Gateshead and Newcastle Strategic Housing Market Assessment

Gateshead & Newcastle Strategic Housing Market Assessment ‐ 2010
CONTENTS
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY............................................................................................................................9
1.1 INTRODUCTION............................................................................................................................................9
1.2 UNDERSTANDING THE HOUSING MARKET .........................................................................................................9
1.3 MIGRATION & COMMUTING PATTERNS......................................................................................................... 10
1.4 THE NEWCASTLE AND GATESHEAD MARKET ................................................................................................... 10
1.5 THE ECONOMIC CONTEXT........................................................................................................................... 11
1.6 POPULATION PROJECTIONS ......................................................................................................................... 12
1.7 FUTURE POPULATION CHANGE..................................................................................................................... 13
1.8 THE ACTIVE HOUSING MARKET.................................................................................................................... 14
1.9 THE CURRENT HOUSING STOCK ................................................................................................................... 15
1.10 MAKING BEST USE OF THE STOCK................................................................................................................. 17
1.11 THE NEEDS OF SPECIFIC HOUSEHOLD GROUPS................................................................................................ 17
1.12 HOUSEHOLDS WITH SUPPORT NEEDS ............................................................................................................ 17
1.13 THE HOUSING NEEDS OF OLDER PEOPLE ....................................................................................................... 18
1.14 BLACK & MINORITY ETHNIC (BME) HOUSEHOLDS .......................................................................................... 18
1.15 GYPSY AND TRAVELLERS AND TRAVELLING SHOWPEOPLE .................................................................................. 19
1.16 STUDENTS ............................................................................................................................................... 19
1.17 FUTURE HOUSING DEMAND........................................................................................................................ 19
1.18 AFFORDABLE HOUSING NEED AND SUPPLY..................................................................................................... 20
1.19 KEY ISSUES FOR FUTURE STRATEGY AND DELIVERY........................................................................................... 22
1.20 KEY RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................................................................................... 23
1.21 PROPERTY SIZE TARGETS ............................................................................................................................ 24
2 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................25
2.1 BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT TO THE NEWCASTLE GATESHEAD SHMA................................................................ 25
2.2 PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION ....................................................................................................................... 25
2.3 THE TYNE & WEAR SHMA......................................................................................................................... 25
2.4 WHAT IS A STRATEGIC HOUSING MARKET ASSESSMENT?.................................................................................. 26
2.5 THE SHMA GUIDANCE .............................................................................................................................. 26
2.6 ENSURING A ROBUST AND CREDIBLE SHMA .................................................................................................. 28
2.7 THE HOUSING MARKET PARTNERSHIP........................................................................................................... 29
2.8 THE NEWCASTLE AND GATESHEAD OFFICER PROJECT TEAM .............................................................................. 30
2.9 THE SHMA REPORT STRUCTURE ................................................................................................................. 30
2.10 DATA SOURCES......................................................................................................................................... 32
2.11 DATA BENCHMARKING............................................................................................................................... 32
2.12 GLOSSARY OF TERMS ................................................................................................................................. 33
3 THE CURRENT LOCAL HOUSING MARKET...............................................................................................34
3.1 INTRODUCTION......................................................................................................................................... 34
3.2 IDENTIFYING HOUSING MARKET BOUNDARIES ................................................................................................ 34
3.3 THE NORTH EAST REGIONAL CONTEXT .......................................................................................................... 35
3.4 HOUSING MARKET BOUNDARIES IN THE NORTH EAST REGION........................................................................... 36
3.5 MIGRATION PATTERNS............................................................................................................................... 37
3.6 TRAVEL TO WORK PATTERNS....................................................................................................................... 43
3.7 THE NEWCASTLE AND GATESHEAD MARKET ................................................................................................... 44
4 GATESHEAD & NEWCASTLE STRATEGIC CONTEXT..................................................................................45
4.2 THE GATESHEAD AND NEWCASTLE STRATEGIC RELATIONSHIP ............................................................................ 45
4.3 HOUSING ALLOCATION............................................................................................................................... 46
4.4 HOMELESSNESS ........................................................................................................................................ 47
4.5 EMPTY PROPERTIES ................................................................................................................................... 49
4.6 SUPPORTING PEOPLE ................................................................................................................................. 49
4.7 THE PRIVATE SECTOR................................................................................................................................. 51
4.8 THE NEEDS OF SPECIFIC HOUSEHOLD GROUPS................................................................................................ 51
4.9 REGENERATION......................................................................................................................................... 53
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