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A study of Patent Thickets (1.31Mb) - UK Intellectual Property Office

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A Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>Patent</strong> <strong>Thickets</strong> 59<br />

5 Conclusion<br />

<strong>Patent</strong> thickets are defined by a number <strong>of</strong> observers as a dense web <strong>of</strong> patents with overlapping<br />

claims that are held by several (competing) companies. As discussed in our report, such thickets<br />

can arise for a multitude <strong>of</strong> reasons; they are mainly driven by an increase in the number <strong>of</strong><br />

patent filings (and its consequences for patent quality) as well as increased technological<br />

complexity and interdependence. This report has investigated the effect <strong>of</strong> patent thickets on<br />

firm behavior. Specifically, we analysed whether patent thickets represent a barrier to entry into<br />

particular technologies for <strong>UK</strong> SMEs.<br />

Our report reveals a lack <strong>of</strong> prior empirical evidence on the effect <strong>of</strong> thickets on firm behavior,<br />

both in terms <strong>of</strong> performance and innovative activity. Nevertheless, we show that there is a<br />

substantial body <strong>of</strong> research investigating the factors that lead to the emergence and growth <strong>of</strong><br />

thickets. The literature review <strong>of</strong>fered in this report also highlights the concentration <strong>of</strong> this<br />

evidence on US data. There is also an active, more recent, literature on the empirical measurement<br />

<strong>of</strong> patenting in complex technologies and the resulting thickets that focuses mainly on EPO<br />

data. Both literatures provide a considerable amount <strong>of</strong> empirical evidence for the existence and<br />

growth <strong>of</strong> patent thickets, especially in ICT-related technologies.<br />

To analyse the possible impact <strong>of</strong> thickets on <strong>UK</strong> firms, we measure entry as a firm’s decision to<br />

patent for the first time in a given technology area rather than entry into product markets. This<br />

choice is partly driven by the lack <strong>of</strong> precise data on entry into product markets, but can be<br />

defended by the argument that competition in patent-intensive sectors will per force require<br />

some effort to patent in the relevant sector. Our report reviews empirical evidence that associates<br />

improved economic performance at the firm-level, both in terms <strong>of</strong> growth and the number <strong>of</strong><br />

new products marketed, with first-time patenting. This implies that analysing whether thickets<br />

affect firms’ propensity to file a patent for the first time in a given technology may have direct<br />

implications for firm performance, both in terms <strong>of</strong> growth and innovation. Focusing on entry<br />

into patenting also has the advantage <strong>of</strong> providing us with the complete set <strong>of</strong> potential entrants,<br />

i.e., any registered firm in our database that has not previously patented. If instead we had<br />

studied entry into the product market, potential entrants would have become observable only<br />

after entry into the market. The absence <strong>of</strong> information on those firms that chose not to enter<br />

would complicate our analysis considerably.<br />

In our context, patent thickets can represent a barrier to entry if potential social benefits <strong>of</strong> the<br />

factors that give rise to thickets do not outweigh the social costs induced by lower entry rates<br />

than in the absence <strong>of</strong> thickets. Obviously, this is hard to measure in practice. However, our<br />

review <strong>of</strong> the literature on thickets has revealed few reasons to believe that thickets are<br />

associated with factors that have raised social welfare and many that indicate that thickets are<br />

creating important welfare losses. As noted above, there is so far very little evidence on the<br />

effects patent thickets have on firm entry. Therefore, we resort to assessing directly the impact<br />

<strong>of</strong> thickets on the propensity to enter a given technology.<br />

Using the triples measure our descriptive evidence shows strong increases in the density <strong>of</strong><br />

thickets in almost all technologies related to Electrical Engineering, especially in<br />

Telecommunication, Audiovisual- and Computer-technology. Our data show that patent thickets

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