Conserving Freshwater and Coastal Resources in a Changing Climate
Conserving Freshwater and Coastal Resources in a Changing Climate
Conserving Freshwater and Coastal Resources in a Changing Climate
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Eelgrass (Zostera mar<strong>in</strong>a): A possible <strong>in</strong>dicator of <strong>in</strong>creased temperatures <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Mid-Atlantic Region<br />
Eelgrass is a critically important species for the Chesapeake Bay area, an area that is the southern limit of its natural<br />
range. Eelgrass is considered a keystone species with<strong>in</strong> its ecosystem, provid<strong>in</strong>g critical habitat for decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g juvenile blue<br />
crab populations, as well as preferred refuge <strong>and</strong> forage areas for soft clams <strong>and</strong> juvenile fish (Carl Hershner, personal<br />
communication, March 21, 2007).<br />
Eelgrass <strong>in</strong> the Chesapeake presently grows well<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g the cooler months but dies back dur<strong>in</strong>g warm<br />
summer periods (Short & Neckles, 1999). An <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
<strong>in</strong> average annual temperature, as predicted with<br />
climate change, is expected to decrease productivity <strong>and</strong><br />
distribution. Unlike longer-lived species such as some fish<br />
that have a “storage effect” <strong>and</strong> can delay reproduction for<br />
a better year, eelgrass is an annual crop <strong>and</strong> cannot wait for<br />
optimal conditions. There is also almost no chance for any<br />
physiological adaptation to warmer temperatures (David<br />
Secor, personal communication, April 5, 2007). Because<br />
of its critical role <strong>in</strong> the Chesapeake Bay ecosystem <strong>and</strong><br />
because eelgrass is at the southern edge of its range, the<br />
Chesapeake Bay may be a good c<strong>and</strong>idate to demonstrate<br />
the shift of species due to climate change.<br />
Photography by Richard Herrmann<br />
Responses of Shorel<strong>and</strong>s (Barrier<br />
Isl<strong>and</strong>s, Beaches <strong>and</strong> Dunes) to<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> Change<br />
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) def<strong>in</strong>es<br />
barrier isl<strong>and</strong>s as long, narrow strips of s<strong>and</strong> form<strong>in</strong>g<br />
isl<strong>and</strong>s that protect <strong>in</strong>l<strong>and</strong> areas from ocean waves <strong>and</strong><br />
storms. Beach dunes are def<strong>in</strong>ed as low hills of drifted<br />
s<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> coastal areas that can be bare or covered with<br />
vegetation (National, 1995). In general, shorel<strong>and</strong>s are<br />
important features of the coastal zone that are vital habitat<br />
for many species <strong>and</strong> serve to protect <strong>in</strong>l<strong>and</strong> areas<br />
from storms <strong>and</strong> storm surges.<br />
In the last three decades, the barrier isl<strong>and</strong>s of the<br />
U.S. Atlantic coast have been transformed from tranquil<br />
fish<strong>in</strong>g villages to thriv<strong>in</strong>g recreational centers that host<br />
millions of visitors each weekend (Titus, 1990a). These<br />
same sites are also habitat for many organisms. For example,<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g their migration <strong>and</strong> over w<strong>in</strong>ter<strong>in</strong>g, most<br />
shorebirds depend on <strong>in</strong>tertidal s<strong>and</strong> for their forag<strong>in</strong>g<br />
habitat. The ability of a site to support large numbers<br />
of shorebirds is largely determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the amount of<br />
habitat <strong>and</strong> by the density, availability, <strong>and</strong> seasonal predictability<br />
of their <strong>in</strong>vertebrate prey. Sites with greater<br />
densities of <strong>in</strong>vertebrates typically support higher<br />
shorebird densities (Galbraith et al., 2002) mak<strong>in</strong>g them<br />
ecologically valuable <strong>and</strong> a focus for protection.<br />
Inundation of Beaches <strong>and</strong> Barrier Isl<strong>and</strong>s<br />
Global warm<strong>in</strong>g is projected to raise sea level<br />
approximately one meter by the end of the century.<br />
Such a rise would <strong>in</strong>undate lowl<strong>and</strong>s, erode beaches,<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease the risk of flood<strong>in</strong>g (US EPA, 1989).<br />
Inundation, possibly the most obvious impact of sea<br />
level rise, refers to the conversion of dry l<strong>and</strong> to wetl<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> the conversion of wetl<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>to open water (EPA,<br />
1989). Some of the most vulnerable areas are the recreational<br />
barrier isl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong> spits (pen<strong>in</strong>sulas) of the<br />
Atlantic Coast. <strong>Coastal</strong> barriers are generally long <strong>and</strong><br />
narrow with the ocean on one side <strong>and</strong> a bay on the<br />
other. Typically, the ocean front side of an isl<strong>and</strong> ranges<br />
from five to ten feet above high tide, <strong>and</strong> the bay side<br />
is two to three feet above high water. Thus, even a onemeter<br />
sea level rise would threaten much of this area<br />
with <strong>in</strong>undation (EPA, 1989). For example, with the<br />
use of a simple shorel<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>undation model <strong>in</strong> which all<br />
l<strong>and</strong> with an elevation less than 61cm was assumed to<br />
be flooded, it was estimated that 91 km2 of Delaware<br />
<strong>Conserv<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Freshwater</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Coastal</strong> <strong>Resources</strong> <strong>in</strong> a Chang<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Climate</strong><br />
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