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Dutch Disease, Resource Curse and Development*

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<strong>Dutch</strong> <strong>Disease</strong>: The St<strong>and</strong>ard Model II<br />

Figure 1: Effect of the boom on the<br />

labour market<br />

Source: Corden/Neary<br />

(1982: 828).<br />

Before the boom: total labour<br />

supply O s -O t ; wage is w 0 ;<br />

L T <strong>and</strong> L S are labour<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> for tradables <strong>and</strong><br />

non-tradables; equilibrium<br />

in A<br />

Effects of resource boom:<br />

1) resource movement effect:<br />

• direct deindustrialisation A<br />

→ B<br />

• labour dem<strong>and</strong> in the boom<br />

sector crowds out<br />

employment in other<br />

sectors; L T shifts to L‟ T<br />

2) spending effect B → G<br />

Indirect deindustrialisation:<br />

• more revenue → additional<br />

8<br />

spending <strong>and</strong> labour<br />

UNCTAD Division on Technology <strong>and</strong> Logistics - Knowledge Sharing, Training <strong>and</strong> Capacity Development Branch

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