Energy - IUCN

Gilgit is designated as 'A1' load centre. It is the seat of NA and Gilgit district and
the largest city of the region. It is also important for tourist traffic and commercial
relations with the adjoining countries. There is an airport, large number of medium
and small industries and thus is a major load centre. Hours of utilization assumed
for the station would be 3210 (37%) in 2000 and would go up to 4338 (50%) by the
year 2016. The same hours of utilization have been assumed for the other 'A1' load
centres.
In the centre of 'A' category the hours of utilization have been adopted as 3210
(37%) in 2000 and would go up to 4000 (46%) by 2016.
For the load centre of 'B' category the hours of utilization have been taking as 2650
(30%) in 2000 and would go up to 3230 (37%) by the year 2016.
In 'C' category load centres the hours of utilization have been taken as 2450 (20%)
that would increase to 3000 (34%) by the year 2016.
All values in parenthesis above indicate the corresponding load factors).
6.3. Models Used and Their Technical Operation
6.3.1. Model for Elaboration of Autonomous Load
The parameters elaborated in earlier paragraphs of the study are processed for
three alternative scenarios as under:
m Optimistic (high)
m Intermediate (Medium)
m Conservative (Low)
Based on three alternative parameters annual population growth rate persons per
households and taking the following factors in to account, the exhaustive demand
has been worked out.
m Population in years 2000 to 2016. Number of households served.
m In low income class
m In medium income class
m in high income class
m Number of commercial centres served.
m Number of public service units served annual energy consumed by
43
6.3.2. Promoted Load
Projected load may develop if the consumer in the region also uses electricity for
heating, cooking baking and cooling or when the sale is promoted for these
purposes as a policy with some subsides provided.