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JUNE 2013 - FEAS

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FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT <strong>JUNE</strong> <strong>2013</strong><br />

GEORGIAN STOCK EXCHANGE<br />

CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT<br />

AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK<br />

Mark Griffiths, IMF Mission Chief for Georgia<br />

commenting on <strong>2013</strong> economic outlook for<br />

Georgia noted: “GDP growth could reach 6<br />

percent. This forecast is subject to risks. On<br />

the upside, there is the possibility of increased<br />

trade with Russia and of new sources of foreign<br />

investment. However, if the current uncertainty<br />

persists or demand from trading partners falters,<br />

then growth could be lower. Strong domestic<br />

policies and communication are needed to<br />

instill confidence and to reassure markets that<br />

the new government is committed to prudent<br />

macroeconomic policies and further enhancing<br />

Georgia’s business-friendly environment.<br />

“Inflation has remained very low in 2012 due<br />

to the earlier nominal appreciation of the lari<br />

against currencies of Georgia’s main trading<br />

partners, and declines in food prices over<br />

the last 12 months. As the impact of these<br />

temporary factors wears off, the mission<br />

projects that inflation will increase from -0.5<br />

percent in November to 4 percent by end-<br />

<strong>2013</strong>, and gradually move toward the medium<br />

term inflation objective of the National Bank of<br />

Georgia (NBG). The mission considers that the<br />

monetary policy stance, including the recent cut<br />

in official interest rates, is broadly appropriate<br />

and consistent with the projected rise in<br />

inflation.<br />

“The draft <strong>2013</strong> budget is socially oriented yet<br />

prudent. It increases social spending to protect<br />

the most vulnerable, while continuing with the<br />

path of fiscal consolidation. The fiscal deficit is<br />

projected to decline to 2.8 percent of GDP in<br />

<strong>2013</strong>. This will facilitate external adjustment and<br />

create room for countercyclical fiscal policy.<br />

This is consistent with the medium-term strategy<br />

to bring the deficit down to about 1π percent<br />

of GDP by 2016 and should keep Georgia’s<br />

government’s debt-to-GDP ratio on a firm<br />

downward path.”<br />

As for the business climate in the country, the<br />

country has made remarkable strides over<br />

the last few years—the World Bank’s Doing<br />

Business Index ranks Georgia as 9th in the<br />

world, first in Eastern Europe and Central Asia<br />

and first among lower middle-income countries.<br />

In the program of the Georgian Dream - the<br />

2012 parliamentary elections winner coalition<br />

and respectively in the new Government’s<br />

plans important place is devoted to further<br />

improvement of the investment environment<br />

and implementation of the pension reform in<br />

the country. This provides grounds for optimism<br />

and new momentum for development of the<br />

Georgian capital market.<br />

Key Information Contacts<br />

National Bank of Georgia www.nbg.gov.ge<br />

Ministry of Finance of Georgia www.mof.ge<br />

Georgian Central Securities Depository www.gcsd.ge<br />

Georgian Corporate Directors Association www.gcda.ge<br />

CONTACT INFORMATION<br />

Contact Name Mr. George Loladze E-mail info@gse.ge Website www.gse.ge<br />

PAGE 45

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