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Economic impact assessment of the CCPMO: Final report - CIPD

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Section 4<br />

The economic return to pr<strong>of</strong>essional qualifications<br />

4.4.3 Assessing <strong>the</strong> lifetime benefits<br />

The analysis above indicates that pr<strong>of</strong>essional qualifications and membership<br />

<strong>of</strong> a pr<strong>of</strong>essional institute are associated with significant benefits in terms <strong>of</strong><br />

higher wages. In this section, we quantify <strong>the</strong>se benefits, and place <strong>the</strong>m in<br />

present value terms (i.e. <strong>the</strong> value to an individual in today’s money terms).<br />

As mentioned above, in estimating <strong>the</strong> lifetime benefits, it is also important to<br />

account for <strong>the</strong> fact that as well as affecting wages, qualifications also affect<br />

<strong>the</strong> labour market outcomes achieved (i.e. <strong>the</strong> probability <strong>of</strong> being employed).<br />

We estimate this effect using a series <strong>of</strong> non-linear regressions 32 where <strong>the</strong><br />

dependent variable was whe<strong>the</strong>r or not <strong>the</strong> individual was employed and <strong>the</strong><br />

independent variables consist <strong>of</strong> a range <strong>of</strong> personal and regional<br />

characteristics.<br />

The results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se estimates are displayed in Table 6. There is evidence <strong>of</strong><br />

significant <strong>impact</strong>s on <strong>the</strong> probability <strong>of</strong> being employed for some, although<br />

not all, age groups. This is particularly true for women, with <strong>the</strong> results<br />

suggesting that holding pr<strong>of</strong>essional qualifications is associated with an<br />

increase in <strong>the</strong> probability <strong>of</strong> being employed by up to 14 percentage points.<br />

Table 6: Employment probabilities by qualification level (additional<br />

probability <strong>of</strong> being employed)<br />

Men<br />

Women<br />

Pr<strong>of</strong>essional<br />

qualifications<br />

Membership <strong>of</strong><br />

pr<strong>of</strong>. institute<br />

Pr<strong>of</strong>essional<br />

qualifications<br />

Membership <strong>of</strong><br />

pr<strong>of</strong>. institute<br />

25-29 0.07 0.00 0.12 0.00<br />

30-34 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00<br />

35-39 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.11<br />

40-44 0.03 0.00 0.05 0.00<br />

45-49 0.03 0.00 0.06 0.00<br />

50-54 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.00<br />

55-59 0.03 0.00 0.09 0.20<br />

60-64 0.06 0.00 n.a. n.a.<br />

Note: The results indicate <strong>the</strong> additional probability <strong>of</strong> being employed, given that <strong>the</strong> particular<br />

qualification is held. For instance, a 45-49 year-old man with pr<strong>of</strong>essional qualifications is estimated to be 3<br />

percentage points more likely to be employed than a man without such qualifications. Results set equal to<br />

zero if not statistically significant at a 10% significance level.<br />

Source: London <strong>Economic</strong>s based on Labour Force Survey.<br />

32<br />

In this case, we estimated a probit model since <strong>the</strong> dependent variable is binary (0, 1) ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

continuous as in <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> earnings.<br />

London <strong>Economic</strong>s<br />

December 2008 32

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