the new petro power paradigm - Diplomat Magazine
the new petro power paradigm - Diplomat Magazine
the new petro power paradigm - Diplomat Magazine
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DIPLOMATICA|Foreign Affairs<br />
Six essential steps: How John Baird can succeed as<br />
Canada's foreign minister<br />
Fen Osler Hampson<br />
John Baird hit <strong>the</strong> ground running<br />
as Canada’s <strong>new</strong> foreign minister.<br />
Within days of his appointment late<br />
last spring, he was off on a secret mission<br />
to Libya to meet with key rebel leaders<br />
of its Transitional National Council. That<br />
trip was immediately followed by meetings<br />
in Turkey, China, Indonesia, <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />
and Mexico.<br />
Unlike his predecessor, Lawrence<br />
Cannon, Mr. Baird enjoys close personal<br />
ties with Prime Minister Stephen Harper<br />
and his wife, Laureen. More important,<br />
Canada’s <strong>new</strong>est foreign minister seems<br />
to have <strong>the</strong> complete trust and confidence<br />
of his boss. His trip to China, for<br />
example, was taken at his own initiative,<br />
not <strong>the</strong> PMO’s. Not since Lloyd Axworthy<br />
paraded <strong>the</strong> halls of “Fort Pearson” (<strong>the</strong><br />
nickname for <strong>the</strong> dark brown concrete slab<br />
that houses <strong>the</strong> foreign ministry) has a<br />
foreign minister enjoyed <strong>the</strong> kind of political<br />
access, self-confidence and freedom of<br />
maneuver that Baird apparently has. He is<br />
very much his own man.<br />
Nor has Mr. Baird’s energy, friendly demeanour<br />
and obvious desire to engage Ottawa’s<br />
diplomatic corps gone unnoticed.<br />
As one ambassador Tweeted recently,<br />
“Baird saw more heads of mission in his<br />
first two weeks [on <strong>the</strong> job] than Lawrence<br />
Cannon did during his entire time as foreign<br />
minister.”<br />
With Mr. Baird at <strong>the</strong> helm, Canada’s<br />
own diplomatic corps, which has long felt<br />
marginalized and demoralized, is now<br />
back in <strong>the</strong> game. There were some snickers<br />
when Mr. Baird personally ordered <strong>the</strong><br />
replacement of two paintings by Quebec<br />
painter Alfred Pellan hanging in <strong>the</strong> main<br />
16<br />
fen Osler hAmpson<br />
Foreign Minister John Baird met with U.S.<br />
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in August<br />
in Washington.<br />
lobby of <strong>the</strong> Pearson building with a portrait<br />
of Her Majesty <strong>the</strong> Queen. His monarchist<br />
sentiments are now on full display<br />
on what is irreverently referred to as “<strong>the</strong><br />
Sovereign Wall.”<br />
Does Mr. Baird have <strong>the</strong> right stuff to<br />
be a good (if not great) foreign minister?<br />
Does he have <strong>the</strong> makings of a Lester<br />
Pearson, a Joe Clark, or even a Lloyd Axworthy?<br />
Only time will tell but it is worth<br />
reflecting now on some critical ingredients<br />
of success.<br />
1. “The sun’s rays do not burn unless<br />
brought to a focus,” said <strong>the</strong> great inventor<br />
Alexander Graham Bell. The same is<br />
true of <strong>the</strong> great engine of diplomacy and<br />
<strong>the</strong> kind of concentrated leadership that is<br />
necessary to leave a lasting footprint.<br />
Whatever one’s views about Lloyd<br />
Axworthy, he was a successful foreign<br />
minister because he had a clear agenda<br />
and was relentless in pursuing a small<br />
number of clearly defined initiatives —<br />
<strong>the</strong> global campaign to ban anti-personnel<br />
landmines, <strong>the</strong> establishment of <strong>the</strong> International<br />
Criminal Court and <strong>the</strong> rights<br />
of war-affected women and children. Joe<br />
Clark had similar success in leaving his<br />
mark as a champion — along with Brian<br />
Mulroney — of opposing apar<strong>the</strong>id in<br />
South Africa and stepping up to <strong>the</strong> plate<br />
to relieve famine in <strong>the</strong> Horn of Africa.<br />
It is too easy for a foreign minister to<br />
DFAIT<br />
become hostage to multiple and competing<br />
demands from <strong>the</strong> bureaucracy and<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r interests. If pulled in too many directions,<br />
Mr. Baird could find his mission<br />
difficult to achieve, especially because he<br />
will also need a long-term vision ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />
than a sole focus on securing immediate,<br />
measurable results.<br />
2. According to Henry Kissinger, “No<br />
foreign policy — no matter how ingenious<br />
— has any chance of success if it is<br />
born in <strong>the</strong> minds of a few and carried in<br />
<strong>the</strong> hearts of none.” Kissinger understood<br />
that in a democracy, a successful foreign<br />
policy must be sold not just to one’s boss,<br />
but also to <strong>the</strong> bureaucracy and <strong>the</strong> wider<br />
public. Mr. Baird is a good communicator;<br />
he will have to shape and articulate his<br />
message. He will also have to work with,<br />
ra<strong>the</strong>r than be at odds with, <strong>the</strong> bureaucracy.<br />
No foreign minister, no matter how<br />
good, can accomplish anything great or<br />
lasting without getting <strong>the</strong> bureaucracy<br />
excited and engaged.<br />
3. During <strong>the</strong>ir years as a minority<br />
government, <strong>the</strong> Conservatives acquired<br />
a reputation for excessive partisan zeal<br />
even when it came to foreign policy. Now<br />
that <strong>the</strong>y are in a majority, Mr. Baird might<br />
heed <strong>the</strong> advice of former Michigan Republican<br />
Senator Arthur Vandenberg who<br />
wisely remarked that foreign policy and<br />
national security “should be put ahead<br />
of partisan advantage.” “Politics,” he famously<br />
said, “stops at <strong>the</strong> water’s edge.”<br />
4. Mr. Baird will work <strong>the</strong> levers of<br />
Canada’s influence in <strong>the</strong> world. There is<br />
no great mystery here. Yet, it is remarkable<br />
how governments sometimes forget<br />
where our real influence lies. As Canada’s<br />
former ambassador to Washington, Derek<br />
Burney, wrote some years ago, “To have<br />
influence of any kind, Canada must start<br />
from a position of mutual trust [with our<br />
key trading partner and ally, <strong>the</strong> United<br />
States] as well as have something sensible<br />
to say.”<br />
During <strong>the</strong> Mulroney era, Canada<br />
stood tall on <strong>the</strong> world stage not only<br />
because we had Washington’s ear, but<br />
also because our leaders offered wise and<br />
sensible counsel. Recall Brian Mulroney’s<br />
prudent advice to George H.W. Bush<br />
FALL 2011 | OCT-NOV-DEC