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Economic impact assessment of the CCPMO: Final report - CIPD

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Section 4<br />

The economic return to pr<strong>of</strong>essional qualifications<br />

We can use <strong>the</strong>se results to estimate <strong>the</strong> earnings associated with different<br />

qualifications across an individual’s career. To ensure that <strong>the</strong> analysis<br />

adheres to best practice (as laid out in HM Treasury Green Book) it is<br />

necessary to factor in real earnings growth to account for <strong>the</strong> fact that, as <strong>the</strong><br />

economy evolves and workers (at all qualification levels) become more<br />

productive, it would be expected that real earnings will increase. In o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

words, we would expect a 25 year old in 20 years time to achieve higher real<br />

earnings than a 45 year old now. We <strong>the</strong>refore augment earnings by 2% per<br />

annum.<br />

The results are displayed in Figure 9. This indicates that pr<strong>of</strong>essional<br />

qualifications and membership <strong>of</strong> a pr<strong>of</strong>essional institute provide individuals<br />

with significant returns in terms <strong>of</strong> higher wages, even when o<strong>the</strong>r personal<br />

characteristics are controlled for. Importantly, when considering <strong>the</strong>se results,<br />

it should be noted that this refers only to <strong>the</strong> estimated wages that<br />

individuals would earn if <strong>the</strong>y were employed, ra<strong>the</strong>r than <strong>the</strong> average across<br />

<strong>the</strong> entire working-age population (i.e. incorporating individuals that are<br />

unemployed or economically inactive). This is considered fur<strong>the</strong>r overleaf.<br />

London <strong>Economic</strong>s<br />

December 2008 30

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