JUNE 2013 - FEAS
JUNE 2013 - FEAS
JUNE 2013 - FEAS
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FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT <strong>JUNE</strong> <strong>2013</strong><br />
TEHRAN STOCK EXCHANGE<br />
CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT<br />
AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK<br />
In 2012, the second phase of Iran’s Targeted<br />
Subsidy Program was not implemented, due to<br />
the considerable increasing in national liquidity<br />
and inflation rate through the first phase.<br />
Following this, reforming subsidies on energy<br />
carriers was postponed.<br />
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by the current<br />
price has been $ 496 billion during 2012 with an<br />
annual growth of 0.4%. Additionally, the inflation<br />
rate in October 2012 was 24.9% comparing the<br />
same month of the last year.<br />
According to the Iranian Central Bank (CBI)<br />
report on 27 October, growth of Monetary Base<br />
from 23/7/2011 to 22/7/2012 has been 24%;<br />
while it was 10.5% in the same period of the last<br />
year (23/7/2010 - 23/7/2011).<br />
During this period, the liquidity growth has also<br />
been 25.5% compared to 21.5% for the same<br />
time in the last year.<br />
Liquidity was IRR 392 trillion at the end of July<br />
2012 which has increased by IRR 40,400 billion<br />
in about four months.<br />
Reviewing the changes in the Mandatory Base<br />
components during a 50-month period, ended<br />
to 20 August 2012, indicates that rising of the<br />
banks’ debt to the Central Bank (Central Bank’s<br />
receivables from banks) is the most important<br />
item in growth of the index during the period.<br />
As the CBI’s report (27 Oct. 2012) shows, the<br />
banks’ debt has grown 10.8% during the period,<br />
from 20 March to 22 August 2012.<br />
The other effective factor on the Mandatory<br />
Base growth is the increasing of the<br />
government’s debt to the Central Bank.<br />
Besides, according to the Central Bank’s report<br />
on 27 November 2012, Iran’s export in the first<br />
3-month of the last Persian year (20 March to<br />
20 June 2011), has been $38,751 million, and<br />
in the same time in 2012, it has been $25,918<br />
million, which shows a 33.1% decline.<br />
Iran’s Import in the same time has been $17,816<br />
million in 2011 and $16,043 million in 2012,<br />
which shows a 10% drop.<br />
(1 US$= IRR 12,260, December 2012 - http://cbi.ir)<br />
ECONOMIC CHARTS AND TABLES<br />
Average<br />
Estimation<br />
2000-05 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Real GDP Growth (Annual Change;%) 5.5 5.8 10.8 0.6 3.5 3.2 2.5 3.4<br />
Consumer Price Inflation (Year Average;%) 13.5 11.9 18.4 25.4 10.8 12.4 22.5 12.5<br />
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) 5.1 9.3 10.5 6.5 3 6 7.8 7.1<br />
Real GDP Growth (Annual Change;%) 5.5 5.8 10.8 0.6 3.5 3.2 2.5 3.4<br />
Oil and Non-Oil Real GDP Growth (Annual Change;%) 5.9 6.2 11.4 0.9 4.3 3.6 2.6 3.5<br />
Current Oil Production and Exports (Million barrels day) 3.7 4 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7<br />
Consumer Price Inflation (Year Average;%) 13.5 11.9 18.4 25.4 10.8 12.4 22.5 12.5<br />
General Government Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) 2.9 2.3 7.4 0.7 1 1.7 2.4 1<br />
General Government Non-Oil Fiscal Balance (% of Non-Oil GDP) -17.8 -25.3 -18.1 -26.1 -15.2 -16.5 -16.8 -16.1<br />
General Government Non-Oil Revenue (% of Non-Oil GDP) 10.1 12.4 12.8 14.1 12.5 10.8 12.1 11.9<br />
Exports of Goods and Services (Billion U.S Dollars) 41.4 82.3 105.2 109.9 95.6 116.5 137.1 140.8<br />
Imports of Goods and Services (Billion U.S Dollars) 35.4 62.1 73.9 88.4 85 92.4 100.3 105.1<br />
Current Account Balance (Billion U.S dollars) 605 20.6 32.6 22.9 10.9 24.4 36.9 35.2<br />
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) 5.1 9.3 10.5 6.5 3 6 7.8 7.1<br />
Gross Official Reserves (Billion U.S dollars) 25.9 60.5 82.9 79.6 78 78.9 104.6 138.7<br />
Source: IMF, Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, October 2011<br />
Key Information Contacts<br />
Tehran Stock Exchange Corporation www.iranbourse.com<br />
Securities and Exchange Organization www.seo.ir<br />
Iranian Privatization Organization www.en.ipo.ir<br />
TSE’s Technology Management Company http://english.tsetmc.com<br />
Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran www.cbi.ir<br />
Iranian Chamber of Commerce, Industries and Mines (ICCIM) www.iccim.com<br />
Organization for Investment, Economic & technical Assistance (OIETAI) a division of the Ministry of Finance www.investiniran.ir<br />
Iran Farabourse www.irfarabourse.com<br />
Central Securities Depository of Iran (CSDI) www.csdieng.com<br />
Iran Mercantile Exchange http://ime.co.ir<br />
CONTACT INFORMATION<br />
Contact Name Mr. Amir Yousefianpour E-mail int@tse.ir Website www.iranbourse.com<br />
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