />
society organizations, with the following objectives:<br />
• Identify, in an objective way, general sustainability criteria that would guide<br />
direct or indirect government support to projects and activities.<br />
• Conversely, define what would constitute predatory uses of natural capital<br />
that should be contained, taxed or discouraged.<br />
• Introduce into the national accounting system sustainability dimensions in<br />
the sense suggested by the Stiglitz report, focusing on variations in the<br />
stocks of natural capital.<br />
• Gradually construct indicators that serve to price the services provided by<br />
major ecosystems, recognizing that this exercise is tentative and subject to<br />
trial and error, and that certain critical services are possibly not measurable<br />
in economic terms.<br />
• Inventory government actions (including those by state-owned companies)<br />
that directly or indirectly affect the conservation of natural capital in Brazil,<br />
ranking them according to their impacts.<br />
Second, and based on the results of the efforts undertaken above, define a<br />
reference framework and a set of norms as a basis for reorienting government<br />
actions. It is worth stressing that Brazil still has a wide range of public policies<br />
and government initiatives that incentivize predatory activities or activities<br />
without merit in the context of a green economy.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
A detailed review should be carried out of government programs, as well as<br />
tax financial and other incentives, both at sector and regional levels, in addition<br />
to investment plans of state-owned enterprises, to exame their economic and<br />
legal viability (from this new perspective), as a step toward eliminating over<br />
the next few years all forms of support to projects and activities that are clearly<br />
incompatible with the green economy, because they:<br />
• Directly exploit natural capital without adequately compensating for their<br />
economic impacts;
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Brazil and the green<br />
economy: foundations<br />
and strategy for<br />
transition<br />
Cláudio R. Frischtak<br />
• Contribute to "dirtying" the energy matrix (such as power generation based<br />
on diesel oil, fuel oil or coal);<br />
• Reduce access to and mobility within cities; and<br />
• Ignore new architectural concepts and standards, construction methods<br />
and use of materials designed to conserve energy, maximize recycling and<br />
utilization of rain water, among others.<br />
Third, a positive agenda focused on the protection and restoration of<br />
natural capital in major ecosystems must be promoted. It is imperative that the<br />
country protects its biodiversity. On the specific issue of rain forest protection,<br />
Brazil should strengthen its leadership in monitoring capabilities, preventing<br />
deforestation and seeking alternatives to generate decent employment and<br />
income for forest peoples, traditional communities, as well as settlers attracted<br />
by government programs, among others. In terms of water resources, the<br />
country must intensify its efforts to properly manage watersheds and ensure<br />
multiple, balanced and sustainable water use, for which high quality production<br />
and conservation need to involve riverain communities and farmers, and where<br />
appropriate pricing is essential to encourage rational use.<br />
These are the directives for a green economy transition strategy.<br />
Co n c l u s io n<br />
Years ago the world economy began a transition process supported by the<br />
predatory use of natural capital and the depletion of the ecosystem capacities,<br />
with deleterious effects on sustainability. A new paradigm is emerging, where<br />
growth and conservation are positively correlated and form the basis of a green<br />
economy.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Brazil is a global environmental power due to its ample ecosystem resources,<br />
and renewable energy. With the support of adequate government policies, it<br />
can become one of the countries to most rapidly incorporate a green economy.<br />
This process is based on four key vectors of the Brazilian Green GDP: (i)<br />
the preservation and expansion of natural capital, through efficient forms of<br />
agriculture and a new forest economy based on the intelligent use of biodiversity;<br />
(ii) the transformation of cities through integrated planning at the metropolitan<br />
level, with reference to the need for a transformative vision of accessibility<br />
and urban mobility, and the expansion of sanitation and the establishment of<br />
new standards for architecture and construction; (iii) increased stimulus for the<br />
generation and use of renewable energy, necessarily linked to increased efforts<br />
in energy efficiency; and (iv) the integration of product life cycles in the economic<br />
calculations of producers and consumers, through appropriate regulation of new<br />
legislation, and innovative effort in the design and use of new materials.
108<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Innovation and technology<br />
for a green economy: key<br />
issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira Lustosa 1<br />
In t r o d u c t io n<br />
The discussion on the limits of growth due to the finiteness of environmental<br />
resources has placed the challenge of combining economic growth and<br />
environmental preservation. Within this debate, two approaches can be<br />
identified: the first focuses on technology as the main vector of change, creating<br />
more environmentally friendly production processes and thus stretching the<br />
limits of economic growth. The other approach, contrary to the first, puts the<br />
impossibility of combining environmental preservation and economic growth in<br />
the capitalist system. The need for new markets, imposing a pattern of intensive<br />
use of raw materials and energy, makes the dependence of environmental<br />
resources grow increasingly beyond the limits of the availability of these<br />
resources, even with cleaner technologies.<br />
Regardless of this debate, technological evolution towards more efficient<br />
production processes from the environmental point of view, using fewer<br />
materials and releasing less waste into the environment, is desirable from a<br />
social point of view, since if it does not solve the environmental problem, at least<br />
it seeks to soothe it. In this sense, the development of cleaner technologies is<br />
extremely necessary.<br />
Nevertheless, the study of technological change involves many aspects and<br />
is an evolutionary process that presents nonlinearity, cumulativity and temporal<br />
interdependence (path dependence) characteristics. Moreover, technological<br />
change towards environmental sustainability depends on other non-economic<br />
factors such as development of specific capabilities of enterprises, infrastructure<br />
and institutional changes.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
This article discusses issues related to innovation in the transition to a green<br />
economy from the evolutionary theory of technological change point of view<br />
and is divided into four sections besides this introduction. The first deals with<br />
the emergence of environmental issues as a result of the economic output.<br />
1. Associate professor at the Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Accounting<br />
of the Federal University of Alagoas (FEAC/UFAL), researcher at the Research Group on<br />
Agribusiness and Innovation (GAIN/UFAL) and the Research Network on Local Productive<br />
and Innovative Systems and Arrangements (RedeSist/UFRJ) and Northeast region director of<br />
the Brazilian Society for Ecological Economics (EcoEco).
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The second addresses issues of the relationship between innovation and<br />
environment, focusing on factors that influence the capacity of enterprises<br />
to become innovative. The third presents the results of researches on the<br />
environmental performance of Brazilian companies, especially regarding<br />
environmental investments.<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
1. En v ir o n m e n t a l i s s u e s a n d e c o n o m ic p r o d u c t io n<br />
Since the Industrial Revolution of the late 18th century, the economic and<br />
technological development based on intensive use of raw materials and energy<br />
increased the pace of utilization of natural resources. Given the abundance of<br />
these resources, the issue of sustainability of the economic system (namely<br />
the maintenance of good conditions for its good development, not depleting<br />
needed resources and making them available in good quality for future use)<br />
was not at the center of economists’ concerns for many decades.<br />
More than a century and a half after the onset of the industrialization process<br />
and the emergence of agriculture and livestock farming systems the issue of the<br />
finitude of natural resources, seen as a threat to the growth of modern economies,<br />
has definitively become part of the economists’ research agenda.<br />
Besides the intensive use of natural resources, waste of production processes<br />
released into the environment resulted in the accumulation of pollutants<br />
above its carrying capacity, causing pollution. Pollution goes beyond the local<br />
dimension (degradation of water bodies, soil and air quality) reaching a regional<br />
(acid rain) and global dimension (climate change and ozone layer depletion).<br />
The depletion of natural resources and pollution are environmental problems<br />
resulting from anthropic activities, which also lead to loss of biodiversity,<br />
generating imbalances in ecosystems and making them to lose part of their<br />
social and biological functions. This set of problems is called “environmental<br />
issue”. Its negative effects on the environment are the result of past actions and<br />
decisions, suggesting a temporal interdependence (path dependence), revealing<br />
a process of continuous change and highlighting uncertainties regarding the<br />
knowledge about environmental impacts derived from economic growth.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The hypothesis that the carrying capacity of the planet was reaching its<br />
limits, either by the amount of pollutants released into the environment or<br />
by the depletion of natural resources, dates from the late 1960s. Heated<br />
debates in the political, academic and social spheres have taken place when<br />
the environmental movement’s discourse was incorporated, which pointed to<br />
the incompatibility between environmental preservation and economic growth<br />
based on the intensive use of natural resources and non renewable energy<br />
sources. After more than five decades of debate, it is clear that there it is not<br />
growth that has reached its limit, but the technology and consumer standards<br />
hitherto adopted by industrialized countries.
110<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
Economic growth based on technological standards that make intesive use of<br />
raw materials and energy, especially from hydrocarbons (the main consumers<br />
of natural resources) can run into the limits of finitude of environmental<br />
resources, either through exhaustion or loss of quality. The change of current<br />
technology standards towards others that are less harmful to the environment<br />
is a necessary condition for economic growth to be continuous. In this sense<br />
economic growth may be possible for all countries, but with cleaner and natural<br />
resources efficient technologies 2 .<br />
It is evident, therefore, that there is a difference between the change of the<br />
current technological standard based on the burning of fossil fuels and the<br />
development of new cleaner technologies within the same standard in order<br />
to minimize the environmental impacts of economic activities.<br />
The change of technological patterns is extremely complex, since it occurs<br />
in the long term, depends on many variables, and even when induced by any<br />
kind of policy, it is not possible to know a priori all the consequences deriving<br />
from it, because not all negative externalities of technology, designed and used<br />
for specific purposes, can be envisaged. When it comes to issues concerning<br />
the environment, externalities affect an additional dimension, as they may have<br />
cumulative and depletion effects, which involve uncertainties. As accumulated<br />
pollution increases (cumulative effect), the adverse effects on ecosystems and<br />
human health can be observed, but no one knows exactly how far they may<br />
be affected.<br />
But technology alone, even when using intensively natural resources and<br />
restoring the waste of productive activities to the environment, would not<br />
generate significant environmental impacts if not for the scale effect - the<br />
environmental limit is reached by the pattern of consumption.<br />
The ever-increasing production requires greater amount of natural resources<br />
and disposes more waste into the environment. This increase is associated<br />
with the consumption pattern imposed by the capitalist mode of production,<br />
intensive in material and energy use that is the standard of central countries,<br />
which, through cultural, economic, technological and financial subordination, is<br />
transferred to the countries of the periphery 3 , following the logic of the capitalist<br />
system of accumulation. For its expansion, new markets and therefore new<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
2. Kemp and Soete (1992) properly note that the term “clean technology”, despite being widely<br />
used, is not the most correct linguistically. Firstly, because no technology is totally clean,<br />
and secondly, because the term clean technology and cleaning technology (technologies<br />
that elliminate pollution in the environment) must be distinguished. The correct term would<br />
be “cleaner technology” or “environment-saving”. There are also control technologies, which<br />
monitor emission levels and degradation of natural resources.<br />
3. The center-periphery scheme is a thesis of Raul Prebisch, in which Latin America was part<br />
of a system of international economic relations that operated as a constellation whose center<br />
was the industrialized countries and the periphery was the passive Latin America. In this<br />
context, Brazil has undergone a process of “modernization”, by the adoption of sophisticated<br />
consumption patterns of developed countries by a small portion of the population, which<br />
concentrated mostly the income from coffee exports (Furtado, 1974). With the deepening<br />
of globalization in recent decades, the consumption pattern of the central countries spread<br />
through all capitalist economies, creating a huge market of material and energy intensive<br />
products, which present great technological obsolescence.
111<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
consumer needs are required, which in order to be met demand indefinitely<br />
developing production 4 . Thus, the population grows and so does its needs,<br />
increasing the scale of industrial production and agricultural and livestock<br />
farming systems, resulting in increases in the demand for natural resources<br />
and of waste in production processes.<br />
As a consequence there is a trade-off between economic growth and<br />
environmental preservation. On the one hand, economic growth has brought<br />
improvements in the population’s living conditions, generating greater quantity<br />
of goods and services available to meet the needs, though not equitably<br />
distributed. On the other hand, that same growth has brought environmental<br />
problems, which are not restricted to industrial and agricultural activities such as<br />
uncontrolled urbanization, worsening of environmental conditions and causing<br />
damage to human health and to the quality of the environment.<br />
Given the complexity of the issue outlined above, this article addresses a<br />
specific aspect to support this broader discussion: environmental innovation as<br />
a way of changing the current standard technology toward a green economy. As<br />
a consequence, a central question arises: how to induce technological change<br />
in the direction of cleaner technologies in order to achieve environmental<br />
sustainability? That is, in a direction where natural resources serve to present<br />
and future generations and that pollution levels are reduced, even when there<br />
is an increase in production?<br />
2. In n o v a t io n a n d t h e e n v ir o n m e n t<br />
The industrial sector is one that causes more damage to the environment,<br />
either by their production processes or by manufacture of products that pollute<br />
and/or generate disposal problems after use. If on the one hand adopted<br />
technologies have led to environmental degradation, on the other, they enabled<br />
more efficient use of natural resources and input substitution in the production<br />
process. An outstanding example was improved energy use derived from<br />
petroleum and its partial substitution by other energy sources after the first oil<br />
shock in 1973. Therefore, the technological development towards a pattern of<br />
production less aggressive to the environment is seen as a partial solution to<br />
the problem.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Technological change in the direction of cleaner technologies entangles<br />
innovation process. According to Hall (1994), the innovation process<br />
corresponds to all the activities that generate technological change and<br />
dynamic interaction between them, which need not be primary inventions.<br />
When innovating, the company is seeking a solution to a given problem that is<br />
4. The organization of the industrial society since the 19th century is based on “... mechanic<br />
productivist model of positivism: scientific progress = technical progress = economic<br />
development = sociocultural progress” (Labeyrie, 2004, p. 125). In this context, there is no<br />
room for discussing social inequities and ecological imbalances caused by scientific and<br />
technological progress, basis of economic growth.
112<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
solved within a technological paradigm, i.e., within certain standard solutions<br />
widely accepted based on principles of natural sciences. Thus, once the<br />
technological paradigm is established, innovations become selective in the<br />
ability to solve problems, while hindering other solutions that would be outside<br />
the technological paradigm – characterizing a “blindness” of the prevailing<br />
technological paradigm. Technologies are elected in the selection process<br />
which, according to the predominant features of the selective environment,<br />
chooses certain technologies and not others.<br />
However, when the difficulties of finding solutions increase, inclusive<br />
regarding environmental problems, there is a strong incentive for a shift on<br />
the technological paradigm. However this is not a sufficient condition since<br />
in order to establish a new paradigm it is necessary that advances in basic<br />
knowledge occur, as well as other institutional and market factors. Thus, the<br />
dominant technological paradigm and the selective environment set the pace<br />
and direction of technical progress, which can even generate a paradigm shift,<br />
in a slow and gradual process.<br />
Within the current technological paradigm, a particular technology is selected.<br />
According to B. Arthur (quoted by López, 1996), the technology is not elected<br />
because it is the most efficient, but it becomes more efficient because it has<br />
been elected. That is, technologies become more attractive as they are more<br />
used. Hence, technology has temporal interdependence (path-dependent)<br />
since it is the result of predefined trajectories. This engenders a lock-in effect,<br />
leading companies to get caught in the more widespread technology and to<br />
the prevailing technological paradigm. These events have major effects on the<br />
company’s ability to find solutions to specific problems, that is, on its ability<br />
to innovate, including in the direction of Environmentally Sound Technologies<br />
(ESTs).<br />
The ESTs can be defined as the set of knowledge, techniques, methods,<br />
processes, experiences and equipment that use natural resources sustainably<br />
and that enable the proper disposal of industrial wastes, so as not to degrade<br />
the environment. They are obtained by means of environmental innovations.<br />
Technological changes in the direction of environmental technologies can<br />
occur in the technological trajectory (i.e. a more powerful combustion engine<br />
that generatesless emissions) or in the technological paradigm (a change of<br />
primary energy sources toward generating less environmental impact). With<br />
regard to primary energy generation, it is possible to identify the “hydrocarbon<br />
paradigm” based on oil and natural gas.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Therefore, for environmental improvements to occur, companies must adopt<br />
innovations. However, innovation in the enterprise is not the result of a decision<br />
based on internal factors but of complex interactions between the company and<br />
its customers and suppliers, and a broader context, including the institutional
113<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
environment, cultural and social infrastructure, macroeconomic aspects: the<br />
innovation system. The focus of the analysis should therefore be go beyond<br />
the company and seek a systemic approach.<br />
These considerations lead to an important aspect for the green economy<br />
(how to direct technological change toward environmental innovations) and<br />
raise the following question: What enables companies to generate and adopt<br />
environmental innovations? There are several factors - economic, social,<br />
institutional and scientific - that influence the capacity of enterprises to become<br />
innovative. In general, it is possible to group them into internal and external<br />
factors to business. Among the internal factors, it is possible to highlight the<br />
company’s specific skills for problem solving, its absorptive capacity and its<br />
access to innovations developed by others.<br />
The company’s specific competencies to solve problems are accumulated<br />
over time. That is, they consist of skills and knowledge that the company has<br />
acquired over time, which determine its ability to absorb and create knowledge.<br />
These skills and specific knowledge depend on investments in research and<br />
development (R&D), individual knowledge of employees, the size and nature of<br />
the enterprise (public, private, transnational etc.), sector of activity and degree<br />
of specialization.<br />
The second internal factor is directly related to the first. The absorptive<br />
capacity, according to Cohen and Levinthal (1990), is defined by the skills<br />
of recognizing the value of new information, assimilate it and apply it for<br />
commercial purposes, being crucial to enable the company to innovate. This<br />
ability to evaluate and use external knowledge is the function of prior knowledge,<br />
that is, when the external knowledge and the company have basic standards and<br />
common languages, it becomes easier to use the information productively.<br />
The access to innovations developed by third parties is not free and, in<br />
general, has high costs. Whether by lack of information from the company that<br />
wants to adopt the environmental innovation, by the innovator’s competitive<br />
strategy of not diffuding their innovation, by patent protection and by trade<br />
secrecy or the costs of maintaing absorptive capacity, innovations are not<br />
available as “products on a supermarket shelf”. This means that there is a<br />
charge for access and it can be high. Thus, for many companies it is difficult<br />
to innovate, whether because of high cost of internal development or of the<br />
acquisition of third party technologies.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Among the external factors are: the current technological paradigm, the<br />
National Innovation System, the macroeconomic context, measures of<br />
regulatory nature and degree of market competition in which the company<br />
operates.<br />
The current technological paradigm, as explained earlier, determines the<br />
company’s ability to innovate, because it sets the standard in which scientific
114<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
innovations must be circumscribed. In this sense, the shift in the technology<br />
paradigm may make the company become more or less innovative, depending<br />
on their specific expertise.<br />
The National Innovation System (NIS), the second external factor, will<br />
influence the ability of businesses to generate and adopt innovations, since it<br />
is an organizational system that aims to develop science and technology within<br />
the country. It is a complex institutional arrangement involving companies’<br />
laboratories of R&D, research institutes and universities, financial, educational<br />
and law institutions (patents, laws regulating competition). The NIS should be<br />
considered in its three dimensions: institutions; the interaction between them,<br />
forming a network; and the learning ability. Thus, an effective NIS induces<br />
enterprises to be innovative.<br />
The macroeconomic context is a factor that interferes with the process of<br />
innovation in businesses, since it makes explicit the economic context in which<br />
it is inserted. Companies have difficulty in making decisions in conditions of<br />
great uncertainty, generated by a scenario of macroeconomic instability. In<br />
this context, there is some paralysis to innovate. Reversely, macroeconomic<br />
stability creates confidence in economic agents, which will tend to consume<br />
and invest more.<br />
Measures of regulatory nature are crucial to induce environmental<br />
innovations. Some scetors require greater regulations due to the type of<br />
activity they develop. For example, companies whose activities have negative<br />
impacts on the environment are subject to compliance with regulations, which<br />
may induce innovations, depending on the objectives and instruments of<br />
environmental policy.<br />
Finally, the degree of market competition in which the company operates<br />
is one of the factors that most influence their decision to generate and adopt<br />
innovations, including environmental. With market pressure, especially the<br />
most competitive ones, innovation becomes the differentiating factor between<br />
the company and its competitors, creating asymmetries between them and<br />
may be the only way to survive in a market that values the non-aggression to<br />
the environment.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In the light of the above, new paths and bifurcations of technological<br />
trajectories must be induced so as to incorporate environmental improvements,<br />
even though this is not the primary purpose of developing a particular<br />
technology. That is to say that when incorporating environmental issues in<br />
innovations, environmental improvements and economic gains can be achieved<br />
simultaneously. The adoption of cleaner technologies has not been driven<br />
by environmental protection, but by the search for efficiency in resource use<br />
(Fukusaku, 2000).
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
Despite the advances in the environmental technologies of the industrial<br />
sector (cleanear technologies, increased use of materials less harmful to the<br />
environment, improved processes and systems for the reuse of materials)<br />
environmental problems persist. The condition to achieve gains in the direction<br />
of a production pattern which is more environmentally friendly implies to move<br />
towards a technological paradigm that is not grounded in intensive use of energy<br />
and raw materials, and the consequent adaptation of production processes.<br />
A new technological paradigm requires a long maturation period, with several<br />
changes, including of conceptual order.<br />
The definition of consumption, for example, needs to be revised. Consumption<br />
is a term distinct of use. The first means the destruction of the original material,<br />
or rather the transformation into other elements. That is, when we burn coal,<br />
consumption has taken place, as it was transformed into carbon dioxide and<br />
water. Use means no transformation of the materials, but other elements can<br />
be added to them. This is the case of water and metals, which remain water<br />
and metals even after use. Thus, they can be recycled and reused in other<br />
circumstances. However, this distinction is not made by the majority of economic<br />
activities that generate pollution since they do not recycle materials already<br />
used, thus not transforming the production process’ waste into wealth.<br />
3. In n o v a t io n a n d t h e e n v ir o n m e n t in Br a z il ia n<br />
c o m p a n ie s<br />
Brazilian industrialization has been marked by a relative neglect of<br />
the environmental issue, a result of “... the delay in the establishment of<br />
environmental rulings and specialized agencies in pollution control; growth<br />
strategy associated with import substitution industrialization, focusing on<br />
emission-intensive sectors, and the trend towards the specialization of the<br />
export sector in potentially polluting activities” (Young and Lustosa , 2001).<br />
For many years, the industrial sector did not pay attention to the environmental<br />
costs of their production processes, neither to the related waste, including<br />
pollution. There used to be a belief that producing in an environmentally<br />
sound manner would be more costly and would harm the companies’ financial<br />
performance. However, the search for alternatives that minimize the negative<br />
impacts of productive activity on the environment has been reflected in economic<br />
gains and improved competitiveness of enterprises.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Environmental issues gained ground on businesses’ social concerns since<br />
the 1990s. When companies realized the society’s growing interest and<br />
concern with the environment, they sought to insert themselves in the context<br />
as participating agents of change in response to the expectations of society,<br />
having seen the decline in the State’s financial capacity and the disbelief on<br />
the State as an actor capable of solving relevant social problems.
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opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
As the preservation of the environment has become a differentiating factor for<br />
companies, as a business opportunity, the possibility to include environmental<br />
concerns arose in their strategies, by means of more environmentally<br />
appropriate practices. Such practices have resulted in the adoption of ESTs,<br />
implementation of environmental management systems, rational use of natural<br />
resources, among others.<br />
Taking the opportunity to improve their image and have society’s<br />
acknowledgement as a key player in the transformation process, companies<br />
are investing in environmental programs of social nature. Even with little tax<br />
incentive, companies engaged in these projects pursuing a positive image,<br />
acting as a powerful marketing tool, differentiating themselves from their<br />
competitors and gaining attention in the media - spontaneously, inclusive. This is<br />
a first indication that the environment can be a way to improve competitiveness.<br />
Despite the social and environmental initiatives implemented by companies with<br />
positive results for the environment and society, environmental problems “at<br />
home” (resulting from negative environmental impacts of their core activities)<br />
were well below the visibility of environmental projects targeted at society. The<br />
exceptions are companies that have suffered some pressure to do so: the<br />
requirement of countries which import Brazilian products and environmental<br />
regulations that force companies to lower the environmental impacts of their<br />
activities.<br />
Cost reduction has also played an important role in minimizing the<br />
environmental impacts of companies. However, the environment was not the<br />
focus - programs for energy conservation, process optimization aiming at<br />
reducing input costs, automated control processes that reduce waste, water<br />
recirculation, among others, presented a positive effect in the direction of a<br />
more rational use of natural resources.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Empirical evidence shows that the innovations that generate positive impacts<br />
both to the environment and to the companies’ economic performance are related<br />
to their size. Whether by employed personnel or by range of net revenues, the<br />
biggest companies are those that consider the environment a motivating factor<br />
for the company to innovate (Lustosa, 2002; Podcameni, 2007). The company<br />
size has a positive influence on the probability of implementation of environment<br />
investment, that is, the larger the company, the greater that probability (Ferraz<br />
and Seroa da Motta, 2001). Micro and small enterprises (MSEs) have worked<br />
less on solutions for environmental issues as indicated by variables of adoption<br />
of environmental management, improved image, increased sales, access to<br />
new markets and investment environment (CNI et al. 2001).<br />
Other studies confirm that the requirements imposed by law are still the main<br />
determinant of environmental investment in enterprises. According to Almeida<br />
et al. (2004), most companies still restricts its environmental responsibility to<br />
comply with environmental legislation and in response to the fines and penalties.
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opportunities<br />
Innovation and<br />
technology for a green<br />
economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
However, the increasing demands of the market and competitivity between<br />
companies turn the adoption of environmental management principles into a<br />
necessary condition for the businesses’ survival.<br />
Ferraz and Seroa da Motta (2001), in a study that analyzes the determinants<br />
of environmental investment in the industry in the State of São Paulo, found<br />
some internal and external factors to enterprises, which are significant for<br />
environmental investment. The internal factors indicate that plants with<br />
more workers, older firms and those with foreign capital tend to make more<br />
environmental investments, as well as those with a higher proportion of exports<br />
over sales and those belonging to sectors considered pollutants. In relation<br />
to factors external to companies, only the factors associated with formal<br />
environmental regulation, as the number of warnings given by the environmental<br />
agency, for example, were significant.<br />
Tigre (1994), in a research carried out with producers of equipment and<br />
environmental services, shows that 69% of companies have realized that the<br />
government regulations are extremely influential in the growth of their market<br />
and that 21% considered such regulations influential 5 .<br />
Innovation in the MSEs is related to factors such as the organization and<br />
the need for innovation in the sector in which they operate. Although in most<br />
cases they do not have enough capital, they have other advantages that<br />
favor investment in innovation such as the flexibility of their structures, their<br />
diversified activities and their quick adaptation to market changes. However,<br />
small enterprises have less access to technological information than the larger<br />
ones; besides, the difficulty in obtaining credit makes innovation initiatives<br />
quite risky.<br />
Among other factors that inhibit innovation in MSEs are low managerial<br />
capacity of the people who are ahead of the business and the short-term<br />
planning. Because of their small size, owners and/or administrators cling to<br />
solve daily problems and do not give the due importance to long-term strategies<br />
and to innovation.<br />
With regard specifically to the issue of environmental innovation, its<br />
importance lies in the fact that eco-efficient production is an important instrument<br />
of competitiveness, as it reduces costs and improves product quality, enabling<br />
the opening of new markets..<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
5. To the other answer options, “little influent” or “non influent”, the percentages of 7% and 3%<br />
have been attributed, respectivelly.
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economy: key issues<br />
Maria Cecília Junqueira<br />
Lustosa<br />
Co n c l u s io n s<br />
The growth process of modern capitalist economies, which started with<br />
the Industrial Revolution of the 19th century, generated an enormous output<br />
of material goods. Concomitant with this dramatic increase in production<br />
scale, the “environmental issues” arose - depletion of natural resources and<br />
pollution. However, it was in the late 1960s that the degradation of the planet<br />
started gradually to enter into the discussion agenda of the social, political and<br />
academic spheres. The environmental movement began to take a social and<br />
political conotation.<br />
In this debate, innovation and technology become important variables to be<br />
studied, since they are those that determine the set of knowledge, techniques,<br />
methods, processes, equipment and experiences that will transform raw<br />
materials into consumer goods.<br />
Therefore, the technological standard presents a double face: it was and still<br />
is largely one of the factors leading to the aggravation of environmental issues<br />
in proportion to increases in the scale of production. Its other side emerges as<br />
the solution to environmental problems through technological changes in the<br />
direction of environmentally sound technologies - which use natural resources<br />
sustainably and enable the proper disposal of waste in production, so as not<br />
to degrade the environment. These changes occur through environmental<br />
innovations.<br />
Once the companies are the producing agents in the economy, their capacity<br />
to generate and adopt environmental innovations is crucial for the obtainment<br />
of production processes and products less harmful to the environment and,<br />
therefore, environmental improvements - properly managing natural resources<br />
and controlling pollution.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Despite the benefits that environmental innovations can bring, there are<br />
factors in the technological, political and market spheres that limit their<br />
generation and diffusion. In cases where companies show no interest in<br />
practices less harmful to the environment, the State must use legal means<br />
(environmental policy and its regulations), through public environmental<br />
management and encourage companies to change their behavior in relation<br />
to the environmental impacts of their activities. Environmental regulation has<br />
both normative and informative sides: it translates the needs of environmental<br />
protection into specific requirements, signaling to polluters and suppliers of<br />
environmental technologies what is being demanded. The generation and<br />
particularly the diffusion of environmental innovation are crucial to harmonize<br />
environmental preservation with the growth of economic output.
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Lustosa<br />
References<br />
Almeida, J. R., Mell, C. S. and Cavalcanti, Y. (2004). Gestão ambiental: planejamento,<br />
avaliação, implantação, operação e verificação, 2ª ed. Rio de janeiro: THEX.<br />
CNI, SEBRAE, BNDES (2001). Relatório da Competitividade da Indústria Brasileira.<br />
Brasília: CNI/SEBRAE; Rio de Janeiro: BNDES.<br />
Cohen, W. and Levinthal, D. (1990). Absorptive capacity: a new perspective on learning<br />
and innovation. Administrative Science Quarterly, 35, 128-152.<br />
Ferraz, C. and Seroa da Motta, R. (2001). Regulação, mercado ou pressão social?<br />
Os determinantes do investimento ambiental na indústria. Anais do XIX Encontro<br />
Nacional de Economia, Salvador - BA, ANPEC.<br />
Fukasaku, Y. (2000). Stimuler l’innovation environnementale. In OCDE, Le developpement<br />
durable. Número especial, Paris: OCDE.<br />
Furtado, C. (1974). O mito do desenvolvimento econômico. Rio de Janeiro: Paz e<br />
Terra.<br />
Hall, P. (1994). Innovation, economics and evolution: theoretical perspectives on<br />
changing technology in economic systems. New York: Harvester Wheatsheaf.<br />
Kemp, R. and Soete, L. (1992). The greening of technological progress: an evolutionary<br />
perspective. Futures, 24(5), 437-457.<br />
Labeyre, V. (2004). As conseqüências ecológicas das atividades tecno-industriais. In<br />
Morin, E., A religação dos saberes: o desafio do século XXI, 4a ed. Rio de Janeiro:<br />
Bertrand Brasil.<br />
López, A. (1996). Competitividad, innovacion y desarrollo sustentable: una discusión<br />
conceptual. DT 22, Buenos Aires: CENIT.<br />
Lustosa, M. C. J. (2002). Meio ambiente, inovação e competitividade na indústria<br />
brasileira: a cadeia produtiva do petróleo. Doctorate thesis, Rio de Janeiro: IE/<br />
UFRJ.<br />
Podcameni, M. G. (2007). Meio ambiente, inovação e competitividade: uma análise da<br />
indústria de transformação brasileira com ênfase no setor de combustível. Master’s<br />
degree dissertation. Rio de Janeiro: IE/UFRJ.<br />
Preston, J. T. (1997). Technology innovation and environmental progress. In Chertow,<br />
M. R. and Esty, D. C., Thinking ecologically – the next generation of environmental<br />
policy. London: Yale Univ. Press.<br />
Tigre, P. B. (coord.) (1994). Tecnologia e meio ambiente: oportunidades para a indústria.<br />
Rio de Janeiro: UFRJ.<br />
Young, C. E. F.ande Lustosa, M. C. J. (2001). Meio ambiente e competitividade na<br />
indústria brasileira. Revista de Economia Contemporânea, v. 5, Edição Especial,<br />
231-259. Rio de Janeiro: IE/UFRJ.<br />
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Agriculture for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ademar Ribeiro Romeiro 1<br />
1. In it ia l c o n s id e r a t io n s<br />
What is a “green economy”? The An understanding of the meaning of a green<br />
economy depends on the underlying concept of ecological sustainability. In the<br />
recent UNEP report on green economy, this conception is that implied by the<br />
sustainable development concept: it is possible to reconcile economic growth<br />
with environmental conservation by increasing ecological efficiency 2 , by using<br />
greater caution in decisions that involve environmental impacts, by raising<br />
consumer awareness in selecting goods and services with lower impacts, etc.<br />
The report clarifies how much can be done to bring about “a greening” of the<br />
economy. 3<br />
However, over a very long term, within a human time scale (thousands of<br />
years 4 ), the concept of ecological sustainability to be considered is one that<br />
clearly establishes that economic growth, as expressed by increased material/<br />
energy production per capita, cannot continue indefinitely due to the simple<br />
fact that there are entropic limits to increases in ecological efficiency. According<br />
to the Second Law of Thermodynamics, the Entropy Law, it is impossible to<br />
reduce waste generated by human activities to zero. 5 It is essential to take<br />
into account the finitude of planet Earth, which is a closed system in terms<br />
of the exchange of matter with other systems in space (with the exception<br />
of occasional meteorite collisions); from an energy perspective, the planet is<br />
“calibrated” to simply absorb solar energy and radiate heat to outer space,<br />
having no significant endogenous sources of energy (geothermal sources are<br />
relatively unimportant). The unlimited increase in the production of materials/<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. Full professor at the Institute of Economics at the University of Campinas (IE/UNICAMP),<br />
coordinator of the Nucleus of Studies and Research on Environment (NEPAM/UNICAMP) and<br />
director of the Brazilian Society of Ecological Economics.<br />
2. Ecological efficiency is understood as the most efficient use of natural resources, producing<br />
more with the same quantity of resources and/or maintaining the level of production with the<br />
use of fewer resources, resulting in reduced emission of residues per unit of product or service.<br />
3. The recommendations of this report largely echo the viewpoints expressed for decades by the<br />
principal theoretician of sustainable development, professor Ignacy Sachs, of the University of<br />
Paris. See, for example, Sachs (2006).<br />
4. The minimum time period that should be considered as a long-term human scale is 10<br />
thousand years, since the invention of agriculture during the Neolithic age. In average, it<br />
should be considered the time period since humans controlled the use of fire, between 200 and<br />
400 thousand years ago.<br />
5. Some specialists believe that it is theoretically possible to increase current average ecological<br />
efficiency by up to 10 times. For example, current carbon emissions produced by the<br />
combustion of carbon for steel production could be reduced by up to 90% with the introduction<br />
of new processes. For a detailed discussion see the works of the Factor Ten Institute: http://<br />
www.factor10.de
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energy based on exogenous sources of energy and materials (which can be<br />
found inert in the terrestrial crust) leads to increased thermodynamic imbalances<br />
that would eventually produce adaptive ecological processes catastrophic to<br />
mankind. 6 Thus, zero growth (of material/energy production) is inevitable (“for<br />
good or for evil”), as predicted by the Club of Rome in 1972. 7<br />
Zero growth, it must be said, does not necessarily imply the absence of<br />
human development. Indeed, human development depends on increased<br />
production of materials and energy to achieve a level of material comfort that<br />
is deemed appropriate. However, after a certain level of material comfort,<br />
human development is much more dependent on other factors, particularly<br />
those related to the emotional balance of individuals. In this sense, an index<br />
that best measures development in its various dimensions would not be the<br />
GDP, as it is currently calculated. 8<br />
In agriculture, the limits of expansion are more obvious: the agricultural area<br />
available is visibly finite and, however spectacular the gains in agricultural<br />
productivity have been, one can no longer count on further significant increases.<br />
In short, it seems clear that agricultural productivity cannot grow indefinitely.<br />
After all, Thomas Malthus was absolutely right in his fundamental intuition about<br />
the environmental limits to growth. Who disagrees with the notion that the world<br />
population cannot grow forever? Even the most obtuse economists admit this<br />
fact, although they continue believing in the perpetual growth of material and<br />
energy consumption.<br />
However, it is not sufficient to acknowledge that the expansion of agricultural<br />
production has limits. One must consider the conditions under which this<br />
production takes place, which must allow continuity for millennia! In the early<br />
20th century a debate took place among agronomists in Europe, and particularly<br />
in France, about the enormous advantages of American agriculture, with its<br />
high labor productivity but major environmental impacts, compared to European<br />
agriculture, which preserved the agricultural ecosystem but was less productive<br />
per unit of labor. Many experts argued in favor of American agriculture, saying<br />
it would not be worth losing productivity gains to conserve the soil, since in the<br />
future (around the end of the century!) agriculture would no longer be necessary<br />
for the production of food!<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
6. Exogenous energy sources include all energy sources, except solar directly received by the<br />
planet on a daily basis, such as fossil fuels and nuclear energy; inert materials in the crust<br />
(all types of mineral resources) as they are mined and processed in the ecosphere (the layer<br />
of earth where life is concentrated – from a few meters below the subsoil to several hundred<br />
meters above the ground) become active waste to the degree that they force the ecosystems<br />
of the ecosphere to absorb them.<br />
7. The fact that initial predictions have failed due to errors in modeling and in the parameters<br />
used in no way changes the rationale on which they were based.<br />
8. For an analysis of the debate on indicators that reflects these dimensions of economic<br />
development, see Veiga (2010).
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The catastrophic effects of erosion in the U.S. eventually led to a great<br />
movement for soil conservation and for the adoption of other conservation<br />
practices that guaranteed a minimum level of sustainability for so-called modern<br />
agricultural practices. 9 However, one can question this minimum sustainability<br />
level of current practices, as has been done by movements in favor of alternative<br />
farming practices that effectively ensure agricultural productive capacity over<br />
the very long term.<br />
2. Th e e c o l o g ic a l s p e c i f i c i t y o f t h e a g r ic u l t u r a l<br />
p r o d u c t io n s e c t o r<br />
Agricultural activities depend on space. It is the primary agent responsible<br />
for the irreversible transformation of natural ecosystems. The impacts of<br />
farming practices on the natural resource base also directly affect the quality<br />
and quantity of agricultural products generated. So-called modern practices<br />
guarantee the quantity but not the quality of food, which exhibits varying degrees<br />
of contamination by agrochemicals, as well as declining nutritional quality:<br />
unbalanced fertilization and the deteriorating physical structure of soils affect<br />
the structure of amino acids and vitamin content in foods.<br />
However, even quantity is not guaranteed if we consider the very long term.<br />
Similar to the defenders of American agriculture in the early 20th century,<br />
proponents of current practices argue that adoption of agro-ecological practices<br />
would drastically reduce agricultural labor productivity, resulting in unacceptable<br />
costs to the population. In fact, so-called organic or, more generally, agroecological<br />
10 products are more expensive, because their marketing is currently<br />
limited to niche markets composed of a more aware consumer that is willing to<br />
pay higher prices for better quality products. 11<br />
It can be argued, however, that these prices could already be lower if<br />
governments devoted similar efforts to support agro-ecological practices that<br />
they dedicate to conventional agriculture, in terms of agricultural research and<br />
extension, credit, subsidies, etc. Furthermore, one must consider that proper<br />
ecological accounting would show that the higher prices of agro-ecological<br />
products incorporate a range of ecosystem services 12 that benefit society as<br />
a whole.<br />
The first, as already mentioned, is the quality of food. Healthier food in terms of<br />
nutrients and the absence of chemical contamination. Another important service<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
9. Erosion caused by wind, in particular in the semi-arid Great Plains, caused enormous dust<br />
storms referred to as “dust bowl”, which reached as far as the East Coast!<br />
10. Agro-ecological products are understood as those produced according to certain rules of<br />
cultivation based on intelligent management of natural forces, minimizing the introduction of<br />
exogenous agrochemical inputs.<br />
11. For an analysis of the problems associated with the adoption of agro-ecological practices in<br />
Brazil, see Assis and Romeiro (2004 and 2007).<br />
12. For a classification of ecosystem services, see the 2005 Report of the Millennium<br />
Ecosystem Assessment (MEA).
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involves the provision of high quality water. An agro-ecological agricultural<br />
landscape results from soil management that enhances the infiltration of water,<br />
which eliminates erosion and contributes to the regulation of water flows in<br />
rivers. As a result, water quality is not compromised by massive inputs of<br />
sedimentary material and agrochemicals, thus reducing which reduces the cost<br />
of water treatment in urban centers (which do not eliminate the whole problem)<br />
and contributing to the preservationing of aquatic fauna.<br />
A third ecosystem service is that of maintaining a diverse flora and fauna in<br />
the agricultural landscape that is increasingly valued in most countries. This<br />
agro-ecological landscape is essential for ecotourism or rural tourism, and<br />
citizens of several countries are increasingly willing to pay for these services.<br />
The absorption and storage of carbon is a fourth service. There are others, but<br />
not all can be monetized due to a lack of information. Those that are monetizable<br />
should be calculated and taken into account in the formulation of agricultural<br />
policies that support agro-ecological practices.<br />
The necessity of accounting for the economic (monetary) dimension of<br />
the value of agro-ecology may be sufficient to justify more supportive policies.<br />
Nevertheless, we must not lose sight of the ecological and socio-cultural<br />
dimensions, which cannot be measured in monetary terms. The socio-cultural<br />
dimension is measured by the role that agricultural space may have in<br />
preserving the cultural identity of many peoples. In the case of the ecological<br />
dimension, which concerns everyone, the metric is sustainability in the very<br />
long term as defined by (a) utility (necessity for human survival) and (b) ethics<br />
(acceptance of the right to survival of species without known uses)<br />
Agricultural science has already accumulated sufficient experience to define<br />
parameters for the sustainability of farming practices in the very long term: an<br />
agro-ecosystem where a certain proportion of the remnant native flora and<br />
fauna contributes to the long-term ecological resilience of agricultural practices<br />
based on the management of natural processes.<br />
The ecological principles of agro-ecological practices<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
It can be said that modern farming practices have evolved in response to<br />
economic stimuli resulting from the advantages of monoculture in terms of the<br />
organization and productivity of agricultural labor, and the prospect of gains<br />
from the specialization in making more profitable products. 13 Technically this<br />
was made possible by the introduction of chemical-mechanical procedures that<br />
have, however, proven to be degrading to the productive base.<br />
It is necessary to be clear that monoculture contradicts a basic rule in<br />
nature, that diversity is synonymous with stability. The more simplified a given<br />
13. See Romeiro (1991, 1998) for a historic analysis of this process.
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ecosystem, the greater the need for exogenous sources of energy and matter<br />
to maintain balance. Monoculture causes a profound imbalance, both in terms<br />
of vegetation cover (pest infestations) as well as the physical, chemical and<br />
biological activities within the soil.<br />
Destabilizing factors gain strength and force farmers to use energy-intensive<br />
techniques to maintain conditions favorable for crop development. However,<br />
these technical solutions do not seek to eliminate the causes of the imbalance,<br />
but only circumvent its effects on revenues. The initial effectiveness of these<br />
techniques and procedures made the vast majority of experts extremely<br />
optimistic.<br />
Experience has shown, however, that there was no reason for this optimism.<br />
In France, for example, due to the generally low organic matter content, the<br />
physical structure of soils has become increasingly susceptible to the action of<br />
climatic factors, as well as to the passage of heavy machinery and equipment –<br />
the use of which, in turn, was necessary to aerate soils increasingly susceptible<br />
to compaction due to low organic matter content!<br />
In other words, the degradation of physical soil structure causes a permanent<br />
contradiction in the interventions designed to improve the supply of water<br />
and nutrients to crops: the more the soil is degraded, the less natural factors<br />
(ecosystem services) provide the necessary conditions for cultivation, which<br />
must then be obtained through chemical and mechanical interventions that also<br />
contribute to degradation. However, it must be clear that these interventions<br />
do not resolve the contradiction, in that they are designed to overcome the<br />
effects of environmental degradation on productivity, without addressing the<br />
causes of the problems.<br />
The causes should be addressed through the adoption of agricultural<br />
practices designed to manage nature rather than fight against it! An agricultural<br />
ecosystem necessarily involves simplification of the original ecosystem. For<br />
this reason it is necessary that the farmer always intervenes to keep it stable.<br />
However, such interventions should be made in accordance with the laws of<br />
nature.<br />
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Extreme simplification can be avoided by crop rotation. This practice provides<br />
a remarkable means of maintaining stability of the agricultural ecosystem. In<br />
addition to dramatically reducing the risk of pest infestation of the vegetation<br />
cover, rotation effectively contributes to the maintenance of good physical<br />
soil structure. Agro-ecology seeks precisely this: based on the successful<br />
experience of ancient farming systems, to scientifically develop farming<br />
practices that manage nature in order to obtain ecosystem services useful for<br />
production.
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Ademar Romeiro<br />
3. Ag r o-e n v ir o n m e n t a l p o l i c i e s<br />
As a result of the presentation in previous section, scientific research<br />
in sustainable agro-ecosystems should be a fundamental part of an agroenvironmental<br />
policy for agriculture. In Brazil, research began over 20 years<br />
on low-impact farming practices. 14 One of the most notable results of this<br />
work is the expansion of no-tillage systems, 15 which has already expanded to<br />
over 10 million hectares. This is a farming system in which farmers create the<br />
conditions that guarantee the required organic matter content and that protect<br />
the soil from sun and rain, measures that are necessary for the activities of<br />
soil micro-fauna that result in a physical soil structure suitable for planting.<br />
This approach recognizes how the intelligent management of natural forces<br />
can provide ecosystem services that both conserve the soil and maintain high<br />
productivity. Another notable example, older and hugely successful, is the<br />
widespread fixation of atmospheric nitrogen by inoculants that strengthen this<br />
naturally occurring process associated with legumes such as soybeans. In<br />
addition, farmers are increasingly applying biological control of pests in crops,<br />
for example through viruses that attack their main insect predator of soybeans.<br />
These are techniques that use natural processes and ecosystem services, but<br />
are still mainly applied in monocultures.<br />
Currently, research organizations in Brazil are increasing efforts to research<br />
sustainable agro-ecosystems. For example, a few years ago Brazilian<br />
Agricultural Research Company (EMBRAPA) created an agro-biology research<br />
center as well as sustaining another research center in agriculture and<br />
environment. 16 These are centers of reference, but all the other EMBRAPA<br />
research centers have also expressed concern about the sustainability of<br />
agricultural practices. Recently a technological “package” was launched for<br />
livestock-agriculture integration. These are two activities that have strong<br />
ecological complementarities, so that integration increases output per hectare in<br />
a sustainable manner. This is an important step to enable the effective adoption<br />
of agro-ecological practices.<br />
Along with scientific and technological policies, it is crucial that the negative<br />
externalities of conventional practices be are measured and taxed in some<br />
way. Simultaneously, the positive externalities – such as the ecosystem<br />
services generated by farmers – should be considered. As such, the cost of<br />
adopting certain sustainable practices (opportunity cost) represents the value<br />
of the environmental conservation service offered by the farmer. Through this<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
14. For a broader analysis of the prospects for agro-environmental policies, see Romeiro (2007).<br />
15. No-tillage is a system of farming without plowing the soil. The seed is buried directly in soil<br />
covered with a layer of chopped-up crop residues (straw), which protects and at the same time<br />
provides needed organic matter to feed the chain of organisms living in the soil. The conditions<br />
needed for plant development from seed are derived precisely from the activities of these<br />
organisms; as a result, these activities translate into an ecosystem service of structuring the<br />
soil for the planting and development of crops.<br />
16. EMBRAPA Agro-biology (CNPAB) and EMBRAPA Environment (CNPMA).
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green economy<br />
Ademar Romeiro<br />
environmental conservation service, the farmer ensures that nature (agroecosystem)<br />
produces ecosystem services such as those mentioned (healthy<br />
food, water quantity and quality, biodiversity). The best known food products<br />
certification, such as organic or biodynamic agriculture, began by emphasizing<br />
the healthy character of the food produced, but today these certifications<br />
tend to include other ecosystem services resulting from the preservation and<br />
management of a particular agricultural landscape, such as biodiversity and<br />
water in particular.<br />
It’s important to bear in mind that many of the ecosystem services produced<br />
by the adoption of agro-ecological practices also benefit the farmer. In this case<br />
one can speak of win-win technologies, which produce positive environmental<br />
externalities and at the same time are profitable for producers. This is the<br />
case for healthy food when the market recognizes its value by offering a<br />
price that makes production profitable. In the case of water, protected soil<br />
with appropriate organic matter content, increases crop resistance to drought<br />
stress, thereby saving expenses associated with supplemental irrigation and<br />
crop failures. In more balanced ecosystems, expenditures on pest control are<br />
also decreased. Greater biodiversity also improves productivity by ensuring<br />
better crop pollination.<br />
Hence, it is important to take stock of the real opportunity costs of adopting<br />
agro-ecological practices, thereby obtaining a fair reference on which to base<br />
payments for environmental services that society as a whole should make to<br />
farmers.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
References<br />
Assis, R. L. and Romeiro, A. R. (2004). Análise do processo de conversão de sistemas<br />
de produção de café convencional para orgânico: um estudo de caso. Cadernos de<br />
Ciência e Tecnologia, 21(1), 143-168. Brasília: EMBRAPA.<br />
Assis, R. L. and Romeiro, A.R. (2007). O processo de conversão de sistemas de<br />
produção convencionais para orgânicos. Revista Brasileira de Administração Pública,<br />
41, 863-885.<br />
Romeiro, A. R. (1991). O modelo euro-americano de modernização agrícola. Nova<br />
Economia, 2(21), 175-197. Belo Horizonte: UFMG.<br />
Romeiro, A. R. (1998). Meio Ambiente e Dinâmica de Inovações na Agricultura. São<br />
Paulo: FAPESP/ANNABLUME, 277 p.<br />
Romeiro, A. R. (2007). Perspectivas para políticas agroambientais. In Ramos, P. (org.)<br />
Dimensões do agronegócio brasileiro: políticas, instituições e perspectivas, 1 ed.,<br />
v. 1, 283-317. Brasília: NEAD Estudos.<br />
Sachs, I. (2006). Caminhos para o desenvolvimento sustentável. Rio de Janeiro: Editora<br />
Garamond.<br />
Veiga, J. E. (2010). Indicadores de sustentabilidade. Estudos Avançados, n. 68,<br />
Jan-Apr.
127<br />
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy and a new<br />
cycle of rural development 1<br />
Arilson Favareto 2<br />
In t r o d u c t io n<br />
Can the “green economy” favor the poorest, especially in rural areas? The<br />
response to this question is affirmative. The “Green Economy Initiative” (GEI) 3 ,<br />
launched by the UNEP in 2008, and the subsequent “Green Economy Coalition”<br />
(GEC) 4 , headed by thirteen international organizations of consumers, workers,<br />
entrepreneurs, environmentalists and researchers, define “green economy”<br />
as that which in addition to being just and resilient, manages to improve the<br />
quality of life for everyone, within the ecological limits of this planet. Thus,<br />
the fundamental issue is not to know if such intent can favor the poorest, but<br />
especially to show how this can take place and through what initiatives.<br />
In the case of rural regions, there are two starting points for analyzing such<br />
issue. It is known that, on the one hand, there is a declining role of agriculture<br />
in the income generation of families. That is, rural family incomes increasingly<br />
originate from other non-agricultural activities, such as urban-type jobs on<br />
premises located nearby, from other activities conducted in agricultural<br />
establishments, such as the provision of services or manufacture of product<br />
parts, or even from the transfers of income via social programs. On the other<br />
hand, the impacts of the current model of agricultural production and livestock<br />
farming on the emissions of greenhouse gases are well-known, as shown by<br />
various reports available on this topic. Furthermore, this model based on the<br />
expansion of intensive agriculture, despite generating a lot of wealth and high<br />
production volumes, promotes the disposal of labor – due to the introduction of<br />
mechanization and industrialized inputs – and thereby offers little contribution<br />
to the income generation of the poorest. And, ultimately, this model severely<br />
pressures the environment through its intensive use of natural resources.<br />
However, this is only one side of the coin that reflects the extension, to recent<br />
times, of a rural development paradigm that originated in the post-war era of<br />
the previous century. That which the literature refers to as a new rurality is<br />
gradually emerging, with contours that are significantly different and in which<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. This article was written by request from Conservação Internacional (CI-Brasil) and is based<br />
on arguments and excerpts originally published in other works by the author.<br />
2. Sociologist, professor at the Federal University of ABC and researcher at the Brazilian Center<br />
for Analysis and Planning (Cebrap). Email: arilson.favareto@ufabc.edu.br.<br />
3. http://www.unep.org/greeneconomy/<br />
4. http://www.greeneconomycoalition.org/
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Green economy<br />
and a new cycle of<br />
rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
reside great opportunities to inaugurate a new cycle of development that is<br />
compatible with the principles envisaged by a “green economy”.<br />
The objective of this article is to shed light on the contours of this emerging<br />
rurality, whose distinctive trace is the transition from an agrarian and agricultural<br />
paradigm to a paradigm organized around the environmental rooting of rural<br />
development. And also to highlight some important issues for Brazil to accelerate<br />
the transition in the direction of this new model. Thus, there are three sections<br />
that follow this brief introduction. In the first, the contours of the so-called new<br />
rurality are presented. The second, presents a brief table about the current<br />
heterogeneity of Brazilian rural regions and their different forms of economic<br />
inclusion and natural resource use. In the third, some sensitive issues are<br />
recommended for the transition towards a “green economy”.<br />
1. Th e e n v ir o n m e n t a l r o o t s o f n e w r u r a l it y<br />
According to social theory (Abramovay, 2003), there are three fundamental<br />
defining dimensions of rurality: proximity to nature, link to cities, and<br />
interpersonal relations resulting from low population density and the reduced<br />
size of rural populations. What changes in the new stage of rural development,<br />
which emerges through the so-called new rurality, is the social content and the<br />
quality of articulations between these elements.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
With regards to proximity to nature, natural resources that were previously<br />
focused towards the production of primary goods, are now increasingly subject<br />
to new forms of social use, such as for biodiversity conservation, exploiting<br />
the landscape potential of this medium, and the search for renewable energy<br />
sources. Nature is increasingly viewed as fundamental due to its unsubstitutable<br />
capacity to provide the environmental services necessary for human existence:<br />
closing the loop of certain chemicals that would be harmful to health, regulating<br />
the climate, and forming watersheds, among others. Concerning relation to<br />
cities, rural spaces have stopped being mere exporters of primary goods and<br />
now give space to greater inter-sectoral diversification and integration of their<br />
economies, and consequently dampening and in some cases even inverting<br />
the demographic flows that prevailed in the previous phase. Interpersonal<br />
relations, ultimately, no longer rely on relative homogeneity and isolation,<br />
characteristics traditionally associated with rural areas, but are now structured by<br />
growing individualization and heterogenization. This is a movement compatible<br />
with greater physical mobility, with the development of information technology<br />
and communications, with the new population profile and with the growing<br />
integration between markets that were previously more clearly dichotomized<br />
into the rural and urban – markets for goods and services, but also the job<br />
market and the market for symbolic goods (Favareto, 2007). This qualitative<br />
change can be better understood through rapid exposure, based on examples<br />
from international experiences.
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rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
One of the main books about rural development in the contemporary world<br />
is devoted to the analysis of the US context - “Rural Development in the<br />
United States”, by Galston and Baehler (1995). The authors highlight how<br />
the comparative advantages of rural areas have changed over the course of<br />
North American history. During the first extended phase of shaping the North<br />
American territory, the great comparative advantage was the availability of<br />
primary products: timber, coal, minerals and agricultural products. The search<br />
for these resources guided the occupation of land and represented the principal<br />
source of work and wealth for a long time.<br />
Obviously, with the passing of time the importance of this production<br />
decreased relative to other economic activities, both in terms of people<br />
employed and wealth generated. Technological innovation and the emergence<br />
of cities triggered a diversification in the productive base, with the growing<br />
development of transformation and service activities. In this phase, rural<br />
spaces have cheap labor and land, coupled with aspects such as lower levels<br />
of taxation and unionization, as factors attracting industries and investment.<br />
The main advantage becomes location, since the exploitation of these less<br />
onerous factors in rural areas was only feasible because of the distance from<br />
the more dynamic centers, which compensated for the transportation costs.<br />
However, similar to how technological advances allow for lowered production<br />
costs and the introduction of techniques that save labor in agriculture, the<br />
same thing happens in the manufacturing sector. Thus, dynamism becomes<br />
concentrated in the tertiary sector. Over the last two decades of the previous<br />
century, the counties that offered the most services related to the exploitation of<br />
rural amenities – natural or cultivated landscapes, pure air, clean water, cultural<br />
attractions – where those that presented greatest growth. Exceptions include<br />
places with very unique forms of investment such as casinos, prisons, or post<br />
distribution centers. However, for obvious reasons this type of investment cannot<br />
form the basis for a strategy to be recommended for rural areas.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In the case of Italy, as presented by Veiga (2006), there is an evident<br />
contrast between rural areas that essentially depend on income obtained from<br />
the export of primary goods, eventually industrialized, and others where the<br />
economy is grounded in the movements of income generated and obtained in<br />
the cities. This division encounters a certain relation to natural characteristics,<br />
such as relief, with plains and plateaus being characteristic of the first case and<br />
proximity to hills and mountains the second. This division seems to have been<br />
directly influenced by a whole range of phenomena related to tourism, which<br />
in turn is narrowly determined by increases in free time and income, and as a<br />
consequence also by an increase in leisure activities by growing social tiers.<br />
In addition to natural heritage conservation, which is at the root of this type of<br />
phenomenon, and economic exploitation of amenities, whose main expression<br />
is tourism activity, the same study also shows that there is a third valuation<br />
vector of rurality: the exploitation of new energy sources.
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and a new cycle of<br />
rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
Of course agriculture of commodities continues to carry great weight in<br />
shaping rural spaces, and tertiary activities will always exist in this ambit.<br />
What Galston and Baehler (1995) and Veiga (2006) point out is the growing<br />
emphasis on this second set, as much in terms of people employed as in<br />
wealth generated, but mainly in bringing something new to institutions linked<br />
to rural development: the growing importance of nature and values that are<br />
not directly monetized.<br />
In this context of changing comparative advantages, one inescapable<br />
conclusion is that not all rural areas have the same conditions for attempting<br />
a development process based on the exploitation of its amenities. Low<br />
population density, which is characteristic of these areas, complicates economic<br />
diversification. The demographic profile and the characteristics of the social<br />
fabric, mainly of stagnant rural areas or those that loose population are different:<br />
there is a vulnerability to external social ties, lack of local opportunities, low<br />
expectations of social mobility or increased interactions. Distance from urban<br />
centers can also turn into a disadvantage through increased information and<br />
transportation costs.<br />
Therefore, coupled with the emphasis on the specific attributes of these<br />
territories, the available literature draws equal attention to the form of inclusion of<br />
these locations in the extralocal space (Jacobs, 1984; Veltz, 2003), or as some<br />
authors prefer, in the relation of rural regions with cities or other parts of the<br />
world. From this perspective, it is the city economy that shapes the economy in<br />
rural regions. This takes place through the exports of primary products, through<br />
the attraction of transformation activities, or through the capture of income from<br />
urban sectors, such as from retirees or professionals in search of a second<br />
home or tourism activities. The fact is, that the closer these relations are, the<br />
greater the chance for prosperity.<br />
However, for areas located outside this proximity, there is no need to be<br />
fatalistic. It is possible to create a link between rural regions and a network of<br />
cities, or to constitute a network of cities in a rural region. This can be done<br />
by investing in communication and transport, to diminish distances, through<br />
a kind of territorial division of labor between small sites, in order to overcome<br />
necessities that would have to be fulfilled in urban centers. Or even through<br />
generating local centers for growth by forming cities that can meet these<br />
necessities. In any of these possibilities, the key word is diversification. That<br />
is what guarantees the supply of the local population, which creates the<br />
conditions for introducing innovations and the adaptation of these territories to<br />
the pressures and opportunities of general economic changes.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Implications for development<br />
These changes, which have already been on course since the last quarter<br />
of the 20th century in countries of advanced capitalism, have been noticed
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by multilateral organizations and government agencies, and transformed into<br />
reorientations for policy design. The wear on agricultural policy by exclusively<br />
sectoral biases arose in the middle of the 1980s and made space for a series<br />
of reforms and debates on “The future of the rural world”, the title of a European<br />
Commission Declaration to Parliament in 1988. An indisputable mark on this<br />
changing vision was the creation of the “Leader Program – Links between<br />
Actions for the Development of the Rural Economy” in 1991, which to this day<br />
is the primary reference for territorial rural development programs. However, the<br />
best synopses of planning agency perceptions of these changes were expressed<br />
on two occasions, in the middle of the 1990’s: the well-known Cork Declaration,<br />
which resulted from the conference Rural Europe – future perspectives, and<br />
the workshop “Post-industrial rural development: the role of natural resources<br />
and the environment”. At these events, a basic consensus was reached about<br />
advanced rurality, synthesized in Box 1 below.<br />
These events gave rise to a progressive transition in the design and the<br />
institutional location of rural development policies. Policies began shifting<br />
from a basically sectoral vision to what is conventionally referred to as a<br />
territorial approach to rural development. This is an approach that intends to<br />
overcome the rigid separation between rural and urban and support itself on<br />
the complementarities between these two spaces (Veiga, 2000; Abramovay,<br />
2003; Favareto, 2007). As a result, the emphasis of agricultural policy began<br />
to make space for a growing approximation to regional development policy.<br />
Box 1<br />
Basic consensus, in the middle of the 1990’s, on advanced rurality<br />
1. Rural zones, that encompass the residencies of one quarter of the<br />
European population and more than more than a fifth of North American<br />
people, and more than 80% of both territories, are characterized by<br />
singular cultural, economic and social fabrics, an extraordinary mosaic<br />
of activities and a great variety of landscapes (forests and agricultural<br />
land, unharmed natural sites, villages and small towns, regional centers,<br />
small industries, etc.).<br />
2. Rural zones, as well as their inhabitants, represent an authentic<br />
wealth in their regions and countries, and can be highly competitive.<br />
3. Most of European and North American rural spaces are constituted<br />
by agricultural land and forests that strongly influence the landscape<br />
character.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
4. Given that agriculture will certainly persist as an important interface<br />
between society and the environment, farmers should increasingly<br />
exercise management functions over various natural resources and rural<br />
territories.
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5. However, agriculture and forests no longer play predominant roles in<br />
national economies. With the declining relative weight of their economies,<br />
rural development should more than ever before involve all socio-economic<br />
sectors in rural zones.<br />
6. As European and North American citizens increasingly value quality<br />
of life in general, and in particular issues related to health, safety, personal<br />
development and leisure, rural regions occupy privileged positions to<br />
satisfy such interests and offer ample possibilities for authentically modern<br />
and high-quality development.<br />
7. Agricultural policies should adapt to the new realities and challenges<br />
posed as much by the demands and preferences of consumers as by the<br />
evolution in international trade; an adaptation that principally propels the<br />
transition from a system of price support to a system of direct support.<br />
8. The subsidies established by the respective agricultural policies are<br />
increasingly criticized. And it is already widely accepted that government<br />
financial support should be increasingly conditioned on adequate natural<br />
resource management and on maintaining and strengthening biodiversity<br />
and cultural landscapes.<br />
9. The agricultural policy reforms during the first half of the 1990’s<br />
maintained inconsistencies, duplications and legal complexities, despite<br />
undeniable advances in terms of transparency and efficiency.<br />
10. It has become absolutely necessary to promote local sustainable<br />
development capabilities in rural zones, in particular private and community<br />
initiatives that are integrated with global markets.<br />
Reproduced from: Veiga (2004)<br />
2. An d in Br a z il?<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The main medium and long term tendency that manifests itself today in<br />
Brazilian rural regions can be summarized in two statements: here, as in all<br />
countries with advanced capitalism, agriculture has a declining tendency both<br />
in generating income for farming families and in providing employment; and<br />
due to a series of reasons, rural regions no longer experience a general exodus<br />
but rather a heterogenization in their demographic profiles, such as increased<br />
schooling and social differentiation. The result of this tendency in Brazil as<br />
well, has been a change in the comparative advantage of rural regions through<br />
declines in the dynamic and inclusive potential of more traditional activities linked<br />
to strengthening the agricultural and livestock farming sector, and increases in<br />
the potential of new activities related to the exploitation of biodiversity and its
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and a new cycle of<br />
rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
landscape potential, resulting in a new structure of income generation in these<br />
regions. However, this is a potential that has not been realized as expected<br />
or suggested in the new rurality literature. In a different way, the tendencies<br />
and potentials of the new phase of rural development experience multifaceted<br />
manifestations.<br />
Unfortunately, due to the inherent limitations in the organization of Brazilian<br />
statistical data, there is no good reading available about these dynamics on a<br />
micro-regional scale. Brazilian rural regions can be categorized schematically<br />
into four types. Each one of these types experiences a unique development<br />
path, with which the generation of innovations aimed at a more sustainable<br />
model necessarily need to dialogue.<br />
The first type covers rural regions where a certain model of urbanization<br />
associated with morphological territorial characteristics such as the environment<br />
and social stratification, favored the creation of a social form of natural resource<br />
use in which the search for conservation meets correspondents in the forms<br />
of dynamics of social life. There, the diversified local economy relies on a high<br />
degree of economic integration and territorial cohesion. Landscape, culture and<br />
the economy interlace in a way that associates economic dynamism with good<br />
social indicators and positive progress in environmental indicators. Something<br />
similar occurs in regions such as Vale do Itajaí, in the state of Santa Catarina<br />
(Southern Brazil). These regions combine a rurality grounded in environmental<br />
factors with a more diversified and decentralized social structure. In these<br />
areas, investment in innovations should favor the dissemination of the currently<br />
embryonic economic activities that utilize local natural resources for activities<br />
such as tourism or the management of these resources.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In the second type, however – beyond the morphological territorial<br />
characteristics that, with respect to the environment, favor conservation –<br />
the characteristics of social stratification do not contribute to the creation of<br />
institutions capable of diminishing the fractures among social groups due to<br />
social positions. Conservation finds itself in conflict with the possibilities of give<br />
dynamism to local life. The urbanization model is still incipient or heading in a<br />
direction where there is no valuation of the rural. This is the typical case of certain<br />
areas of the Amazon (Northern Brazil), where the forest coexists with advances<br />
in business agriculture. The local social structures do not exhibit vigor nor<br />
sufficient patterns of interaction to confront the expansion of primary activities,<br />
resulting in biodiversity loss and the depletion of natural resources such as<br />
land and water. There is a high degree of conflict between institutions, which<br />
greatly affects local populations. These regions combine a rurality grounded<br />
in environmental factors with more specialized and concentrated social<br />
structures. In these areas, investments in innovation should favor economic<br />
activities with larger economies of scale that are already based on new patterns<br />
of natural resource use, and the creation of local productive arrangements
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opportunities<br />
Green economy<br />
and a new cycle of<br />
rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
capable of increasing the participation of small and medium enterprises, for<br />
example creating arrangements aimed at processing forest products through<br />
sustainable methods.<br />
In the third type, morphological territorial characteristics in environmental<br />
and social terms engender a relation between exploitation and the rural,<br />
under restricted conservation possibilities and greater risks of fraying social<br />
fabrics, despite the possible economic dynamism in the primary sector and<br />
of transformation. Regions that experience an accentuated and dependent<br />
dynamism of agricultural activities fit into this type. The wealth generated in<br />
these regions establishes a relation between the municipal territorial center<br />
and the others, where all resources are concentrated and do not result in<br />
wealth spreading across a set of social groups. Environmental conservation<br />
possibilities are restricted to the minimum required by law, such as cases of<br />
preserving remnants, riparian forests and hill top vegetation. Local biodiversity<br />
is greatly compromised or threatened by a forceful expansion of commercial<br />
agriculture. In the case of more dynamic regions, such as some rural areas<br />
in the state of São Paulo (Southeastern Brazil), patterns of urbanization offer<br />
reasonable but concentrated infrastructure and services. In other less dynamic<br />
regions, sectoral specialization and rigid social structures lead to a pattern in<br />
which insecurity prevails, as is the case in the cacao regions of Bahia or the<br />
Pernambuco Zona da Mata (Northeastern Brazil). In these areas, there is a<br />
combination of a sectoral rurality with more specialized and concentrated<br />
social structures. In these regions, investment in innovation should favor<br />
economic diversification and the creation of arrangements favorable to small and<br />
medium enterprises, always with special incentives for adopting less intensive<br />
and polluting practices of natural resource use.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The fourth type is shaped by situations where, despite morphological territorial<br />
characteristics not being as promising with regards to natural resources, social<br />
structures can favor a process of change and the creation of new institutions.<br />
However, forms of economic domination impede or block this innovation. There<br />
are fissures between the sectoral and the environmental, and between social<br />
groups. An example of this type of territory is the western part of the state of<br />
Santa Catarina (Southern of Brazil). A concentration of large agroindustrial<br />
businesses coexists with a social structure based on a significant group of<br />
family farmers. The region exhibits reasonable economic dynamics, but not<br />
very good social and inequality indicators. The reproductive possibilities of local<br />
social groups depend greatly on extra-local links, which favor a loss of valuable<br />
human resources. As such, the possibility of creating greater interactions<br />
and new institutions capable of changing towards territorial development is<br />
impeded. These regions combine sectoral rurality with more diversified and<br />
deconcentrated social structures. Here, investment in innovations should<br />
favor above all, the diversification of economic activities and a new model of<br />
natural resource use.
135<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy<br />
and a new cycle of<br />
rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
As you can see, for each type of ongoing development dynamic, a determined<br />
contribution to activities to promote innovation should be constructed. However,<br />
this contribution is not the only element that can be mobilized to influence these<br />
dynamics, to invert them when negative and strengthen them when positive.<br />
There are various ongoing projects and investments that could be made more<br />
useful for countryside regions in Brazil. Despite low investments in research<br />
and development - Brazil exhibits current levels similar to Spain and Italy, but<br />
proportionally is more distant from countries such as South Korea, Germany,<br />
Japan and the United States - there are various projects and programs currently<br />
being executed by the federal government that could favor the urgency of the<br />
suggested economic activities. Just as an example, the federal government<br />
has made important investments in tourism through the Tourism Development<br />
Program, which could reach into these rural regions thanks to their environmental<br />
and cultural attractions. Similarly, the Ministry of Development, Industry and<br />
International Commerce has supported industrial decentralization, incentives<br />
from which countryside regions could benefit as long as environmental criteria<br />
are also introduced. The same is true for investments in biotechnology.<br />
Nevertheless, the existence of these opportunities does not guarantee<br />
their realization. Nor is there the allocation of resources that could favor the<br />
introduction of innovations or support for enterprises in rural regions aimed<br />
at realizing these opportunities. It is worth highlighting again that these<br />
opportunities form an environment that could be extremely favorable to starting<br />
a new cycle of development in rural areas of Brazil. It is fundamental to adopt as<br />
guiding principle the strengthening of a “new rurality economy” while recognizing<br />
the heterogeneity of rural regions, be it through promoting the adoption of new<br />
agricultural production practices such as organic production or less intensive<br />
and more conservationist technologies, through tourism activities, or in attracting<br />
new populations interested in maintaining environmental amenities, be it<br />
utilizing the great productive potential of biodiversity and biomass, through<br />
the production of for example biofuels or through the industrial exploitation of<br />
chemical, pharmaceutical or cosmetic products.<br />
3. Id e a s f o r a n a g e n d a<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Clearly, a variety of these new activities could be strengthened, and even<br />
so, increase pressures on the environment. Brazilian production of ethanol is<br />
one example: there is a utilization of biomass, but concomitantly, the production<br />
techniques and the weight of monoculture negatively pressure biodiversity and<br />
necessary natural resources such as land and water. As such, it is not only<br />
about promoting new activities in rural regions, but especially how to administer<br />
them. Similarly, this does not necessarily lead to inclusion of the poorest. Again,<br />
we can use the example of biofuels, this time biodiesel: despite an innovative<br />
design introducing a Social Seal for businesses that purchase raw materials
136<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Green economy<br />
and a new cycle of<br />
rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
from family farmers, at least during their first years of existence, the program<br />
did not succeed in including producers from the poorest regions and saw the<br />
incentives being captured by the most consolidated sectors of family agriculture,<br />
which explains the predominance of soya – produced by farmers in the Midwest<br />
and the South – as a primary raw material instead of castor or palm from the<br />
Northeast, as was initially envisioned. As such, the topic of transition to a new<br />
model or a new paradigm is not trivial.<br />
It is fundamental to recognize that formal and informal institutions – incentives,<br />
cultural patterns, programs and policies – present a bias where the inertia of<br />
the old paradigm is always present. There can be various items comprising<br />
an agenda compatible with the contours of a “new rurality economy”, which in<br />
turn is consistent with the idea of a “green economy”. Here we mention only<br />
three of them.<br />
The first is the introduction of a vigorous innovation policy aimed at<br />
exploiting biomass and biodiversity and the promotion of new production<br />
systems that are less intensive in natural resource use and less polluting.<br />
Brazil has enormous potential in this area and relies on research institutes<br />
with decades of experience and international excellence. Though, in spite<br />
of this potential, little has been done compared to the production of science,<br />
technology and innovation aimed at the old rurality, or the productivist model<br />
that is highly intensive in natural resource use. Without this, these new activities<br />
continue being niche markets and not the base of a new cycle – as is the current<br />
case of biodiversity products – or they ambiguously constitute themselves<br />
by substituting non-renewable for renewable resources but at a significant<br />
environmental cost – as in the case of biofuels.<br />
The second is the adoption of a system of incentives aimed at expanding<br />
economic activities based on new forms of social use of natural resources.<br />
The economies of scale of old activities and the transition costs involved in<br />
adopting new forms of natural resource use need to be compensated by a<br />
policy of incentives that stimulates social agents in adopting new technologies<br />
and exploiting new markets, where short term gains through intensive resource<br />
use and the depletion of natural resources makes space for activities that favor<br />
long term gains as in environmental conservation, maintaining biodiversity and<br />
the provision of environmental services.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The third item on the agenda, not any less important than the previous two, is<br />
the formation of coalitions of actors and interests consistent with these new<br />
activities and modalities of natural resource use. The actors of the old rurality<br />
are known – businesses in the agricultural food sector and organizations of rich<br />
and poor farmers. To these, it will be necessary to add more segments, detainers<br />
of other interests and above all, the social skills necessary to strengthen the<br />
paths towards a transition of paradigms. Thus, it is necessary to create new<br />
spaces for interacting with and influencing the shaping of policy.
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opportunities<br />
As you can see, these are not simple tasks. However, these tasks are<br />
challenges that must be addressed to enable the transition to a green economy<br />
where environmental conservation can be added to the life-styles of much of<br />
society.<br />
Green economy<br />
and a new cycle of<br />
rural development<br />
Arilson Favareto<br />
References<br />
Abramovay, R. (2003). O futuro das regiões rurais. Porto Alegre: Ed. da UFRGS.<br />
Favareto, A. (2007). Paradigmas do desenvolvimento rural em questão. São Paulo:<br />
Fapesp/Edusp.<br />
Galston, W. A. and Baehler, K. J. (1995). Rural development in the United States:<br />
connecting theory, practice and possibilities. Washington D.C.: Island Press.<br />
Jacobs, J. (1984). Cities and the wealth of nations. London: Penguin Books.<br />
Veiga, J. E. (2000). A face rural do desenvolvimento – natureza, território e agricultura.<br />
Porto Alegre: Ed. UFRGS.<br />
Veiga, J. E. (2004). Destinos da ruralidade no processo de globalização. Estudos<br />
Avançados, 51, May-August, 51-67.<br />
Veiga, J. E. (2006). Nascimento de outra ruralidade. Estudos Avançados, 20(57).<br />
Veltz, P. (2003). Des lieux et des liens. Paris: Ed. de l´aube.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
138<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of the<br />
Brazilian Amazon rainforest:<br />
causes and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Philip Reydon 1<br />
1. In t r o d u c t io n<br />
The debate over the deforestation problem in the Amazon rainforest, which<br />
has been expressed, for instance, in the debates over changes to the Forest<br />
Code, has been characterized by its superficiality and ideological character.<br />
Initially, there is a necessity to clearly identify the process, and then look for its<br />
causes, and finally to think of solutions for the short, medium and long terms.<br />
It is undeniable that the forceful command and control policies 2 and economic<br />
incentives 3 implemented over recent years had a crucial role in reducing<br />
deforestation. As they depend on the direct intervention of the State, these<br />
policies are difficult to maintain in the long term, mainly because the principal<br />
productive causes of deforestation – from livestock and grain production to<br />
energy production – persist, and enduring solutions must be found.<br />
The central objective of this work is to demonstrate that the definitive solution<br />
to this problem necessarily passes through the solution to the country´s land<br />
tenure problems, which consist mainly of the Brazilian state assuming in<br />
conjunction with the nation the effective governance over land ownership.<br />
First, this article presents a brief description of the main causes of<br />
deforestation identified in the literature on this topic. Then it is shown how<br />
two problems that appear only marginally in the literature are, combined, the<br />
main determinants of deforestation of the rainforest: land speculation through<br />
the very clearing of the land and the absence of land governance. The fourth<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. Full Professor at Agricultural and Environmental Economics Center of the Institute of<br />
Economics at the State University of Campinas (NEAA/IE/UNICAMP), technical advisor in<br />
sustainability at the Innovation Agency (Unicamp) and consultant at the International Bank for<br />
Reconstruction and Development (World Bank) and at FAO. E-mail: basrey@eco.unicamp.br.<br />
2. The main command and control policies, direct state interventions to modify deforestation<br />
behaviors, were: a) operations Curupira (2005) and Arco de Fogo (2008) that combated<br />
illegal logging; b) decree 6321/07, which restricts credit approval by banks and obligate<br />
landowners in municipalities with high deforestation rates to re-register; c) the creation<br />
of up to 20 million hectares of Conservation Units (Brazilian protected areas) in addition<br />
to the already existing 80 million, totaling 273 CUs; d) approval of 87 Indigenous Lands<br />
and approximately 18 million hectares; and e) restrictions on agricultural products from<br />
municipalities with high deforestation rates.<br />
3. The economic incentives policies that use economic mechanisms (price and others) to<br />
encourage or discourage economic actors to diminish deforestation, were as follows: a)<br />
Arco Verde operation (2008); and b) a special credit line related to the Constitutional Fund<br />
for Financing of the North , the Constitutional Fund for Financing of the Northeast and the<br />
Constitutional Fund for Financing of the Midwest for the recuperation of degraded areas,<br />
reforestation, environmental management and compliance in the Legal Amazon.
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opportunities<br />
item historically analyzes the formation of the institutional framework that lead<br />
to the absence of regulation in land markets. Ultimately, in the last section, in<br />
addition to arguing for the necessity of effective governance of land ownership,<br />
the main implantation mechanisms are demonstrated as well as the benefits<br />
generated.<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
2. De f o r e s t a t i o n a n d i t s m a in c a u s e s<br />
According to FAO (2010), “Brazil lost an average of 2.6 million hectares of<br />
forest per year over the past 10 years, compared to an average annual loss<br />
of 2.9 million during the 1990’s; in Indonesia the losses were 500 thousand<br />
hectares over the period 2000-2010 and 1.9 million hectares over the period<br />
1990-2000.”<br />
Diagram 1 illustrates deforestation in the Amazon based on satellite images,<br />
demonstrating that deforestation in recent years shifted around 6.4 and 7.4<br />
million hectares, which represents a substantial improvement although still a<br />
highly elevated level of deforestation for a biome with the characteristics of<br />
the Amazon. With the forest still standing, this biome possesses great wealth<br />
in its elevated biodiversity, its importance in regulating the planet’s climate, its<br />
production of freshwater and poor soil for agro pastoral activities.<br />
Diagram 1. Deforestation in the Legal Amazon<br />
Annual deforestation rate in the Legal Amazon<br />
Source: PRODES (2011)<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Km 2 / year<br />
Year
140<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
The question remains: how to derail an increase in deforestation rates<br />
and further, how to significantly reduce rates? Deforestation in the Amazon<br />
rainforest is a complex process with multiple determinants, and the object of<br />
many theoretical and empirical studies 4 . Margulis (2000:9) affirms that:<br />
“We do not believe there is a principal force that alone propels or explains<br />
deforestation in the Amazon. The causes are varied and result from a<br />
sophisticated combination of diverse variables and factors”.<br />
The principal groups of variables that induce deforestation, present in<br />
Margulis (2000) and the greater part of the literature are:<br />
a) gains associated with the use of Amazon land – determined by agricultural<br />
prices, increases in land prices, variations in input prices, increases in timber<br />
prices and a decrease in rural salaries;<br />
b) public policies and credit – the availability of affordable credit resources<br />
(Amazon Investment Fund, Constitutional Fund for Financing of the North)<br />
and policies of fiscal incentives (Superintendence of Development for the<br />
Amazon);<br />
c) accessibility – the construction of roads and/or other works that facilitate<br />
access to frontier areas;<br />
d) macroeconomics – growth cycles of GDP, population growth.<br />
Insofar as these four groupings of variables have interfered directly with<br />
deforestation in the Amazon, it can be said that after the recent interventions and<br />
the 2008/9 crisis, all were having positive impacts on deforestation, but even so<br />
deforestation increased. On the other hand, even during periods in which these<br />
variables did not grow, deforestation grew. This implies that there are other more<br />
profound factors whose relative importance has not been highlighted.<br />
3. De f o r e s t a t i o n a n d l a n d s p e c u l a t io n<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In our understanding, deforestation in the Amazon results from the continued<br />
traditional practice of expanding the Brazilian agricultural frontier, that generally<br />
occurs in the following stages: occupation of virgin lands (private or public),<br />
extraction of its hardwood, installation of livestock farming 5 , and ultimately, the<br />
development of more modern farming practices. These economic activities<br />
play the role of generating income and legitimizing occupation of new lands<br />
in the short term, almost without a necessity for resources 6 . In the long term,<br />
the lands either remain under more intensive livestock farming, or if there is<br />
demand, are converted to grain farming or other economic activities.<br />
4. For an exhaustive revision, see Soares Filho et al. (2005).<br />
5. Reydon and Romeiro (2000) demonstrate that the primary engine of the spread of livestock<br />
farming is, on the one hand, the existence of much vacant land to be appropriated, coupled<br />
with the possibility of, at low costs, installing farming, turning deforestation into an unbeatable<br />
strategy of capital appreciation.<br />
6. These same occupants are the ones that frequently are used as slave labor.
141<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
However, what matters is the expectation that there will be demand for the<br />
land 7 , to be used at some time in the future, which ensures that prices rise<br />
significantly. And the closer the physical location of the land is to regions that<br />
permit productive use, the greater the price. The appreciation of these lands<br />
occurs as expectations rise.<br />
In the various studies by Margulis (2000 and 2003) and the already cited<br />
literature, the issue of land speculation appears, but is normally associated with<br />
increases in the price of land. However, increases in the price of land do not<br />
necessarily imply that a speculation process is taking place. As a matter of fact,<br />
the price of land in the Northern region grossly follows the price movements<br />
of land in the rest of the country, and thereby not generating great speculative<br />
gains.<br />
Land speculation is, as this article proposes, the main engine of deforestation<br />
in the Amazon rainforest, though it takes on a much more microeconomic<br />
appearance and is associated with the actual occupation of the land, and<br />
could be perceived much more clearly through field research. What happens<br />
in reality, is that any person that acquires or occupies forested land has a clear<br />
perception that his or her land, or investment, appreciates in value through the<br />
process of deforestation. In table 1 8 it can be observed that the price of forested<br />
land in the different states varies between R$108 in Acre and R$546 in Mato<br />
Grosso. It can also be observed that the land prices in the less deforested<br />
states are lower, while the states of Mato Grosso, Pará and Rondônia have<br />
more elevated prices.<br />
The most important conclusion though drawn from the table is that in all<br />
states deforestation always significantly appreciates the value of the property,<br />
that is, on an average across the states deforestation more than quadruples<br />
the land value. This occurs because the land price is fundamentally the result<br />
of the expected productive gains through the associated livestock farming,<br />
since on deforested land this use can take place immediately and without the<br />
costs of deforestation.<br />
In the most extreme case, as in Acre, deforestation multiplies this value by<br />
a factor of 14, while in the Amazon state land value multiplies by a factor of 10.<br />
Few investments have returns as elevated as these.<br />
One must take into account that these properties, beyond the capital gains<br />
from deforestation, also gain from selling the timber (in Cotriguaçú, a city in<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
7. This is due to the increase in price of fed cattle, soya, or even the announcement that the<br />
country will be the largest ethanol producer in the world. In the recent period these factors<br />
converged, resulting in an even greater increase in the demand for land and consequently<br />
also the price, which puts even more pressure on deforestation.<br />
8. The methodology of agribusiness firm Agra FNP collects average prices in homogeneous<br />
regions in the mentioned states, using non-homogeneous terminology. For the forest land, we<br />
aggregate the types of forest, that of easy access and difficult access. For the pasture land<br />
we utilize the already established pastures (easy and difficult access), already established<br />
pastures of high support and established pastures of low support.
142<br />
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
the Mato Grosso state, the estimated liquid return is R$2,400/ha) and from the<br />
subsequent economic use (which in the case of livestock farming generates<br />
an additional liquid revenue of over R$120 per hectare/year 9 ). Therefore, the<br />
greatest catalyst of deforestation is a combination of gains from appreciated<br />
land values, in the conversion from forest to productive land, coupled with gains<br />
from timber sales and from the subsequently established livestock farming.<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
Table 1<br />
Average prices of forest and pasture land<br />
States of the Brazilian Amazon - in R$/ha in 2008 prices<br />
STATES Forest R$/ha Pasture R$/ha Variation %<br />
Acre 108.00 1,571.80 1,455.4<br />
Amapá 141.00 800.00 567.4<br />
Amazonas 132.43 1,243.91 939.3<br />
Pará 457.73 1,509.40 329.8<br />
Rondônia 358.50 1,762.50 491.6<br />
Mato Grosso 546.13 2,083.69 381.5<br />
Average NORTH 416.53 1,832.39 439.9<br />
Source: AgraFND (2009)<br />
This process of acquisition and deforestation that is already very profitable<br />
in private areas, becomes even more lucrative for vacant land that according<br />
to estimates 10 , represent 42% of the total Amazon land area, where most of<br />
the deforestation takes place. That is, in the occupation of vacant land, gains<br />
from timber, livestock and land value appreciation are multiplied because the<br />
land itself did not have to be acquired, but rather simply usurped from public<br />
property 11 .<br />
4. Th e o c c u p a t io n o f l a n d in t h e Am a z o n a n d<br />
in s e c u r e p r o p e r t y r i gh t s<br />
The practice of occupation can be attributed to the absence of cadastre<br />
and effective regulation of land properties in Brazil, particularly in the Amazon.<br />
Existing cadastre details, based on declarations from landowners that registered<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
9. See Margulis (2003).<br />
10. Estimate by Shiki (2007) indicates that 42 % of Amazon lands are vacant.<br />
11. Perhaps some expenditures on henchmen, arms, lawyers and licit and illicit costs of<br />
regularization in the area.
143<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
through the National Institute of Colonization and Agrarian Reform (INCRA in<br />
Portuguese acronym), demonstrate that in 2003 35% of 509 million hectares of<br />
land in the Legal Amazon were occupied under private tenure rights, whether<br />
as registered properties or occupied land. On the other hand, the recent<br />
process of creating various types of reserves, whether at federal or state level,<br />
has resulted in 42% of the Legal Amazon currently being under some type of<br />
protection; approximately half of these areas are Indigenous Lands and the<br />
other half are Conservation Units of various types. The remaining 24% are not<br />
in either of these categories and consequently are technically considered public<br />
land without allocation (Figure 1).<br />
However, the situation is more complex and uncertain than the numbers imply.<br />
Many of the protected areas are physically occupied by private users, whose<br />
occupation claims may or may not be valid in accordance with the complex<br />
legislation previously presented. The large area classified as private by the<br />
cadastre system is also questionable. Out of the 178 million hectares declared<br />
as private property, 100 million of hectares could be based on fraudulent<br />
documentation. Another 42 million hectares in this area are classified based<br />
on cadastre declarations as occupied, and may or may not be subject to land<br />
regularization, yet again, depending on circumstances such as size, history<br />
and location 12 . Consequently, 30% of the area could be legally uncertain and/<br />
or contested.<br />
Figure 1<br />
Land tenure situation in the Legal Amazon, according to data from the<br />
National System of Rural Cadastre (2003) and protected areas (2006)<br />
Hectares<br />
178.169.518 35%<br />
22.306.963 4%<br />
188.008.904 120.381.458 37%<br />
120.381.458 24%<br />
508.866.843 100%<br />
210.315.867<br />
508.866.843<br />
188.008.904<br />
178.169.518<br />
22.306.963<br />
Posses and<br />
properties proterties in in<br />
Incra´s cadastre<br />
cadaster<br />
Area Environmental for<br />
Environmental<br />
Protection Area<br />
(APA)<br />
Protection (APA)<br />
Protected areas<br />
excludings areas APAs<br />
APAs<br />
Without formal<br />
occupation and<br />
and<br />
non-protected<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Source: Barreto (2008).<br />
12. There are all types of sizes of possessions in the INCRA register: both small ones of less<br />
than 200 ha and those of more than 1,000 ha.
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
The Brazilian state is so aware of its incapacity to regulate the use of this land,<br />
primarily by not having a cadastre, that it obligated itself to take the following<br />
concrete actions to diminish deforestation in the Amazon and increase land<br />
governance, but always as an emergency measure and without addressing<br />
the root of the problem:<br />
a) Established Law 11.952/09 regularizing occupied land of up to 400 ha at<br />
zero cost and selling occupied land of between 401 and 1,500 ha (squatters<br />
must prove that they have lived on the land since 2004).<br />
b) The government implemented the Legal Land Program, which established<br />
criteria for land regularization in rural areas located on federal lands, in the<br />
Legal Amazon area.<br />
c) Creation of innumerable environmental protection areas (APAs)in the<br />
form of Conservation Units (based on Law 9.985 of July 2000) for protecting<br />
the edges of main roads under construction in the Amazon region to avoid<br />
occupation and deforestation.<br />
The clearest evidence of the incapacity of the Brazilian state in effectively<br />
governing the market for land, is the very formulation of Ordinance 558/99,<br />
applicable to all Brazilian territories and not just the Legal Amazon. There,<br />
INCRA imposed on all landowners with more than 10,000 ha the requirement<br />
of presenting their supporting documentation. Out of the 3,065 landowners<br />
summoned, only 1,438 (46.9%) appeared, resulting in 1,627 properties on 46<br />
million hectares being cancelled 13 . Furthermore, 53% of the area of these lands<br />
were located in the Northern states of Brazil, largely in the Amazon Rainforest.<br />
In the Amazon state alone, according to Lima (2002), the equivalent of 48.5<br />
million hectares of properties in 14 counties were cancelled by the respective<br />
land registration offices (cartórios in Portuguese) at the beginning of 21st<br />
century. There are also academic studies such as Araújo et al. (2008), providing<br />
evidence based on municipal data that uncertain property rights, such as those<br />
in the Amazon, have a positive impact on deforestation.<br />
5. In s t it u t io n a l f r a m e w o r k o f l a n d r e g u l a t io n:<br />
w h y d o l a n d c a d a s t r e a n d g o v e r n a n c e n o t e x i s t<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
This section analyzes the historical formation of the Brazilian institutional<br />
framework, which lead to the absence of regulation in land markets. It will be<br />
demonstrated that many of the characteristics that cause this absence are<br />
legacies from a historical ineptitude of the Brazilian state in relation to land<br />
governance.<br />
Before the Brazilian Land Law (1850), rules for occupying rural and urban<br />
soil were defined by the powers of the king, the church and the political and<br />
13. See Sabato (2001) for more details.
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
physical powers of occupants. The Land Law should be understood in the<br />
broader context of laws established to restrict land access in the entire colonial<br />
world. 14 To accommodate the interests of the country’s landowners, the Land<br />
Law maintained the possibility of regularizing occupied lands, stemming from<br />
the occupation of vacant lands, which complicated the creation of a cadastre.<br />
That is, there was always the possibility of regularizing occupied lands due to<br />
the occupations of vacant lands. In addition to usucaption (which establishes<br />
that after some years of occupation, the property can be regularized), the very<br />
states (mainly after the Republic) have conceded properties with or without title<br />
at some moments in history. This is the basic mechanism that kept and keeps<br />
an effective cadastre from being established, and that also permits the definition<br />
of vacant lands likely to be utilized by other types of land policies.<br />
Up until the Land Law, properties were basically registered together with<br />
Parochial Land Registers under the responsibility of the local vicar. This register<br />
was utilized for a long time after the Land Law was implemented. In 1864, a<br />
new institutional obligation eventually established a new tradition that persists<br />
to the present day and that has generated greater uncertainty and inability<br />
to effectively regulate the land market: the necessity to register properties,<br />
regardless of having legal ownership rights. To a certain extent, the registration<br />
of land at a registry office gives a certain air of legality to the property, without<br />
any mechanisms to guarantee this 15 .The Proclamation of the Republic in<br />
1889, passed the rights related to vacant lands to states, which led to the<br />
possibility that their representatives would pass them on through the granting<br />
of unregistered titles. This occurred with greater intensity in some states as<br />
compared to others, but irregardless created yet another ambiguity in the<br />
issuance of titles that complicated state regulation of land markets 16 .<br />
The establishment of the Public Land Registry in 1900 is perhaps the principal<br />
step towards the current system of registering land in land register offices. Under<br />
this rule, everyone needs to delimit and register their lands, whether rural or<br />
urban, but without any sort of fee and without cadastre. The state also needs<br />
to delimit and register its lands (vacant), which is impractical since these are<br />
defined by exclusion. As such, the very state acts illegally. This obligation ends<br />
up increasing the possibilities for fraud in land register offices.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
14. As in Latin America, Australia and the United States.<br />
15. The most common irregularities are the issuance of titles to non-existing or vacant<br />
properties and the overlap of several areas, that is, various landowners have title to the same<br />
land. When this happens, it is said that the land has ‘floors’: for each additional owner with an<br />
irregular title to the area another floor is added. The federal government is taking a decisive<br />
step in the regulation of the rural and urban land market by implementing, with difficulties,<br />
Law 10.267/2001, where land register offices are obligated, when there is any change in<br />
ownership, to forward the plan to INCRA with boundaries in cartographic form (latitude and<br />
longitude).<br />
16. Nevertheless, there is the failed attempt at property regulation by Registro Torrens (1891)<br />
where settlers and landowners could obtain definitive titles through non-contested petitions.<br />
And, furthermore, the possibility of legalizing occupied lands in 1895 and 1922 (referring to<br />
the occupied land between 1895 and 1921) ultimately created the conditions for occupied<br />
lands to endure and weakened the regulation of the land market as expressed in the 1850<br />
Land Law.
146<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
The promulgation of the 1916 Civil Code generated the capability to regulate<br />
land markets in Brazil, both by reaffirming the land register office as the<br />
registration institution, and enabling the possibility of public lands being objects<br />
of usucaption. In the words of Osório Silva (1996:324), “this completed the<br />
framework for the transformation of the State into a proprietor like the others.<br />
And as such, the doctrine of designation of vacant lands. Or, in other words,<br />
the possibility of usucaption of vacant land”.<br />
Thus, the Civil Code, for reasons not necessarily tied to the interests of<br />
landowners, turned out to establish the institutional corner stones for land<br />
access in Brazil, by defining that registering land in land register offices was<br />
necessary (and at times also sufficient) to prove ownership.<br />
The great institutional innovation in the sphere of Brazilian land policy and<br />
administration is the 1964 Land Statute, whose rules and concepts remain valid<br />
to the present day. Hence, in order to guide the implementation of agrarian<br />
and agricultural policies, the 1964 Statute created the Rural Land Cadastre . All<br />
private and public lands should be registered, including occupied land. Owners<br />
should furnish information on the documentation situation and land-use (to<br />
estimate productivity) for the purpose of facilitating the agrarian reform. INCRA,<br />
created in 1970, became responsible for managing the National System of Rural<br />
Cadastre (CNCR), which maintained the Rural Land Cadastre 17 . Once the land<br />
was registered, INCRA emitted a Rural Land Cadastre Certificate (CCIR) that<br />
was required for any type of transaction of the land. Squatters that registered<br />
with INCRA also received a CCIR and were obligated to pay the Rural Land<br />
Tax, though the amounts of this tax were always kept at low levels. The Land<br />
Statute also maintained the legitimation of occupied lands, thus allowing the<br />
titling of informally occupied public lands.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
17. Since the 1967 cadastre and the posterior re-registrations were implemented for tax<br />
reasons, based on landowner declarations and that were not monitored, they are not very<br />
reliable as the study by Sabato (2001) demonstrated, based on information from Decree<br />
558/98. Other recent attempts to integrate the cadastre of different public agencies to improve<br />
the quality of the information have failed due to the absence of political will and an agency to<br />
assume the role of executing land governance in the country.
147<br />
Scheme 1<br />
Current situation of Land Tenure Administration in Brazil<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Presidency of Republic with<br />
approval from the Legislative<br />
stablish: Conservation Areas and<br />
Indigenous Lands<br />
State governments with<br />
approval from the<br />
Legislative establish: State<br />
Conservation Areas<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
Registry of Real State: registry offices and<br />
provides legal titles based on sale and acquisition<br />
contracts (consulting only their registrations)<br />
LAW 10.267 – Real State with<br />
notary alterations present<br />
geo-referenced design for registry<br />
AGU –<br />
transfer of<br />
unclaimed<br />
state lands<br />
JUDICIARY – ratifies or<br />
creates titles in decisions of<br />
any type of conflict<br />
MUNICIPALITIES:<br />
decisions about<br />
rural and urban<br />
lands, use, and IPTU<br />
charges, etc.<br />
State Land<br />
Institutes:<br />
responsible for<br />
the state land<br />
INCRA: grants single initial<br />
registration, includes in the cadastre,<br />
grants concession use titles to<br />
settlers, discriminates between<br />
unclaimed lands and colonization<br />
Federal<br />
Revenue<br />
Agency:<br />
charges rural<br />
taxes (ITR)<br />
Settlements of<br />
landless people<br />
Colonization – destination of public<br />
lands to rural subdivisions<br />
Source: Legislation in force and Reydon (2006).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Diagram 2 seeks to synthesize the interrelations between agencies of the<br />
land administration system in Brazil. We see that there is no link between INCRA<br />
and municipalities, leading to many land problems on the borders between<br />
rural and urban lands. Furthermore, there is no institution that centralizes<br />
cadastre and makes a link to the Judicial agencies that are responsible for<br />
issuing land titles. Though not evident from the diagram, a large proportion of<br />
land problems in Brazil, both rural and urban, which are not properly resolved<br />
in the administrative sphere, end up in the judiciary. As the judiciary has many<br />
processes throughout its tribunals, it ends up taking years to issue rulings, which<br />
results in land-related cases, whether rural or urban, almost always being ruled<br />
as historical fact. Therefore, the great problem of deforestation in the Amazon is<br />
associated with the lack of land governance in the country, which results from<br />
a historical process of formation of institutional and legal frameworks that are<br />
unsuitable for this end. Only through the construction of an institution aimed at<br />
land governance and adjusting the Brazilian legal framework to this end, will<br />
there be adequate land-use and a decrease in deforestation in this country.
148<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
6. Th e n e c e s s i t y o f l a n d g o v e r n a n c e 18 a s a<br />
n e c e s s a r y c o n d it io n t o r e d u c e d e f o r e s t a t io n<br />
Brazilian agriculture presents exemplary accomplishments, with growth<br />
in food production, supply of energy and foreign exchange, and greater<br />
international insertion, among others. However, security as relates to land<br />
ownership remains a great problem, especially in the Amazon. The solution<br />
requires adequate and participative land governance, according to among<br />
others FAO (2007) and Doelinger et al. (2010).<br />
The benefits to be gained from an adequate system of territorial management<br />
depend on clearly identifying unregistered lands and a simple and effective<br />
mechanism for obtaining and updating this information. This process needs<br />
to start without being dependent on information related to land titles and other<br />
types of formal documents, which can always be used in cases of ownership<br />
conflicts. This should begin with a process of title issuance that conciliates<br />
property information based on satellite images 19 and a survey of landowners and<br />
legitimate squatters (posse mansa in Portuguese). The effective participation<br />
of landowners and squatters, according to a study by Gessa (2008), requires<br />
that landowners, in particular the smaller ones, receive actual knowledge and<br />
“empowerment” 20 .<br />
Only through effective land governance, in particular the creation of a modern<br />
and self powered cadastre, will it be possible to:<br />
a) Guarantee private property rights for different purposes: business,<br />
leasing, guarantees for obtaining credit, for the concession of payments for<br />
environmental services, among others;<br />
b) Identify public land and guarantee its adequate use for: the creation of<br />
reserves, settlements or colonization;<br />
c) Establish the other land policies with more security: agrarian reform, land<br />
credit, land taxes;<br />
d) Regulate the process for purchasing land to: limit access to foreigners,<br />
large landowners or other types of landowners;<br />
e) Zone land uses – establish and regulate limits based on zoning for<br />
agricultural production and livestock farming in certain regions. Establish<br />
protected areas and areas prohibiting deforestation;<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
18. FAO (2008:9) works with an adequate definition of land governance: “Governance is the<br />
system of values, policies, and institutions by which a society manages its economic, political<br />
and social affairs through its interactions within and among the state, civil society and private<br />
sector. Land governance concerns the rules, processes and organizations through which<br />
decisions are made about access to land and its use, the manner in which the decisions are<br />
implemented, and the way that competing interest in land are managed.”<br />
19. The technical innovations of gathering information from satellite images, according to<br />
Doelinger et. Al. (2010), allow advances that can revolutionize the cadastre system of existing<br />
properties.<br />
20. Based on a study by Gessa (2008), which proposes mapping as an important instrument to<br />
secure property rights and create empowerment of less privileged populations in regions with<br />
insecure property rights.
149<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
f) Regulate conversion processes of agricultural to urban lands and to have<br />
a cadastre for levying property taxes (Urban Building and Land Tax and Tax<br />
on Rural Property);<br />
Land governance does not resolve the issue of deforestation in the Amazon,<br />
but is a necessary condition to confront this problem. In the case of vacant<br />
lands, by permitting the identification and possession by the State of these<br />
lands, the cadastre would greatly hinder inappropriate private occupation and<br />
deforestation. The cadastre would also enable the utilization of these vacant<br />
lands in the execution of Brazilian land policy, through organized colonization,<br />
agrarian reform and others.<br />
In the case of private lands, effective participative governance, based on<br />
understanding the context, discussing priorities for land use and determining<br />
adequate monitoring, permits planning and the regulation of land use, through<br />
zoning and other coercive instruments. Effective governance also impedes<br />
deforestation and certainly limits land speculation, which is the principal cause<br />
of deforestation.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
References<br />
AGRAFNP (2010). Relatório de análise do mercado de terras. São Paulo.<br />
Araujo, C. et al. (2008). Property rights and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon.<br />
CERDI. Etude et Documents, E2008.20. Retrieved from: <br />
in 18/05/11.<br />
Barreto, P (2008). Quem é dono da Amazônia? Belém: IMAZON. Retrieved from: in 18/05/11.<br />
Deininger, K. (2003). Land policies for growth and poverty reduction. Washington: World<br />
Bank and Oxford University Press.<br />
Deininger, K. et al. (2010). The land governance framework: methodology and early<br />
lessons from country pilots. In Innovations in land rights recognition, administration<br />
and governance. Washington: World Bank, GLTN, FIG and FAO.<br />
FAO (2007). Buena gobernanza en la tenencia y la administración de tierras. Estudios<br />
sobre Tenencia de La Tierra, no. 9. Rome: FAO.<br />
FAO (2008). Towards good land governance. FAO Land Tenure Policy Series, Draft<br />
version 0.1. Rome/Nairobi.<br />
FAO (2010). Global forest resources assessment report. Rome: FAO.<br />
Gessa, S. D. (2008). Participatory mapping as a tool for empowerment. Rome:<br />
International land coalition.<br />
Lima (2002). Relatório das correições extraordinárias nos registros de terras rurais no<br />
estado do Amazonas. Governo do Estado do Amazonas. Secretaria da Cultura do<br />
Estado do Amazonas, 440 p.<br />
Margulis, S. (2000). Quem são os agentes dos desmatamentos na Amazônia e por<br />
que eles desmatam. Conceptual paper. Brasília: World Bank. Retrieved from: .<br />
Margulis, S. (2003). Causas do desmatamento da Amazônia brasileira. Brasília: World<br />
Bank,100 p.<br />
PRODES (2011). Taxas de desmatamento da Amazônia Legal, Projeto PRODES.<br />
Ministério da Ciência e Tecnologia. IBAMA. Ministério do Meio Ambiente. INPE.<br />
Retrieved from: in
150<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Deforestation of<br />
the Brazilian Amazon<br />
rainforest: causes<br />
and solutions<br />
Bastiaan Reydon<br />
18/05/11.<br />
Reydon, B. P. (2007). A regulação institucional da propriedade da terra no Brasil: uma<br />
necessidade urgente. In Ramos, P. (org.) Dimensões do agronegócio brasileiro:<br />
políticas, instituições e perspectivas. Brasília: MDA.<br />
Reydon, B. P. and Cornelio, F. N. M. (2006). Mercados de terras no Brasil: estrutura e<br />
dinâmica. Nead Debate, n.7. Brasília: MDA/NEAD, 444 p.<br />
Reydon, B. P. and Plata, L. O. (2000). Intervenção estatal no mercado de terras: a<br />
experiência recente no Brasil. Estudos NEAD, n.3. Campinas: NEAD, 172p.<br />
Reydon, B. P. and Romeiro, A. R. (2000). Desenvolvimento da agricultura familiar e<br />
reabilitação das terras alteradas na Amazônia. In Reforma Agrária e Desenvolvimento<br />
Sustentável. Brasília/DF, v. 1, p. 311-317.<br />
Sabbato, A. (2001). Perfil dos proprietários/detentores de grandes imóveis rurais que<br />
não atenderam à notificação da Portaria 558/99. Retrieved from: in 03.08.03.<br />
Shiki, S. (2007, March 16). Payment for ecosystem services: from local to global.<br />
[PowerPoint slides] Proambiente, Ministério do Meio Ambiente. Retrieved from:<br />
in 29.09.08.<br />
Silva, Lígia O. (1996). Terras devolutas e latifúndio: efeitos da lei de 1850. Campinas:<br />
Editora da Unicamp, 373p.<br />
Silva, Lígia O. (1997). As leis agrárias e o latifúndio improdutivo. São Paulo em<br />
Perspectiva, 11(2), 15-25.<br />
Soares-Filho, Silveira B. et al. (2005). Cenários de desmatamento para a Amazônia.<br />
Estudos Avançados, 19(54), 137-152. Retrieved from: . ISSN<br />
0103-4014. Doi: 10.1590/S0103-40142005000200008>.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011
151<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The transition to a green<br />
economy in Brazilian<br />
law: perspectives and<br />
challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro J. Hugueney Irigaray 1<br />
Op e n in g r e m a r k s<br />
In the context of climate change, the transition to a low-carbon economy<br />
consists of an imperative that requires a shift in paradigms, with great cultural,<br />
economic and legal repercussions, that reshapes the ideas of sustainability<br />
and environmental justice.<br />
In this transition, considering the consequences of globalization and the<br />
trans-border characteristics of pollution, there are tasks that demand to be<br />
addressed by the international community, notwithstanding local actions,<br />
especially issues such as measures to contain greenhouse gas (GHG)<br />
emissions and adaptation to the effects of global warming.<br />
However, even with these actions that involve international cooperation, the<br />
list of tasks aiming to internally propitiate the transition to a green economy<br />
remains ample within the countries.<br />
Internationally, Brazil boasts a privileged position in this context, with a<br />
relatively clean energy matrix, as apart from a mega-diversity and a range<br />
of other natural attributes that secure the country in a prominent position for<br />
biodiversity conservation.<br />
However, natural wealth is not sufficient to ensure development on<br />
sustainable bases, nor to the greening of the economy. In the case of Brazil, the<br />
expansion of the agricultural frontier and the lack of consistent public policies<br />
to guide economic exploitation of natural resources, contributed to forge a<br />
predatory exploitation model that has caused the country great economic and<br />
environmental losses.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In response to this picture, innumerable laws were enacted with significant<br />
advances in terms of environmental protection, though great challenges persist<br />
in terms of the transition towards an economy that can be defined as green.<br />
1. Professor of Environmental Law at Federal University of Mato Grosso (UFMT) (PhD), state<br />
attorney at Mato Grosso (a Brazilian state) and president of the Right for a Green Planet<br />
Institute (IDPV).
152<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The transition to<br />
a green economy<br />
in Brazilian law:<br />
perspectives and<br />
challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
Law can certainly offer a relevant contribution in this process, as will be<br />
analyzed in this essay. A first challenge consists of delimiting the instruments<br />
and mechanisms that can contribute to the achievement of a development on<br />
sustainable bases, which implies the revision of the implicit subsidies of polluting<br />
activities, as will be discussed in the first chapter.<br />
In the second chapter of this essay, the principal challenges to this process<br />
will also be pointed out, concluding with a discussion on the contribution of<br />
Brazilian law to the transition to a green economy.<br />
The context is greatly favorable to the necessary changes, both in terms of<br />
societal awareness and the imperatives seen in the current ecological crisis.<br />
We can only tackle these challenges and construct a new paradigm in which<br />
the right to an ecologically balanced environment is not a mere proclamation,<br />
but a reality based on intra and inter-generational solidarity.<br />
1. Gr e e n e c o n o m y a n d t h e p o s s i b l e s u s t a in a b il it y<br />
Since the conceptualization of sustainable development 2 , derived from the<br />
Brundtland Commission, a vast intellectual production was developed that aims<br />
to objectify the concept and establish parameters to quantify it. The greatest<br />
obstacle to of this task relates to the lack of indicators to measure sustainable<br />
development, since in principle none of the three objectives of sustainable<br />
development (economic, environmental and social) are currently measured in<br />
compatible parameters (Dourojeanni, 2000).<br />
It is not without purpose that Morin and Kern (1995) signals that the very<br />
notion of development, turns out to be gravely and severely underdeveloped.<br />
The same happens with sustainability: either it is translated into economic<br />
decisions and political actions, setting real limits on the utilization of natural<br />
resources and the emission of pollutants, or on the contrary, sustainable<br />
development would have been but an unrealized myth that we transmit to future<br />
generations, together with gigantic environmental liabilities that originate from<br />
a predatory civilization.<br />
Because of this, it is of utmost importance that we deepen the debates about<br />
the economic models that we select and the local and global actions that can<br />
contribute to secure growth in clean sectors, with sustainability.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In this sense, Dourojeanni (2000) ponders that it is up to the actors and<br />
participants in the management process in each country or region to define the<br />
significance of sustainability, admitting that this is an ambiguous term that applies<br />
to production, ecology, economics, the environment, society and development.<br />
As it permeates distinct and separate areas, the concept of sustainability exerts<br />
2. In accordance with Brundtland (1987), sustainable development is the one “that meets the<br />
needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own<br />
needs”.
153<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The transition to<br />
a green economy<br />
in Brazilian law:<br />
perspectives and<br />
challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
an integrative and revolutionary function, implicating a rupture of secularly<br />
consolidated patterns, beliefs and techniques linked to a context of changing<br />
patterns in the relations between man and the natural world.<br />
In this sense, sustainability can exert a transformative force, both in the<br />
economic sphere by encouraging investment in clean capital, and in the<br />
political-administrative sphere through the decentralization and democratization<br />
of decision-making centers.<br />
In any case, despite the imprecision of the sustainable development concept,<br />
it can still be considered viable and possible in the sense that it sets guidelines<br />
capable of informing political policies in this moment of transition from an<br />
industrial risk society 3 , offering guiding criteria for public intervention in the<br />
environmental sphere and especially in the economy, to foster an increase in<br />
natural capital.<br />
As such, it is indispensable to carry out a profound revision, in the economic<br />
and legal areas, of the implicitly conceded incentives of polluting activities 4 ,<br />
since the external effects of these economic activities are not frequently<br />
considered in the pricing system, generating what the economic science<br />
identifies as externalities.<br />
These externalities will only be reduced if the environmental costs were<br />
incorporated by producers and consumers, with the state intervening through<br />
economic or command and control instruments, which would imply overcoming<br />
a tradition of economic studies that view the environment as inexhaustible.<br />
Furthermore, we cannot ignore the research that alerts us to the volumes<br />
of natural resources currently consumed, considered above the replacement<br />
capacity of the planet 5 ; that is, humanity is consuming resources in an<br />
unsustainable way. This aspect is not being adequately considered in the<br />
formulation of public policy; no economic consideration has been given to the<br />
depletion of these resources that are treated as if they were inexhaustible.<br />
Consequently, economic policies are generally conceived and implemented with<br />
an extremely limited temporal horizon – short term policies, and in this context,<br />
if there is no growth in clean sectors, sustainability is compromised.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
3. In the sense of Ulrich Beck (1992), the configuration of contemporary society, as a risk society,<br />
assumes a scenario of catastrophic risks, marked by invisibility (nuclear threat, global warming,<br />
etc) and the incapacity of the State to efficiently address the problems and provide security to<br />
citizens (organized irresponsibility, security state and explosive society).<br />
4. World Watch Institute estimates that the equivalent to 3% of the global economy (or equivalent<br />
to the GDP of Italy) is spent on subsidizing activities that destroy the environment (Januzzi,<br />
G. M. A política energética e o meio ambiente apud Romeiro et al., 1999, p. 156). This index<br />
refers to explicit subsidies; the socio-environmental cost of polluting activities that are borne by<br />
the population (and not by polluters) is incalculable.<br />
5. An investigation conducted by an international team of scientists, under the coordination<br />
of Mathis Wackernagel, entitled “Tracking the ecological overshoot in consumption of the<br />
human economy”, signals the incapacity of the planet to absorb the carbon launched into<br />
its atmosphere. According to Wackernagel, economic expansion stimulates the demand for<br />
resources above the capacity of the planet to restore its goods and services: “We are no longer<br />
living off the dividends of nature, but nature’s capital. Sustainable economies are not possible if<br />
we live above the means that nature provides” (Polakovic, 2002).
154<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The transition to<br />
a green economy<br />
in Brazilian law:<br />
perspectives and<br />
challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
Therefore, the transition to a green economy requires substantial changes<br />
in terms of public policies that aim to redirect market mechanisms to make<br />
economic growth compatible with sustainability. From the legal perspective,<br />
the necessary measures involve restructuring a system to effectively guide<br />
public policies by combining the use of economic instruments and command<br />
and control mechanisms that should necessarily be informed by some ethical<br />
principles among which we highlight environmental justice and intra and intergenerational<br />
equity.<br />
The following chapter will focus on the challenges to this transition, considering<br />
the national context and the mega-problems that negatively reverberate in the<br />
environment of our country.<br />
2. Ch a l l e n g e s o f t h e t r a n s it io n t o a g r e e n<br />
e c o n o m y in Br a z il<br />
As mentioned, the transition to a green economy faces challenges of a<br />
global order and a national order, due to the singular spatial characteristics<br />
of Environmental Law (Martin Mateo, 1977) where environmental problems<br />
do not obey boundaries, and the globalization process keeps economies<br />
interdependent. Furthermore, there are situations where global problems<br />
reverberate in the national sphere, aggravating internal deficiencies and acting<br />
synergistically to amplify risk conditions and accentuate the multifactorial<br />
character of pollution.<br />
Three factors will be addressed in this essay that directly relate to the<br />
development model implemented in our country, which pose challenges in the<br />
transition to a green economy: poverty, deforestation, and the unsustainable<br />
expansion of agriculture.<br />
2.1 Confronting Poverty<br />
Even in the 21st Century poverty continues to be one of the most relevant<br />
socio-environmental problems affecting humanity, and it continues being<br />
endemic in developing countries with close to 1.2 billion people living on less<br />
than one dollar per day in 1999, according to a United Nations Conference on<br />
Trade and Development Information Note. 6<br />
Brazil finds itself in a privileged position among developing countries, but<br />
poverty indexes remain elevated and there is a significant income inequality,<br />
which needs to be overcome to reduce the pressure on natural resources, the<br />
lack of sanitation and ensure an improved quality of life.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
According to research conducted by the Brazilian Institute of Applied<br />
Economic Research 7 , the national situation presents expressive improvements<br />
6. UNCTAD (2004).<br />
7. Presidência da República (2007).
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in the reduction of social inequality, but the problem is still serious. The study<br />
points out that from 1995 to 2008, 13 million people got out of misery in the<br />
country, causing the number of people in this condition to be reduced by half,<br />
which in this case includes families with a per person income of below ¼ of<br />
a monthly minimum wage. However, the country still accounts for 7.5 million<br />
Brazilians with a per capita household income of below 1 dollar PPC per day.<br />
This percentage is much greater when the proportion of Brazilians in absolute<br />
poverty is considered, which according to that same study is 28.8%. This figure<br />
consists of family members with an average per person income of up to half a<br />
monthly minimum wage (close to 5 dollars per day).<br />
It is worth stressing that the UN report “Our Common Future” already<br />
highlights that pollution does not result only from development, but also from<br />
poverty and growing slums, lack of sanitation, occupation of risk areas and lack<br />
of education, among other consequences.<br />
The challenges to be addressed in order to reduce poverty in the country,<br />
according to the research conducted by the Brazilian Institute of Applied<br />
Economic Research 8 , include above all the lack of access to food, due to the<br />
low purchasing power of millions of Brazilians, a problem that is aggravated<br />
by a series of other factors such as inadequate conditions of basic sanitation,<br />
low levels of education and lacking health services.<br />
In the area of sanitation, the indicators for urban Brazil (80.5% of urban<br />
inhabitants have adequate sanitation) are inferior to urban areas in countries<br />
such as Jamaica (82%), according to data from the United Nations 9 . Despite<br />
advances during the past decade, the report adds that “the lack of an<br />
adequate solution for domestic sewage still affects around 31 million urban<br />
inhabitants”.<br />
In rural Brazil, not only is the situation worse but improvements have also<br />
been slower. In 2008, 76.9% of the population did not have adequate access<br />
to sewage; this means that the 23.1% of rural inhabitants with adequate<br />
sanitation was below that in rural areas of Afghanistan (25%), also according<br />
to UN data.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Another equally relevant aspect related to poverty and lack of sanitation, is<br />
the fact that less than 50% of sanitary sewage produced in Brazil is collected<br />
and only 1/3 of that amount is effectively treated. According to the Health<br />
Ministry, 65% of hospital admissions result from the inadequacy of these<br />
services, and close to 50 thousand children die every year in Brazil (Irigaray<br />
and Rios, 2005).<br />
8. Idem.<br />
9. UNCTAD (2004).
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As a consequence, “the lack of adequate solutions for collection and low<br />
treatment levels of domestic sewage are the primary culprits for the pollution of<br />
water resources in Brazil, a problem that is felt most acutely in densely populated<br />
municipalities of metropolitan regions and medium and large cities”, stresses<br />
the Brazilian Institute of Applied Economic Research report.<br />
Now, it is difficult to establish the relationship between poverty and<br />
unsustainable development. It is notorious that the proportion of the population<br />
without access to drinking water and sanitation, or in precarious living situations,<br />
is directly related to the quality of life and health of the population and,<br />
consequently, to environmental sustainability.<br />
In that sense, the United Nations Human Settlements Programme stresses in<br />
“The State of the World’s Cities 2006/2007” 10 document, that there is a positive<br />
correlation between living conditions and human development indicators.<br />
This report observes that the existence of one or more housing inadequacies<br />
threatens the health, education and employment opportunities of inhabitants<br />
in precarious settlements: they are hungrier, have less chances of finding wellpaid<br />
employment in the formal sector, have lower educational levels, are more<br />
vulnerable to diseases and die sooner than the rest of the urban populations.<br />
The document emphasizes: “housing location matters”.<br />
Because of this scenario, overcoming socio-environmental injustice<br />
constitutes a priority in the transition towards a green economy where economic<br />
growth occurs on a sustainable basis.<br />
2.2 The advance of deforestation<br />
In accordance with the IPCC report, the shrinking forest cover resulting from<br />
deforestation and conversions to alternative land use, as well as the degradation<br />
associated with the selected logging of species, burning and other practices<br />
that cause losses in the remaining carbon stocks, is responsible for close to<br />
18% of the total estimated greenhouse gasses in the world. 11<br />
Thereby, containing deforestation and forest burning has become a global<br />
necessity for moving towards a low-carbon economy.<br />
This challenge is of particularly high priority in our country, mainly due to the<br />
elevated rates of deforestation in the Amazon region especially, where more<br />
than 70% of deforestation results from the creation of pastures.<br />
Upon analyzing the risk of expansion of biofuels in the Amazon, we stress:<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
“Of the existing forest area on Brazilian territory, 20% has already been<br />
deforested, which corresponds to 67 million hectares. Despite government<br />
10. UNCHS (2006).<br />
11. IPCC (2007).
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actions aimed at reverting the advances of the agricultural frontier into the<br />
forest, the deforestation rates remain elevated. According to the Brazilian<br />
National Institute for Space Research, the deforested area during the period<br />
2007/2008 was equivalent to 11,968 km², and though a gradual reduction<br />
in the percentage could be found, this could have been associated with<br />
market downturns, and there is no assurance that deforestation would be<br />
contained in a heating economy, even because the absence of the Amazon<br />
State apparatus is one of the factors that aggravate the current situation,<br />
characterized by land grabbing, illegal deforestation, violence, and slave<br />
labor” (Irigaray, 2010).<br />
This situation of Amazon forest degradation is driven primarily by extensive<br />
cattle raising and by logging activities. Studies conducted by the Amazon<br />
Institute of Man and the Environment reveal that the variation in deforestation<br />
rates in the Legal Amazon oscillate in accordance with price variations of cattle<br />
and soy, that is, the greater the product value, the greater the deforestation rate.<br />
Also in accord with this study, close to ¾ of the deforestation over recent years<br />
made space for pastures that occupy around 75% to 81% of total deforested<br />
land between 1990 and 2005 (Barreto et al., 2008).<br />
The lack of an agricultural policy that dialogues with environmental<br />
management is an evidence of the weakness of political policies for the region,<br />
and sustains the latent risk that increasing deforestation rates could unleash,<br />
as has also been observed by Paulo Moutinho (2009):<br />
“Some recent studies demonstrate that the Amazon deforestation, despite<br />
recent rate declines, could increase in the decades to come (Soares et al.,<br />
2006). It is estimated that more than half of the Brazilian Amazon will be<br />
deforested or degraded due to logging and burning, in case the occupation<br />
patterns continue along the trajectory of the past two decades”.<br />
It should be noted that the advances in Amazon deforestation imply significant<br />
increases in the carbon emissions indexes for Brazil, aggravated by the fact that,<br />
as a rule, deforestation occurs illegally and frequently is followed by burning.<br />
As such, containing deforestation becomes a priority, which puts our country<br />
in an evident position, as André Lima (2009) expresses:<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
“The Brazilian Federal Constitution of 1988 concluded 20 years of existence<br />
in 2008. During the period from 1988 to 2008, 348 thousand km 2 of tropical<br />
forest vanished into space, only in the Amazon region. In only two decades,<br />
less than one generation. This corresponds, using conservative data from<br />
the federal Brazilian government, to somewhere around 12.3 billion tons of<br />
carbon in the atmosphere. All the Amazon forestal carbon that Brazil emitted<br />
in the 21 years of our citizens’ Constitution, corresponds to almost twice the<br />
emissions reduction efforts pledged by the Annex 1 countries of the Kyoto<br />
Protocol for the first commitment period (2008-2012).”
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in Brazilian law:<br />
perspectives and<br />
challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
It is worth nothing that despite federal government efforts to contain<br />
deforestation in the Amazon, and the significant decreases of recent years,<br />
7 thousand km 2 of forest were cut down in 2010. In the Brazilian savannah<br />
(Cerrado), control turns out to be even weaker, with conversion indexes that<br />
have increased significantly in recent decades, currently making it the most<br />
threatened Brazilian biome.<br />
It is estimated that the Cerrado has already lost 49% of its native vegetation<br />
and close to 14.2 thousand km 2 are deforested per year, especially due to<br />
the creation of pastures, according to data from the Brazilian Institute of<br />
Environment and Renewable Natural Resource.<br />
However, deforestation is only the tip of an iceberg that needs to be addressed<br />
in the transition to a green economy, since associated with this problem are<br />
persisting cultural practices such as burning that degrades the soil, or the<br />
excessive use of pesticides that contaminate soil and water resources, as well<br />
as other environmental impacts associated with agricultural expansion, as will<br />
be discussed in the following section.<br />
2.3 The expansion of agriculture and cattle raising<br />
Brazil stands out internationally as the granary of the world, by occupying<br />
a prominent position in the production of grains, meat, poultry and other<br />
agricultural products. Both agriculture and cattle raising are responsible for the<br />
primary surplus obtained by the country in its trade balance.<br />
While recognizing the importance of agriculture in the country and the<br />
possibilities to expand agribusiness with a sustainable basis, there is still a<br />
great distance between sector practices and the objectives of an agricultural<br />
and livestock sector that can be considered “green” in Brazil.<br />
Overcoming this distance between the real and the ideal implies recognizing<br />
that in this surplus so hailed by the government, the subsidies that these<br />
activities receive (implicitly and explicitly) are not accounted for, and neither<br />
are the shortfalls in compliance with environmental legislation that causes<br />
significant environmental impacts.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
As noted, the raising of livestock is responsible for over 70% of the<br />
deforestation in the Amazon. According to the Brazilian Institute of Geography<br />
and Statistics, from 1990 to 2008 the stock in this region went from 21.1 million<br />
to 71.4 million livestock. This growth was driven by various factors: low prices<br />
or free land use (generally public lands occupied illegally), subsidized credit<br />
and cheap labor or labor in conditions analogous with slavery.<br />
The deforested areas of the Amazon generally house extensive cattle farms<br />
with large-scale livestock raising and low productivity that advance across<br />
protected areas (Legal Reserves and Permanent Preservation Areas). These
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practices cause severe degradation especially when analyzed from a biological<br />
perspective because according to a study conducted by the Amazon Institute<br />
of Man and the Environment in partnership with the World Bank, the Amazon<br />
possesses some peculiarities, such as: poor soils and excessive rainfall in<br />
around 80% of the region. These attributes are sufficient to make, from a purely<br />
economic point of view, any traditional farming undertaking unviable 12 .<br />
In the case of agriculture, the problems are not any smaller. The expansion<br />
of agribusiness has typically occurred without respect for forest legislation,<br />
through the planting of intensive monocultures that are highly dependent on<br />
pesticides and fertilizers.<br />
It is worth observing that opting for monocultures has been constructed as<br />
a strategy by agribusinesses to reduce costs and increase production, which<br />
today corresponds to a third of GDP and 42% of exports in Brazil. However, as<br />
journalists Safatle and Pardini stress: “The strength of agribusiness is only one<br />
side of the story. Socio-environmental damage still needs to be accounted for” 13 .<br />
According to the Brazilian Institute of Applied Economic Research economist<br />
Guilherme Delgado, “Brazilian agribusiness mixes technological modernity<br />
with a delay in social relations”. They alert that there are still 3.6 million rural<br />
families living in extreme poverty, living on less than one dollar per capita a<br />
day. This contingent is being alienated since large-scale agriculture generates<br />
little employment and causes a rural exodus that the urban centers are not<br />
capable of absorbing with dignity. That is, in addition to the environmental<br />
liability, since monocultures do not generally respect the legal reserves, there<br />
are other repercussions of a social kind that should be considered.<br />
According to Feltran-Barbieri and Kassai (2008): “the tangible environmental<br />
liability generated by the non-existence of legal reserves could exceed R$ 112<br />
million in the sampled regions, and could reach R$ 16 billion if extrapolated<br />
to the realm of the Cerrado, that is, almost 0.5% of the Brazilian GDP in<br />
2006. This liability does not account for the intangible losses to biodiversity<br />
and other environmental services, but only the externalities generated by<br />
agribusiness”.<br />
Furthermore, beyond the enormous environmental liability generated by the<br />
activity, this is a business that is highly exposed to international competition<br />
and open to the creation of non-tariff barriers, resulting in non-compliance with<br />
environmental legislation and the employment of slave labor.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
3. Th e c o n t r ib u t io n o f Br a z il ia n l a w t o a g r e e n<br />
12. Report: “Manejo Florestal Sustentável, Mudanças Econômicas no Uso do Solo e<br />
Implicações para Políticas Públicas na Amazônia”, Folha de S. Paulo, 22 October, 2000.<br />
13. Safatle and Pardini (2004).
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Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
e c o n o m y: p e r s p e c t i v e s<br />
Among the mega-diverse countries, Brazil holds a special position with<br />
more than 13.2% of the total number of species on the planet, exceptional<br />
water availability and the greatest forest reserve on the planet, among other<br />
natural attributes.<br />
The threats that hover above this diversity of biomes and ecosystems cannot<br />
be ignored, and are mainly due to the expansion of the agricultural frontier that<br />
conflicts with existing environmental legislation, and causes economic damage<br />
through the loss of exploited natural resources through predatory practices,<br />
and ecological damage through the erosion of biodiversity.<br />
However, since the 1988 Federal Constitution a broader regulatory framework<br />
has been developed, which is capable of making economic growth compatible<br />
with sustainability, given that Brazil holds the conditions to exercise strong<br />
leadership in this transition towards a green economy characterized by low<br />
carbon emissions.<br />
Some principles are assured by the Federal Constitution that should guide<br />
not only the operations of the government, but also the business sector and<br />
civil society, such as recognizing the fundamental right to an ecologically<br />
balanced environment, associated with the duty of the government and<br />
society in defending and preserving this right. This duty is complemented by<br />
the recognition of environmental defense as a principle that should inform the<br />
economic sphere, and with the definition of a government task list assigned<br />
by the Constitution to secure the effectiveness of the right recognized in art.<br />
225.<br />
Among the principal norms that provide the basis for sustainable development<br />
in our country, are the Forest Code (Law n. 4.771/65), the National Environmental<br />
Policy Law (Law n. 6.938/81), the Public Civil Action Law (Law n. 7.347/85), the<br />
National Water Resource Policy Law (Law nº 9.433/97), the Law that instituted<br />
the National System of Conservation Units (Law n. 9.985/00), the National<br />
Solid Waste Policy Law (12.305/10) and the National Climate Change Policy<br />
Law (Law n. 12.187/09).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In these laws, especially the last one, certain principles, objectives and<br />
directives are defined for the transition towards a green economy, where<br />
development can materialize on a sustainable basis and with socio-environmental<br />
justice. Along these lines, that law stresses that: “the objectives of the National<br />
Climate Change Policy should be in line with sustainable development in order<br />
to seek economic growth, the eradication of poverty and the reduction of social<br />
inequality” (art. 4th).<br />
The great challenge of this task is to increase the level of implementation of<br />
these norms, above all the Forest Code, to be able to contain the advancing<br />
agricultural frontier in fragile ecosystems, but which has met great rural
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challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
resistance. Along these lines, it is worrying to see the efforts of rural lobbyists<br />
in the National Congress to adapt the Forest Code in favor of agricultural<br />
expansion onto the last standing remnants of the Cerrado, eliminating judicial<br />
protection for the existent forest assets, which runs counter to government<br />
efforts to reduce emissions caused by deforestation.<br />
Equally worrying is the dubious position of the Brazilian government that,<br />
on the one hand, presents an ambitious plan to reduce carbon emissions and,<br />
on the other, does not seem determined to exercise an efficient environmental<br />
policy by maintaining insignificant budgets for environmental agencies while<br />
investing in high impact ventures such as the Belo Monte hydroelectricity plant,<br />
or paving the BR 163 (Cuiabá/Santarém) and BR 319 (Manaus/Porto Velho)<br />
federal highways, among others.<br />
This contradiction is externalized through the dismantling of environmental<br />
agencies and the lacking political will to implement efficient environmental<br />
management, in such a way that impunity remains the rule in cases of<br />
environmental infractions: the fines issued by environmental agencies are<br />
not paid and few polluters are held civilly or criminally accountable for the<br />
damages caused, characteristic of the “organized irresponsibility” described<br />
by Ulrich Beck.<br />
Beyond overcoming these limiting factors, new mechanisms should join<br />
the effort of containing deforestation and appreciating sustainable production.<br />
To this end, the employment of instruments such as REDD, payments for<br />
environmental services and charging for water use, constitute experiences<br />
that confirm the necessity of legal structures supporting the environmental<br />
management system that combines the employment of economic instruments<br />
with the provision of sanctions and efficient procedures for reparation and<br />
compensation for damages caused to the environment.<br />
It is worth registering that, though the actions implemented to contain climate<br />
change have focused on reducing emissions associated with the burning of<br />
fossil fuels, deforestation and forest degradation are currently at the center of<br />
the debate because they constitute significant causes of global warming since<br />
they collectively compose 17.4% of global emissions of greenhouse gases (more<br />
than a third of the emissions from developing countries), and also because the<br />
reduction of these emissions can be obtained at a lower cost than other sources<br />
of emissions (Irigaray, 2010).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Our country holds an unparalleled natural heritage and a legal foundation<br />
capable of assisting the transition to a green economy. Nevertheless, these<br />
values should materialize in terms of social awareness, supported by political<br />
actions that enable the configuration of a Rule of Environmental Law.
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Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
5. Fin a l r e m a r k s<br />
The transition to a green economy presupposes environmental justice<br />
and improved living conditions for the population. As such, policies should<br />
be prioritized that confront poverty, promote inclusive growth and provide to<br />
everyone a more active participation in the economic growth process and the<br />
sharing of its benefits, through social inclusion and the reduction of inequality.<br />
This is not a difficult task in Brazil, where hunger and malnutrition are not caused<br />
by scarcity in food production, since the domestic agricultural sector produces<br />
more than enough to provide for the needs of the Brazilian population.<br />
Similarly, conditions have been set for adapting economic activities to new<br />
patterns of sustainability, as outlined by Brazilian legislation, considering the<br />
agricultural industry and the notable agro-industrial development in the country<br />
over the past few years.<br />
However, the legislative advances are echoed quietly in the countryside.<br />
There is a significant deficit in the implementation of these laws that possess<br />
a merely symbolic character, since they continue to be disregarded without<br />
major consequences, and encounter resistance from sectors that bet on<br />
increased productivity in an unsustainable manner, that is, without considering<br />
the environmental costs.<br />
This dispute between maintaining a rigorous legislation and its attenuation<br />
has as its backdrop the global debate on the consequences of climate change<br />
and the need for mitigative and adaptive measures.<br />
In the context of Brazil, which assumed international commitments to reduce<br />
emissions, especially those originating from illegal deforestation and forest<br />
burning, there is the risk of seeing an upswing in deforestation if the country<br />
responds to pressures to relax its forest law.<br />
Reverting this picture presupposes not only measures of command and<br />
control mechanisms and adjustments to environmental management in the<br />
forestry sector, but also economic measures that provide realignment of<br />
economic incentives in favor of the conservation of forest assets, and the<br />
structuring of a forest-based economy with the promotion of alternative means<br />
of subsistence that are attractive to the population that depends on these<br />
resources (Irigaray, 2010).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Among the economic instruments, payments for the ecological services<br />
performed by the forest play a relevant role in the construction of alternatives<br />
that contain deforestation and degradation of these ecosystems. Therefore,<br />
the implementation of a REDD policy in Brazil appears as a solid alternative,<br />
and given the magnitude of the emissions from deforestation and the low cost<br />
of reducing these emissions, it plays an important role in the global strategy to<br />
reduce emissions of greenhouse gases (Myers, 2009).
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perspectives and<br />
challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
Unfortunately, the requirements for sustainable use of natural resources in<br />
our country, although constitutionally backed, have still not managed to find solid<br />
mechanisms in environmental policy that allow thorough implementation. This<br />
is so, because a management approach that considers the support capacity of<br />
ecosystems and does not compromise their availability to future generations is<br />
needed and may be considered a goal that can only be materialized if articulated<br />
with other public policies, especially economic ones, which are directed towards<br />
the same goal.<br />
Furthermore, no country can produce and improve its environmental quality<br />
without a government that restrains unsustainable practices and encourages<br />
proper environmental behavior and sustainable use of environmental resources.<br />
Therefore, our country needs to overcome this picture of institutional vulnerability<br />
and strengthen the implementation of the existing regulatory framework,<br />
principally by integrating agricultural policies with environmental protection as<br />
a condition to secure the transition to a green economy.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
References<br />
Barreto, P. et al. (2008). A pecuária e o desmatamento na Amazônia na era das<br />
mudanças climáticas. Belém: Instituto do Homem e Meio Ambiente da Amazônia.<br />
Beck, Ulrich. (1998). La sociedade del riesgo. Hacia una nueva modernidad. Barcelona:<br />
Ediciones Piados Ibérica.<br />
Brundtland, G. H. et al. (1988). Nosso futuro comum. Relatório de 1987 da Comissão<br />
Mundial de Meio Ambiente e Desenvolvimento. Rio de Janeiro: Fundação Getúlio<br />
Vargas.<br />
Dourojeanni, A. (2000). Procedimientos de gestión para el desarrollo sustentable. Série<br />
Manual - Vol. 10. CEPAL/ECLAC. Santiago: United Nations.<br />
Feltran-Barbiberi, R. and Kassai, J. R. (2008). Passivo ambiental das reservas legais<br />
inexistentes no cerrado. Paper presented at the IX Simpósio Nacional Cerrado -<br />
Desafios e estratégias para o equilíbrio entre sociedade, agronegócio e recursos<br />
naturais. Brasília: EMBRAPA.<br />
IPCC (2007). Quarto relatório de avaliação do Painel Intergovernamental sobre Mudança<br />
Climática.<br />
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Esplanada.<br />
Irigaray, C. T. J. H. (2010a). A expansão dos biocombustíveis na Amazônia: riscos<br />
e desafios. In Heline Sivini Ferreira and José Rubens Morato Leite (org.).<br />
Biocombustíveis - fonte de energia sustentável?: considerações jurídicas, técnicas<br />
e éticas. São Paulo: Saraiva.<br />
Irigaray, C. T. J. H. (2010b). Pagamento por serviços ecológicos e o emprego do REDD<br />
na Amazônia. In Paula Lavratti, V. P. et al. (org.). Direito e Mudanças Climáticas: 3.<br />
Serviços Ecológicos. São Paulo: Instituto O Direito por um Planeta Verde.<br />
Irigaray, C. T. J. H. and Rios, Aurélio V. (org.) (2005). O Direito e o desenvolvimento<br />
sustentável. Brasília: IEB.<br />
Irigaray, C. T. J. H., Vieira, G. F and Silva, L. R. (2009). Regularização fundiária na<br />
Amazônia: a lei e os limites. Revista de Estudos Socio-Jurídico-Ambientais Amazônia<br />
Legal, 5. Cuiabá: EditUFMT.
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
The transition to<br />
a green economy<br />
in Brazilian law:<br />
perspectives and<br />
challenges<br />
Carlos Teodoro Irigaray<br />
Lima, A. (2009). Desafios jurídicos para a governança sobre as emissões de CO2<br />
por desmatamento e a titularidade do carbono florestal. Retrieved from: in<br />
05.12.2009.<br />
Martin Mateo, R. (1977). Derecho ambiental. Madrid: Instituto de Estúdios de<br />
Administración Local.<br />
Morin, E. and Kern, A. B. (1995). Terra-Pátria. Porto Alegre: Sulina.<br />
Moutinho, P. (2009). Desmatamento na Amazônia: desafios para reduzir as emissões<br />
de gases de efeito estufa do Brasil. p. 2-3. Retrieved from: in 05.12.2009.<br />
Myers, E. (2009). Mudança climática e setor florestal: cartilha de REDD. In Florestas:<br />
o setor florestal nos mercados voluntários de carbono, segunda edição. Revista<br />
Ecosystem Marketplace. The Katoomba Group’s.<br />
Polakovic, F. (2002, June 06). O homem consome e a Terra não consegue repor. O<br />
Estado de São Paulo, Geral/Ambiente, p. A15.<br />
Presidência da República (2007). Objetivos de desenvolvimento do milênio:<br />
relatório nacional de acompanhamento / coordenação: Instituto de Pesquisa<br />
Econômica Aplicada e Secretaria de Planejamento e Investimentos Estratégicos;<br />
supervisão:Grupo Técnico para o acompanhamento dos ODM. Brasília: IPEA, MP,<br />
SPI.<br />
Romeiro, A. R. et al. (org.) (1999). Economia do meio ambiente: teoria, políticas e a<br />
gestão de espaços regionais. Campinas: UNICAMP-IE.<br />
Safatle, A. and Pardini, F. (2004, Setembro 01). Grãos na balança. Carta Capital, n°<br />
306.<br />
UNCTAD (2004). Assegurando ganhos de desenvolvimento a partir do sistema comercial<br />
internacional e das negociações de comércio. Nota de Informação, TD/397. Retrieved<br />
from: < http://www.unctad.org/pt/docs/td397_pt.pdf><br />
UNCHS (2006). The state of the world’s cities 2006/2007: the millennium development<br />
goals and urban sustainability, 30 years of shaping the Habitat agenda. Sterling:<br />
Earthscan. Overview; 1.1-1.2.<br />
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opportunities<br />
Market mechanisms for<br />
a green economy<br />
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Ar g u m e n t s in f a v o r o f a g r e e n e c o n o m y<br />
To reach a “green economy” it is necessary to ensure a reduction in materials<br />
and energy use in the production process, to allow society to prosper without<br />
necessitating economic growth (Daly, 1996, Jackson, 2009, Victor, 2008). On<br />
the other hand, social actors deprived of the bounties of modern capitalism<br />
– owing to the inequitable distribution of wealth – can attain higher levels of<br />
consumption without necessarily furtherdepleting natural capital. From this<br />
perspective, the apparently contradictory goals of durable stability or degrowth<br />
in the North and “greening” of growth (with equity) in the South represent the<br />
basis for a meaningful dialogue about a sustainable future and, furthermore,<br />
configure the platform of debate for <strong>Rio+20</strong>.<br />
This brief contribution discusses the following question: to what point can we<br />
resort to so-called “market mechanisms” to ensure this necessary transformation<br />
in natural resource utilization? More specifically, how can we most effectively<br />
guide the transition toward resource renewal and convert wastes into inputs<br />
rather than residuals?<br />
This analysis may appear contradictory in that it seems diametrically opposed<br />
to what has moved economic actors historically, i.e., their single-minded pursuit<br />
of maximum profit. Added to this is the recognition that the market has pushed<br />
economic actors toward a growth regime based on the rapid depletion of natural<br />
resources and the generation of pollution combined with a growing abyss<br />
between rich and poor, within and among countries. This work is aligned with<br />
a contemporary perspective that recognizes the limits of market mechanisms,<br />
and thus makes reference to a discourse grounded on the economics of the<br />
environment.<br />
In this chapter, some of the main arguments of the economics of the<br />
environment are introduced, including both those aimed at regulating public<br />
goods and those that propose solutions to adverse effects arising from the<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. Associate professor at the Pos-Graduate Program in Social Sciences for Development,<br />
Agriculture and Society at the Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro (CPDA/UFRRJ),<br />
vice-coordinator of the Master’s in Sustainable Development Practice (PPGDPS/UFRRJ),<br />
coordinator of the research component on Biodiversity, Natural and Cultural Resources of the<br />
National Institute of Science and Technology in Public Policies for Development Strategies<br />
(INCT/PPED), past president of the International Society for Ecological Economics (ISEE),<br />
advisor of the Brazilian Society for Ecological Economics and collaborator at Friends of the<br />
Earth-Brazilian Amazonia.
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modern economy. Such arguments question the relative superiority of market<br />
mechanisms, adopted in many countries as the most efficient mechanism to<br />
ensure the provision of environmental services. Along these lines, we discuss<br />
payments for environmental services (PES) and its application, as a means<br />
to complement command and control mechanisms aimed at efforts to reduce<br />
and revert carbon emissions, above all those stemming from deforestation in<br />
tropical countries (REDD+).<br />
In s t it u t io n s f o r e n v ir o n m e n t a l m a n a g e m e n t<br />
What institutions does society possess to signal and support the transition<br />
to a green economy? It should be recognized, before anything else, that the<br />
market is only one of many institutions created by human societies to administer<br />
relations of exchange and production (North, 1990). In many cases, the market<br />
may not be the most adequate institution to signal change along technological<br />
trajectories, even if such a trajectory is underpinned by high wastage and<br />
exhaustible inputs, due to the fact that the market does not adequately reflect the<br />
value of public goods (Vatn, 2010). Thus, under what conditions is it acceptable<br />
to rely on the allocative efficiency of the market to produce “green” outcomes<br />
for economic processes?<br />
A first step is to suggest how more adequate policies can be selected, which<br />
in turn requires that available instruments be differentiated along a continuum,<br />
ranging from activity regulation – based on physical standards – to mechanisms<br />
based on motivating the actions of individuals in their own self-interest and in<br />
response to the laws of supply and demand. Along this continuum, there is a<br />
range of options with greater or lesser degrees of dependence on market forces.<br />
The relative convenience and efficacy of such options, for regulating economic<br />
activities in the context of environmental restrictions, have been the object of<br />
innumerable studies (see Seroa da Motta, Ruitenbeek et al., 1996).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The criteria for selecting the appropriate mechanism differ when derived<br />
from an ecological economic perspective. In this regard, we can classify the<br />
instruments of environmental resource management in accordance with two<br />
principal variables: (1) the relative importance (non-substitutable character) of<br />
the resource in question, and (2) its resilience (capacity to recover from stress<br />
or degradation). These two variables reveal, without resorting to devices of<br />
market valuation, the biophysical constraints of human intervention. Situations<br />
where the biota has little capacity to withstand disturbances and simultaneously<br />
is constituted by endemic or endangered species, make perfect candidates for<br />
the application of “sanctuary” measures, that is, the access and use of such<br />
resources should be prohibited. As extinction is irreversible, there are no ways to<br />
substitute species or populations, whose survival depends on the maintenance<br />
of intact ecosystems.
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On the other side of the spectrum, resilient natural resources (whose losses<br />
associated with exhaustion/modification are less relevant), offer the opportunity<br />
to take advantage of the market’s allocative efficiency, insofar as it provides<br />
resources through rewards and may even reinforce cleaner behaviors. This<br />
enables the creation of markets that negotiate quotas for pollutant emission<br />
permits, for example. In the middle of the spectrum, intermediate restrictions<br />
can be found, such as fishing quotas or permitted fishing net size (King, 1994).<br />
The specific locations of boundaries between different modes of intervention are<br />
not measurable, and management adaptations are necessary in response to<br />
the different evolutionary characteristics of the ecosystems being analyzed.<br />
Unfortunately, there are difficulties in developing efficient policies due to<br />
uncertainty or total ignorance about the resilience of ecosystems and their<br />
“tipping points”: thresholds associated with radical changes in these systems.<br />
In a first evaluation, it seems prudent to err on the side of caution, given that<br />
the unintended or unforeseeable consequences of human actions can cause<br />
irreversible losses, thereby leading to damage to human well-being (Ring and<br />
Schroter-Schlak, 2011). Thus, the formulation of policies to combat biodiversity<br />
losses should include instruments that can protect a “safe minimum standard”<br />
(Ciriacy-Wantrup, 1952) of biodiversity conservation, independent of the<br />
potential efficiency of available economic instruments, or their estimated<br />
benefit/cost ratios. Direct regulation (command and control – C&C), establishing<br />
protected areas, no-take fishing zones or prohibiting the use of certain products<br />
or substances (e.g., GMOs) that can lead to impacts on biodiversity, is a key<br />
regulatory component in these contexts.<br />
At an intermediate stage, uncertainty or ignorance of limits can warrant the<br />
creation of permit schemes based on the “cap and trade” approach (establishing<br />
a ceiling for the production or utilization of a certain resource, or the emission of<br />
pollutants generated by this production, and then commercializing all or part of<br />
the excess or gap in relation to the ceiling). This imposes an aggregate limit on<br />
the exploitation of species or habitats, and leaves the allocation within this limit<br />
to the market, and thus combines efficient allocation with conservation efforts<br />
ensured by the limit. The emergence of the carbon market stemmed from this<br />
approach. If a limit is not established by regulation, there would be no incentive<br />
to seek cost reduction through a market structured around emission permits.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The emergence of markets for environmental services owes its theoretical<br />
inspiration to the seminal work of Ronald Coase, in 1960, that established that<br />
an “optimal” point of environmental degradation is identified under the rule of<br />
law through the interaction of actors interested in negotiating permits for natural<br />
resource use. In this hypothetically constructed world, the legal responsibility of<br />
each actor in the negotiation is mandatorily defined and obeyed. Equilibrium is<br />
reached through free negotiation among actors. Those that feel prejudiced in a<br />
negotiation are compensated by an amount greater than the minimum that they
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would accept to give up their desired outcome. The solution will be symmetric<br />
if the agent harmed by environmental degradation is held accountable, having<br />
to pay compensation to the perpetrator of damage to desist.<br />
However, for the economic optimum to be attained, the Coase theorem posits<br />
that there be zero transaction costs 2 necessary to reach a negotiated solution.<br />
That way, there would be negotiation if the benefits of reaching a negotiated<br />
solution exceed the costs. In the opposite case, there would be no solution.<br />
This, however, according to Coase would also imply an equilibrium solution,<br />
since the lowest cost outcome is achieved. Therefore it is argued that if there<br />
is no negotiation, it is because the status quo situation is better than incurring<br />
the costs of searching for a solution. In analogous fashion, the perpetuation of<br />
externalities would be considered optimal (because too costly to satisfy those<br />
harmed), and consequently the government would not need to intervene.<br />
One problem to this type of solution to market failures, lies with the premise<br />
that information is symmetrical between the actors involved in a negotiation;<br />
on the contrary, polluters are normally few, know the amount of emissions they<br />
produce, and how much they are willing to invest in mitigation. The affected are<br />
many, disorganized, without information about the source or characteristics of<br />
the damage suffered and without easily mobilized resources to bring polluters<br />
to justice or even to the bargaining table. Not only is the “the power to exercise<br />
knowledge” (Lewontin, 1992) missing, but also the knowledge to exercise power<br />
among the actors.<br />
Pa y m e n t s f o r e n v ir o n m e n t a l s e r v i c e s<br />
Though the majority of prior studies focused on market mechanisms<br />
concentrate on problems related to pollution, there is now a major movement<br />
in favor of the utilization of this type of instrument as a means to stimulate the<br />
participation of rural landowners in a collective effort to conserve biodiversity,<br />
water sources and carbon stocks in forests. In this sense, instead of being held<br />
accountable for the emissions caused by deforestation and brought to justice,<br />
they may be treated as potential providers of environmental services beneficial<br />
to society. The negotiation between service providers and society stimulates<br />
the participation of rural landowners, whether motivating them to refrain from<br />
using forestlands for productive purposes, or stimulating them to incorporate<br />
better land use practices, and consequently diminishing emissions. This great<br />
Coasean bargain is called Payments for Environmental Services (PES).<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
One of the main theorists on the subject (Wunder, 2005) classifies PES as any<br />
transaction involving at least one buyer, one seller and one environmental service<br />
2. Note that transaction costs, according to Williamson (1979, 1985), depend on the frequency<br />
of transactions, degree of specificity of the transaction and the level of uncertainty that the<br />
transaction involves.
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being provided contingent on payments between the parties. Consequently,<br />
there are terms for a negotiation if the cost of providing the service added to the<br />
transaction costs of carrying out the arrangement are less than the collective<br />
socio-environmental benefit obtained by the buyers (whether local or global<br />
or both). The problem in this situation is that the benefits of environmental<br />
services are enjoyed by many –some can free-ride on the efforts of others, which<br />
lowers the incentive to contribute. Therefore, when information is asymmetrical,<br />
transaction costs yet again tend to be high. That is, there is an abundance of<br />
market failures to surmount in negotiations of this sort.<br />
Furthermore, there are problems of contractual insecurity: in the carbon<br />
market, for example, the buyer is the only one responsible for fulfilling what<br />
has been agreed with the seller of carbon credits with relation to emissions<br />
reductions. In this case, it is advantageous for a seller of credits to deforest<br />
and afterwards claim “what a shame, a fire on the neighboring farm got out of<br />
control”. It becomes the buyer’s problem to seek alternative carbon sources,<br />
or to securitize to fulfill reduction obligations. This is why, on the only regulated<br />
carbon market that reaches developing countries – that motivated by the Clean<br />
Development Mechanism (CDM) – primarily projects that imply emissions<br />
reductions at the source can be found, typically in ventures that involve changing<br />
energy sources or altering industrial processes and not projects involving forests<br />
or land use change. This is the problem of moral hazard.<br />
There are three solutions to the problem of moral hazard in PES contracts.<br />
The first is that of internalization: the actual buyer of the environmental benefit<br />
promotes the provision of environmental services as part of his or her own<br />
business. Multinational businesses can reduce emissions in a region of low<br />
efficiency and credit the gains internally in another subsidiary.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In many cases a governmental solution is adopted to guarantee PES<br />
programs. In this case the State assumes responsibility, whether by<br />
guaranteeing or ultimately paying for the environmental benefits (Veiga and<br />
May, 2010). The principal national PES programs in Latin America (Costa Rica<br />
and Mexico, for example) adopt this procedure, since economic actors do not<br />
possess the necessary institutional framework to mediate negotiations between<br />
demanders and providers of services. In the case of Brazil, the remuneration<br />
for environmental services by private landowners is prohibited, due to the<br />
inexistence of such service provision in legislation. As a result, businesses,<br />
cooperatives or associations are brought into the process as intermediaries,<br />
with their respective transaction costs, that thereby dilute the revenue of the<br />
provider.<br />
The final case refers to voluntary action of private sector actors. In these<br />
cases, a third party certifies fulfillment of the objective of the contract in terms<br />
of emissions reduction and other aspects, such as the contribution of a project<br />
to processes of local and regional development, conservation of biodiversity
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or water resource protection. Independent certification is a type of “non-state”<br />
regulation, in which there is mediation of the relation between producers and<br />
consumers, establishing rules that prove – through an adequate degree of<br />
trust – that productive processes obey sustainability criteria (Kaechele, May<br />
et al., 2011). The proliferation of independent certification models, such as<br />
those being promoted by leading NGOs, creates a mechanism capable of<br />
overcoming one of the main obstacles to attract resources for environmental<br />
service markets. As of 2009, 96% of the volume of CO 2 credits commercialized<br />
in forest projects was already subject to independent certification (Hamilton,<br />
Chokkalingam et al., 2009).<br />
“Be t t e r REDD t h a n d e a d?”<br />
The topic of reducing deforestation as an aim of negotiations emerged in<br />
the area of global regulation when constructing a post Kyoto agenda, due to<br />
the lack of options capable of achieving the planned targets.<br />
Brazil – that is not attracting a lot of investments intended for reducing<br />
emissions in other sectors, since these are already considered relatively “green”<br />
- is one of the largest greenhouse gas emitters due to persistent deforestation.<br />
Despite having refused for years to enter into negotiations with Northern<br />
countries to define issues related to what it considered matters of national<br />
sovereignty, Brazil evidently decided not to enter the negotiations of the new<br />
climate accord as a pariah. Brazil therefore committed at the Conference of the<br />
Parties in Copenhagen in 2009 to make radical cuts in deforestation over the<br />
period up to 2020, reducing the deforestation rate in the Amazon by 80% and<br />
by 50% in the Cerrado (Brazilian savannah) as compared with a baseline of the<br />
previous 10 years. This accord was facilitated by the fact that deforestation has<br />
declined since a peak in 2005, with a level in 2010 of almost 70% below that<br />
peak. However, there is still a need to combat the persistent deforestation of<br />
large areas every year. A principal share of this new deforestation results from<br />
the expansion of cattle pastures in municipalities having low environmental<br />
governance capabilities.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
At the Conferences of the Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework<br />
Convention on Climate Change and especially since COP12 in Nairobi (2006),<br />
the topic of “deforestation”, which was always postponed due to issues of<br />
national sovereignty, has received increased attention. At COP15 in Copenhagen<br />
(2009), considerable resources were committed to avoid deforestation through<br />
voluntary transfers between North and South. Resources are specifically aimed<br />
to support actions initiated by countries that seek to promote the Reduction<br />
of Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD). Other<br />
complementary actions that seek to enrich and restore ecosystem functions<br />
of tropical rainforests were also contemplated (REDD+).
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The deforestation reductions that have taken place since 2005 elevated<br />
Brazil to a distinguished position at the climate negotiations. According to the<br />
government, the reduction resulted from a great effort to punish offenders and<br />
remove “pirate cattle” 3 from protected areas. In compensation, the Norwegian<br />
government committed to donate a total of US$ 1 billion to Brazil over the<br />
course of 10 years, deposited in the Amazon Fund created by the Brazilian<br />
National Bank of Economic and Social Development (BNDES) specifically to<br />
execute grant-financed actions that reinforce municipal monitoring and land<br />
regularization, and thus stimulating more sustainable natural resource uses.<br />
However, according to analyses by environmental entities, the observed<br />
reduction in deforestation can also be attributed to the price declines of<br />
agricultural commodities and a repercussion of the financial market crisis<br />
beginning in 2008. As some of these analysts argue, it would be more<br />
interesting to establish instruments that compensate those that would engage<br />
in deforestation, such as through PES, instead of focusing all resources on<br />
regulation. The question remains: should market mechanisms or C&C be<br />
favored in attaining the goals to reduce deforestation? If primarily market<br />
(PES), how much needs to be paid? What is the cost to society, to affected<br />
economic actors, and to communities dependent on forest resources for their<br />
sustenance? Who benefits?<br />
In this challenging context, Brazil is aided by the existing land use legislation<br />
that has a firm foothold in C&C. The Forest Code, with consecutive re-editions<br />
of Provisional Measures since 1998, permits alteration of native vegetation with<br />
productive purposes on only 20% of properties in the Amazon and 65% in the<br />
Cerrado. The rest has to remain as Legal Reserves. The problem is that few<br />
obey the Code, that even so is being targeted for dilution by the Congressional<br />
ruralist lobby (PL 00740/2011 replacement of Law 4.771, reported by Deputy<br />
Aldo Rebelo). On the other hand, state programs aimed at strengthening the<br />
Forest Code requirements through environmental licensing of rural land-use,<br />
have been deployed with some success in recent years. Licensing – that<br />
establishes the boundaries of each property and the location of legal reserves<br />
and permanent preservation areas -, when combined with the monitoring of<br />
changes in land use via satellite and verification in the field, allows assessment<br />
of compliance with the Code in practice. This set of legal instruments and<br />
monitoring resources makes Brazil one of the few countries that possesses the<br />
capacity to monitor and verify deforestation, and as such could gain access to<br />
resources pledged by countries in the North under REDD.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
One advantage of the Forest Code not yet utilized in many states is to operate<br />
as a ceiling (cap) on deforestation, because it establishes the maximum area<br />
that each property can modify. This could conceivably allow market mechanisms<br />
3. This refers to the presence of cattle on illegal properties (generally state-owned).
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to compensate those that observe the law. According to the stance of rural<br />
producers, they need an incentive to restore unduly deforested areas and they<br />
demand resources to cover the opportunity cost of retiring productive areas,<br />
as well as some compensation for the benefits provided to other members of<br />
society by restoring ecosystem functions. Others argue that rural producers<br />
already have received substantial incentives to deforest and now they need to<br />
observe the minimum safe standards of the Law, and that only those already<br />
observing the Forest Code should be compensated by PES.<br />
Despite discussions and various exercises to estimate the cost of reducing<br />
deforestation, the issue persists of how to better structure institutions to regulate<br />
the provision of public goods. A review of the experience with economic<br />
instruments and C&C regulation applied to biodiversity conservation (Ring and<br />
Schroter-Schlak, 2011) suggests that the best path in terms of cost effectiveness<br />
is a mix of instruments grounded in regulation. In this sense, strengthening<br />
the Forest Code (and not weakening it) should serve as the basis from which<br />
institutional innovations can flourish in Brazil.<br />
We conclude that market instruments, such as those associated with PES<br />
and REDD+, should assume an important role in the transition to a green<br />
economy. Such a role should be mediated by regulation that defines natural<br />
resources access and control criteria, reflected by biophysical limits established<br />
with reference to scientific knowledge and by extensive and prior consultation<br />
with populations that depend on those resources for their sustenance. Based<br />
on duly established parameters, it is possible in restricted circumstances to<br />
utilize the market’s allocative efficiency as a complement to other institutions<br />
to achieve society’s goals.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
References<br />
Ciriacy-Wantrup, S. V. (1952). Resource conservation: economics and policies. Berkeley,<br />
California: University of California Press.<br />
Coase, R. H. (1960). The problem of social cost. Journal of Law and Economics, 3<br />
(Oktober, 1960), 1-44.<br />
Daly, H. E. (1996). Beyond growth: the economics of sustainable development. Boston:<br />
Beacon Press.<br />
Hamilton, K., U. Chokkalingam et al. (2009). State of the forest carbon markets; taking<br />
root and branching out. Washington, D.C.: Forest Trends.<br />
Jackson, T. (2009). Prosperity without growth: economics for a finite planet. London;<br />
Sterling, VA: Earthscan.<br />
Kaechele, K., May, P. H. et al. (2011). Forest certification: a voluntary instrument for<br />
environmental governance. In Shleuter, I. R., Instrument mixes for biodiversity policies.<br />
Leipzig: Policymix Project.<br />
King, D. M. (1994). Can we justify sustainability? New challenges facing ecological<br />
economics. In Jansson, M. H., Folke, C. and Costanza, R., Investing in natural capital;<br />
the ecological economics approach to sustainability. Washington: Island Press.<br />
Lewontin, R. C. (1992). Biology as ideology: the doctrine of DNA. New York:<br />
HarperPerennial.
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North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, institutional change, and economic performance.<br />
Cambridge; New York: Cambridge University Press.<br />
Ring, I. and C. Schroter-Schlak (2011). Instrument mixes for biodiversity policies (draft).<br />
Leipzig: Helmholz Institute.<br />
Serôa da Motta, R. and Ruitenbeek, J. et al. (1996). Uso de instrumentos econômicos<br />
na gestão ambiental da América Latina e Caribe: lições e recomendações. Rio de<br />
Janeiro: IPEA.<br />
Vatn, A. (2010). An institutional analysis of payments for environmental services.<br />
Ecological Economics, 69(6), 1245-1252.<br />
Veiga, F. C. N. and May, P. H. (2010). Mercados para serviços ambientais. In May, P.<br />
H., Economia do meio ambiente: teoria e prática. Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier.<br />
Victor, P. A. (2008). Managing without growth: slower by design, not disaster. Cheltenham;<br />
Northampton: Edward Elgar.<br />
Williamson, O. (1985). The economic institutions of capitalism. New York: The<br />
FrePress.<br />
Williamson, O. (1979). Transaction-cost economics: the governance of contractual<br />
relations. Journal of Law and Economics, 22(2), 233-61.<br />
Wunder, S. (2005). Payments for environmental services: some nuts and bolts. In CIFOR<br />
Occasional Paper. CIFOR. 42.<br />
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Valuation and pricing of<br />
environmental resources for<br />
a green economy 1<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta 2<br />
In t r o d u c t io n<br />
The green economy concept means that economic growth can be based on<br />
investments in natural capital, whereby the structure of the economy changes<br />
in the direction of “green” or “clean” sectors/technologies to substitute “dirty”<br />
or “brown” sectors/technologies. The United Nations Environment Programme<br />
report “Towards a Green Economy: Pathways to Sustainable Development<br />
and Poverty Eradication” (UNEP, 2011), seeks to demonstrate that this<br />
transformation can be achieved without a loss of income and employment, and<br />
yet, with reductions in poverty.<br />
This task of natural capital appreciation imposes the necessity of responding<br />
to at least two questions, namely:<br />
(i)<br />
(ii)<br />
What is the value of an environmental resource? And<br />
What policy instrument should we use to capture this value?<br />
Another recent report “The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity”<br />
(TEEB, 2011), for example, offers some estimates of ecosystem and biodiversity<br />
costs on a global scale and examples of how to capture these values using<br />
economic instruments. As stated in the report, estimating the values associated<br />
with environmental goods and services and the ways they are captured by the<br />
market is a controversial and complex task, but even so, the resulting estimates<br />
ultimately indicate opportunities to generate income and employment through<br />
the recognition of the economic values of natural resources.<br />
That is, in order to finance investments in natural capital, we must recognize<br />
its economic and social contribution and price these according to their<br />
contribution to the welfare of society.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In the following section, concepts and techniques, as well as limitations,<br />
of the valuation of environmental goods and services are discussed. In the<br />
third section, the ways to price these goods and services to construct a green<br />
economy are analyzed. The last section concludes with some final remarks.<br />
1. Senior Researcher at the Research Institute for Applied Economics (IPEA) and member of<br />
the IPCC 3rd and 5th Assessment Reports.<br />
2. For a more detailed introduction see for example, Hanley, Shogren and White (2007), Seroa<br />
da Motta (1988 e 2006), UNEP (2000a), Kolstad (2000), Freeman (1993) and Pearce and<br />
Turner (1990).
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Valuation and pricing<br />
of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Va l u in g e n v ir o n m e n t a l g o o d s a n d s e r v i c e s 3<br />
If we can identify the importance of environmental quality to guarantee<br />
the maximization of well-being, how come economic growth policies do not<br />
incorporate it from the beginning? Or better yet, why does the economic system<br />
not naturally optimize the use of natural resources?<br />
According to economic theory, the use of natural resources almost always<br />
generates negative economic externalities in the economic system. These<br />
externalities are not entirely captured by the pricing system, because enforcing<br />
the property or use rights of these resources results in high transaction costs,<br />
owed to the technical or cultural difficulties of fixing exclusive and rival rights.<br />
So, it is not possible to establish exchange relationships between these rights<br />
that ensure optimal resource use.<br />
In summary, these technical and institutional difficulties in defining the property<br />
rights between contemporary, and present and past generations, impede the<br />
existence of a market that signals the value of the resources or, when it exists,<br />
these imperfections result in prices and costs of use that do not reflect the<br />
economic (or social) value of the resource, and as such, introduces inefficiencies<br />
in the economic system. That is, the use of environmental resources generates<br />
negative external costs that are intra and inter-temporal.<br />
The economic value or the opportunity cost of environmental resources<br />
normally is not observed in the market by means of the pricing system. However,<br />
as with the other goods and services present in the market, its economic value<br />
derives from its attributes, with the peculiarity that these attributes may or may<br />
not be associated with use.<br />
The economic value of environmental resources (EVER) can be broken<br />
down into use value (UV) and non-use value (NUV) and is expressed in the<br />
following way:<br />
EVER = (DUV + IUV + OV) + EV<br />
where:<br />
Direct Use Value (DUV): value that individuals assign to an environmental<br />
resource through its direct use, such as extraction, visitation or another activity<br />
of direct production or consumption. For example, resource extraction, tourism,<br />
recreation and scientific research activities 3 ;<br />
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Indirect Use Value (IUV): value that individuals assign to an environmental<br />
resource when the benefit of use derives from ecosystem functions, such as,<br />
containing erosion, controlling climate and protecting water springs 4 ;<br />
3. Benefits in-situ.<br />
4. Benefits ex-situ.
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resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Option Value (OV): value that individuals assign to the conservation of<br />
resources, that may be threatened, for direct and indirect use in the near future<br />
but not fully known today. For example, the benefit from gene therapies based<br />
on properties of genes not yet discovered from tropical forest plants.<br />
Non-use value, Passive or Existence Value (EV): value that is disassociated<br />
with use (though represents environmental consumption) and derives from<br />
a moral, cultural, ethical or altruistic position in relation to the rights of other<br />
species than the human to exist and other natural wealth, even if they do not<br />
represent actual or future use for anybody. A clear example of this value is<br />
the great mobilization of public opinion to save the panda bears or whales,<br />
even in regions where people would never be able to make any use from their<br />
existence.<br />
There is also another way to classify the economic value of an environmental<br />
resource by its capacity to generate flows of ecosystem services, as was<br />
established in the “Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Report” (MEA, 2005),<br />
that categorizes or typifies environmental services in provision, regulation,<br />
support and cultural services in the following manner:<br />
Provisioning services: those that generate direct material consumption, for<br />
example, foods, water, medicines and energy.<br />
Regulating services: services that regulate ecosystem functions, for example,<br />
carbon sequestration, solid waste decomposition, water and air purification<br />
and pest control.<br />
Supporting services: those that support ecosystem functions, such as soil<br />
formation, photosynthesis, and dispersion of nutrients and seeds.<br />
Cultural services: services that generate non-material consumption in the<br />
form of cultural, intellectual, recreational, spiritual and scientific activities.<br />
The table below relates and exemplifies these taxonomies.<br />
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5. Benefícios ex-situ.
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General taxonomy of the value of environmental resources<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Economic value of environmental resources<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Direct<br />
use value<br />
Indirected<br />
use value<br />
Option<br />
value<br />
Existence<br />
value<br />
Valuation and pricing<br />
of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Value<br />
Environmental<br />
goods and<br />
services directly<br />
appropriated<br />
through present<br />
resource<br />
exploitation and<br />
consumption<br />
Environmental<br />
goods and<br />
services that<br />
are generated<br />
through<br />
ecosystem<br />
functions and<br />
appropriated<br />
and consumed<br />
indirectly in the<br />
present<br />
Environmental<br />
goods and<br />
services of<br />
direct and<br />
indirect<br />
use to be<br />
appropriated<br />
and<br />
consumed in<br />
the future<br />
Value not<br />
associated<br />
with present<br />
or future use<br />
and reflects<br />
moral,<br />
cultural,<br />
ethical and<br />
altruistic<br />
attitudes<br />
Related<br />
services<br />
Provisioning<br />
and regulating<br />
services<br />
Regulating,<br />
supporting<br />
and cultural<br />
services<br />
Provisioning,<br />
regulating,<br />
supporting<br />
and cultural<br />
services not<br />
yet discovered<br />
Cultural<br />
services<br />
In the literature, there is still some controversy in relation to the existence<br />
value as a representation of the value an individual assigns to maintain certain<br />
environmental resources so that their offspring (future generations) can enjoy<br />
their direct and indirect uses (bequest value). This is a conceptual issue that in<br />
some ways is irrelevant, since the challenge of environmental valuation consists<br />
of admitting that an individual attributes value to resources, even if he or she<br />
does not make any use of them.<br />
The use and non-use of environmental resources imply values, which need<br />
to be measured in order to make informed decisions of the various uses and<br />
non-uses, even when they are conflicting, that is, when one type of use or nonuse<br />
excludes other types of use or non-use. For example, the use of a beach<br />
for dumping sewage excludes (or at least limits) its use for recreation.<br />
Once the uses and non-uses and the respective environmental services<br />
have been identified, we can proceed to valuation, and its methodology will<br />
be presented next.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
The methods of economic valuation of the environment are part of welfare<br />
economics and are necessary in the evaluation of social costs and benefits when<br />
public investments affect the consumption of the population and, consequently,<br />
its level of welfare.<br />
The reader can now evaluate with more clarity the degree of difficulty in<br />
identifying market prices (adequate or not) that reflect the values attributed to
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of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
environmental resources. This difficulty increases as we move from use values<br />
to non-use values. Among use values, indirect use and option values present,<br />
in turn, even greater difficulties than direct use values.<br />
As we have sought to demonstrate up to now, the task of economically<br />
valuing an environmental resource consists of determining how much better<br />
or worse the welfare of individuals becomes based on changes in the quantity<br />
of environmental goods and services, whether appropriated as use or not.<br />
Consequently, the environmental valuation methods correspond to this<br />
objective based on their capacity to capture these distinct bundles of economic<br />
value of the environmental resource. Nevertheless, as will be discussed below,<br />
each method presents limitations in covering these values that are almost always<br />
associated with the degree of sophistication (methodological and database)<br />
required, and with the assumptions on the individual consumer behavior and<br />
the effects of environmental consumption on other sectors of the economy.<br />
Bearing in mind that such a balance is almost always pragmatic and<br />
determined in a restricted way, it is up to the analyst that evaluates to explain,<br />
with precision, the limits of the estimated values and the degree of validity of<br />
the measurements for the intended end. As will be discussed next, the adoption<br />
of each method depends on the valuation objective, the assumed hypotheses,<br />
the availability of data and knowledge of the ecological dynamics of the object<br />
that is being valued.<br />
The valuation methods analyzed here are classified as follows: production<br />
function methods and demand function methods.<br />
Production function methods: marginal productivity and substitute goods<br />
market methods (replacement, defensive spending or avoided costs and<br />
control costs)<br />
If the environmental resource is an input or a substitute of a private good<br />
or service, these methods utilize market prices for the private good or service<br />
to estimate the economic value of the environmental resource. As such,<br />
the environmental benefits and costs of the varying availability of these<br />
environmental resources to society can be estimated.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Based on the prices of these private resources, generally assuming that they<br />
do not alter against these variations, economic values are indirectly estimated<br />
(shadow prices) of the environmental resources whose varying availability<br />
is being analyzed. The benefit (or cost) of the variation in availability of the<br />
environmental resource is reached by the product of varied quantity of the<br />
resource times its estimated economic value. For example, the soil nutrient<br />
loss caused by deforestation may affect agricultural productivity. Or the reduced<br />
sedimentation levels in a basin, due to a revegetation project, may increase<br />
the life-span and productivity of a hydroelectric plant.
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Valuation and pricing<br />
of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Demand function methods: complementary goods market methods (hedonic<br />
prices and travel cost) and the contingent valuation method.<br />
These methods assume that the variation in availability of an environmental<br />
resource alters the willingness of economic agents to pay or receive in relation<br />
to the resource or its complementary private good. Thus, these methods directly<br />
estimate the economic values (shadow prices) based on demand functions<br />
for these resources derived from (i) markets of private goods and services<br />
complementary to the environmental resource or (ii) hypothetical markets<br />
constructed specifically for the environmental resource being analyzed.<br />
Utilizing demand functions, these methods permit the capture measurements<br />
of individual’s willingness to pay (or accept) relative to variations in the<br />
environmental resource availability. Based on these measurements, variations<br />
in the level of welfare are estimated through the excess satisfaction that the<br />
consumer obtains by paying a price (or pays nothing) for the resource below<br />
what he would be willing to pay. The consumer surplus is, thereby, measured<br />
by the area below the demand curve and above the price curve. Thus, there<br />
are variations in consumer surplus relative to variations in the availability of<br />
the environmental resource. Therefore, the benefit (or cost) of the variation<br />
in the availability of the environmental resource will be given by the variation<br />
in consumer surplus measured by the demand function for this resource. For<br />
example, the travel costs that individuals incur to visit a national park could<br />
represent an approximation of the willingness to pay related to the recreational<br />
benefits of the park.<br />
These measurements of willingness to pay can also be identified through<br />
research that asks a sample of the population about the size of a tax aimed<br />
at environmental investments for biodiversity protection with the contingent<br />
valuation method. Identifying these measurements of willingness to pay, we<br />
can construct the respective demand functions.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Note that these two general methods can, in accordance with their<br />
hypotheses, estimate environmental values derived from production or demand<br />
functions based on the current economic condition. So that these values<br />
(costs and benefits) can occur within a time-period, it is necessary to identify<br />
these values in time. That is, identifying values resulting not only from actual<br />
conditions, but also from future conditions. Prospecting future conditions can<br />
be done through alternative scenarios in order to minimize the high degree of<br />
uncertainty. Anyhow, the future values will have to be discounted over time, that<br />
is, calculated in terms of present values utilizing a social discount rate. This rate<br />
differs from the one observed in the market due to capital market imperfections<br />
and its determination is not trivial, even though it can significantly affect the<br />
results of a cost-benefit analysis.
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opportunities<br />
Valuation and pricing<br />
of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
In the environmental context, the complexity is even greater. For example,<br />
due to the possibility of exhaustion, the value of environmental resources tend<br />
to grow over time, if we assume that its use increases with economic growth.<br />
Estimating this future scarcity and translating it into a monetary value is a<br />
complex issue that requires a certain exercise of futurology. As such, some<br />
specialists suggest the use of smaller discount rates for projects with significant<br />
environmental benefits or costs or adding the necessary investments to<br />
eliminate environmental risk. It is therefore considered that the environmental<br />
costs and benefits would be adequately valued and that scenarios with distinct<br />
discount rate values should be utilized to evaluate its indetermination.<br />
This complexity will also be reflected when constructing a National System<br />
of Environmental Accounts to measure the national income (GDP), deducing<br />
the amounts that the economy “consumed” (depreciation) or “invested”<br />
(appreciation) in natural capital 5 . In disaggregated levels, Environmental<br />
Accounts approach a cost-benefit analysis, where GDP reflects a measure<br />
of benefit and consumption of natural capital represents the cost. Thus, the<br />
valuation concepts and techniques will be the same as herein discussed 6 .<br />
To summarize, selecting an economic method for valuing the environment<br />
depends on the objective of the valuation, the assumed hypotheses, the<br />
availability of data, and scientific knowledge of the ecological dynamics of the<br />
object in question.<br />
Pr ic in g e n v ir o n m e n t a l g o o d s a n d s e r v i c e s 7<br />
Although internalizing environmental externalities increases the efficiency of<br />
the system, these gains are perceived differently by economic agents and are<br />
dispersed over time. That is, they affect the intra and inter-temporal income<br />
distribution. So how can we internalize this amount in the pricing system so<br />
that consumers can perceive the value?<br />
Economic theory proposes that in order to correct this market failure (“the<br />
tragedy of the commons”), defined user rights would be exchanged in a market<br />
and thereby set an equilibrium price that represents the social cost of these<br />
resources.<br />
This possibility could take the form of a fee for using the natural resource<br />
or through the creation of markets. That is, economic instruments that signal<br />
prices that reflect the social opportunity cost of the resources that, thereby,<br />
internalizes the correct price of the resource in the economic system.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
5. It would be a measure of the net domestic product (NDP) of an economy, represented by<br />
GDP minus the consumption of capital.<br />
6. See for example Seroa da Motta (1995 and 1998b) for a detailed discussion of how to apply<br />
valuation techniques in Environmental Accounts and some estimates of capital consumption<br />
in Brazil.<br />
7. For a more extensive discussion see for example, Hanley, Shogren and White (2007), Seroa<br />
da Motta (2006), UNEP (2000b), Kolstad (2000) and Pearce and Turner (1990).
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Valuation and pricing<br />
of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Note that the efficiency gain of an economic instrument is associated with<br />
the heterogeneity of control or use costs among economic agents. This cost<br />
differentiation makes individual decisions more flexible when comparing the<br />
amount charged or the right to issue or use with the control or usage costs.<br />
This leads to users with smaller control costs to control more at lower costs<br />
than what is collected or earned by selling rights.<br />
Nevertheless, these efficiency gains cannot be canceled by high transaction<br />
costs (of information or implementation), whether through collection or the<br />
creation of markets. When this occurs, introducing economic instruments<br />
should be avoided.<br />
Ch a r g in g<br />
Theoretically a pigouvian tax is equivalent to the marginal environmental<br />
damage that allows an economic optimal degradation to be reached. Such<br />
nomenclature was formulated by the economist Arthur Cecil Pigou, who<br />
formulated it for the first time during the 1920s of the past century.<br />
This tax adopts the economically optimal level of resource use criteria where<br />
negative externalities, such as environmental damage, are internalized in the<br />
resource price both in the production process as well as consumption. Once this<br />
new externality price is determined and imposed on each user, aggregated to<br />
its market price, each level of individual use is altered as well as the aggregate<br />
level of use.<br />
In this way, the new levels reflect a socially optimized use, because now the<br />
benefits of use are counterbalanced by all the associated costs, that is, each<br />
user pays for exactly the damage caused by his or her use. The calculation of<br />
this tax does not exist in practice, given the difficulties of precisely measuring<br />
environmental damage, as discussed in the previous section.<br />
The optimal level of use is determined in the political process by the affected<br />
social agents, and from there payment levels for use of the natural resource<br />
are derived. In these cases, the economic price can be of two types: induction<br />
price and fianacing price; each one with its distinct criteria that generates also<br />
distinct values, but both aiming to reduce negative externalities.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Induction price: the new price of the resource is determined to obtain<br />
a certain aggregate level of technically adequate use (and not aggregate<br />
revenue). It is determined so that the sum of the induced change in individual<br />
use results in a new desired aggregate level. As such, the estimate should<br />
be based on simulations to identify how individuals would alter their resource<br />
use against different prices. The induction price is related to the “polluter/user<br />
pays” principle 8 .<br />
8. In the ex-ante conception, the user perceives the damage payment before the act of using.<br />
The ex-post formulation is more associated with repairing the damage through judicial means<br />
after the user has generated damage.
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of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
For example, this would be the case of charging for water to induce an<br />
aggregate reduction in use by X% or a fee that encourages an increase in<br />
certification of Y%.<br />
Determining the induction price is based on demand or cost functions of each<br />
user, differentiating the prices in order to induce users in the aggregate to obtain<br />
a level of desired use. The general rule for this price differentiation would be a<br />
higher price for the most price-sensitive users (greater price elasticity). This is<br />
because those are the users that will reduce their use the most for each unit<br />
of price increase.<br />
Fianancing price: adopts the criterion of optimal financing levels where the<br />
price is determined to obtain a desired level of revenue. As such, the financing<br />
price is associated with a predetermined budget and not with a desired level of<br />
resource use. Its application is associated with the “protector-receiver principle”,<br />
such as, charging for resource use to generate the revenue that is necessary for<br />
a determined investment in a conservation unit or payments for environmental<br />
services expenditures. 9<br />
Contrary to the induction price, the general rule for price differentiation would<br />
be a lower price for the most price-sensitive users (greater price elasticity). This<br />
is because these users would be the ones to reduce most their use for each<br />
additional unit increase in price and, consequently, reducing revenues.<br />
To summarize, the financing price aims to attain an aggregate revenue target<br />
and the induction price, instead of aiming for a certain total revenue, seeks to<br />
alter the level of individual use. Whatever its form is, the economic instrument<br />
always represents an economic price of the negative externalities.<br />
Ma r k e t Cr e a t io n<br />
Another pricing possibility is the creation of a market of transferable rights<br />
of usage or to pollute.<br />
In these markets, rights to use or pollute are distributed or sold in a way that<br />
in the aggregate the desired levels of use or pollution are no exceeded. Once<br />
the initial allocation is realized, levels of use or pollution above the individual<br />
quotas would require the transaction of these rights between users/polluters.<br />
For example, the user/polluter that has the highest control costs would have<br />
incentives to buy quotas from those will lower costs.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Note that it is the absence of (or difficulty in signaling) complete property<br />
rights for environmental resources that makes their usage less efficient. In<br />
the case that specifying complete rights were possible, a negotiation between<br />
users could take place in order for uses with greater returns (more efficient)<br />
9. In the economic literature this price would adopt the “Ramsey rule”, named after its first<br />
proponent.
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economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
to be prioritized, that is, the exchange of rights in the market would induce<br />
users that most benefitted from its use (or with smaller costs) to pay more for<br />
the rights. The terms of negotiation would be based on the costs and benefits<br />
perceived by the parties.<br />
However, for a market of rights to exist, the property rights would need to<br />
be clearly defined and there would need to be a great number of participants<br />
with different costs and benefits, buying and selling in the market. On the<br />
other hand, an institutionalized, diversified and fragmented market requires<br />
sophisticated institutional and legal support. Thus, we must look into these<br />
three qualifying principles:<br />
a) initial allocation: the rights could be initially allocated in a way that (i) is<br />
neutral in the proportion to current levels of use or pollution 10 ; (ii) has distributive<br />
criteria with greater allocations to some segments of society; and in both<br />
cases the allocation could either be free or achieved through an auction that<br />
generates revenue. In the case of an auction, each user/polluter would pay for<br />
the quotas in accordance with their value for that specific activity. In the case<br />
of free distribution, distributive issues would need to be addressed given that<br />
holders would consider these rights a real source of costs and benefits.<br />
b) imperfect information: government and users/polluters would not be<br />
perfectly informed about the level of use or pollution of the resource and the<br />
associated costs. Thus, the transaction costs of these rights would be greatly<br />
elevated and the transaction levels lower, and consequently less efficient.<br />
Though such imperfection could be mitigated in future markets, the management<br />
of such a system is complex to implement comprehensively in extensive regions<br />
with large varieties of users/polluters; and<br />
c)market power: users or polluters with market power 11 tend to manipulate<br />
the purchase of rights to create barriers of entry for competitors (or regional<br />
competition) or engage in price arbitrage aimed at abnormal profit. Such<br />
imperfections could be corrected through limits of use or emissions per user, or<br />
transfer restrictions, though this would complicate management by demanding<br />
an extensive range of information from principal users.<br />
To summarize, the pricing of an environmental resource generates an<br />
immediate dividend for society by increasing environmental efficiency. But<br />
there is also an additional efficiency gain, a second dividend, in the possibility<br />
of improving the economic efficiency of taxation through the substitution of the<br />
distorted tax revenueon consumption and capital, for revenues resulting from<br />
environmental taxation or revenues generated by user rights.<br />
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10. “Grandfather system”.<br />
11. Oligopolistic or oligopsonic.
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Thus, a tax reform where environmental taxation is introduced and the<br />
revenue is used to finance reductions in other taxes generates a so-called<br />
double dividend. In this case, the fiscal recycling permits an environmental<br />
tax of neutral revenue that reduces environmental degradation and improves<br />
economic efficiency by reducing the distorting tax load.<br />
Valuation and pricing<br />
of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Fin a l Re m a r k s<br />
An ecological evaluation should precede any initiative of applying economic<br />
criteria, as it is critical for determining how the environmental services are<br />
correlated with the stock levels of natural capital. Thus, the use of economic<br />
criteria requires explicitly stated ecological impacts (physicochemical and<br />
biological) to guide the application.<br />
An additional limitation in the use of economic criteria is associated with<br />
determining discounts over time of costs and benefits, since the type and value<br />
of the discount rate depend on hypotheses about future growth in consumption<br />
and future alterations in individual preferences. The exercise of capturing<br />
values associated with future generations carries a degree of uncertainty and,<br />
consequently, cannot be estimated deterministically. As such, we must consider<br />
a sensitivity analysis of the results from different discount rates.<br />
We must also identify the sensitivity of various distinct statistical models in<br />
the estimation of ecological impacts as well as in economic measurements.<br />
Lastly, it is worth noting that the magnitude of the environmental impact of a<br />
specific sector could be significant enough to affect other sectors in its supply<br />
chain. That is, if there is evidence of significant inter-sectoral effects, these<br />
sectoral relations in the economy must be considered and captured through<br />
general equilibrium models. 12 Impacts do not always have this extension 13<br />
, but it is worthwhile to highlight that these general equilibrium models require<br />
a high level of statistical and database sophistication.<br />
The valuation and pricing of environmental resources do not only identify total<br />
costs and benefits, but also, if not principally, how these are distributed within<br />
society (i.e., who is bearing the costs and who receives the benefits).<br />
This process of valuation and pricing, thus, is very important because it guides<br />
decision-makers in finding ways to conciliate other alternatives that harmonize<br />
this distribution of gains and losses and, from this point, construct consensus<br />
and stimulate participation, support and commitment among various economic<br />
regulators in the construction of the basis for a green economy.<br />
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12. A more simplified version of this model is an input-output matrix where the elasticities of<br />
substitution are null. A general equilibrium model abandons this hypothesis with specific<br />
estimates of elasticities for each activity, as well as adopting technical coefficients of a matrix<br />
for production and consumption functions.<br />
13. As generally occurs, for example, in climate change impacts where analysts almost always<br />
use such models.
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Valuation and pricing<br />
of environmental<br />
resources for a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
References<br />
Freeman, A. M. (1993). The measurement of environmental and resource values.<br />
Washington: Resources for the Future.<br />
Hanley, N., Shogren, J. F. and White, B. (2007). Environmental economics in theory<br />
and practice. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2a. ed.<br />
Kolstad, C. D. (2000). Environmental economics. Oxford: Oxford University Press.<br />
MEA (2005). Millennium ecosystem assessment, general synthesis report. Washington:<br />
Island Press.<br />
Pearce, D. W. and Turner, K. R. (1990). Economics of natural resources and the environment.<br />
Nova York: Harvester Wheatsheaf.<br />
Seroa da Motta, R. (coord.) (1995). Contabilidade Ambiental: Teoria, Metodologia e<br />
Estudos de Casos no Brasil. Rio de Janeiro: IPEA.<br />
Seroa da Motta, R. (1998a). Manual para valoração econômica de recursos ambientais.<br />
Brasília: Ministério do Meio Ambiente.<br />
Seroa da Motta, R. (1998b). Sustainability principles and depreciation estimates of<br />
natural capital in Brazil. In Faucheux, S; O’Connor, M. and van Straaten, J (eds.),<br />
Sustainable Development: Concepts, Rationalities and Strategies. Amsterdam:<br />
Kluwer Academic Publishers.<br />
Seroa da Motta, R. (2006). Economia ambiental. Rio de Janeiro: FGV Editora.<br />
TEEB (2011). The economics of ecosystems and biodiversity: mainstreaming the economics<br />
of nature: a synthesis of the approach, conclusions and recommendations<br />
of TEEB.<br />
UNEP (2011). Towards a green economy: pathways to sustainable development and<br />
poverty eradication - a synthesis for policy makers. Retrieved from: .<br />
UNEP (2000a). Environmental valuation - a worldwide compendium of case studies.<br />
UNEP.<br />
UNEP (2000b). Economic instruments for environmental management - A worldwide<br />
compendium of case studies. UNEP.<br />
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13. As generally occurs, for example, in climate change impacts where analysts almost always<br />
use such models.
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institutions in the transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Mário Sérgio Vasconcelos 1<br />
The debate began to take shape in the 1970s and intensified at the turn of<br />
the century: there must be a limit to growth, since the economy is part of a<br />
system, planet Earth, whose equilibrium must be respected in the exploitation<br />
of its resources. The disruption of this equilibrium does not interest anyone<br />
in the long term. Therefore, the great forefront of sustainability is perhaps<br />
addressing how companies ought to take this context into account in their<br />
business models.<br />
Furthermore: a company’s good results do not guarantee the continuity of<br />
its business per se. More than just the bottom line of balance sheets, investors<br />
and society increasingly want to know what actions were necessary in order<br />
to achieve such results. In other words, sustainability is an integrated part of<br />
management and not a mere addendum.<br />
To financial institutions, the concern with sustainable development began<br />
in the 1980s. However, it was in the 1990s that the subject gained greater<br />
response, culminating in the launch of the Equator Principles, discussed<br />
below. Since then, a series of voluntary commitments, self-regulations and<br />
regulations have been encouraging banks to assume a sustainable role and<br />
include sustainability concepts in their management.<br />
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During the past decade, Brazilian financial institutions have adopted a series<br />
of practices aimed at incorporating sustainable elements into their activities,<br />
which transformed Brazil into a unique case among emerging countries, where<br />
institutions manage projects of environmental improvements related to their<br />
operations, promote community environmental education, and hire a growing<br />
number of staff specialized in environmental risk and opportunities. Many<br />
institutions consider socio-environmental aspects in credit approvals, promote<br />
training on socio-environmental issues related to business management for<br />
internal auditors and relationship managers of different divisions, such as<br />
wholesale business, asset management and compliance. Training managers<br />
and analysts to disseminate the socio-environmental risk policy and promoting<br />
the evaluation of socio-environmental risk in the entire credit area, is another<br />
1. Director of institutional relations at Brazilian Federation of Banks (FEBRABAN).
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common practice. Its objective is concerned with instructing teams to identify<br />
risks in economic groups and sectors considered critical, such as those related<br />
to the petroleum, chemicals, petrochemicals, pulp and steel.<br />
Brazilian banks have been aware of socio-environmental responsibility<br />
issues throughout the decade and massively adhered to international and<br />
national pacts. This adhesion is connected to the institutional positioning of<br />
the businesses, to the recognition of the importance of these pacts, to ethical<br />
posture, reputation and image. Some examples of these commitments, assumed<br />
gradually and to different extents by various Brazilian banks, are:<br />
• Equator Principles: launched in 2002 by ten of the world’s largest banks in<br />
project financing. They establish minimum criteria for credit extension to projects<br />
that require investments above R$ 10 million, to ensure that financed projects<br />
are developed in a socially and environmentally sustainable manner;<br />
• Global Compact: officially launched by the United Nations in 2000.<br />
Encourages businesses to adopt policies of corporate social responsibility<br />
and sustainability, and guides organizations in redefining their strategies and<br />
activities through ten principles in the areas of human rights, labor, environment<br />
and anti-corruption;<br />
• United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI):<br />
a partnership between UNEP and the global financial sector, enacted since<br />
1991, whose mission is identifying and promoting practical improvements<br />
related to sustainability. All members sign a declaration through which they<br />
commit themselves to increasingly integrate sustainable development in their<br />
operations;<br />
• Millennium Development Goals (MDG): the Millennium Development<br />
Goals (MDG) establish commitments approved by leaders from 191 United<br />
Nations member-states in 2000. There are eight millennium goals: to eradicate<br />
extreme poverty and hunger, achieve universal primary education, promote<br />
gender equality and empower women, reduce child mortality, improve maternal<br />
health, combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases, ensure environmental<br />
sustainability and establish a Global Partnership for Development. Collective<br />
efforts should guarantee the fulfillment of these objectives by 2015;<br />
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• Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI): one of the achievements<br />
of UNEP FI, in conjunction with the Global Compact, was the creation of<br />
the Principles of Responsible Investment (PRI) in 2006. The objective of<br />
this initiative is for investors all over the world to voluntarily incorporate<br />
environmental, social and corporate governance aspects at the time that their<br />
applications are executed. By April 2011, more than 850 investment institutions<br />
have become signatories;<br />
• Business Pact for Integrity and Against Corruption: launched in<br />
2006 during the Ethos International Conference, the pact contains a set of
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suggestions, directives and proceedings to be adopted by businesses and<br />
entities in their relations with government;<br />
• National Pact to Eradicate Slave Labor in Brazil: created in May 2005,<br />
the pact is coordinated and monitored by the Ethos Institute of Business and<br />
Social Responsibility, the Social Observatory Institute, the Brazil Reporter NGO<br />
and by the International Labor Organization. Its mission is to implement tools<br />
that inhibit the business sector and Brazilian society to market products from<br />
producers that utilize slave labor;<br />
• Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP): is a collective petition formulated by<br />
a group of 534 institutional investors responsible for the administration of an<br />
estimated US$ 64 trillion worth of assets. The project was designed so that<br />
businesses and investors all over the world would have access to information<br />
about the impacts caused by greenhouse gas emissions and climate change<br />
on company results. CDP is coordinated by a non-profit entity financed by<br />
the British government’s Carbon Trust, and a group of foundations led by the<br />
Rockefeller Foundation.<br />
The Green Protocol<br />
A more concrete step in the commitment of Brazilian private banks<br />
to sustainable finances was taken in April 2009, with the adoption of a<br />
protocol of intent by the Brazilian Bank Federation (FEBRABAN) and the<br />
Ministry of the Environment, known as the Green Protocol. The protocol is<br />
a fruit of the common effort to adopt socio-environmental policies that are<br />
precursory, multiplicative, demonstrative or examples of banking practices,<br />
and that are in harmony with the objective of promoting sustainable<br />
development.<br />
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To construct and implement a common sustainability agenda in the<br />
sector that is aligned with the principles and directives of the Green<br />
Protocol, FEBRABAN, with support from the Getulio Vargas Foundation<br />
(FGV), began the construction of a matrix of sustainability indicators for<br />
financial institutions in 2009. In addition to creating its own indicators,<br />
the project draws inspiration from other existing and recognized<br />
references in the market, such as the Global Reporting Initiative’s (GRI)<br />
financial services sector supplement, the Ethos/FEBRABAN indicators<br />
and the Securities, Commodities and Futures Exchange of Sao Paulo<br />
(BM&FBovespa) Business Sustainability Index (ISE) evaluation<br />
questionnaire. Besides the participation of associated banks, this process<br />
of collective construction counts on collaboration with representatives of<br />
civil society organizations.
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The objective is to offer a management tool that plots a diagnosis of<br />
individual and sectoral performances, which evaluates the contribution<br />
of banks to wealth generation that takes sustainability into account. The<br />
matrix is also intended to serve as an instrument of communicating with<br />
and accounting for society, including the development of new products<br />
and services that contribute to the rapid transition to a green and more<br />
inclusive economy. Banks should individually confirm their commitments to<br />
the directives of the Green Protocol. In 2009, the State Bank of Rio Grande<br />
do Sul, BIC Banco, Banco Sofisa, Banco Votorantim, Bancoob, BNP<br />
Paribas Brasil, Banrisul, Bradesco, Cacique, Citi, HSBC, Itaú Unibanco,<br />
Safra and Santander Brasil became signatories of the document.<br />
Various banks have also offered products focused on financing schemes,<br />
investment funds and loyalty cards with fees going to NGOs dedicated to<br />
environmental issues. The equity funds of the businesses that compose the<br />
Business Sustainability Index (ISE) are emblematic, as well as the financing<br />
programs for environmental conservation and recuperation that aim to improve<br />
and recuperate degraded legal reserves and permanent preservation areas.<br />
The progress of these “green” funds reveals the effectiveness and<br />
competence of businesses that adopt sustainable practices. In 2010, a weak<br />
year on the stock exchanges, funds registered as sustainable and governed<br />
by the Brazilian Association of Financial and Capital Market Entities (Anbima,<br />
representing 340 institutions acting in the financial and capital markets)<br />
presented an appreciation in quotations of 7.96%, compared to the 1.04%<br />
appreciation of the Stock Exchange Index.<br />
In the area of credit and financing, new environmental lines were created for<br />
financing reforestation, development of agroforestry systems and investment in<br />
renewable energy. Banks also offer credit lines for the acquisition of machinery<br />
and equipment at reduced interest rates for businesses that seek to develop<br />
cleaner production processes. To reduce environmental impacts, there are<br />
also programs aimed at remediation of hydrographic basins, environmental<br />
compensation, implementation and maintenance of Conservation Units,<br />
biodiesel use and organic production.<br />
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To evaluate and classify the socio-environmental risks of business lines, the<br />
most common tool used by banks is the socio-environmental questionnaire,<br />
which includes checking information related to compliance, environmental<br />
licensing requirements and site visits. There are banks that expand these<br />
evaluations by analyzing the potential socio-environmental risks of the client,<br />
sector or project, through practice management by specialized teams that<br />
carry out research of public information, consulting and independent audits
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Mário Sérgio Vasconcelos<br />
and, when necessary, through technical assistance for the financing of socioenvironmental<br />
improvements.<br />
To ensure that the client is in fact complying with the socio-environmental<br />
requirements stated in the contract, banks carry out environmental audits,<br />
technical visits, property evaluations, monitoring of credit portfolios and project<br />
reevaluations. Despite all these practices, the auditing process of socioenvironmental<br />
policies and risks is a challenge to the sector. Most banks do not<br />
carry out verifications focused on sustainability, but intend to implement it over<br />
the coming years. The objective is to prevent risks and promote the adoption<br />
of best practices among clients.<br />
Meanwhile, some banks have already developed this process for certain<br />
project lines, based on the Equator Principles. The emphasis is on the<br />
periodic application of the socio-environmental risk policy to the credit of a<br />
legal entity, under the technical supervision of the internal audit committee<br />
and the application of effectiveness tests. The results of these evaluations are<br />
reported to main executives, such as members of the board of directors and<br />
the sustainability committee.<br />
Training and engaging professionals in socio-environmental policies is<br />
another challenge to the incorporation and evaluation of sustainability criteria,<br />
and thus has become a strategic goal of business areas within banks. Among<br />
the main existing initiatives is conceptual and analytical socio-environmental risk<br />
training for relationship managers, internal auditors and analysts. However, a<br />
majority of banks have set objectives to expand training provisions to a greater<br />
portion of the internal public.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
It should be highlighted that this movement is not based on a do-gooder<br />
ethos, because risk and the management of risk, is at the core of the financial<br />
business. And environmental risk has an effective and growing impact on the<br />
four large risks faced by banking institutions – market risk, legal risk, operational,<br />
and most importantly, reputation risk. Reputation is perhaps the greatest asset<br />
of businesses that deal with an activity – financial intermediation – where trust<br />
and credibility are the difference between life and death. Just remember that<br />
the word credit comes from the Latin credere, believe, trust. During the last<br />
crisis, images of clients camping outside the UK bank Northern Rock circled the<br />
world, similar to the faded photos of the old bank runs so common in the 19th<br />
century and the beginning of the 20th century. Moreover, it is not by accident<br />
that research carried out by the consulting firm Accenture of senior executives<br />
around the world, revealed that 72% of those interviewed highlighted the<br />
importance of visible and authentic commitments to sustainability as an urgent<br />
necessity, in order to reconquer the confidence and reconstruct the reputation<br />
shattered by the international financial crisis.<br />
One example, however, illustrates the size of the role played by financial<br />
institutions as inducers of good practices in the sectors where they invest and
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Mário Sérgio Vasconcelos<br />
finance: the media increasingly holds banks co-responsible for the projects<br />
that they finance, such as the case of Belo Monte hydroelectric power plant.<br />
The whole world is looking at Brazil and wondering: how are the local and<br />
indigenous communities being treated? Are the environmental impacts being<br />
considered? This leads to the following question: are the business members<br />
of the consortium taking appropriate action? And finally: how are the banks<br />
positioning themselves in relation to all this?<br />
Just by this example we can assess the immense responsibility and why a<br />
proactive posture is decisive. Especially as many markets are being put in check<br />
nowadays. The energy model is one example, and we already observe how<br />
universities, research institutes and businesses are working to discover new<br />
technologies. The inclusion of the base of the pyramid is also challenging and<br />
large and small organizations are already positioning themselves and offering<br />
innovative solutions. Among the innumerable new companies that are surfacing,<br />
there are certainly embryos of large businesses that will be very profitable in<br />
ten years. The banks should be the propellants of these waves; they should<br />
understand the trends, promote, invest and finance these types of businesses,<br />
and thereby inducing the process of transitioning to a new economy.<br />
Leaders of financial institutions must be ready to take this turn. Presently<br />
Bloomberg and Reuters, for example, are creating mechanisms to help<br />
analysts in considering environmental, social and governance variables. But it<br />
is necessary to go farther. Each bank must recognize the impact of its portfolio<br />
of clients and have a strategic plan to make this transition. Being close to<br />
universities or incubators, for example, will help to identify the trends.<br />
All this to say that it is no longer suitable for banks to play a passive and<br />
purely monitoring role, but rather an active role of identifying entrepreneurs,<br />
technologies and new business models. Only then will we have a positive<br />
balance for all parts.<br />
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192<br />
GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Measurement in policies<br />
for transition to a green<br />
economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta 1<br />
Carolina Burle Schmidt Dubeux 2<br />
In t r o d u c t io n<br />
The report “Towards a green economy: pathways to sustainable development<br />
and poverty eradication”, produced by the United Nations Environment<br />
Programme (UNEP, 2011), seeks to demonstrate that sustainable development<br />
can be reached without losses in income and employment, or increases in<br />
poverty. Along these lines, the report models the macroeconomic effects<br />
(income, employment and consumption) of a green economy.<br />
The results of the growth models adopted in the report estimate that in the<br />
medium term (in the spam time of six years) investments in natural capital, in<br />
the magnitude of 2% of the global GDP between 2011 and 2050, will generate<br />
growth in clean sectors that would more than compensate the income and job<br />
losses in the constricting brown sectors. And that these investments also reduce<br />
the poverty levels of those that depend directly on environmental services. The<br />
green economy concept is not a substitute for sustainable development, but<br />
rather, instrumental to it.<br />
Financing these investments in a sustained manner requires regulations that<br />
cut perverse subsidies and the pricing of environmental goods and services,<br />
as well as a system of environmental indicators.<br />
In the following section we will discuss how sustainability theory incorporates<br />
the principles of a green economy. Lastly, we will outline briefly the basic<br />
strategies for the construction of a green economy in Brazil.<br />
Su s t a in a b il it y a n d g r e e n e c o n o m y 3<br />
The sustainable development concept was formally adopted in the Brundtland<br />
report (World Commission on Environment and Development, 1987) 4 . This<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
1. Senior Researcher at the Research Institute for Applied Economics (IPEA) and member of<br />
the IPCC 3rd and 5th Assessment Reports.<br />
2. Researcher at the Center for Integrated Studies on Environment and Climate Change (Centro<br />
Clima/COPPE/UFRJ) and member of the 5th Assessment Report..<br />
3. This section was based on Seroa da Motta (2011).<br />
4. The idea of making economic growth and nature compatible was already a recurrent theme<br />
before the publication of the Brundtland report, but the report was most successful in<br />
formalizing it.
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Carolina Dubeux<br />
document definitively introduced the idea that economic development should<br />
be undertaken without compromising the economic development of future<br />
generations.<br />
In a rather simplified way, the novelty of this approach of sustainable<br />
development, resides in the inclusion of an environmental dimension to the<br />
models of economic growth.<br />
The sustainability of economic growth was always a central question in<br />
development models. However, the development models adopted by countries<br />
over the past fifty years, only exceptionally referred to environmental issues<br />
as a restriction. The natural basis for the planning strategies was considered<br />
infinite, that is, as a capital factor without scarcity restrictions.<br />
Although the natural basis is intrinsically associated with the comparative<br />
advantages of economies in their international insertion, and closely associated<br />
with the subsistence activities of the poorest segments of the population, as in<br />
the majority of developing countries, there are few references to environmental<br />
issues in the economic development literature.<br />
Despite the finitude of these resources posing as an obstacle to the adopted<br />
development trajectory and generating significant social problems, the<br />
perception of scarcity does not exist in the design of these models. 5<br />
The sustainable development concept, though it may have several<br />
descriptions and its utilization in the communications media generally occurs in<br />
vague contexts, can be discussed objectively the same way that sustainability of<br />
economic growth is discussed when considering the importance of maintaining<br />
non-declining asset values in an economy. That is, sustainability in an economy<br />
occurs when its capital stock, that defines the future flow of goods and services,<br />
is maintained at least constant.<br />
The current sustainability issue only introduces the necessity of treating<br />
natural capital differently from material capital. A differentiation with a theoretic<br />
and methodological basis similar to that which introduced the theory of human<br />
and technological capital into these same models.<br />
The economic growth models developed in the 70’s, that analyzed the<br />
inter-temporal optimization of natural resources in production 6 , depended on<br />
hypotheses about the essentiality of resources and their impacts on the levels<br />
of growth in the economy.<br />
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According to Perrings et al. (1995), the essentiality of environmental resources<br />
can be analyzed by the degree of complementarity and substitution between<br />
natural capital and material capital among the possibilities of production and<br />
consumption in an economy. That is, the elasticity of substitution between these<br />
5. See for example, Dasgupta and Maller (1996) for an analysis of this gap in the literature.<br />
6. See Hartwick (1977), Solow (1978) and Dasgupta and Heal (1979).
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Carolina Dubeux<br />
two types of capital is what defines the degree of essentiality. The greater the<br />
elasticity of substitution, the less essential is the resource.<br />
In traditional models, it is assumed that the elasticity of substitution is greater<br />
than or equal to one. That is, the level of natural capital stock may decrease<br />
as long as the economy can make the compensatory investments in material<br />
capital.<br />
This is the well-known Solow-Hartwick rule, in which the sustainability of<br />
an economy, understood as the capacity of an economy to maintain a certain<br />
level of consumption, is determined by the capacity to avoid that revenues<br />
generated through the exploitation of non-renewable natural resources is<br />
wholly transformed into present consumption. Thus, it would suffice to reinvest<br />
part of the revenue generated from the exploitation of natural resources in the<br />
formation of capital, whether material or natural, equivalent to the consumption<br />
of natural capital 7 .<br />
According to these models, maintaining the total stock of capital “constant”<br />
over time is what matters in order to maximize welfare. 8<br />
Thus, environmental issues are not considered as relevant or restrictive to<br />
growth. What matters is the political capacity to immobilize part of the income<br />
resulting from the exploitation of natural resources.<br />
However, the capacity of ecosystems to generate services depends on<br />
maintaining certain ecosystem components, such as the population and food<br />
chain, within specific limits. Once these limits are surpassed, the ecosystem<br />
could enter into a collapse and its productivity become null. The definition of<br />
these limits identifies the limits to growth and, consequently, determines the<br />
sustainable growth trajectory of an economy.<br />
As such, it is prudent to identify the minimum secure levels or support capacities<br />
of the natural resources that are being utilized for the generation of revenue.<br />
Thereby we can define the critical natural capital as that where the level of<br />
consumption already exceeds its support capacity, and therefore productivity<br />
declines to zero. In these cases, the elasticity of substitution is less than one<br />
and the possibilities to substitute between natural and material capital tend to<br />
decline when the product grows.<br />
In these critical cases, a declining level of natural stock represents a nonsustainable<br />
trajectory and losses in welfare should be considered. Thus the<br />
consumption of this capital has to be negative, that is, it should be appreciated<br />
and not depreciated.<br />
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7. That is, the environmental costs are inferior to the resultant benefits or income generation<br />
could compensate or recuperate environmental losses and still add aggregate value to the<br />
economy.<br />
8. Beyond other restrictive hypotheses, such as: valuation of capital over time and a fixed<br />
discount rate over time.
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Carolina Dubeux<br />
The non-critical natural capital would be that where the stock level still has<br />
not reached its support capacity. In the meanwhile, this does not imply that<br />
the capital does not have a minimal level of security below which it becomes<br />
critical.<br />
However, the consumption of this capital can be compensated by investments<br />
in material capital without losses to welfare. Whether it be investing in the<br />
recuperation of rivers, contaminated areas or in controlling impacts, as in the<br />
case of climate change through mitigation and adaptation efforts.<br />
The hypothesis of very weak sustainability, “economic growth without<br />
environmental restrictions”, assumes that substitution possibilities are infinite,<br />
as long as the total capital stock in the economy does not decline. On the other<br />
extreme, the hypothesis of strong sustainability, of “zero growth”, assumes that<br />
there are no more substitution possibilities, since all forms of natural capital<br />
are critical and no more natural capital should be consumed.<br />
Intermediately is the hypothesis of weak sustainability, which distinguishes<br />
between the critical and non-critical forms of natural capital and determines<br />
differentiated treatments in accordance with the critical levels of identified stock.<br />
In this approach, technological progress is considered an agent of sustainability<br />
when it reduces the intensity of environmental consumption.<br />
Ultimately, sustainability would be possible with greater environmental<br />
efficiency resulting from (i) changes in production processes and product<br />
designs; (ii) changes in the structure of production and consumption; and (iii)<br />
reductions in the levels of production and consumption.<br />
In this spectrum, the green economy is characterized by a continuous<br />
increase in natural capital, that is, an appreciation and not a depreciation.<br />
This would enable lower levels of material intensity and less pollution per unit<br />
of revenue, which in turn would induce “detachment” / “decoupling”, or the<br />
separation of economic activity from environmental impacts.<br />
This proposition holds that economic policies aimed at natural capital<br />
can accelerate this detachment without reducing levels of consumption and<br />
production. To a certain extent, this possibility opposes that which claims that<br />
decoupling occurs spontaneously within the economic growth process when<br />
the economy reaches a threshold in income levels (Environmental Kuznets<br />
Curve – EKC) 9 .<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Presently, the challenge to constructing a green economy is creating<br />
institutional capacity to integrate environmental policies with economic policies,<br />
and a system of environmental indicators capable of measuring and monitoring<br />
the benefits of natural capital investments.<br />
9. See a critical revision of the EKC in Galeotti, Manera and Lanza (2009).
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GREEN ECONOMY<br />
Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Measurement in<br />
policies for transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Carolina Dubeux<br />
Go v e r n a n c e s t r a t e g i e s in a g r e e n e c o n o m y<br />
In the previous sections we have seen that in accordance with the theoretical<br />
economic assumptions, the appreciation of natural capital does not necessarily<br />
reduce the efficiency of an economy. Or better yet, the environmental costs<br />
generated by the inefficient exploitation of environmental resources reduce<br />
growth possibilities.<br />
Challenging conventional wisdom, environmental cost is not associated with<br />
poverty, but rather on the contrary, poverty is part of the environmental cost. It is<br />
common to observe constant references in the literature to population pressures<br />
on the environment 10 and that poverty exacerbates the pressure on the natural<br />
base of economies and thereby amplifies the environmental crisis. Evidence of<br />
this positive relation between poverty and degradation have been contested in<br />
the literature that measures the relationship between income and degradation in<br />
light of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis (see for example Heerink,<br />
Mulatu and Bulte, 2001) and Environmental Justice (see Acselrad, Herculano<br />
and Pádua, 2004 and Shepard and Cobin-Mark, 2009).<br />
For example, the lower consumption levels of the low-income population,<br />
especially of energy, generate low levels of greenhouse gases. Reports by the<br />
IPCC 11 , on the other hand, confirm that the lacking earnings capacity of this<br />
population results in a low adaptation capacity and that they will suffer most<br />
from the impacts of climate change.<br />
Seroa da Motta (2004) measures the contributions by income-level to water<br />
and air pollution in Brazil, and finds that the great concentration of degradation<br />
pressure comes from the consumption patterns of the richest people, which adds<br />
yet another negative aspect to the unequal distribution of income in Brazil.<br />
That is, degradation pressure comes mainly from the consumption patterns<br />
of the highest income classes, and relaxing environmental controls indirectly<br />
creates a subsidy for the consumption of the rich at the expense of the poor.<br />
Thus, the distribution of costs and benefits of environmental controls should<br />
be equitable. And the environmental issue can stop being a problem and instead<br />
turn into a solution. As such, it would be necessary to consolidate the real<br />
life scenarios previously described and design policy options that harmonize<br />
environmental and economic policies. Next, we will elaborate on some of these<br />
options, namely: systematizing environmental indicators, amplifying economic<br />
instruments and removing perverse incentives.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
10. This hypothesis stems from the seminal work of Ehrlich (1968), who introduces the concept<br />
of environmental risk due to population pressure, which became known as the “neomalthusian”<br />
thesis.<br />
11. See for example IPCC (2007).
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Measurement in<br />
policies for transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Carolina Dubeux<br />
Sy s t e m a t i z i n g e n v ir o n m e n t a l in d ic a t o r s<br />
The economic and ecological magnitudes of environmental issues are distinct<br />
and their relative importance must be outlined. Therefore, it is necessary to<br />
prioritize the objectives of political actions to construct a green economy.<br />
However, such efforts must come from inside the planning system with the<br />
objective of generating physiochemical indicators that evaluate the patterns of<br />
environmental resource use, associated with economic and social indicators<br />
that evaluate their connections to the real economy. 12<br />
A report by the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Commission that details an<br />
extensive analysis of measurements of economic performance and social<br />
progress, reveals that actions taken by decision-makers depend on what is<br />
measured, of how good the measurements are and how well the measurements<br />
are understood 13 .<br />
Essentials conditions to realize these initiatives are: a) the creation of<br />
an environmental statistics system that includes environmental indicators; and<br />
b) the establishment of a relationship between these and traditional economic<br />
and social indicators.<br />
Environmental indicators can reflect the pressure of economic activities<br />
(production and consumption) on the environment (such as, greenhouse gas<br />
emissions, consumption of renewable energy and deforestation rates) or the<br />
state of the environment (such as, concentration of pollutants in the atmosphere<br />
and water resources and levels of species extinction) 14 . These indicators thus<br />
permit specific evaluation of an environmental resource.<br />
A more general evaluation of environmental progress in a region or biome<br />
must rely on compounded environmental indexes that aggregate and synthesize<br />
environmental indicators of pressure and state, such as the “Environmental<br />
Sustainability Index” (ESI) or the “Environmental Performance Index” (EPI),<br />
as well as compounded indexes that measure “environmental footprints” (for<br />
example, the Ecological Footprint Index) 15 .<br />
Ultimately, there are indicators that correlate environmental indicators with<br />
economic indicators that measure production and consumption and are derived<br />
from a system of national accounts. A system of environmental accounts (SEA)<br />
has been proposed in order to include the environmental variable in the current<br />
system of national accounts (SNA). The performance of economic activities is<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
12. See Seroa da Motta (1996) for the evaluation of an effort to generate environmental<br />
indicators in Brazil.<br />
13. Stiglitz, Sen and Fitoussi (2009), p. 9.<br />
14. See OECD (1993) where the proposal for indicators in this category was first presented.<br />
15. See Stiglitz, Sen and Fitoussi (2009) for a detailed discussion of these indexes, especially<br />
the footprints that to the authors do not consider trade between countries, nor do they<br />
account for the substitution of natural capital for material capital, that is, environmental<br />
productivity gains over time.
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Measurement in<br />
policies for transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Carolina Dubeux<br />
reflected in the SNA by macroeconomic aggregates, such as the gross domestic<br />
product (GDP), investments and capital depreciation.<br />
The greater the stock of capital in an economy, the greater is its capacity<br />
to generate revenue. The GDP is the revenue generated by the economy.<br />
Investments represent how much capital the economy “created” in order<br />
to generate the GDP and, consequently are part of the GDP. Depreciation<br />
represents how much capital the economy “consumed” to generate the GDP<br />
and, consequently is not included in the GDP. Thus, the net domestic product<br />
(NDP) of an economy is the GDP minus the consumption of capital.<br />
These measurements from SNA are estimated based on the information<br />
collected by production units through survey research (for example, the census).<br />
As has been discussed, the use of natural capital generates costs that economic<br />
actors do not internalize in their activities. The SNA was not initially designed<br />
to capture the environmental costs associated with the depreciation of natural<br />
capital. Efforts have been made by the United Nations Statistics Division (see<br />
SEEA, 2003) to standardize a methodology that permits the estimation of the<br />
consumption of natural capital to be included in SNA in the form of a system<br />
of environmental accounts.<br />
Observe that the estimation of natural capital consumption generates an<br />
indicator of how much society is relying on its natural assets to generate<br />
revenue, i.e., swapping sustainability for present consumption. This indicator<br />
could offer good guidance for the environmental investment efforts necessary<br />
to maintain a sustainable level of natural capital. For example, the World Bank<br />
(World Bank, 2006) estimated an indicator of net savings or net adjusted<br />
savings to measure how much of national income is due to the consumption<br />
of natural capital.<br />
Determining the adequate level of sustainability has been one of the main<br />
problems in the valuation of natural capital consumption. For example, Seroa da<br />
Motta (1998) estimated that 2.40% of Brazil’s GDP in 2005 could be considered<br />
consumption of natural capital by weak sustainability criteria, but that this<br />
percentage could reach 29% in the case of a strong sustainability scenario.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
A System of Environmental Accounts is not limited to, for example, the<br />
measurement of a green GDP. The integration of all economic indicators<br />
from the National Accounts offers innumerable options of measurements<br />
of environmental performance. The most simple would be the intensity of<br />
environmental consumption (pollution emissions, energy, etc) per unit of revenue<br />
and consumption (national revenue, family incomes, government consumption,<br />
imports and exports) to those that are related to the formation of capital that<br />
measure the appreciations and depreciations of the natural capital stock 16 .<br />
16. In the case of measuring the consumption of natural capital, there are more complex and<br />
controversial conceptual and methodological issues related to the monetization of the value<br />
of the natural resource and its services. See SEEA (2003) and the chapter about valuation in<br />
this publication.
199<br />
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Measurement in<br />
policies for transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Carolina Dubeux<br />
Studies realized so far 17 also indicate that the contribution of the SNA<br />
for environmental management is strongly associated with the degree of<br />
disaggregation of the indicators in terms of sectors, locations and time.<br />
As such, the planning of a green economy must define an Environmental<br />
Indicators Plan to take immediate effect with a minimum and viable set of<br />
environmental indicators that can be, for example, already consolidated with<br />
administrative registers from environmental agencies (organized for monitoring<br />
and supervision, such as inventories of emissions, flora and fauna) and from<br />
existing continuous research that investigate environmental aspects (sanitation,<br />
solid waste, deforestation, etc).<br />
To summarize, without knowledge of the natural basis and how it transforms<br />
in relation to economic activities, all and any efforts towards a green economy<br />
cannot be conducted nor verified.<br />
Am p l i f y i n g e c o n o m ic in s t r u m e n t s<br />
The structural change in the economy in the direction of green sectors<br />
will require the correct pricing of environmental goods and services to reflect<br />
their true opportunity costs. This price correction can be done with economic<br />
instruments for collections (tax or payments) through environmental resource<br />
use or through creating markets for use rights.<br />
Beyond the aspect of generating efficiency, these instruments can generate<br />
additional fiscal or administrative revenue to: a) finance the institutional<br />
capacity building of environmental agencies; b) realize environmental payments<br />
or compensation; and c) when designed in a progressive way, implement<br />
compensatory policies to alleviate environmental impacts on the poor 18 .<br />
As such, the first condition is the consolidation and codification of environmental<br />
legislation and the creation of the legal space to adopt instruments. The second<br />
is the recognition of the fiscal space of these instruments in the tax system.<br />
However, their amplified use should be cautious due to the associated<br />
technical and administrative difficulties. Flexibility, institutional compatibilization,<br />
gradualism and participation of stakeholders should be criteria to be respected<br />
in their introduction.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
Before any attempts to develop an economic instrument, regulators should<br />
first analyze the political objectives and the current state of the natural resource<br />
use. This is an obvious step, although frequently overlooked, especially<br />
when regulators are anxious to transfer a “good” experience of a certain<br />
instrument applied in another country. Regulators should first make explicit the<br />
environmental policy and its objectives for which the economic instrument will<br />
17. See a recent review in Stigliz, Sen and Fitoussi (2009).<br />
18. See, for example, Seroa da Motta (2006).
200<br />
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opportunities<br />
Measurement in<br />
policies for transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Carolina Dubeux<br />
be used. Note that an instrument is a means and therefore cannot substitute<br />
the objectives of the policies. In summary, an instrument is intended to serve<br />
a policy, not the other way around.<br />
Re m o v i n g p e r v e r s e in c e n t iv e s<br />
The greatest challenge to the planning of a green economy will be in the<br />
adjustments to be made to economic instruments that are currently used or<br />
under development by economic, social and sectoral policies. The inclusion<br />
of the environmental issue in these policies is crucial to eliminate perverse<br />
incentives in the use of environmental resources, which contradict and/or annul<br />
the efforts of pricing and preserving environmental resources. Among these<br />
policies, we highlight:<br />
a) those aimed at natural resources and infrastructure, such as energy, water<br />
supply, roads and others;<br />
b) typically sectoral ones, such as the expansion of farming, cattle raising<br />
and industry;<br />
c) those of a macroeconomic nature, aimed at stimulating exports, generating<br />
employment and investments;<br />
d) those with structural content, such as agrarian reform and privatizations;<br />
and<br />
e) those with a distributive objective, that stimulate small businesses, urban<br />
settlements and others.<br />
The removal of perverse incentives in the construction of a green economy<br />
will only be viable through a joint effort between the system of environmental<br />
regulation and sectoral regulations that enable commitments to diagnose,<br />
evaluate and route the actions of redefining these sectoral policies.<br />
The uncertainty of various environmental impacts vis-a-vis the desired<br />
benefits can, in some cases, certainly lead to indeterminate decisions.<br />
However, a common and participative effort contributes to pinpoint these<br />
areas of uncertainty, evaluate the costs and eliminate distorted perceptions.<br />
Only then will a less costly and more efficient adjustment to these policies be<br />
possible. To summarize, in these cases of indetermination and uncertainty,<br />
the recommended posture would be to identify losers and winners, and their<br />
losses and gains resulting from the environmental impacts as well as possible<br />
mitigative and compensatory actions.<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
In conclusion, the options that were briefly outlined here confirm the<br />
hypothesis that environmental regulation should not be understood as a problem<br />
and, beyond being a solution, it can represent a source of economic and social<br />
benefits for Brazil in the 21st century through a green economy that generates<br />
growth with preservation and alleviates poverty.
201<br />
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Challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
Measurement in<br />
policies for transition<br />
to a green economy<br />
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta<br />
Carolina Dubeux<br />
Nº 8 • June 2011<br />
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