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Dutch Disease, Resource Curse and Development*

Dutch Disease, Resource Curse and Development*

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Extraction Policy <strong>and</strong> use of resource rents<br />

• How much natural resource should be extracted How to<br />

use windfalls<br />

• Hotelling‘s Rule: extraction is conditional on maximization<br />

of rents - achieved if the long-term interest rate equals the<br />

expected net price increase of the natural resource. In<br />

reality, imperfect competition <strong>and</strong> high uncertainty<br />

predominate. Rule not really applicable under real world<br />

conditions<br />

• Hartwick-Rule stipulates that the loss of exhaustive<br />

natural resources by extraction can only be offset by using<br />

the resource rents for the generation of produced capital.<br />

Only the yields from this produced wealth should be be<br />

consumed. Rule for environmental sustainability<br />

• Neither the Hotelling-Rule nor the Hartwick-Rule deal<br />

directly with DD<br />

• Yet, containing DD is easier if the speed of extraction of 36<br />

UNCTAD Division on Technology <strong>and</strong> Logistics - Knowledge Sharing, Training <strong>and</strong> Capacity Development Branch

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