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Volume I - Finance - Government of Newfoundland and Labrador

Volume I - Finance - Government of Newfoundland and Labrador

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22<br />

UNDERSTANDING THE FINANCIAL HEALTH OF THE PROVINCE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR<br />

KEY INDICATORS<br />

• Key indicators included in this document provide a more complete picture <strong>of</strong> the Province’s<br />

financial position at 31 March 2010.<br />

• The common key indicators included herein were primarily identified in a research report issued<br />

by the Canadian Institute <strong>of</strong> Chartered Accountants entitled Indicators <strong>of</strong> <strong>Government</strong> Financial<br />

Condition. These indicators, which are used in assessing a government’s financial health in the<br />

context <strong>of</strong> the overall economic <strong>and</strong> financial environment, can be summarized under the<br />

headings <strong>of</strong> flexibility, sustainability <strong>and</strong> vulnerability.<br />

• While there are no established public sector benchmarks for these indicators, one can assess the<br />

Province’s financial condition through a comparison <strong>of</strong> previous years’ indicators.<br />

• Gross Domestic Product (GDP) <strong>and</strong> population figures were obtained from <strong>Newfoundl<strong>and</strong></strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Labrador</strong> Statistics Agency’s website. Figures used were the latest non-forecasted information<br />

available as <strong>of</strong> 31 March 2010. The figures used in the 2010 <strong>and</strong> 2009 analysis were the most<br />

recently available for each respective year.<br />

Flexibility<br />

Flexibility refers to the degree to which a government can respond to rising commitments by either<br />

exp<strong>and</strong>ing its revenues or increasing its debt. Indicators <strong>of</strong> flexibility include:<br />

a) Province’s Interest Cost as a Percentage <strong>of</strong> Revenues<br />

• This ratio measures the extent to which past borrowings may impact the Province’s ability to<br />

provide for the economic <strong>and</strong> social needs <strong>of</strong> its citizens.<br />

• The following graph indicates that the Province’s interest costs as a percentage <strong>of</strong> revenues has<br />

increased in 2010 to 12.2%. The increase in the current year is a result <strong>of</strong> a decrease in revenue,<br />

primarily the Atlantic Accord (2005), combined with an increase in debt expenses from 2009.<br />

Over the past five years, the Province’s interest costs as a percentage <strong>of</strong> revenues has decreased<br />

from 17.0% in 2006. This reduction is mainly attributable to the Province’s increasing revenue<br />

base since 2006, as well as its decreasing interest costs.<br />

• The average <strong>of</strong> this ratio over the past five years is 12.5%. Although declining, interest costs<br />

continue to remain a significant expense incurred by the Province.

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