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Manitoba and the Emerging Bioeconomy

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Poyry analysis 1<br />

•It is expected that second-generation biofuels can compete when crude<br />

oil prices are EUR 46-77 per barrel (VIEWLS 2005).<br />

production costs will be influenced by future fuel specifications,<br />

end-use issues <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r aspects such as by-product markets.<br />

If <strong>the</strong> development <strong>and</strong> scale-up of second-generation biofuels<br />

is successful <strong>and</strong> biomass becomes <strong>and</strong> remains cheaply<br />

available, second-generation biofuels can compete at about<br />

EUR 31 per barrel.<br />

All second-generation biofuels are still in <strong>the</strong> R&D/pilot phase <strong>and</strong> are<br />

not yet available on <strong>the</strong> market because of technical limitations.<br />

Compared to first-generation biofuels, cellulosic bioethanol, FT biodiesel<br />

<strong>and</strong> HTU diesel are expected to yield far higher reductions in<br />

greenhouse gas emissions.<br />

The main environmental drawback of second-generation biofuels<br />

concerns <strong>the</strong> sources of <strong>the</strong> biomass required<br />

waste streams vs. cultivated<br />

PAGE 24<br />

Source PIRA, 2007

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