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Review 3 final 2 - TAU - National Treasury

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TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE UNIT REVIEW | Green Governance<br />

Resource crunch dynamics<br />

“There is the tragedy. Each man is locked in a system<br />

that compels him to increase his herd without limit<br />

– in a world that is limited. Ruin is the destination<br />

toward which all men rush, each pursuing his own<br />

best interest in a society that believes in the freedom<br />

of the commons. Freedom in a commons brings ruin<br />

to all.” Gareth Hardin, Tragedy of the Commons,<br />

1968.<br />

The graph below combines the two on page 36 and<br />

illustrates the “resource crunch” that commentators<br />

are increasingly suggesting will lead to major conflict<br />

and instability in society – especially as demand for<br />

environmental resources increasingly outstrips supply.<br />

As planners we need to be offering society ideas and<br />

prospects about how this transformation can take<br />

place in a practical, positive and empowering manner<br />

4.5<br />

4<br />

3.5<br />

3<br />

2.5<br />

2<br />

1.5<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

Resource crunch dynamics<br />

Gradualdecline in raw materials, eco<br />

system servicess, integrity and capacity<br />

of natural systems<br />

Resource crunch<br />

point - when<br />

societal demand<br />

outstrips ability of<br />

environment and<br />

Societal demand for resources under<br />

current economic and resource<br />

Time 1 Time 2 Time 3<br />

consumption paradigms and<br />

Time 4<br />

development models<br />

Growth in demand for resources<br />

Resource availability and ecosystem integrity<br />

page 37<br />

Enabling change for development

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